you gotta be kidding!
and I have been at this for over 35 years, so, I've been around the block a few times more than you -- both in the West and the East. Zai jian / Bai bai la (shenmo dou keyi). click!
I am smart, too....(ni wangbadan). One would have to be stupid to make any bet, regardless of size, with hot air posting on the internet. click.
obviously, as someone who just became a member in March 2015, you are the one that is a "new starter." Perhaps you need to replace your research consultants because I guarantee you they are never and can never be right all, or even most of the time. You are relying on the wrong factor, i.e., average daily production -- it is a NEW environment with new variables: look to the US$ for direction for the forseeable future, then you can re-assess thereafter.
Bank of America Paid $315 Million to Settle With Banks Over Ocala Losses
US cannot raise interest rates in the environment in which the entire rest of the world is lowering interest rates -- let's face it, the US economic prowess is simply not what it used to be: formidable, yes, but in a bullying position or other position of strength vs. China and the rest of the world which is lowering rates -- not any more. Times have changed.