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Dynavax Technologies Corporation Message Board

john2webster 59 posts  |  Last Activity: 4 hours ago Member since: May 26, 2013
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  • john2webster john2webster 4 hours ago Flag

    Happy Easter!

  • Reply to

    Hoiw WIll Takeda's Fraud Conviction Affect Contrave?

    by oopally Apr 17, 2014 10:58 AM
    john2webster john2webster 9 hours ago Flag

    It wasn't a fraud conviction. It was a civil case (jury trial) which will obviously be appealed. It will have zero affect on June approval.

  • Reply to

    "above a certain threshold"

    by jfredrogo Apr 19, 2014 12:33 PM
    john2webster john2webster 10 hours ago Flag

    If you are above the threshold, you get 10 cents cash and 13 cents in NAO per share. If you are below the threshold, you get 23 cents cash only.

  • john2webster john2webster Apr 18, 2014 6:47 PM Flag

    I think the fact oil and gas prices have remained high during the first quarter is a huge plus. How much production was lost to the weather is the question I most want answered about the first quarter. I think forward guidance for 2nd quarter will be very good.

    A lot of investors are most worried about what is happening with the Permian assets, but that will take care of itself in time and raise the pps when they announce it. I don't see a special dividend in the cards for the end of year because I expect they would raise the regular dividend before issuing a special one. I do expect the company to raise the dividend within 12 months.

    Meanwhile, I will enjoy my current dividends and re-investments.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • It's true that the stock was recently trading in the $2 range and now it is in the $1.50 range which is about a 25% drop, but the pullback is not specific to DVAX stock, the whole Biotech sector is down. For example, Celgene is down 20%, and it is a rapidly growing company. This sector will come back and reach new highs in time. This recent pullback in DVAX, Celgene, or the Biotech Sector, is not the fault of Eddie Gray as some have concluded, but is a general market trend.

    Personally, I am very happy with what Eddie Gray has done for the company since his arrival. As soon as he got here, we were denied FDA approval, but that had nothing to do with him. We were trading at 98 cents last summer, but now are trading at $1.50--a 50% increase. He has made smart moves and his timing is good. Along with our senior management, he is doing a great job. Until I see substantial evidence I should do otherwise, I am behind him 100%. Now bring on the reverse split, and let's continue moving this company forward.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • All of this talk about companies dropping further after a reverse split makes no sense for DVAX. Most companies doing a reverse split are in decline and hoping for a turnaround. That is in a completely different category.

    GM declined and went totally bankrupt.

    Citi did a reverse split. And like Blackraven said, RBS had trouble, but the whole banking sector got crushed because they were in a bubble, and they had bad mortgages and bad paper on their books from real estate which was also in a bubble.

    Kmart and Sears went into decline and were bought out by a company that just keeps selling off their assets.

    None of these are like DVAX whose main product is a leader in its field. The company's problem is not tied to more sales or better marketing. It is tied to one thing--FDA approval. If we get FDA approval, the pps will rocket. If we fail to get approval, the pps will tank. It's that simple, and many of us know exactly how that works because we have been through it. We have been smacked down a couple of times, but not because the drug is not good. The FDA and the panels have agreed on the efficacy. It is the study that has held us back. We have a new study going on that the FDA has agreed on. We won't even have to go before another panel unless a serious problem develops.

    In conclusion, we cannot compare a DVAX reverse split with all other reverse splits because we do not fit into a one size fits all grouping. If the stock takes a smack because of a reverse split, I will put my money where my mouth is and buy the dip.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • john2webster john2webster Apr 16, 2014 3:34 PM Flag

    I agree. The low volume shows there is not a lot of conviction on either side and investors are waiting for more information. We will probably see more movement as we get closer to the conference call and the speculators come in.

    Personally, I have a core position and currently reinvest the dividends. I intend to hold this no matter what the pps does after the conference call. However, if the pps drops, I will look at adding some shares to trade around my core position because I think the shares are already undervalued.

  • john2webster john2webster Apr 16, 2014 3:27 PM Flag

    You might think that, but I don't think that. Management already said they are looking at options in the Permian. They will announce the completion of a deal, but they are not foolish enough to give blow-by-blow press releases for every deal they look at and/or negotiate on.

  • Reply to

    Technicals point to new low ahead...

    by the_lionhearted Apr 15, 2014 1:25 PM
    john2webster john2webster Apr 15, 2014 4:31 PM Flag

    You don't give any kind of time frame. Are you talking about this year, next year, the next recession? Furthermore, I don't see anything in the one month chart signaling impending doom.
    On top of that, I don't see any major moves coming before the conference call. Most Linn investors (and shorts) know what the issues are and we have invested accordingly. We have had very low volume, and I suspect the reason is because most of us are waiting for earnings and the conference call. Also, management knows they are under the spotlight this time and will be prepared.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    this is great but could be better

    by thegreatone561 Apr 10, 2014 4:22 PM
    john2webster john2webster Apr 11, 2014 2:31 AM Flag

    How can you say that with a straight face when comparing the country economically after 5 yrs of Reagan with 5 years of Obama.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Ah Barrons again

    by norrishappy Apr 10, 2014 10:08 PM
    john2webster john2webster Apr 11, 2014 2:27 AM Flag

    I have all my dividends set for reinvestment. It's hard not to salivate with such high dividends buying such cheap stock. I'm just chilling.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Blood in the streets

    by michaelmcmx Apr 8, 2014 8:57 AM
    john2webster john2webster Apr 8, 2014 9:31 PM Flag

    It was over the offering price for a lot longer than that.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • john2webster john2webster Apr 8, 2014 11:25 AM Flag

    If you feel that way, then sell. It will be your loss and the buyers gain.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • john2webster john2webster Apr 8, 2014 11:23 AM Flag

    I think the stock pps will be looking really sweet by Christmas, and we get paid to wait with a nice dividend.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • john2webster john2webster Apr 8, 2014 11:03 AM Flag

    Yes, this is the time to buy. You also get a 23 cent dividend next month which is 2.7%. People who bought after the last November secondary could have sold for nearly 50% upside within the next couple of months. There has been nearly 7, 000, 000 shares dumped already in this sell off, but the market has absorbed it pretty well because the shorts are covering like crazy before they start losing money.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Blood in the streets

    by michaelmcmx Apr 8, 2014 8:57 AM
    john2webster john2webster Apr 8, 2014 10:51 AM Flag

    Yes, this is a perfect example of buying by the intelligent investor when there is blood in the streets!

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Blood in the streets

    by michaelmcmx Apr 8, 2014 8:57 AM
    john2webster john2webster Apr 8, 2014 10:49 AM Flag

    This is not true. If you had bought last November when they did the offering, you could have sold at $12 and made a ton of money.
    There is a huge sell off caused by fear right now which is a huge buying opportunity. Be greedy when others are fearful because "This too shall pass."

    Sentiment: Buy

  • john2webster john2webster Apr 8, 2014 2:52 AM Flag

    There were a little over 75 million shares at the end of last quarter. Add another 12 million and you have 75,000,000 / 87,000,000 which is about 86%. This leaves us with 14% stock dilution, but then we have about $100 million dollars more in cash.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Why would anyone buy now?

    by saldon63 Apr 7, 2014 1:06 PM
    john2webster john2webster Apr 8, 2014 2:25 AM Flag

    LNCO already had the correction ahead of the general market. In case you haven't noticed, we have been trending up these past few days while the market has been trending down.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • john2webster john2webster Apr 8, 2014 1:35 AM Flag

    They will have to buy at least two ships or they will be in a heap of trouble.
    The shares are already sold and even oversubscribed. Obviously, if I had known about the sale in advance, I would have sold already. Then I would have to ask myself if I would buy back in at the $8.60ish price. The answer for me is yes so I will keep my current shares. Not only that, but I bought more in the after hour market because I think the $8.62 pps is cheap.

    Sentiment: Buy

DVAX
1.500.00(0.00%)Apr 17 4:00 PMEDT

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