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PHAZAR CORP Message Board

jdberwanger 24 posts  |  Last Activity: Sep 10, 2014 6:08 PM Member since: Jan 19, 2007
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  • Look for it to open up on big volume in the morning around 1.25. It will be the hedge funds generating the fake volume (one hedge fund on the bid and ask) to make it look like the company is going out of business. In reality if you listened to the call I heard that methanol prices have bottomed, volumes will be increasing at ZZ and a decent chance we will see revenues from GE project within 12 months.

  • That will be after the premarket sells they put in. It won't matter what the results are unless they are just unbeleivable. This is how the game is played by the hedge funds in the microcap area. For those longs, you just need to ride it out.

  • Reply to

    50 Day Moving Average

    by threadender Sep 2, 2014 1:08 PM
    jdberwanger jdberwanger Sep 2, 2014 8:34 PM Flag

    Highly likely it goes to the 50 day and then the machines will take over. Hedge funds and market makers will short or sell and take the shares down. In my opinion it will then stay below the 50 day for several weeks or even months. Just one mans opinion watching the tape now for a couple of decades. Still long and strong in quantity.

  • jdberwanger by jdberwanger Sep 1, 2014 4:00 PM Flag

    Hold on tight.

  • jdberwanger by jdberwanger Aug 25, 2014 10:16 PM Flag

    Turb, you seem to have a much better pulse on their technology than I do. Have you talked with people to confirm that this product is going by the wayside or are these your thoughts from listening to the quarterly call?

  • Reply to

    So what if ZZ Sold his stock

    by i_love_pancakeman Jul 30, 2014 9:20 AM
    jdberwanger jdberwanger Aug 19, 2014 10:34 PM Flag

    Turb, you seem to have a much better pulse on their technology than I do. Have you talked with people to confirm that this product is going by the wayside or are these your thoughts from listening to the quarterly call?

  • Bet the shorts put out a 50k market sell order on the open when the earnings came out. The stock went down from 41 to 27 during that time. If the were to buy back the same 175k, how much of that (or more) would we recoup? Good to see no filing from ZZ but it still wouldn't surprise me if we saw one in the next couple of months. Does anyone know what the requirements are for Israeli companies as to the filings? From my recollection last time he sold out we didnt know for several months.

  • Maybe this is why Swift hasn't sold their land? Could value be significantly higher than anyone is giving them credit for?

  • Reply to

    "significant liquidity events"

    by billjohns784 Aug 8, 2014 2:47 PM
    jdberwanger jdberwanger Aug 8, 2014 10:10 PM Flag

    I'm more confident than ever after this call. Let them take it back down into the fives. I'll be loading up the truck even more. Production is going to nearly double between now and the end of the year. They have so many wells shut in right now due to the pad drilling. They said they are starting to talk to people regarding an IPO on the pipeline. It sounds like they won't be selling it but spinning it off. For any of you doubters over the past couple of months, the conference call will give you the guiding light.

  • Reply to

    Mr. Jemer1234

    by valudog Aug 6, 2014 7:22 PM
    jdberwanger jdberwanger Aug 6, 2014 8:48 PM Flag

    Fuel, what do you think of .30? In my mind if it can hit your .50 estimate than .30 is not out of the question.

  • Reply to

    Vacuum

    by jemer1234 Aug 5, 2014 12:42 PM
    jdberwanger jdberwanger Aug 5, 2014 9:32 PM Flag

    Fuel, I agree with you but think you are optimistic. I see it at .30 cents based on similar analysis. I'm getting out while I can but will try to get an uptick before I unload.

  • Reply to

    SILC Valuation....

    by sahmdars Jul 24, 2014 1:06 PM
    jdberwanger jdberwanger Jul 27, 2014 2:04 PM Flag

    I'm bracing for the worst but have made up my mind I'm not selling any shares. What is the worst? It would not surpise me that is goes down to $20 before it starts to recover. That would be a 7 P.E. net of cash on the low end of the guidance. I read the article from the Zacks lady and agree with most of what she said. What I don't agree with is that she says there is time to jump out and get back on board with the next up cycle in earning which should start in Q2 of next year. I think that's a foolish game at this point given the correction. What I've learned over the years is stocks go way higher and lower than one can ever imagine. Where did I make my mistake looking backwards? When we had the biggest one day drop in the stock in a couple of years with the filing of the secondary paperwork. I was on spring break and not at the screen and it won't happen again. I justified in my own mind that the drop was attributed to the filing (it may or may not have been looking backward). They always say when selling a stock you need to rely on the charts more. Shame on me, the big down day should have been my clue. It sure would be nice to see a design win announced on the Coletto product or Time Stamp product sooner rather than later to stabilize things.

  • Reply to

    SILC Valuation....

    by sahmdars Jul 24, 2014 1:06 PM
    jdberwanger jdberwanger Jul 25, 2014 8:14 PM Flag

    I'm confused, so you think their openness is a good thing or should we be suspect of it?

  • Reply to

    SILC Valuation....

    by sahmdars Jul 24, 2014 1:06 PM
    jdberwanger jdberwanger Jul 24, 2014 8:38 PM Flag

    Hapi, correct me if I'm wrong but they have multiple products with their 30% customer which I assume is Intel? It's my understanding this product is maybe 10 to 12 million in sales. Isn't the Colletto the Intel server that they are planning on a design win very soon? I also believe that the sales and earnings range they provided will be conservative and as a worst case they will hit the high end of the range.

  • Reply to

    Who of Longs Still here?

    by lokeren45 Jul 18, 2014 7:48 AM
    jdberwanger jdberwanger Jul 18, 2014 2:38 PM Flag

    Haven't looked at the chart in detail for the last week or so but from what I recall 35 to 36 is either the 66% or 75 % Fibonacci retracement of the uptrend. Always looking for support levels but all the levels I thought would hold recently have not. I do think there is a better than 50% chance we will be up greater than $5 on the earnings report. On stocks that have options, I would be buying the cheapest call options right now (.05 to .10) for the nearest strike. Of course this would be after Ive already bought the common multiple times. Too bad their are no options on silc.

  • Reply to

    Who of Longs Still here?

    by lokeren45 Jul 18, 2014 7:48 AM
    jdberwanger jdberwanger Jul 18, 2014 10:59 AM Flag

    I've been here 8 years. I'm with you Sahmdars, fortunately we have the luxury of being in for awhile. Nothing has changed, in my opinion the company is in its best position ever at this point. Too many different irons in the fire.

  • Reply to

    Who of Longs Still here?

    by lokeren45 Jul 18, 2014 7:48 AM
    jdberwanger jdberwanger Jul 18, 2014 10:54 AM Flag

    Had 38k shares at peak. Sold 10 k in the 40s and 2k in the mid 60s. Bought back 3k around 41. What's a million here or there?

  • Reply to

    Second Quarter Earnings Announcement

    by schneider356 Jul 17, 2014 3:05 PM
    jdberwanger jdberwanger Jul 17, 2014 4:12 PM Flag

    I saw the earnings announcement date put out o Thompson One. It was out a couple of weeks ago.

  • Reply to

    Steam roller coming

    by bird_splitter Jul 16, 2014 8:21 AM
    jdberwanger jdberwanger Jul 16, 2014 12:36 PM Flag

    Can't make the call as Im in Italy for a little vacation. If someone could ask the following on the call, it would be appreciated. Do they ship any products out of Israel? If so, are they seeing orders being pulled forward due to the possibility of the airport being closed? Might they think about a stock repurchase plan instead of a dividend given the current share price? What are they seeing with both the setac and time stamp products? Thanks in advance.

  • jdberwanger by jdberwanger Jul 9, 2014 6:20 PM Flag

    They always say look at the debt of a company and that will give you an idea regarding the common. Has anyone noticed that the preferred d is now trading at the $ 50 par? Given it traded down to the mid 30's not more than a year ago, I think thats a very telling sign. People that own both the C and D preferreds have no doubt that those investments will be good given the prices.

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