what unexpected revenue loss? The haven't even completed the deal yet. The deal will add to revenue and profit even without the customer. Today the price action was a gift to anyone looking to invest in LCI. Thank you Mr Market. Christmas came early.
I bought yesterday and doubled down today. Record does speak volumes. Generics are the goose that lays golden eggs. Demographics are the key. Older population, more generic drug demand.
can only do so much with the physical plant they have now, acquisition smooths future disruptions with one plant. Distribution will be somewhat higher (easy to be higher than zero) . Mgt is great operationally, not good at managing investor expectations. IMO they should state the annual distribution upfront (under promise) and pay a special distribution or repurchase shares at year end (over deliver).
The problem with one plant is that one time deals happen all the time if not this, then something else. That is why the acquisition is such a big deal for the future of this.
numbers were horrible but no distribution will send this to years lows. Could be a good opportunity to buy. Plant improvements will boost future results so bad in short term but prospects even better in the future.
I'm more concerned with dividend coverage, which just got much better than it otherwise would have been absent share buybacks. BV erosion is less than it otherwise would be, absent share buybacks. The possibility of a dividend cut just got alot smaller because of the share buybacks. I agree, year end selling may be robust, the question is whether or not mgt fully executes the authorized share repurchase plan. If they at least continue at half the current level, they will soak up a couple of million more shares thru year end - which will further increase dividend coverage, lessen BV erosion and provide investors a little more confidence that management is looking out for them (at least to the degree that what is good for management and their management fees is also good for shareholders).
Finally company is buying in a big way... going higher.
Our equity capital markets activity has been robust. During September of this year, the Company purchased 1,495,000 shares of its
common stock at an average price of $20.46. In October, and through October 16th, the Company has purchased 2,190,700 shares
of the Company’s common stock at an average price of $20.98. The Company purchased $76.6 million of shares in September and
October at an average price of $20.77.
generally agree. I think the decline in production of non opec producers will snowball from here. Crude storage decline have put the bottom in the oil price IMO. Iran production coming online will soften prices for a bit but likely won't retest lows. Iran production will offset decline in non opec production as well as much of the growth in demand.
The report of Deloitte Haskins & Sells LLP on the Company’s consolidated financial statements as of and for the years ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 did not contain an adverse opinion or a disclaimer of opinion, and were not qualified or modified as to uncertainty, audit scope or accounting principles. Except as described below, that report has not been withdrawn or modified.
The issue is in 2013.
I think we can conclude that mgt really does not have the intention to do the 9m share repurchase. Not buying back a significant amount of shares in conjunction with the RS was a mistake. The BV discount just shows the lack of confidence in mgt. Do you really think the BV will not decline this month? Yes, they will probably time a liquidity event at the least opportune time for current investors...another reason for the BV discount. If mgt does a significant buyback then that temporarily will right the ship, support BV, increase dividend coverage, and more importantly give a much needed boost to investor confidence in mgt.
do yourself a favor and don't buy either one of them. both are essentially just going to give your money back over your holding period (if you are lucky). I have small positions in both and am sorry at this point. I won't sell them, I am caught in investor purgatory. You just have to look at a chart and compare the total returns of both and you will see what I mean.
this is all out war with the stock price. We will have an answer on Monday at the latest. Bulls win if financials are filed and no major restatement. Shorts win if either not filed or Major restatement. Lawsuit against shorts is bullish IMO. If you believe mgt, today is the day to buy. If you are not sure, don't sell take some time and review last Investor Relations Presentation and last qtrs results. If you don't see the potential in the stock then sell it and move on otherwise buy more today. Monday will be too late,.
Lawsuit big positive. Low float manipulation just like a penny stock. Stock price gonna reflect the future Zacks just raised their outlook for the stock. Balance sheet not the greatest, but revenue is growing solidly. When company files financials this could literally double from these levels. Shorts have ruled, but odds now are stacking up against them.
Short term mentality. I'm wondering whether or not any M&A rumors are starting to float around. Read the last transcripts from earnings cc and mgt is clear that consolidation is going to happen in the biz. Whether buyer or seller both are not ruled out. Not sure if any additional plant expansion is possible if so, that would be the next thing I'd expect to hear about, absent a deal. The last plant expansion has saved the distribution for unit holders. I continue to believe that a low ball quarterly distribution and an annual special distribution is better than a variable quarterly distribution. Small investors want consistency. The lack of consistency contributes to the lack of unit price strength.
1) Company likely will repurchase some shares, imo much less than what they should(full 9 million authorized). Remember they had authorization for much of last year and barely moved the needle. That said anything more than half a million shares will be pretty bullish. 2) The more shares they buyback the cheaper the dividend is to the company, increasing the comfort level of investors most don't have confidence in sustainability of current dividend. That in itself will increase share price.
the best news from the report is that they covered the distribution. Do you not understand the significance of that?
book value still going down though. They are nibbling at shares, hopefully ARR mgt goes full in with share buyback authorization. I do think waiting until after split will give them biggest bang for buck, even with todays move, share price post split will be pressured. Things continue to improve. ARR bears have been right for years, the tide continues to slowly turn in favor of bulls.