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First Solar, Inc. Message Board

jackgotney 199 posts  |  Last Activity: 17 hours ago Member since: Nov 19, 2009
  • Reply to

    Hit piece expected.

    by imamveryverylong Aug 1, 2014 1:09 PM
    jackgotney jackgotney Aug 1, 2014 2:20 PM Flag

    I think we are in an uptrend unfortunately for you guys. That is why I bought today. They second day of a market selloff the business folks are pulling hair to explain. This morning CNBC Squawkbox quoted the Times for their headline that read something like "Market in Selloff But No one can explain". They grasped at straws to explain the second leg down in the futures, and the best they could do was to say that it is almost never up after a down thursday because it gives people the whole weekend to reassess and analyze what's going on. Reading between the lines that tells me they expect Monday to be a rebound, in which case OLED might see a flurry on buying. We have been sitting around 30 for so long. 29 would be the bottom but we night not ever get there if any good news comes out, or if we trade sideways into the report and it is positive. I think it is too likely we will see a bump after the report not to be in it. There could be a runup into th report as well. We all know anything can happen based on the past, but I think OLED is more established and this industry is catching fire. LG TV and Lighting. Samsung expanding smartphone line. I think today's dip could be the best buying opp before the report.

  • Reply to

    Samsung Amoled sales

    by qtmmnutcase Aug 1, 2014 7:31 AM
    jackgotney jackgotney Aug 1, 2014 11:25 AM Flag

    I bought 1500 shares this morning, knowing it could drop to 29 worst case, but also rise near term above 35 and I expect continue rising over the next year toward 50. UDC reports Aug 7th. I bought shares this morning because we will likely meet or surprise and continue the growth and the macro economic numbers that came out this morning looked very supportive of more growth in this sector. We also have unbelievable growth prospects in TOLED/FOLED for portable devices. I wonder what impact the materials sales for LG for development and for Lighting will have? For Samsung (I think the bi-annual Samsung licensing fee is built into the estimates) too. I believe lighting and LG large TVs will provide accelerated growth in the coming years. It is hard to find a solid (good financial statements and management) and moderately priced high growth stock these days.
    It looks like analysts estimate 61 million average revenue estimate for the June qtr. with lo and hi ests at 58 million and 67 million. EPS Ave estimate is .40. with lo and hi ests being .34 and .45. Even if we make the average ests that is double digit growth (in line with high expectations), and more than half of what we made the entire last year.

  • Reply to


    by edgordon Jul 31, 2014 8:02 AM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 31, 2014 12:10 PM Flag

    It doesn't seem to be making money yet. FOr the last 4 quarters its double ditgit million dollar negative cash flow has been increasing? A wonderful business needs to have a positive cash flow or it will eventually collapse under its debt. Maybe a nice product but if it costs 100 million a year plus to stay in operation, then the business ain't doin too well.

  • Reply to

    Should we continue or mount a coup

    by forbespointperson Jul 25, 2014 10:04 AM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 31, 2014 11:53 AM Flag

    Well if Coke has spies operating in Shanghai, they might already know about the top secret aseptic tap. Also in the context of Coke's recent 'Share A Coke' campaign, who'd want to share a coke without an aseptic tap? How does anyone know if their friends aren't carrying a hidden disease?

  • Reply to

    state of emergency- today

    by eaglesfly73 Jul 31, 2014 10:17 AM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 31, 2014 10:31 AM Flag

    Ebola is believed to have killed 729 people in West Africa from March through July 27, the World Health Organization said Thursday. There is no cure, no vaccine.
    "This epidemic is without precedent," said Bart Janssens, director of operations for Doctors Without Borders, also known as Médecins Sans Frontières, a group of medical workers nursing victims through the disease as it runs its course. "It's absolutely not under control, and the situation keeps worsening."

    The rate of infection has slowed in Guinea, but it has increased in neighboring Sierra Leone and Liberia. As infection accelerates, some aid groups are pulling out to protect their own.

    The Peace Corps announced Wednesday it is doing the same, removing its 340 volunteers from that country, as well as Sierra Leone and Guinea.

    In addition to diagnostics, shouldn't we also try to find an anti-viral that is effective against EBola? Is anyone doing that, or is it just not big enough a market to pursue that?

  • Reply to

    Should we continue or mount a coup

    by forbespointperson Jul 25, 2014 10:04 AM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 30, 2014 4:12 PM Flag

    If you didn't notice, the bid is now .35. If the bid continues to rise by half a penny and double in size everyday, for the next 3 years, IDND will be worth over $5.40 and after just tw or three weeks there will be more than enough shares to sell the entire company at the bid. I'd say this is a good trend if it is one. Any comments?
    PS More conservatively, I hope this becomes one of those stocks that other people look at after it goes up 1000% in a year and they just stare and wonder how come they missed that one, only I own it before the runnup. What do you hope?
    (I guess hoping for a low probability positive scenario is less absurd than forecasting the absolutely ridiculous).

  • Reply to

    Name Change

    by mmac4207 Jul 30, 2014 12:02 PM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 30, 2014 3:13 PM Flag

    No. Name changes sound too desperate lqtm. Platinum has risen over 40% in the last two years. PLG has basically been (net) flatlining. Yet since then a 100 dominoes have fallen in line for the company. Big progress has been made with financing, we are 60% closer to seeing Bushveld in operation. Waterberg has been discovered and is huge and still being explored. Goldman Sachs has a $2 price target. I have a longer term outlook which has it in the $5 - $10 range *(3 -5 years). All metals today are up except gold (last I looked with Pt at $1475and Palladium approaching $900). I guess this is not a day trading stock. But there is a lot of institutional ownership. It's funny how it rolls along at such a cheap price. If someone bought the company today they'd get a lot of cash and 17 million ounces of 4E ounces of Pt sitting in the ground with an after extraction value per ounce of Pt = (Spot prce * discount% for concentrate)- costs ($438). This conservatively makes it worth 5 to 10 times what it (PLG) is valued at today. What are investors waiting for, the money in the bank? Once the entire property is assessed it should be (officially) worth even more. I guess some of us have the ability to look ahead and do so, while others whether they have that ability or not, don't. I grant also other have different risk profiles and different qualitative diversification needs. I guess that all and random factors, and a cheap price make this a buying opportunity at present.

  • Reply to

    Should we continue or mount a coup

    by forbespointperson Jul 25, 2014 10:04 AM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 30, 2014 12:45 PM Flag

    OK OK OK - I thought you knew I was being funny. I was pretending to be ignorantly literal. I know the story of the turtle and the hare! But haven't you heard the story of the turtle and the hair? A turtle challenged a hair to a 3 day turtle race. The hair, remembering the story of the 'turtle and the hare', thought 'this will be an easy one. I'll go even slower than the turtle by just staying in the same place and beat the turtle at his own game'. Of course 3 days later and 75 feet down the race track, the turtle finished first. The hair was tired of standing still for 3 days and began to fray. The moral of the story is, according to the turtle, 'if you want to get somewhere, grow legs'. Don't worry. I never heard of this story either, and I am not trying to form any analogy with anything to do with IDC.
    I guess we all feel like this is happening, but would like a better view of what's is going on. Months of 'no news' just has us imagining things. I sure hope we hear from Pepsico by the next report. I hope nothing is holding it up this time.

  • Reply to

    Why on earth...

    by mmac4207 Jul 30, 2014 10:00 AM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 30, 2014 10:32 AM Flag

    It looks like someone is just trying to trigger some selling, and may be shorting to do this. But it isn't working and he's in trouble as soon a some buying happens. It is a matter of time.

  • Reply to

    AACC Meeting and Clinical Lab Expo 201

    by participant42 Jul 29, 2014 2:17 PM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 29, 2014 4:50 PM Flag

    The Chikungunya virus just landed in Florida. Brain eating amoebas have been found now in over half our lakes in the US and resulting fatalities are increasing! In the salt water 10 people recently killed in Florida by flesh eating bacteria, and several cases in other Gulf states reported. Food recalls every dang week! It ain't safe to eat, breathe or drink water, much less go swimming. The side effects from surviving could be death. I think my brain has already been eaten. Wait no. As long as I think I can still think I think I should be able to think I have a brain. But I have no idea what I might have from day to day. We baby boomers don't want health issues. 70 million of demand right now or sooner, non-invasive diagnostics tests for all maledies that might work against our enjoying retirement! If you have to poke me with a needle or scalpel in a hospital environment I could get MERS and die! Well, I don't think I'm going eboling tonight! Amoeba I will do something else, like go to alvirus house or go bacteriality and just wait for this company to achieve .10 EPS..

  • Reply to

    Stock buybacks

    by radar_charlie Jul 29, 2014 2:39 PM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 29, 2014 4:36 PM Flag

    I am only for buybacks if their revs and earnings are in growth mode.

  • Reply to

    Should we continue or mount a coup

    by forbespointperson Jul 25, 2014 10:04 AM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 29, 2014 4:14 PM Flag

    Well for me I already am overweighted plus I have no available cash. I am full up in equity. But you're right - if I sell at .34 I don't make any money (my average price is.34), and it would just knock the ticker down about 20%. I have higher hopes. That won't make it happen. Orders from Pepsico might. If Pepsico is watching, I promise to buy a can of Diet-Pepsi as soon as IDC announces receiving orders for its aseptic taps. (Maybe that will get it going..who knows?). Does anyone have magical powers?

  • Reply to

    1 year target on yahoo.

    by mmac4207 Jul 25, 2014 3:50 PM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 29, 2014 2:01 PM Flag

    Down but the volume is very very weak. At least the selling isn't that enthusiastic. I wonder how long we will have to sit in purgatory. I don't mind the guy with the pumpkin head and white sheet sitting next to me. It's more that the bench is wooden and there's no air conditioning.

  • Reply to

    Should we continue or mount a coup

    by forbespointperson Jul 25, 2014 10:04 AM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 29, 2014 1:08 PM Flag

    I am not 59, but my 2 cents - the expectations were mid-year and we are heading into late mid year. So me too wondering when we might realistically start receiving orders. For the record, a 'hair' is something that grows out of the skin to keep men from being totally bald for example, and 'hare' (pronounced the same) is another name for a rabbit.

  • Reply to

    Ebola can spread like 'forest fire,' US warns...

    by kingly2021 Jul 29, 2014 9:13 AM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 29, 2014 10:10 AM Flag

    coughing and sneezing on the airplane, and then in peoples' faces spreading their dreaded drizzle on the crowded inter borough nyc subways during rushhour. All we need is one more of those! They should ban travel from West Africa to the USA until this epidemic is brought under control.

  • Reply to

    Win to become REIT??

    by hochborland Jul 29, 2014 9:25 AM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 29, 2014 9:36 AM Flag

    over 20 million shares in 5 minutes! I wish I had held on to my FTR!!

  • Reply to

    Should we continue or mount a coup

    by forbespointperson Jul 25, 2014 10:04 AM
    jackgotney jackgotney Jul 28, 2014 3:21 PM Flag

    Yes ,the tortoise and the hair. I remember the story well. The tortoise was worried about his lack of hair and finally he bought a wig. What irony! A tortoiise with hair.Then he met a rabbit without a shell. So many twists. I can't remember how it ended. But whatever we read into the silence, or the lack of trading, a vacuum, we really only know technically that no one wants to sell at the bid. No one wants to buy at the ask. It is an 20+% spread. I think as long as that is the spread. There will be no significant activity. No hard pressed eager sellers, no determined buyers. Longs are just waiting. But I guess we know that already. Anyone know of a good wall of drying paint I could look at?

  • jackgotney by jackgotney Jul 25, 2014 2:18 PM Flag

    Everything else is down! Because the world is worried about the prospects of ISIS taking over the world and other things going on in the Middle East. That causes precious metals to rise.

  • jackgotney jackgotney Jul 23, 2014 2:10 PM Flag

    I hope it's true and the we can expect $3 to $5. I wish I knew what he was looking at! Even some verification of such suggested developments might stir up some action in the stock price!

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