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American Capital Agency Corp. Message Board

joetong419 504 posts  |  Last Activity: 9 hours ago Member since: Mar 9, 2006
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  • Reply to

    Anybody buying?

    by kingsterxx Oct 2, 2015 12:50 PM
    joetong419 joetong419 9 hours ago Flag

    Just wondering if you sold your position for a quick profit (bought at 18.xx - ?).
    If not, you can hold for the dividend as it goes ex 10/13/15.
    Like you mentioned CNSL has wild swings and trading near its 52-week lows.
    Better buy is SHEN as it trades near its 52-week highs.
    Both companies bought smaller companies recently (or going to).
    Buy on the dips and sell on the bounce for many.

  • Reply to

    Huge Short Positions

    by sjohnmangel49 Oct 6, 2015 10:02 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 10 hours ago Flag

    XPO was/is considered a momentum stock to the upside/downside.
    Went up (way overbought) and went down (way oversold).
    Now, with the market bounce, how much higher before the reversal.
    If XPO can hold over 30, could go 35-38.
    Earnings perception will either take it higher or lower (still eps in negative but revenue exceeds).
    Us individual investors have to ride the coattails of the big boys.
    GLTA long/short

  • Reply to

    This is some roller coaster

    by chickeneyedhorsedog Oct 7, 2015 9:14 PM
    joetong419 joetong419 Oct 8, 2015 12:18 PM Flag

    Look forward to 2016 to estimate where XPO should trade higher as markets recover.
    Have any estimate projections - I would say it returns to low 40s.
    If all the companies XPO bought and works out well, maybe it trades over 50.
    My guess XPO has seen its lows at 21 as many have already dumped.
    Care to nibble XPO under 30?

  • Reply to

    Commodity prices

    by db2dude Aug 7, 2015 1:36 PM
    joetong419 joetong419 Oct 8, 2015 11:37 AM Flag

    News on Cargill positive earnings should trickle down to ADM and BG (most likely).
    What dos that do to ADM when its eps released - share return to range 48-53 (before or after).
    With market pullback, ADM and other stocks off its 52-week highs.
    Looking forward to 2016 and beyond, ADM should be trading over 60 one day.
    However, I prefer BG as it has more potential higher price target 90-100 from 70s

  • Reply to

    Sure Hopes

    by meteorbyte Aug 19, 2015 4:27 PM
    joetong419 joetong419 Oct 7, 2015 3:35 PM Flag

    Looking forward to 2016 when oil price should go higher,
    MUR should also follow.
    Many say many oil stocks like MUR got oversold in low mid 20s.
    If no bounce into the low 40s in 2016, larger companies waiting on the sidelines to scoop at a low-ball price.
    Good risk/reward for MUR stock price under 30 IMO

  • Reply to

    Big Guys will step in here - just watch

    by basicknowledge Oct 7, 2015 9:41 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 Oct 7, 2015 9:51 AM Flag

    For now, "Big Guys" are dumping.
    Marketmaker has to step in to keep YUM above 52-week low (above 65?)
    Probably just a bounce 2 to 3 bucks tomorrow.
    Blame it on many outlets in China for earnings.

  • joetong419 joetong419 Oct 6, 2015 3:10 PM Flag

    More than likely RAX will be sold at a lower price than $50.
    The better option is RAX have to slowly rise back to 50 (if that is possible).
    Boy did RAX get oversold or the marketmaker let it side over over 50 to under 25 (more than 50%).
    Look for 2016 for better results

  • Reply to

    placed a buy order at $70

    by johnrobert1964 Sep 15, 2015 11:06 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 Oct 5, 2015 9:09 AM Flag

    Assuming 67-70 is the lows for BG, how high will stock price go before reversal.
    Next earnings should give a clue if there is a bounce later this month.
    There's a pullback and almost all stocks near its 52-week lows, BG no exception.
    Many who bought at 70 will sell at 75...but if you are holding, in 2016 could see recovery 80-85 (maybe)

  • joetong419 joetong419 Sep 18, 2015 3:43 PM Flag

    The big question is how low will HHC go in this corrective market.
    My guess is wil hold above 100.
    Whose driving down the price - institutions?
    Most likely since they are the ones responsible for driving the price higher.
    Hold, pray, and/or buy more, waiting for the bounce back to 140-180 some day in 2016.

  • Reply to

    Abbvie Acquisition or buy out?

    by recombinantman Sep 18, 2015 11:30 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 Sep 18, 2015 12:26 PM Flag

    Earlier this year ABBV bought Pharmacyclics for over $21B - therefore, unlikely to buy another mega billion company IMO so soon. I give it a 5% probability of this happening.

    In some situations there are rumors of a mega pharma mergers feelers for ABBV and others like BMY.

    No one has stepped up to the plate yet, but likely before year-end 2015.

    Hold ABBV for the dividend.

    If market correction continues almost all stocks go lower, ABBV included.

    Should market go flat to higher, ABBV should see 80+ in 2016 with good eps and products down the pipeline.

  • Reply to

    GILD technical

    by med_investor Sep 17, 2015 12:15 PM
    joetong419 joetong419 Sep 17, 2015 3:14 PM Flag

    Information only good for the day traders next 1-5 days.
    I'm more interested on GILD high or low before the end of 12/31/15.
    Assume a recovery market higher, then GILD should also go over 120.
    Better yet, waiting for reaction on the mega-company GILD will buy if Wall St reacts positive or negative.

  • Reply to

    Even a….

    by inv.muller Sep 11, 2015 4:08 PM
    joetong419 joetong419 Sep 16, 2015 11:00 AM Flag

    Timing is everything as the saying goes.
    Just wondering when you bought your FARM shares $6.50-$9,00 range.
    Must have been only the last 5 years when its stock traded at its lows in 2012 instead of 8 years ago when it traded over 20.
    Forward looking, maybe the move to TX and change of scenery will help its stock price higher.
    There are always vultures out there also looking for bargains like FARM.
    Small cap and doesn't trade that many shares.

  • joetong419 by joetong419 Sep 15, 2015 12:03 PM Flag

    Come Thursday 9/17 after 2 PM FEDS will decide to increase rates by 1/4% or not raise.
    Many incline to believe a rate hike will result in trading on the downside.
    No rate increase can also result in the downside (rates will rise before 12/31/15 ends).
    Positive forward-statements will have the impact of higher markets.
    Looking for SSO to recover to 60-65 before year-end.
    Whatever, what a way to close 2015 #$%$&P500 flat to lower unless Christmas comes early.

  • joetong419 joetong419 Sep 15, 2015 11:34 AM Flag

    Many waiting to see the next GILD purchase and will react by sending its share price higher or lower.
    Company GILD purchase should result in new drugs approval by FDA...
    Market correction, slower revenue growth can push share price lower as it is perceived now from high of 123.
    No guarantees in life.

  • joetong419 joetong419 Sep 15, 2015 11:20 AM Flag

    You must be a short-term trader...
    By end of 12/31/15 AGN could be higher or lower than 300.
    AGN under 300 if market correction continues.
    If market correction over AGN could see higher price 350-400.
    Many other issues working in the background...AGN to get bigger by buying key companies, or AGN to get offer to be purchased and higher stock price.
    Best way to go is buy at lower share prices, hold and wait for appreciation.
    Doesn't work for all stocks but should for AGN with Saunders in control.

  • joetong419 joetong419 Sep 11, 2015 4:02 PM Flag

    No rush...why Monday?
    Before the end of the year 12/31/15

  • joetong419 by joetong419 Sep 11, 2015 2:21 PM Flag

    there was a run-up in price with the first dividend to 119;
    next week it made the 52-week high of 123.
    Then came the market pullback and now GILD trading about 15 bucks lower from highs.
    All waiting for GILD to say which company it will buy.
    If Wall St. likes the news, GILD stock goes higher (over 115?).
    A bad deal will obviously do the opposite.
    Company purchase should happen by 12/31/15.
    Stay tune

  • joetong419 by joetong419 Aug 27, 2015 4:09 PM Flag

    With oil trading near its low, MUR also follows.
    Oil prices trying to bounce off its lows and all oil-related stocks the same.
    Next several quarter earnings are in the red - are the chances div sustained, cut or eliminated?
    2016 2nd half of the year was projected higher oil prices 60-70 made earlier this year.
    This might be overly too high.
    Watching to see if MUR lows 26.xx has been made and a return to over 40 in 2016

  • Reply to

    Shady trady

    by zd_bar Aug 24, 2015 10:46 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 26, 2015 2:33 PM Flag

    Monday 8/24/15 was panic selling...get me out at the market price.
    However, the low VHT price of 91.31 went that low?
    Looking forward, wondering if there will be a repeat of 8/24/15 and VHT goes to, say 70s.
    This is one of the better long-term ETFs...short-term can have wild swings.
    The wiser decision is buy one dips and ride it out over the years?

  • Reply to

    XPO implied share price is currently $11 per share

    by ziippitty Aug 25, 2015 10:56 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 25, 2015 11:27 AM Flag

    Can you provide a time frame when you believe XPO will hit $11.
    With this massive correction the markets lately, I was surprised XPO didn't go down more to the 20s.
    Timing like you say is everything...some hold shorts for over 6 months before realizing the target price.
    XPO could easily have a bounce back to 40+...depending on this snapback rally.

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