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Deckers Outdoor Corp. Message Board

jimmach123 48 posts  |  Last Activity: Jul 21, 2014 12:32 AM Member since: Aug 29, 2006
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  • jimmach123 jimmach123 May 16, 2014 10:45 PM Flag

    Yeah, looking to see a small rise monday above 80 and sell the weekly 81s or 80 if it does not move much. Expect this will keep a 77-82 range for a while.

    Even .70-.90/week is worth it in the long run. 3-4%/month is nothing to wince at...

  • jimmach123 by jimmach123 May 15, 2014 10:18 AM Flag

    It does not matter what the cash flow is, or the cash on the books, or even the next ER as long as it is not a bigger loss than expected. This thing normally has a little run into MAY, then it falls in JUN, regains in JUL only to fall again at the ER, and then it regroups and climbs again in the fall/winter. This is dead money for the next 6 months outside the options premium. So basically this is going to keep moving between 76 and 82. Simple move is to buy at the dip and let it roll. The one thing about this stock is that it is basically a one trick pony...a warm winter and this is toast - does not matter how management tries to sell it - UGGS will still sell, but sales will be lighter.

  • Reply to

    Just 44,000 shares doing this much damage

    by uggs8788 May 15, 2014 10:05 AM
    jimmach123 jimmach123 May 15, 2014 10:12 AM Flag

    Not ridiculous..buyers want it cheaper, sellers departing. This stock is ridiculous as is the idea of this ever re-breaking 100.

  • jimmach123 jimmach123 May 15, 2014 9:48 AM Flag

    Yeap, or just buy and sell ITM covered calls once it hits this price. my 80s are going to expire worthless tomorrow.

  • Reply to

    No reason an additional 300M buyback

    by uggs8788 May 14, 2014 1:12 PM
    jimmach123 jimmach123 May 14, 2014 2:37 PM Flag

    Still using this as your blog for your life...pathetic. You act like a guru but you are not - this stock has been dancing between 72-90 for the past 6-8 months. The only real money made on it has been through trading in buying on the dips and selling covered calls. Otherwise this thing has literally done nothing. And you know what? It is not going anywhere no matter how many times you spout off about the cash on hand, the buyback options, or collusion. You can do nothing from your pitiful little blog but post garbage everyday. Your couple hundred shares mean nothing in the grand scheme of things - you are not rich and never will be. Your price targets have all been wrong, have counted chickens before they hatched, and basically you are nothing but a pom-pom wielding cheerleader. Just stop, take a second to look around your parents basement, and realize how deplorable you are...we all know it, but maybe it is time you face reality.

  • jimmach123 jimmach123 May 11, 2014 10:27 AM Flag

    I would actually agree - the money to be made on this is with the selling of the options - as I have said before, covered calls are very profitable on this. Thinking about grabbing 1000 shares tomorrow and selling the weekly either at the money or just in the money. But then again I am unemotional on this style of trading - I don't mind the stock being called away and it is an easy way to make 1-2%/week.

  • jimmach123 jimmach123 May 7, 2014 10:41 AM Flag

    Technically no stock has a bottom until 0. Would not be surprised to see a very ho-hum ER with low digit growth and a ST range of 85-100. Anyone with half a brain would have sold long positions in the 120s or shorted as it moved on hope/squeeze movement.

    I am short covered calls on shares. Will resell calls if it falls under my strike prices.

  • Reply to

    SBUX will NOT buy SODA

    by wwtimewarp2000 May 1, 2014 1:45 PM
    jimmach123 jimmach123 May 4, 2014 7:37 AM Flag

    So based upon this, a short-term trader with no emotion to the stock should look to buy shares and sell the covered call ~15% ITM at the 75-80 strike? The premium still profits 1.5-2% and should cover potential price drops. If buying here at say 90.60, you could sell the 80 strike for ~$12-12.50 for the week. I would personally wait until Wed afternoon to execute this trade as the stock could move in either direction prior and I would also like to maximize premium IV. This worked extremely well with TWTR this past week and several others I have played where margin of safety remains important. TSLA is another contender for this strategy, but could prove more volatile than either GMCR or TWTR.

    Just a thought for the short-term trade where you don't care if you retain the shares.

DECK
84.12+0.30(+0.36%)Jul 22 4:01 PMEDT

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