I have a tough time understanding negative comments of short term moves involving a penny or two....Yes, I make pro comments, but I am commenting on a view point beyond a one inch johnson and NOT the day's action...If some have lost 95% or whatever , what the heck is another 23 cents if the world was ending as they FEAR.???.IT"S NOT !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Those short numbers after the close should help tell the story..Some are just not made for risk..They want all the rewards that come with those, but lack the courage in their due diligence..Never easy buying when things drop..Takes Cojones guys ! American Airlines was 25 cents a few years back..and in Chapter 11..Equity held strongand not diluted and is now about $50 ..FWIW..200 fold WINNER !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I'll be happy with an eight bagger as a minimum..
perhaps Dave you should invest in a low risk and low reward investment ? How about a U.S treasury ? He is talking the "order book"..may have been a short lived view when he was looking..The stock has been lower than this not long ago, so I'm not sure why you have this new felt cause to spread the fear or changing view...If you did your DD as I have, then nothing has changed..The stock has been as low as 17..The entire market sucks today, so again,,why oh why ??? It's QUITE normal to have significant percentage moves each way with a penny stock..If you can't handle the emotional gyrations, then move on perhaps..Just saying ....I'd hope you just be a big boy and jump for joy when things work out as I suggest..It's never easy to buy or hold on when things are at or near bottoms..You should be buying MORE..If I had more money, I would..Maybe AVI or JOshy can lend me 100K ??.
#$%$ are easily impersonated..That is what was blocked from prior post..No understanding how that happens.."moniker" is not a swear worsd..
then sell if you do not have confidence in your due diligence or what I consider 101 simple math...Of course you could be an impersonator so not going to argue with that potential..At this point if you bought much higher, YOU'VE already lost 95%..What's the risk/reward with the remaining 5% ? It is NOT going BK and IF it some how did, the LIQUIDATION value in much much HIGHER..Do your own math..If you add differently Dave, tell me where and by what metric you are using...Otherwise sell and leave if you can't do that..Fear mongering further is just another hack in my view..
you must be bi polar if you are the same Dave as has posted prior..Do what you will...I'm aware of hacks assuming other peoples #$%$(mine has had it many times), so would not surprise that this is some hack impersonating another/you now.
when it is down 95% from the 52 week high and this question is THE MAJOR FACTOR(per RJ) at this point, it will react as this is the BIG TUNA in the room.. Shorts are banking on this not being resolved or paid...Obviously they believe BPZ is worth ZERO..My DD with assets and Liabilities math says that is ridiculous..Even though, shorts are a tough gang and relentless at fear mongering .I do NOT believe BPZ began drilling TWO NEW WELLS just recently IF debt being paid was questionable .But til that question is answered, we have a bunch of either weak hands, shorts or day traders playing their hands...All three I guess..
Looking forward to what that number will be...I suspect it is maybe slightly down to an even 14 million from 14.52 million prior coumnt.. I may be wrong and it may be HIGHER though..Hope I"M wrong in that regard...I want all short hacks burned badly !!!
very true as long as it was paid on time..Not paying as due would be a material event and require disclosure without delay..That's what I have been told in similar situations..
if you are confident in your due diligence and the conservative values placed on assets and INCLUDING the cash, then I'd suggest you would be foolish if your lack of patience got the best of you..If you were even to come to the view of a POSSIBLE BK filing (that I can not even conceive of) then there is no way equity is wiped out..NO WAY !! I suggest you might review American Airlines and their chap 11 filing..Equity which stood at 25 cents when I screwed up and DID NOT pull the trigger in buying,,,now stands around $50 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 200 bagger from about four years ago..
who knows..Not paying something due SUNDAY is a material event in my view, so if not this week itself should it be paid during the week, then soon after Sunday by my figuring...Nobody expects positive earnings, so I could care less about them..
guarantee, it will react !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! as for the $2 you mention and hope for, that's an 8 bagger from here....But also note that RJ had a 4.50 target in June.(stock hit 3.40)....Of course before oil dropped, so you may well be in the ball park of a short term possibility with that $2 number..
if you are intellectually honest, we're still waiting on the value of the P-1's Mr. Rise....Do you have an answer ??? Does any of the hacks have an answer.?..You know who I refer to..What's 13.5 MILLION P-1 reserves being pumped worth at today's $60 Brent pricing ? Apply a reasonable discount..I applied FIFTY PERCENT discount and that asset itself is worth $405,000,000 AFTER BEING DISCOUNTED..Is that number LARGER Than BPZ's TOTAL DEBTS of 227 million ???? Just asking for you math challenged folks...Of course that is only ONE asset..Now toss in the CASH(85 MILLION or thereabouts !), Gas turbines, Natural gas itself, p-2's,p-3's, 1.6 MILLION acres of leases, seismic performed assets, well platforms, etc, etc, etc...All those ADD to the asset base MILLIONS and MILLIONS and we're well OVER any debts when it comes to a LARGE net in the asset direction..Just them darn facts that run counter to the dishonest BS being spewed ..
likely one of those honchos selling a "how to" class..Of course he made 29,400% channeling..It's a sure thing..That's why all gurus do it ...and of course the internet and their backgrounds are always true..yada, yada, yada...I know people channel trade...I'm less fond of the day traders far more so than channel guys..FWIW...Would not have a problem with very short term traders and the machines that do that being taxed at a higher rate than current short term rates that now exist...That's just my opinion..
Have no first hand knowledge of anything, but have been to the rodeo and am darn good in my math and common sense.. I think we should just keep informing our fellow posters to the facts and rebuke those hacks meant to defraud the ignorant of their shares..Have no problem with the open forum when I have my "ignore" button ready at a moments notice for the kids like Joshy and AVI..I have no use for liars and cheats who have not an ounce of intellectual honesty within their genes..
lots of ways to skin the March debt question..The simple math situation I refer to is if push comes to shove, the cash on hand and in bank exists to pay the 59 million March debt in full. Yeh, it's taking time,It's NOT DUE YET,,,,as I'm sure their first choice is not to drain their cash reserves by that amount,,,but EVEN if done, they would more than likely STILL have a cash balance in the 10's of millions and without selling gas turbines or taking on another JV partner or anything else..PPS is ridiculously LOW as I can see some just have no clue to what the facts are when it comes to assets, liquidity, liability totals and so much else..Hope the short count Monday is near what it was prior as I look forward to their being thrashed from the levels they could cover some at now..
apparently math is not your thing...I'm saying that if any push comes to shove, then payment will be made by CASH ON HAND..Not a chance of any BK filing at this time..PERIOD...and that's AFTER paying 100% on the dollar of what's owed of the March debt..I'm sure they are hoping to roll some or maybe work out a new cost sharing or sale of some asset with Pac Rub to assist in holding on to as much cash as they can. I'm sure they are looking at ALL their options..There's more ways than one to skin the cat of the March debt issue..2017 debt is a different cat, but lots can happen in the energy sector over the next two plus years...What I know is assets minus liabilities ON THIS DAY, FAR
RJ analyst estimated Capex for 2015 WITHOUT CUTS of approximately 66 million...He also estimated a 14 million capex deficit AFTER cash flows generated by company that are needed to account for that CAPEX budget...Cash flows were based on2015 $70 Brent pricing average which we DON"T have at this point..and that deficit is WITHOUT cutting the capex budget that I know in my view will be cut...Point being that with ample enough cash on hand and IN THE BANK ALREADY, there is enough to pay the 59 million PAYMENT IN FULL now..Not some 50% on the dollar that was tossed out by some other spreader of falsehoods I rebuked elsewhere...They still will have cash IN THE BANK and can reduce or rework capex sharing with Pac Rub that will resolve this question..There is ZERO chance of any BK as ASSETS minus Liabilities is strongly in the asset column when the NET is figured..All the liars and fraudsters will not change those FACTS ...They also have the option of selling those gas turbines that will raise ANOTHER 25 million or so in a fire sale..That would add FURTHER to cash after debt is already PAID..If oil drops further to $20/barrel or whatever, the 2017 payment is a different question...But March 1st, 2015 payment can be skinned in a number of different ways..
They have 100% on the dollar IN THE BANK to pay the March debt..Last time I did math, it was not difficult to pay 59 Million debt with approximately 85 million CASH ON HAND NOW..I say 85 million as I'm subtracting 18 MILLION for any funds spent during the Q.(103-18=85 million left approximately).They had 103 Million at last CC with the 24 million check from Pac Rub included+ 79 million cash listed..That is the math, so your BS doesn't hold water Rise..Better go do some more Due Diligence as to what the facts are. You as are the other hacks are just LIARSSSSSSSSSS....Pay the debt, have 26 million remaining and sell gas turbines for another 25 million per RJ..That leaves plus 50 million in the bank for doing further drilling..They also have cash flow from what they sell you IDIOTS...That helps with drilling expenses, but I as others suspect they cut their CAPEX..I'll give you credit at least explaining your lies Rise..Better than the other hacks, but displays all the falsehoods in your thinking..Get ready to be burned as I hope you believe your BS and are short..