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American Capital Agency Corp. Message Board

joetong419 120 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 21, 2014 1:13 PM Member since: Mar 9, 2006
  • Reply to

    and down it goes again

    by tlounsb2000 Aug 21, 2014 9:36 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 21, 2014 1:13 PM Flag

    IMMR stock price should be over 20...good reason to blame management.
    They got the right product but bad execution (always).
    Need someone to buy a large percentage of shares to make changes; or new management to increase shareholder value.
    Better yet, someone to buy this company at not a low-ball offer, but 18-20.
    Long-term shareholders back in 2000 still in the red.
    Share price in those boom-boom times over 60.
    Sad for current shareholders who bought last year at 13-14.

  • Reply to

    El Pollo LOWco

    by dpalmi1 Aug 20, 2014 9:40 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 20, 2014 9:46 AM Flag

    You don't have to wait "a couple of months".
    Low 20s most likely to occur next week.
    Then, short-covering occurs.
    You can then jump in and buy for a dead-chicken bounce (lol).
    Patience has its rewards.

  • joetong419 joetong419 Aug 19, 2014 1:28 PM Flag

    COTY backed out on RDEN purchase previously.

    You now own shares of RDEN under 15.00...can you give us your estimated take-out price for a company to buy RDEN. Buyer would not overpay and want it at lowest price possible, unlike phrama companies.

    How much lower can RDEN go is now an issue for the dead-cat bounce and upside potential.

  • joetong419 joetong419 Aug 19, 2014 12:17 PM Flag

    What's wrong with eating at LOCO? Be specific.
    Don't confuse decent tasty chicken and its stock price...don't always go hand-in-hand.
    Like many chicken outlet, the pieces are small at the going market price.
    Where can you get large pieces of chicken at fast food outlets?
    Same analogy with getting chicken at the supermarket...only Costco offers the biggest size at lowest price.
    Expansion won't result in LOCO turning a profit...stick with CMG stock price although high.
    Just my 2 cents.

  • Reply to

    $25 Buyout Announcement anytime now

    by drmlk3 Aug 19, 2014 10:13 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 19, 2014 10:22 AM Flag

    Who would pay $25 for a company with falling sales?
    Tops is $20 for some company with visions to turn around company.
    Obviously, current management team will have to be replaced.
    You won't find COTY coming back to make a bid.
    Can you predict RDEN low price...I give it a price range 12-13.
    Some predict single digits

  • momentum selling...market maker(s) trying their best for LOCO to stay over 30.

    Appears short-sellers will wind this one.

    Buy after the dead-cat bounce (if you know the low spring chicken bounce - pun intended).

    Look at 27-28 if that will hold.

  • joetong419 joetong419 Aug 14, 2014 10:30 AM Flag

    One day, it will probably happen like NDLS, down 20%.
    LOCO good stock to own at 22-28 range.
    If visions for LOCO to expand to all 50 states, with no cash issues, this is the next Mikki D.
    It was a good bedtime dream.
    All the good news already factored in LOCO...any negative stories will affect the stock price.

  • Reply to

    From a pretty smart guy

    by pc4me58 Aug 14, 2014 9:51 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 14, 2014 10:23 AM Flag

    Many times, you have to wait one day before the spike down over 20 percent (like today for NDLS).

    Barons published an article on overvalued NDLS explaining their logic, but didn't tank immediately.

    Now, might be good time to bottom fish NDLS, but only good for a couple of points on the upside, 19 to 21.

  • Reply to

    Buy... 4% dividend yield

    by auagboy Aug 13, 2014 12:44 PM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 13, 2014 12:49 PM Flag

    Dividend can be cut or eliminated - if it does, no support on the downside.
    You can dollar-cost average at lower price and wait for the bounce (some day).

  • makes for a good day-trade for a small bounce.
    Spiked down over 25% so far; good for a dead-cat bounce (lol).
    How about a 19 buy, sell at 20?
    Many expect SEAS going to 15 or lower...but not today.
    GL shorts to cover or let it ride more on the downside.
    Free those ORCA....

  • Reply to

    In case you haven't noticed

    by shortimer53 Aug 12, 2014 2:02 PM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 12, 2014 3:26 PM Flag

    $29 probably tells you down the road what's going to transpire;
    you'll get wild price swings, and most likely one-step forward 1.5 steps backwards.
    LOCO return to 41.xx will be a challenge; expecting 50-60: remote

  • Reply to

    Hang on

    by valueguyhp2002 Aug 12, 2014 9:44 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 12, 2014 10:14 AM Flag

    Part due to short covering, OMEX up about 20 percent;
    tomorrow will be of interest if this can continue or give back half its gains.
    After earnings report results wear off, current quarter of SS CA results lie in wake.

  • Reply to

    PPS tomorrow?

    by moneyrocket1 Aug 11, 2014 6:09 PM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 12, 2014 5:53 AM Flag

    Trade range between $1.00 and $1.50; close over $1.20;
    Will like to see OMEX go over $2, but will happen down the road...late 2014 or early 2015.
    Shorts like to see OMEX stay under $1.00 (good luck).

  • Reply to

    cc ...no cash problem

    by smaroy Aug 11, 2014 5:15 PM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 11, 2014 5:57 PM Flag

    That's the good news...however OMEX still trading near its 52-week lows.
    Barely over a US buck; and does not trade under $1;
    Everyone wants to know if 2014 will conclude the exploration finding, or all wait until 2015, 2016, etc.
    The mother of all gold treasures (if it is out there or just a tall-tale);
    OMEX potential of a better than expected find will bring price $2-$3.
    GLTA long and shorts (the ladder wish for bad news not there yet - lol)

  • joetong419 by joetong419 Aug 11, 2014 4:17 AM Flag

    the not-to-rosy story in Baron's cover page this week, probably has Z trading 10 to 20 percent lower (or 110-120 price range).. Or, maybe Barron's has no effect and Z goes to 160 (lol).
    Z has momentum work both ways...upside and to the downside, this time.
    No logic for Z to buy TRLA, other than to reduce the competition (note: all stock offer, no cash or combination cash/stock). TRLA will follow suit and trade in the mid-40s.
    Expecting Z to lose 1/2 its value to 70...appears extreme. If it happens a spike down.
    In the past Z traded 10 points lower, but recouped all loses the next several days and went higher.
    No repeat expected.
    GLTA long and shorts.

  • Reply to

    Lets play chicken shorty

    by elpollolocoboughtat20 Aug 8, 2014 3:10 PM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 8, 2014 3:22 PM Flag

    your projection for LOCO is...
    Headed to 100 shortly...before 12/31/14...
    Or, profit-taking back to a range of 25-30...
    Nice paper profits if you bought 5 shares at 20.

  • Reply to

    I do not understand this

    by asj1953 Aug 7, 2014 11:51 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 8, 2014 10:02 AM Flag

    You have held TRIB through thick and thin; TRIB did a reverse stock split in 2005, gone single digits after that, too.
    Reminds me of Forest Labs through the years making a round trip 35 to 90, back down to 35, before being bought by ACT near 100.
    The same might happen to TRIB down the road with a price target 35-45, assume FDA approval for new product is block-buster.
    Small caps result in the yo-yo game.
    Baron's article on TRIB still holds true, but stock price not a home-run (yet).

  • Reply to

    Seriously? 14%....

    by drugdealgonbad Jul 30, 2014 3:16 PM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 7, 2014 2:13 PM Flag

    BGFV 9.45 probably the 52-week low price in this corrective market.
    BGFV only will see 8.xx if market corrects another 8 percent or so.,,,investors dump all good and bad-earnings stocks; the ladder gets oversold.
    By end of year 12/31/14 BGFV should see 11-13 range if no dividend cut.
    Hold, buy more on the dips; and do some prayer (lol).
    Know how to play and win.

  • Reply to

    This is like musical chairs

    by guggerpaul Aug 7, 2014 10:04 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 7, 2014 10:26 AM Flag

    in the meantime, buyers enjoying the music while they can.
    Some expect LOCO 45-50 before the music stops (lol).
    It's like the internet bubble of 2000.
    Yes, all things come to an end sooner or later (in this case later).
    GL long and shorts

  • Reply to

    Net, .48 compared to .90 last year

    by whisperingpines1962 Aug 1, 2014 9:14 AM
    joetong419 joetong419 Aug 6, 2014 2:24 PM Flag

    How much longer is the wait for WMK to hit your target price of 39?

    WMK trying to make new 52-week low price but not going under 40.

    From peak of 54.xx to 42.xx is over a 20 percent drop...with a market correction taking place.

    WMK is not a Great A&P going Chapter 11...consolidation in supermarket taking place.
    WMK could go LBO at a low-ball offer, say 50.

AGNC
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