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Halcón Resources Corporatio Message Board

jefffeatherson 8 posts  |  Last Activity: Jul 28, 2015 12:11 AM Member since: Apr 25, 2008
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  • Reply to

    Why this is going to $5+

    by stirfry123 Jul 27, 2015 4:45 PM
    jefffeatherson jefffeatherson Jul 28, 2015 12:11 AM Flag

    Seems to me that of the 70ish mil shares actually available to be traded and if 18 mil of those are owned by insiders, we're likely looking at a complete turnover of ownership of the remaining available float or a lot of stock borrowing taking place over the past two weeks. It has got to have a broad effect on price fluctuations as more of these new positions become investor long term holdings. I sense a lot of upside volatility is in the wind as stock availability gets more scarce..

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Reversal @ $1 - $1.30

    by wicked_bigblock_502 Jul 27, 2015 4:24 PM
    jefffeatherson jefffeatherson Jul 27, 2015 6:53 PM Flag

    I believe all technicals are out the window on this. And, of course, there are no fundamentals to value either. It's unlikely that a fund would enter into a sizable investment and own warrants just to get a few cents on a trade. It's more likely that if the stock moves to $3 or 4.00, that they might short against the box and look for a down dip to cover, but I doubt they would exercise and sell this early. If they own warrants, it's most likely they weren't acquired for a trading opportunity.
    The last leg up to $.47 laid the groundwork for this leg to reach $.60-.65, after it retreated 30%. Obviously, its done that and then some. Blowing out the technical top puts it into a no-man's land.
    I believe the volume tells the story as it is just now buying the stock's story. There is significant base building taking place as ownership rapidly changes hands.
    If one has been in the market for any number of years, throw away your tables of experience as this stock will rapidly respond to any favorable news. Day trading to shave a few cents might be okay, as long as you stay on the bull side of the trade. Shorting could cause a big injury without stops in place.
    Hyperbolic moves in individual stocks can often lead to huge sell offs, as we witnessed in the tech market back in 2000. No one envisioned an end in sight and gurus were erroneously touting sales rather than earnings. But this is different- and it is the same!
    There are no earnings. As a result, there really is no way to validate "value". The only reason to acquire and hold positions are its published merits both in the field of Epilepsy control and now the cognitive improvements and Alzheimer regression being demonstrated.
    Most investors are greedy and get scared if their stocks run up, that they might lose their profit. So they sell and bank a profit. With AVXL, the profit 'potential' is the driving factor and because it is, picking an exit price isn't an easy decision. Movement is tied to 'good news' expectations.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • jefffeatherson jefffeatherson Jul 23, 2015 10:36 AM Flag

    ctixers- what is real low-down on patent issues?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • jefffeatherson jefffeatherson Jul 3, 2015 12:16 PM Flag

    George- I'm long term-long as I believe in the facts as we've seen them- offering a gigantic upside. One thing bothers me a bit, however, is in the Yahoo stats, they report AVXL has only four employees. The good news is that provides for a very light payroll and cash burn. On the other hand, how are they doing their research as a company, with virtually no substantial bevy of researchers? I could speculate about outsourcing, but you seem to have a pretty good handle on facts. Any thoughts? Thx jf

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to


    by bengie2 Jun 23, 2015 12:11 PM
    jefffeatherson jefffeatherson Jun 23, 2015 12:30 PM Flag

    High-risk candidates are "speculations", not "investments". Measure your monetary risk amount as you would if you were going to Vegas. Measure the upside "reward' potential by evaluating the board members, market potential, previous demonstrated efficiencies, and the influx of a reasonable recent $400,000 inflow from an informed lender! I've seen many "sponsored" hyped stocks that bellied up. They had no substance, assets or management. You can't have read what's available on AVXL and put it into that same scam category. If nothing else- view the preliminary results they are having with improving treatments on the several forms of epilepsy. At this point, I believe they demonstrate pretty good credibility as a company and have an immeasurable upside potential. It's an easy multiple return for a mid-term hold with an even far greater potential for a longer view.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Alzheimers vs. cancer as investment options...

    by ctixers May 24, 2015 10:28 AM
    jefffeatherson jefffeatherson May 27, 2015 6:58 PM Flag

    ctix- you seem to have a pretty good insight, perhaps you could speculate a bit for me. I believe it's a foregone conclusion that the Anavex treatment will show a positive beneficial effect on AZ. My question is two-fold. If our combined treatment can possibly reverse the AZ progress, does this give us insight as to how the disease is initially started and, perhaps, creates a breeding ground for a possible solution for an earlier positive diagnosis and preventative treatment? The second question is in regard to the likelihood for ongoing treatment, once there is a noted reversal. It would appear that in the examples of the Epilepsy models discussed, there appears a strong indication for preventative application usages. Logically, how would one correlate and differentiate between reversal and preventative applications for treating AZ, based on what has been revealed?
    It strikes me that the preventative drug market may be open to a plethora of possible additional drug combinations that could achieve the required stimulating effect? Thanks for posting your thoughts! jf

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to


    by rkd196155 May 27, 2015 4:20 PM
    jefffeatherson jefffeatherson May 27, 2015 5:53 PM Flag

    Actually- we never say never. For instance, let's say you're a hypothetical investor who recently bought 1,000,000 shares of AVXL for 18 cents from the company and were given an additional 1,000,000 warrants at no cost as an inducement, but exercisable at 25 cents! If you short a 1,000,000 shares at 43 cents (secured by your warrants), you've insured your initial investment and still have a 1,000,000 share equity position with a zero cost, a risk free open position! Not a bad strategy at all:). jf

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Hey guys question about where to trade AVXL?

    by jeter218 May 7, 2015 2:24 PM
    jefffeatherson jefffeatherson May 7, 2015 6:27 PM Flag

    TD Ameritrade

    Sentiment: Buy

1.10+0.05(+4.76%)Jul 31 4:00 PMEDT