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Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd. Message Board

jeffreybul23 46 posts  |  Last Activity: Nov 17, 2014 7:36 AM Member since: May 16, 2009
  • They will either announce earnings, and/or announcement of earnings date by end of the week. I'm hoping that they beat their loss estimates, even if by a penny. The most important item would be an update on HK listing. Can't stay in "review" forever.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    No News, No Volume.....

    by jeffreybul23 Nov 14, 2014 12:31 PM
    jeffreybul23 jeffreybul23 Nov 17, 2014 7:33 AM Flag

    Whenever there is any kind of news, this stock is very volatile, so there is volume to justify buybacks. They also can set a higher price, for more shares.

    The other day someone put in an order for $2.24, so all Limit order priced shares purchased up to that price were bought.

    About a month ago, someone put in an order for 80k shares, with high purchase price, so anyone with a Limit order to sell under that price, were bought by them.

    The current volume would not determine shares bought. Anyone can buy 1k, 10k, 100k, 1 million shares if they set a high enough price, and enough Limit sell orders to "justify the paperwork".

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • jeffreybul23 by jeffreybul23 Nov 14, 2014 12:31 PM Flag

    Until they announce something good, positive earnings, that they are expanding their buyback program, HK listing is finalized, etc.....

    This is a very volatile stock, so one piece of good news will shoot share price up to $3.00, and more than 1 good announcement, above $4.00 a share.

    My selling point would be $6.00+, as I think they can get there with the HK listing in place. They do have a buyback program in place, buying back slowly, and with another billion investors able to buy shares, supply and demand will mean a higher stock price.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • jeffreybul23 jeffreybul23 Nov 14, 2014 12:27 PM Flag

    Yeah, they are annoying. You can report them as spam, and/or hit the ignore button. That's what I do.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Considering that they are projecting earnings each quarter for the next year, and Book Value is already above $6.00+

    My 1 Year Target $6.00+

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • jeffreybul23 by jeffreybul23 Nov 14, 2014 9:18 AM Flag

    Could happen $2.12+, especially since Book Value exceeds $6.00+

    If no today, by end of next week!!!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Share price should automatically be above cash per share $2.00+

    However, worth at least $4.00+, which is still under $6.00+ book value.

    Best case, share price is $6.00+ a share, which should hopefully be share price over next 52 weeks.

    They are projecting positive earnings over next 12 months, so "Cash per share", and "Book Value" will both increase quarterly.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • jeffreybul23 by jeffreybul23 Nov 14, 2014 7:49 AM Flag

    Why no dividend, and/or buybacks? They are projecting a profit every quarter, which means they could use the whole $53 million to increase shareholder value.

    Issue a $.10 quarterly dividend, and/or use half the cash for a buyback, which could potentially buyback "EVERY" floating share, if share price stayed under $1.00.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Will The Bull Start Running Again

    by tradelogic2001 Nov 13, 2014 9:04 AM
    jeffreybul23 jeffreybul23 Nov 13, 2014 9:31 AM Flag

    I'd love to see $2.00 again, and it is more than likely.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Management!!!

    As long as the share price is under book value, you should be purchasing shares. Current Market Cap is $17 million. Announce a $17 million buyback program, and if share price were to stay under $1.00, you could potentially cut shares in half, increasing book value, EPS, reduce dividend expense, and another 100+ positives to share price/stock holders value.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    KABOOM

    by realdutch01 Nov 13, 2014 7:31 AM
    jeffreybul23 jeffreybul23 Nov 13, 2014 7:50 AM Flag

    With book value over $10.00 a share, management is pretty stupid to not buy back shares as long as share price is under $5.00. Just an announcement if a modest $10 million buyback program would automatically make the share price $2.00+ a share short term, and $5.00+ long term.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    KABOOM

    by realdutch01 Nov 13, 2014 7:31 AM
    jeffreybul23 jeffreybul23 Nov 13, 2014 7:35 AM Flag

    Yes, only positives. If I had more cash to purchase shares, I'd set a buy order for $.99 to make sure I got all available shares under $1.00. They will not allow a delisting notice for share price under $1.00 for 90 days, so they will buy back shares $1.00+ to keep that from happening when needed, so any shares purchased under $1.00 are a guaranteed profit for investors.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • jeffreybul23 by jeffreybul23 Nov 13, 2014 7:32 AM Flag

    Profit, not a loss.
    Increase in cash, decrease in debts = higher book value.
    Positive outlook for 4th quarter.

    Again, they will not allow a delisting, as it costs too much to undue, so they will offer a buyback if/when share price stays under $1.00, as per Nasdaq rules.

    Any share purchased under $1.00 is a guaranteed investors profit. However, with a profit in Q4, and a stock buyback, $2.00+ a share within 6 months.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • The company had to pay fees/expenses to get out of the delisting last time, so they will not allow a delisting again. With Nasdaq rules, they need to stay above $1.00+ to not be delisted. They will issue a buyback program before another delisting.

    Share price is $.82, so with an announcement of buybacks, we'd see $1.00+ automatically, and most likely $1.50+ Earnings good, or bad tomorrow, a buyback is a definite to keep shares above $1.00+

    As long as shares are under $1.00, you are guaranteed to make something short term.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    did they bought back shares?

    by daicheng0722 Nov 11, 2014 12:38 PM
    jeffreybul23 jeffreybul23 Nov 11, 2014 12:45 PM Flag

    Yes, .63 million shares. They will continue to buyback modestly.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Assets - Liab. = 938 Million Company worth.

    Market Cap only 203 Million.

    Why did they only buy .63 million shares back? I guess it is better than nothing. If they can buyback .63 million every quarter, it would add up.

    Share price is less than 25% of book value. Keep buying back.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • jeffreybul23 by jeffreybul23 Nov 5, 2014 11:20 AM Flag

    If share price stays under $1.00, we will see "another" delisting letter. If it happens, share price under $.50 really fast.

  • Not good, but win rate was promising.

    Management, still awaiting HK listing announcement.

    I still think they will beat Q3 loss estimates. Even if by a penny. Definitely a long term play, and not a quick money maker. A company taking in billions in Revenue is not going to go away.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • jeffreybul23 by jeffreybul23 Nov 3, 2014 12:08 PM Flag

    Perfect time for management to buy more of those 4 million shares that they said they would.
    They have purchased 2+ million shares already, just waiting for them to buy the other 2 million shares they said they would.
    Share price is 1/2 the book value, so no time like now to buy back.

    Investors in "hold" mood until earnings, conference call, announcement of HK listing.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Week #1 of November, positive Rolling Chip Turnover numbers.
    Week #2, finish 4 million share buybacks, announce new 4 million shares to be bought back.
    Week #3, beat earnings estimates by at least $.01, with positive conference call.
    Week #4, announce HK listing finalization.

    Four weeks with positive news, share price $6.00+ a share.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

XIN
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