It's best not to try to trade Disney. I learned that the hard way in the past. Owned 100 shares @ $28 and sold at $35 thinking it would drop back down under $30 and I could load up again. I listened to the 'Fast Money' crowd and it cost me a bundle. My current position in DIS is not for sale and will eventually be turned over to my kids one day. I can't think of a better long term stock to own than this one.
Agreed. If nothing else it shows that slowly but surely at least some of the 'sheeple' out there are waking up. About 25% of the Swiss voted for the referendum. While I expected closer to 35% or 40% this is still a decent number. Remember that the corrupt bankster, politicians and their cronies were out in full force to ensure that this vote had no chance of passing. They resorted to scare tactics and showing up in churches telling the people how the Swiss economy would crash with a 'Yes' vote.
The teaser trailer looks amazing. There is absolutely no doubt that 2015 will be an amazing year for Disney. Between Avengers 2 and Episode 7 the box office numbers alone will be mind blowing!
Sentiment: Strong Buy
In the short to mid term DIS will be vulnerable to an overall market correction and may get back down into the $80's. Longer term the stock is going much higher especially with Star Wars and Avengers 2 on the horizon. I think you're 13 month target for $125 is a pretty good bet barring a major market crash.
Because the "sheeple" out there are willing to believe the BS government statistics that the talking heads on CNBC feed them on a daily basis. We keep hearing about "low to no inflation" based upon a cooked calculation that academics at the Fed use. Yet as you mentioned anyone that has to go buy groceries, pay rent, go to the department store, pay for healthcare or drive a car should know better. Not to mention private school or college tuition which continues to go up year over year and if you ask the schools why the cost is rising they will tell you that it's to "keep up with rising expenses." Remember that the airlines started charging baggage fees to offset rising fuel costs. Well now that prices have come down do you think they are going to lower or eliminate those fees? The answer is a resounding NO!
This whole no inflation and deflation argument is so incredibly ridiculous it's laughable.
Well it largely depends on the direction of the overall markets which at least for now appears to be higher. With Avengers 2 and Star Wars Episode 7 on tap for 2015 I don't think it's unreasonable at all to think we can see DIS trading at $115-$120 within a year. The equity markets in general have been defying gravity for years now so at any moment we could get a sharp correction but I wouldn't bank on it. If things remain status quo were heading to $120 in DIS.
I guess it all depends on how you view your investment in Disney. From a trading standpoint a very good argument can be made that the stock is overvalued at current levels and should be sold to lock in profits. In doing that you are hoping that the stock goes back down so that you can rinse and repeat the process. It's a reasonable strategy but also a risky one. Disney is one of the companies that people will literally hold forever and eventually pass the shares onto their kids. It's best to view Disney as an ultra long term savings account.
With the Marvel and Lucasfilm acquisitions this is no longer your father's Disney. The potential of both of those franchises is nearly limitless and Disney has people working for them that undoubtedly know how to monetize an IP. Just wait until that Star Wars hype train gets rolling next year.
I am personally not adding to my position at current levels but I would not be surprised to see DIS trading at $100 in 2015.
I agree with your sentiment for the most part but here's the rub; a lot of these mining CEO's are in bed with same banking #$%$ that are suppressing the price of their product. They are dependent on the big banks for financing so in most cases they are forced to sell what they are able to pull out of the ground even at a loss. It's a pretty stupid business plan but mining is such a capital intensive business these guys are starving for additional financing.
All that being said, AG's CEO is at least doing something by holding back production in the third quarter and calling for other mining companies to join with him to create a "mini-cartel" to get a handle on the price. I don't see that happening at least not in the short term but at it's a start.
How low will this thing go? Mining CEO's are some of the only people you will find on the planet willing to sell their primary product for less than it costs them to acquire it. Stick to the physical.
I'd like to see DIS get back down to around the $70-$75 level where I would certainly add more shares. Disney has had an awesome year and profit taking was inevitable. Longer term this sell off is very healthy.
Avengers 2 and Star Wars coming in 2015!
Every miner on my watch list is down significantly today while gold and silver are on the rise. Yeah this market makes perfect sense doesn't it?