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New York Community Bancorp Inc. Message Board

jananjim 71 posts  |  Last Activity: 11 hours ago Member since: Oct 28, 2004
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  • Reply to

    Long Haul

    by catherinekolen93 13 hours ago
    jananjim jananjim 11 hours ago Flag

    They announced that they are looking at strategic alternatives in regards to manor care. I read that as selling most if not all of the real estate. This will derisk the portfolio and give opportunity to invest in other than SNF like the ones manor care runs. IMO in 12 mos manor care will represent about 10% of the business or less. The bump in price comes when sell of manor care assets is announced. Still think there is room to fall more, but I'll continue to add. I'd be worried about HCP if there was weakness in other areas of their portfolio, but absent HCR it is running on all cylinders.

  • Reply to

    Buying point achieved - Opportunity here

    by mike57dk Jan 16, 2016 12:12 PM
    jananjim jananjim Jan 25, 2016 12:00 PM Flag

    bought some under 10, Hoping to add more in the next few days on any dips under 10.

  • Reply to

    Insiders, Buybacks and OPM

    by jjnov711 Dec 12, 2015 3:19 PM
    jananjim jananjim Dec 18, 2015 4:07 PM Flag

    51% is alot but PDT doesn't pay anywhere near 51% in ROC. On average over 90% is not ROC but is income or gains. IMO the ROC when it is paid is the result of option activity.

  • Reply to

    Insiders, Buybacks and OPM

    by jjnov711 Dec 12, 2015 3:19 PM
    jananjim jananjim Dec 15, 2015 5:10 PM Flag

    You can go on the website for jh funds and see the breakdown or do it on cefconnect. Not much is ROC, this is something they started in last yr or so.

  • Reply to

    More Buybacks

    by jjnov711 Dec 12, 2015 3:12 PM
    jananjim jananjim Dec 14, 2015 2:30 PM Flag

    They are returning cash to shareholders. Mgt has been straight forward with share buybacks. They are buying shares at a discount to NAV. Not sure rising interest rates will drive NAV down as much of assets are in financials which should do better with rising rates. I do have concerns with their compensation but as long as they perform I'll continue to hold.

  • Reply to

    Valuation

    by degoya1799 Nov 5, 2015 12:00 PM
    jananjim jananjim Nov 5, 2015 2:55 PM Flag

    what unexpected revenue loss? The haven't even completed the deal yet. The deal will add to revenue and profit even without the customer. Today the price action was a gift to anyone looking to invest in LCI. Thank you Mr Market. Christmas came early.

  • Reply to

    BEDROSIAN STRIKES ME...

    by kerncob999 Nov 5, 2015 11:11 AM
    jananjim jananjim Nov 5, 2015 11:59 AM Flag

    I bought yesterday and doubled down today. Record does speak volumes. Generics are the goose that lays golden eggs. Demographics are the key. Older population, more generic drug demand.

  • jananjim jananjim Oct 29, 2015 9:42 AM Flag

    can only do so much with the physical plant they have now, acquisition smooths future disruptions with one plant. Distribution will be somewhat higher (easy to be higher than zero) . Mgt is great operationally, not good at managing investor expectations. IMO they should state the annual distribution upfront (under promise) and pay a special distribution or repurchase shares at year end (over deliver).

  • Reply to

    Ouch.. numbers were horrible

    by colonialcuenca Oct 29, 2015 8:35 AM
    jananjim jananjim Oct 29, 2015 9:37 AM Flag

    The problem with one plant is that one time deals happen all the time if not this, then something else. That is why the acquisition is such a big deal for the future of this.

  • Reply to

    Ouch.. numbers were horrible

    by colonialcuenca Oct 29, 2015 8:35 AM
    jananjim jananjim Oct 29, 2015 8:41 AM Flag

    numbers were horrible but no distribution will send this to years lows. Could be a good opportunity to buy. Plant improvements will boost future results so bad in short term but prospects even better in the future.

  • Reply to

    Share buybacks

    by jananjim Oct 20, 2015 5:04 PM
    jananjim jananjim Oct 21, 2015 9:46 AM Flag

    I'm more concerned with dividend coverage, which just got much better than it otherwise would have been absent share buybacks. BV erosion is less than it otherwise would be, absent share buybacks. The possibility of a dividend cut just got alot smaller because of the share buybacks. I agree, year end selling may be robust, the question is whether or not mgt fully executes the authorized share repurchase plan. If they at least continue at half the current level, they will soak up a couple of million more shares thru year end - which will further increase dividend coverage, lessen BV erosion and provide investors a little more confidence that management is looking out for them (at least to the degree that what is good for management and their management fees is also good for shareholders).

  • jananjim by jananjim Oct 20, 2015 5:04 PM Flag

    Finally company is buying in a big way... going higher.

    Our equity capital markets activity has been robust. During September of this year, the Company purchased 1,495,000 shares of its
    common stock at an average price of $20.46. In October, and through October 16th, the Company has purchased 2,190,700 shares
    of the Company’s common stock at an average price of $20.98. The Company purchased $76.6 million of shares in September and
    October at an average price of $20.77.

  • Reply to

    Whats going on? Up over 5%

    by brownvinohead Sep 30, 2015 4:05 PM
    jananjim jananjim Oct 1, 2015 8:35 PM Flag

    I'd fire your financial adviser.

  • Reply to

    My Updated Strategy with CBI and General Energy

    by banmate7 Aug 27, 2015 1:15 PM
    jananjim jananjim Aug 31, 2015 11:54 AM Flag

    generally agree. I think the decline in production of non opec producers will snowball from here. Crude storage decline have put the bottom in the oil price IMO. Iran production coming online will soften prices for a bit but likely won't retest lows. Iran production will offset decline in non opec production as well as much of the growth in demand.

  • The report of Deloitte Haskins & Sells LLP on the Company’s consolidated financial statements as of and for the years ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 did not contain an adverse opinion or a disclaimer of opinion, and were not qualified or modified as to uncertainty, audit scope or accounting principles. Except as described below, that report has not been withdrawn or modified.

    The issue is in 2013.

  • Reply to

    Book Value shoulod be around $28.75,

    by this_is_jake_from_alaska Aug 11, 2015 12:53 PM
    jananjim jananjim Aug 19, 2015 6:51 AM Flag

    I think we can conclude that mgt really does not have the intention to do the 9m share repurchase. Not buying back a significant amount of shares in conjunction with the RS was a mistake. The BV discount just shows the lack of confidence in mgt. Do you really think the BV will not decline this month? Yes, they will probably time a liquidity event at the least opportune time for current investors...another reason for the BV discount. If mgt does a significant buyback then that temporarily will right the ship, support BV, increase dividend coverage, and more importantly give a much needed boost to investor confidence in mgt.

  • Reply to

    ARR vs PSEC

    by alumilli Aug 13, 2015 11:01 AM
    jananjim jananjim Aug 18, 2015 10:37 PM Flag

    do yourself a favor and don't buy either one of them. both are essentially just going to give your money back over your holding period (if you are lucky). I have small positions in both and am sorry at this point. I won't sell them, I am caught in investor purgatory. You just have to look at a chart and compare the total returns of both and you will see what I mean.

  • Reply to

    bought more

    by jananjim Aug 14, 2015 2:01 PM
    jananjim jananjim Aug 16, 2015 6:26 PM Flag

    The lawsuit is a positive because they are taking it to the shorts who are manipulating the stock price.

  • Reply to

    bought more

    by jananjim Aug 14, 2015 2:01 PM
    jananjim jananjim Aug 15, 2015 5:29 PM Flag

    I guess you have to wait to Tuesday to find out. My bet is that one of us will be eating crow.

  • Reply to

    Trending down?????

    by zoning42 Aug 14, 2015 2:18 PM
    jananjim jananjim Aug 14, 2015 2:35 PM Flag

    this is all out war with the stock price. We will have an answer on Monday at the latest. Bulls win if financials are filed and no major restatement. Shorts win if either not filed or Major restatement. Lawsuit against shorts is bullish IMO. If you believe mgt, today is the day to buy. If you are not sure, don't sell take some time and review last Investor Relations Presentation and last qtrs results. If you don't see the potential in the stock then sell it and move on otherwise buy more today. Monday will be too late,.

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