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CenturyLink, Inc. Message Board

jj27713 92 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 18, 2014 8:49 AM Member since: Jan 11, 1999
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  • jj27713 jj27713 Apr 18, 2014 8:49 AM Flag

    awallejr,
    I think that you have a very sound investment philosophy...maybe because it's similar to mine!
    Sock prices go up and they go down. You can drive yourself crazy if this is all one focuses on. I prefer to dream of the time that I can amass a dividend stream of 75 - 100K a year so that I could weather any downturn in the economy/retirement/house purchase that might come along without having to fret about the future. So I continue to look for long-term, good dividend payers that I can accumulate and reinvest in over the years. With a working list of about 15 stocks, I have ample opportunities to find pullbacks in any of them from time to time thereby letting me accumulate only those that are the best value at the moment.
    SDRL is one of these stocks. It's price can vary widely depending on their current debt, day rates, utilization, the price of oil, the supply demand picture, etc. But SDRL will be around for a long while, oil will always be needed, the demand for oil is growing and reinvesting the dividends accumulates a lot more stock quickly. What more could anyone want for a long term investment?
    BTW, I was surprised that my bank looked quite favorably on my income stream as opposed to just my equity portfolio. They said that a big economic downturn that reduced my equity value by 25% would only reduce my dividend stream by only 7-10%...something that helps assure them that any loan I took out could still be paid.
    Happy accumulating!

  • jj27713 jj27713 Apr 17, 2014 8:11 PM Flag

    In many ways you and I think alike. I retired at 46 and have made more money than I thought I ever would since the 2008 crash, too. I am now 61. I believe that solar will power the bulk of our power needs in the end. Wind, I'm not so sure, though I tried to make many business cases for wind to hydrogen in the past, mostly unsuccessfully. You have seen me state that hydrogen may very well be the fuel of choice in the long term for motive transportation, but I think it will be a long time...longer than you...certainly longer than redshoe, before its time will come for the masses. Lithium batteries have come a very long way since the eighties. Don't count them out as 'stale' as there are a great number of tech improvements currently in the lab. The next ten years should bring huge improvements in energy and power density. The stories of the future potential of stored electrical systems (no pun intended) still surprises me today.
    I stated that you were calling naysayers bashers and that you were not giving enough credence to the challenging technologies to the fuel cell story. I still think that is true of most of the' pumpers' on this board. After all, if FC's were the 'answer', why are there so many competing technologies being heavily invested in right now? I think it is because the very smart automobile engineers are of very mixed opinions about what may a dominant technology be 10 years down the road.
    You and I think FC's have a decent chance to lock up the future. You a shorter time frame and me a longer time frame. BTW, I still think global climate change is among the least of a very large list of much more serious threats to humanity's well-being and happiness.

    Regards,

    JJ

  • jj27713 jj27713 Apr 17, 2014 4:30 PM Flag

    It WAS a decent post, wasn't it? The first one I've seen from jaketen2001 in a long time.
    Good for you Jake.

  • jj27713 jj27713 Apr 17, 2014 3:59 PM Flag

    Moreon,
    I think you see gremlins behind every rock. If you don't pay attention to your competition in a variety of other areas and try to weigh the risks of a new technology in a fossil fuel entrenched society, you will never be a good investor because you will never be able to see the entire picture.
    You can create all sorts of strawmen and you can puff out your chest with all this blustering about 'bashers', but it is just your fear of not knowing the big picture and how it might affect your investment.
    You talk about 'bashers' yet you forget the other side of the issue...all the hypers and pumpers of this stock. Are they not also paid for by those that want to draw attention to the new technologies? Do you not 'bash' those who would talk about fossil fuels and traditional technologies? You are sounding very hypocritical about the whole thing.
    Take off your blinders and try to become a well-rounded individual investor and a decent human being that can converse with others on a non-attitudinal basis...

  • Reply to

    Looking forward to the divy announcement

    by jaime9_2000 Apr 16, 2014 9:11 PM
    jj27713 jj27713 Apr 17, 2014 9:27 AM Flag

    You might want to take a look at the latest Motley Fool take on CLMT for some additional info...

  • Reply to

    Is CIM too High To Buy At these Levels?

    by s.eranger Apr 16, 2014 12:32 PM
    jj27713 jj27713 Apr 17, 2014 9:16 AM Flag

    CIM does have a range and occasionally dipped to the $3.05 level in recent months. There is a growing feeling that there will be a market pullback this summer and CIM may pull back a little bit with it if you are willing to wait and see. With yesterday's announcement of a $3.24 book value, however, this may be as good a time as any to get in...

  • Nissan will enlarge its battery pack to allow for a 135 mile useable range up from the current 78 mile range by the end of 2014. It says the EV market is here to stay. This will result in other EV makers to increase their EV ranges to match the Leaf by 2015.
    Nissan has plans to increase the range of the EV by approximately 50 miles every 2-3 years as new battery technology progresses. Nissan is also about to introduce a new PHEV in 2016.

  • Reply to

    VW looking to next generation Lithium battery

    by jj27713 Apr 16, 2014 9:31 AM
    jj27713 jj27713 Apr 16, 2014 10:06 PM Flag

    It is. They are talking four years to production.

  • Reply to

    Trolls and idiots

    by blueflamedave Apr 13, 2014 10:34 PM
    jj27713 jj27713 Apr 16, 2014 2:06 PM Flag

    You are still wrong, red. You misinterpreted my statement, too. I will clear this up for you. I won't breakeven unless I sell above about $5.30. I'm still long 8000 shares and I still hope the BLDP succeeds so that I can be 'wildly' rich!
    Hopefully this helps.

  • Reply to

    Trolls and idiots

    by blueflamedave Apr 13, 2014 10:34 PM
    jj27713 jj27713 Apr 16, 2014 12:07 PM Flag

    I still have faith in you red...that someday your will actually morph into a decent human being.

  • Reply to

    NMM is the gift that keeps on giving :-)

    by tradingexpert4me Apr 15, 2014 8:51 AM
    jj27713 jj27713 Apr 16, 2014 11:53 AM Flag

    Given that the general consensus is that 2014 and 2015 are supposed to be quite good for shipping volume, this should be a good stock to hold and reinvest into for many quarters to come.

  • Reply to

    Trolls and idiots

    by blueflamedave Apr 13, 2014 10:34 PM
    jj27713 jj27713 Apr 16, 2014 10:16 AM Flag

    levy,
    I never said any such thing and you know it. It is a poor attempt at interpreting on your part, but a good attempt on making yourself look childish.
    Natural disasters happen due to the natural laws of the physical universe in motion...period. What I detest is people manipulating data in an attempt to push an agenda that isn't happening otherwise. Why would you find this acceptable, anyway? Are you fully aware that there is precious little evidence of AGW? All the 'facts' you hear simply can't be backed up by real world data? It is 99% hype, emotion and innuendo. If funding for 'global climate change' disappeared you wouldn't hear another thing about it.
    I am all for reducing pollution. I have never said otherwise. I live quite frugally as much as I can. But pollution of some kind is always a byproduct of consuming energy and altering matter from one form to another. You can't escape it entirely...period.

  • It has been confirmed that Volkswagen is working on a powerful new battery for its EV fleet. Speaking at the Geneva Motor Show, Dr. Heinz-Jakob Neusser said that “an 80kWh unit is under development using our own technology. It would provide between three and four times the battery power in a given package.” This means that a battery of equivalent physical size to that used in the new 2015 Volkswagen e-Golf could hold the amount of energy in a top-end Tesla Model S.
    Our system’s practical energy density is more than 300 Wh/kg,” Nobuyuki Imanishi, PhD stated. “That’s in contrast to the energy density of a commercial lithium-ion battery, which is far lower, only around 150 Wh/kg.
    ----------------------------
    This new battery doubles the range of current Li-Ion batteries, lowers the mass and is purported to be much less susceptible to thermal recharging issues. 3.5 million new EV's will be added to the world-wide fleet this year. This just serves to moderate the hype that FC's are the only solution to motive transportation systems...

  • Reply to

    Trolls and idiots

    by blueflamedave Apr 13, 2014 10:34 PM
    jj27713 jj27713 Apr 15, 2014 2:17 PM Flag

    Red,

    Instead of falsely accusing every non-pumper on the board of your trumped up personal attacks, shouldn't you be providing more cut-and-paste articles for the masses? Haven't you seen what's happening to the stock price in the last few weeks? Come on, son! Get crackin'!

  • Reply to

    Trolls and idiots

    by blueflamedave Apr 13, 2014 10:34 PM
    jj27713 jj27713 Apr 15, 2014 2:13 PM Flag

    Cooling? No. If you take away all the cooked data adjustments from NASA et.al. there hasn't been any significant heating or cooling in a hundred years. We have warmed up about a degree C from the Little Ice Age, but no-one knows whether we will continue to warm, level off or fall from here with any certainty at all. Are you still believing the global warming story? Do you put your faith in the measured data or the ever over predicting model output?

  • Reply to

    tomorrow going to $4.40

    by good_2_b_me69 Apr 14, 2014 6:41 PM
    jj27713 jj27713 Apr 15, 2014 1:48 PM Flag

    Ooops...

  • jj27713 by jj27713 Apr 10, 2014 1:07 PM Flag

    One thing I must say about this stock. It is a bastion of stability. I have been accumulating this stock for 5 years. My cost basis is $3.17 per share, but the dividend flow has been quite good, reasonably stable and nearly stress-less.
    Today, a strong down day in the market, and CIM is flat to up. I think this kind of stock has a very important role to play in an investors balanced portfolio.

  • Reply to

    World output of......

    by rz400 Apr 8, 2014 7:28 PM
    jj27713 jj27713 Apr 9, 2014 7:35 AM Flag

    Again, the actual weight of lithium is only a few pounds. The rest is the weight of cobalt/manganese/titanium, chemical binders, anode/cathode materials, plastic cell encapsulation, battery holders, cooling apparatus, battery pack casing, wires, etc.
    Yes, the entire system is a significant weight fraction of the car itself. I drove a new Altima and a new Altima hybrid. The hybrid weighed ~400 lbs more, but delivered 30 percent better fuel economy and clearly out accelerated the non hybrid. Batteries make a huge difference in saving fuel despite their weight disadvantage.
    Lithium is good.

    JJ

  • Reply to

    They don't bash do they

    by redshoe77 Apr 7, 2014 11:53 PM
    jj27713 jj27713 Apr 9, 2014 7:15 AM Flag

    red,
    You don't seem to understand the issue. The global warming 'game' has been theorized and 'played' for over a century. Scientists have said its real and scientists have said its not real and scientists have said global cooling was real...and not real. Scientists have said the sun is a factor, that volcanoes are a factor, that land use was a factor, that CO2 was a factor, that residual heat from energy production was a factor. And yet, there are scientists that dispute some or all of these claims.
    The IPCC and the UN have jumped on the bandwagon as they see this as a golden opportunity to continue in their quest to form a one world governance council AND to reap in the billions of dollars in fees. fines and research money. So far the total 'take' has been almost 2 trillion dollars.
    What you refuse to believe( directly because you refuse to do any critical thinking or analysis) is that most of what you hear about CO2 and global warming/weather/climate change/disruption/weirding has no actual basis in actual fact or actual results. It is all emotional statements or outputs of climate models or outright misrepresentations of the truth. The IPCC has lost several reputable scientists that have complained that the IPCC is not reporting the truth about climate change and are really in a bind as to why the weather reality is not matching the published hype.
    Remember, red, these scientists and quasi governmental bodies have staked their reputations, yes the very money that provide food on their table, on believing/pronoting horror stories of CO2 and climate change and now they are in a huge bind. The climate is not agreeing with them. In fact most everything predicted is not manifesting itself. You, red, are in exactly the same bind. Very little is actually working in your favor. Man's influence is very likely minimal with the vast driver being the sun...period.
    So what are you going to do? Continue to push a losing position? Or bow to the facts?

    JJ

  • Reply to

    World output of......

    by rz400 Apr 8, 2014 7:28 PM
    jj27713 jj27713 Apr 9, 2014 6:47 AM Flag

    rz,
    Actually the 400 lbs is the weight of the battery pack itself. The actual amount of lithium (as lithium carbonate) is much closer to 2-5 kgs depending on the vehicle. That will satisfy ~4-8 million EV's per year which is what some industry experts are predicting will be sold by 2020 annually.
    Though only 3% of the lithium is currently recycled, there are plans to recycle lithium at up to 95% making it renewable even though limited in annual supply at the moment. There are many prototype batteries that are showing promise of a much higher energy density some of which are lithium and some of which are not. Lithium is not a dead end approach to batteries at the moment and may never be.

    JJ

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