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ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Message Board

johnsonjoel1 430 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 2, 2014 4:19 PM Member since: Jul 22, 2013
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  • ARMOUR Residential REIT Price Target Increased to $4.50 by Analysts at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (ARR)
    Posted by Ethan Ryder on Aug 1st, 2014

    ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. logoEquities research analysts at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods lifted their price target on shares of ARMOUR Residential REIT (NYSE:ARR) from $4.25 to $4.50 in a research note issued to investors on Friday. The firm currently has a “market perform” rating on the stock. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods’ price target suggests a potential upside of 7.14% from the company’s current price.

    ARR has been the subject of a number of other recent research reports. Analysts at Deutsche Bank reiterated a “hold” rating on shares of ARMOUR Residential REIT in a research note on Friday. They now have a $4.40 price target on the stock, up previously from $4.20. Finally, analysts at Barclays cut their price target on shares of ARMOUR Residential REIT from $5.00 to $4.50 in a research note on Tuesday, May 6th. They now have an “equal weight” rating on the stock. Two investment analysts have rated the stock with a sell rating and five have issued a hold rating to the stock. The company presently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $4.73.

  • Reply to

    Low Point

    by johnsonjoel1 Aug 1, 2014 11:56 AM
    johnsonjoel1 johnsonjoel1 Aug 2, 2014 8:44 AM Flag

    In the past, CFP has nearly always re-tested the Rights Offering low. So the price action is not unusual. The trick with CFP is finding a good entry point and getting out of the stock within two weeks after they announce the Rights Offering. My entry price average is $4.57; with a 7 cent dividend each month I am happy to sit tight: they pay me a 20% yield just for holding shares.

    CFP will more than likely start heading up when it usually does: around the end of the year/beginning of 2015. I expect a Rights Offering sometime in April/May of next year, so the time to sell out of CFP will be about the beginning of April.

  • Deutsche Bank re-iterates hold rating and raises ARR's price target to 4.40.

  • johnsonjoel1 by johnsonjoel1 Aug 1, 2014 12:09 PM Flag

    ARR is among the safer stocks to own in a market downturn since the stock price is severely undervalued right now. It is trading at about a 16% discount to book value. If you can find the beaten down dividend stocks they will provide you a better place to put your money in a correction for two reasons: 1. the stock price is already beaten down and fewer shareholders feel compelled to sell; 2. you earn dividends each month no matter the stock price.

    Cheers to all. I loaded up at $4.22 and $4.19 and will hold for quite a while, at least until we head above the $4.60 mark.

  • johnsonjoel1 by johnsonjoel1 Aug 1, 2014 11:56 AM Flag

    We are half-way between the ex-dates right now and so at our usual low point of the month. Today is another good day to load up shares if you're interested in entering CFP. I grabbed some more at $4.57 and don't plan to buy anymore :) Some folks on this message board make it sound like CFP came into existence yesterday and so has no track record of stock price action, but a quick look at the history of the stock will tell you nothing unusual is happening. GTLAL.

  • johnsonjoel1 by johnsonjoel1 Aug 1, 2014 7:36 AM Flag

    ARR has managed to do exactly what they needed to do: raise the book value. They told us, and all informed investors knew, that this quarter would be a negative one for earnings/share due to the transition from 30 year mortgages to 15 year mortgages. That should all be complete right now. The next quarter should see the book value above $5.00/share, and maybe as high #$%$20, and when that happens, we can expect that ARR will also consider raising the dividend a penny to 6 cents/month (sometime early or middle next year). All in the all the earnings report was expected and, for me, encouraging. The key element of the report was book value. Book value has been sliding for quite a while; they now have it under control and are increasing it. Look for the share price to slowly and steadily incline up in the coming months. GLTAL.

  • johnsonjoel1 by johnsonjoel1 Jul 31, 2014 5:25 PM Flag

    Book Value increased from $4.67 to $4.90! This is great news for ARR. The share price should start slowly climbing up from here in the coming weeks. GLTAL.

  • Reply to

    Rats

    by jbcguy Jul 31, 2014 12:03 PM
    johnsonjoel1 johnsonjoel1 Jul 31, 2014 12:09 PM Flag

    I added another 1000 shares at $20.00. I am all in now and will let these shares ride for years to come. GLTAL.

  • johnsonjoel1 by johnsonjoel1 Jul 31, 2014 11:37 AM Flag

    I couldn't resist today's prices. I loaded all the way up at $4.57. GLTAL.

  • Reply to

    What the heck?

    by bigbear.2010 Jul 31, 2014 10:54 AM
    johnsonjoel1 johnsonjoel1 Jul 31, 2014 11:22 AM Flag

    I took the opportunity to load up another 1000 shares at $20.14. We'll get 20 cents worth on the dividend just for holding through Monday. ARP should ramp up to the $22-$23 range in the coming months.

    I also grabbed some FSC, ARR, TAXI, and more OAKS today. GLTY.

  • ARP, ARR, FSC, WMC, TAXI, OAKS, OXLC, LRE, LNCO just to name a few. Happy hunting!

  • johnsonjoel1 by johnsonjoel1 Jul 31, 2014 10:17 AM Flag

    I entered a large position today at $11.11. The dividend is set to be announced today or tomorrow and should provide us a nice near-term catalyst, and probably a bounce up over $12.25. GTLAL.

  • johnsonjoel1 by johnsonjoel1 Jul 31, 2014 9:03 AM Flag

    Today's news should take us to about $4.00/share on a spike, leaving us settled down in the mid-3's for the day. $5.00/share should come quickly, within the next week if I had to guess. GLTAL. Our day is finally here!

  • Reply to

    Profit-Taking and De-Risking

    by johnsonjoel1 Jul 30, 2014 12:40 PM
    johnsonjoel1 johnsonjoel1 Jul 31, 2014 8:52 AM Flag

    No, I am not trying to talk the stock down. I gave longs a word of caution is all. Take it for what it's worth; if you don't like it, then don't listen to it.

    Dividends are a psychological boost to falling share prices. Anyone who has invested in dividend stocks knows that many investors will wait to sell their shares until the ex-date or soon after, even if there is a high likelihood the share price will dive after the ex-date. The ex-date is Monday, August 4; I expect the share price to do very little until then, but I also expect that early next week could bring another round of selling to ROYT. Time will tell. GLTY.

  • johnsonjoel1 by johnsonjoel1 Jul 31, 2014 8:42 AM Flag

    Whether it is desirable or not, look for a bunch of investors to hit the door running, selling out of ARR as quickly as they possibly can. The selling pressure should drive us down for the next while. GLTAL. JMHO.

  • johnsonjoel1 by johnsonjoel1 Jul 31, 2014 8:13 AM Flag

    EDAP is selling way too cheap right now. This is a great bounce play; we should bounce back up into the $2.70-$2.80 range today. GLTAL.

  • johnsonjoel1 by johnsonjoel1 Jul 31, 2014 7:51 AM Flag

    If you are looking to enter EHTH, premarket is a great time! The panic sellers are getting rid of their shares very cheaply! You can actually buy them for $23.00/share right now! GLTAL.

  • Reply to

    Garage Sale

    by johnsonjoel1 Jul 31, 2014 7:34 AM
    johnsonjoel1 johnsonjoel1 Jul 31, 2014 7:38 AM Flag

    The share price had already dropped to take into account missed earnings. The prices down in the mid-20's are a bargain. We might even head back up into the 30's within the next month. GLTAL.

  • johnsonjoel1 by johnsonjoel1 Jul 31, 2014 7:34 AM Flag

    You can buy shares really cheap this morning premarket! The stock price should bounce back to about the $27-$28 range today; this low volume sell-off is a great time to pick up some cheap shares. GLTAL.

  • johnsonjoel1 by johnsonjoel1 Jul 30, 2014 4:25 PM Flag

    Like it or not, it looks like the stock wants to dip below $7.00. It usually does dip that low once/year, so it would not be surprising. I'm not sure why GAIN is so weak right now but the stock is doing horribly at a time when it should be stronger. Any idea why GAIN is performing so poorly? What is driving the share price down? TIA.

ARR
4.22+0.02(+0.48%)Aug 20 4:02 PMEDT

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