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Exelixis, Inc. Message Board

joeflow77 4 posts  |  Last Activity: Jun 26, 2014 9:53 PM Member since: Aug 31, 2007
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  • joeflow77 joeflow77 Jun 26, 2014 9:53 PM Flag

    the big one, right?

  • Reply to

    what price per share makes bots disappear?

    by joeflow77 Jun 25, 2014 8:47 PM
    joeflow77 joeflow77 Jun 25, 2014 11:07 PM Flag

    Hi ff,
    I am right there with you after ~ 5yrs (avg. @ ~ $4). I actually bought more around $3.50+ before most recent crash to bring avg. to just about $4. Never thought it would go under $3 much less $2. But here we are. Hard to know what future brings due to legal baloney but I still like our chances to make a bundle.

    I've been lucky because I also loaded up on ARIA over the years, esp. when it was under $2. Started selling when it got to $12 and used some of proceeds to buy HUGE into EXEL. I always liked EXEL much more than ARIA and still think they have best chance to pull off at least a 5-fold over current prices. I tripled my money on ARIA and, unfortunately, still hold ~60% of my shares. I should have sold more when they were in $20s but didn't need the money and got greedy - never again. I wish ARIA would come close to $10 and I'd sell and buy more EXEL. I'll start selling SQNM once it hit's $8-10 (if it hits). If I can get a double on 25-30% of my SQNM shares I'll take it and see how this plays out. I can't imagine how they could be bought out for less than $12 if they survive the legal nonsense.

    I'm tempted to borrow money to buy more EXEL even now. Anything under $4 is stealing.
    For me gambling in biotech is all about patience, averaging down and believing in the science/technology. Sounds like you have a similar strategy. Besides ARIA, I hit big on Medarex, but profits should have been higher - inside deal with management and BMY keep price down. I've made a lot of mistakes and suffered significant losses as I learned more about this game but I'm way ahead.

    take care, hope to see you around and best of luck on all you do.

  • I'm betting they stick around until this puppy gets well over $5. Won't be long.
    Maybe some dramatic event will hasten their departure.

  • joeflow77 joeflow77 Jun 24, 2014 9:43 PM Flag

    currently working with BigPharm (not BMY) with successful immunotherapeutic that has placed tons of resources (read $$$$$) into strategies for combination therapies, including small molecule kinase inhibitors. Possible angles into vaccine approach but with much lower priority and not considering CARs at all. It's pretty clear that for maximum efficacy, combinatorial approach is best shot of success and has to be with targeted therapies known to be driving individual patient's disease.

    keep up all the good work, esp. keeping idiot bashers in their place. too busy to participate with any regularity - relocated and swamped with exciting new opportunities.


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