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The GEO Group, Inc. Message Board

joshua_ncontrol 543 posts  |  Last Activity: Dec 17, 2007 2:59 AM Member since: Aug 21, 2005
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  • ...if the market can start trending higher again this stock should do very well. The stock is right on the 50 day moving average which has recently been a great spot to buy this stock. This tiem is no different. If the stock doesn't move up immediately here, you can always cut your loss with a close below the moving average, giving you a high reward to low risk setup.

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

    top current holdings: YGE 88% FSLR 287% DECK 225% IHS 243% CNH 132% DECK 236% ICOC 93% MOS 360% EBIX 85% SXC 51% OMTR 309% MA 349% RICK 114% SXE 98% TDG 50% ZIXI 158% APPY 80% (RNT 23% FAF 26% SHOO 20% FTEK 28% CLP 27%)

  • joshua_ncontrol by joshua_ncontrol Dec 17, 2007 2:56 AM Flag

    ...I would start to worry about the stock making lower highs in September, October, and December. This shwos that the stock is running out of buyers at these high levels. If you are long the stock please consider selling your long if the stock closes below the 50 and 200 day moving average again. A lot of stocks are weakening and this stock shouldn't be able to escape the selling also.

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

    top current holdings: YGE 88% FSLR 287% DECK 225% IHS 243% CNH 132% DECK 236% ICOC 93% MOS 360% EBIX 85% SXC 51% OMTR 309% MA 349% RICK 114% SXE 98% TDG 50% ZIXI 158% APPY 80% (RNT 23% FAF 26% SHOO 20% FTEK 28% CLP 27%)

  • BEAV is breaking out to new all-time highs from a very strong ascending base pattern, on extremely huge volume. This stock has been in a very beautiful uptrend for a very long time making this one of the nicest stocks that have not been effected by this market’s selling. The recent base is short in nature but is a part of an ascending base, making the situation OK. The price action today on that extremely huge volume surge with BOP going max green is just gorgeous. If this chart had a lot more green to max green BOP leading up to today’s huge volume pop, I would be loading the boat of it. But without all that max green BOP or green BOP all over the chart leading up to today’s move, I simply can not load up as I don’t feel safe making that move with the market in a clearly bearish attitude. The fundamentals are great, with EPS growing between 63% and 999% the past eight quarters, sale growth between 18% and 57% the past eight quarters, a ROE of 12%, cash flow of $1.35, 71% debt, a sponsorship rating of C, a timeliness rating of A, a composite rating of 95, an Acc/Dis rating of B+, an SMR rating of B, a group RS of 87, an EPS rating of 71, and YOY earnings estimates for 07 and 08 for gains of 67% and 42% respectively. Fund ownership has grown from 158 to 171 to 183 to 189 the past four quarters, showing that big institutional funds with a lot of money are gaining an interest in this great company. Cut your loss with a close below the 50 day moving average, if the stock does move higher immediately.

    disclosure: long BEAV

    top current holdings: YGE 88% FSLR 287% DECK 225% IHS 243% CNH 132% DECK 236% ICOC 93% MOS 360% EBIX 85% SXC 51% OMTR 309% MA 349% RICK 114% SXE 98% TDG 50% ZIXI 158% APPY 80% (RNT 23% FAF 26% SHOO 20% FTEK 28% CLP 27%)

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

  • ...here. But it is definitely not a good place to load up as all the best stocks START their biggest moves AFTER they are above their 50 day moving average. So it is best to keep it small if you buy here. But in November the 200 dma acted as great support and you would think with the intraday reversal that Friday's lows should hold also. If they don't, cut your loss with a close below the 200 day moving average.

    top current holdings: ICOC 88% YGE 70% FSLR 262% MTL 92% MA 322% MOS 343% ATRO 55% CNH 138% ZIXI 181% RICK 97%

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

  • ...is a clear sell signal. Once again, this stock is in a good area to short just like it was the last time it came near the 50 dma back in October. This is one ugly stock that is now under a ton of distribution, with very little hope of regaining an uptrend any time soon. The way this stock rolled over along with the 200 dma being in a clear downtrend behind the downtrending 50 dma just makes this one ugly chart. The amount of volume on this breakdown should lead this stock lower to the $25 area but I would not doubt a possibility of seeing the 2005 lows as the amount of selling is just HUGE now. The distribution is clear and if you are long, it is time to get out now.

    top current holdings: ICOC 88% YGE 70% FSLR 262% MTL 92% MA 322% MOS 343% ATRO 55% CNH 138% ZIXI 181% RICK 97%

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

  • ....as the stock is under clear distribution and has a MUCH HIGHER chance of seeing $10 instead of $30. The distribution that has entered this stock since the July highs is much higher than the accumulation that preceded the top, signaling that investors are dumping this stock. If you haven't noticed, the 200 dma has recently become an
    excellent place to short the stock and if you can get a low volume rally to the 50 or 200 day moving averages it would make another good area to short. I believe it is too late to build a large short position but a small one would work well here if we get a low volume rally. If we don't then there is nothing to do but to make sure you are not long this stock.

    top current holdings: ICOC 88% YGE 70% FSLR 262% MTL 92% MA 322% MOS 343% ATRO 55% CNH 138% ZIXI 181% RICK 97%

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

  • ...and with the average trending down and the 200 day moving average right behind it, it is clear that SIRO is the last stock you want to be long in this nasty enviro. In fact with the stock right at its 50 dma, it makes a great short with a cut loss with a close above the line. High reward (at least 5 points) to low risk (one point) plays are what the smart traders do. I have no position in this stock but
    found it interesting that it has failed right at this average. Even though it is bullish on the very short term, unless this stock can get back above the 50 and 200 dma there is no way I would think about being long this stock. If you are short, continue to hold that short. Don't let Friday's move deter you

    disclosure: none

    top current holdings: ICOC 88% YGE 70% FSLR 262% MTL 92% MA 322% MOS 343% ATRO 55% CNH 138% ZIXI 181% RICK 97%

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

  • ..the 50 day moving average. This stock is still way too early to buy as there is too much resistance from those October highs hanging around. The selling on the way down was much heavier than the current volume on the upside. This signals that the big boys still do not have interest in buying this stock here despite the word "solar" in it. I
    would not go long this stock until it gets more near that old October high and then creates a base at least three weeks long. This stock could setup in a cup with handle pattern and that along with the super strong EPS and sales growth would make this a great long. However, until I see that happen there is no way I would go long this stock. I
    would continue to favor FSLR over LDK, until you see the conditions I have lined out happen.

    top current holdings: ICOC 88% YGE 70% FSLR 262% MTL 92% MA 322% MOS 343% ATRO 55% CNH 138% ZIXI 181% RICK 97%

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

  • ....it is wise to take some profits in, if you bought it with a breakout on 11/29 on very strong volume. It has risen a ton in a very short time and the HUGE volume and reversal on 12/5 after the long uptrend was a clear short-term topping signal. If you did not take any profits there, I suggest you learn how to use charts because the stock market is NOTHING but supply and demand based on the emotions of
    traders like you and me. If this stock bases for 5 months or longer and then breaksout I am going to buy more. But until it sets up in another base there is no way I would buy any more. I sold 20% on 12/5 and am holding the rest with a FINAL cut loss with a close below the 50 day moving average. If you have not taken any profits and you are up over 50% in it, please take some. It never pays to be greedy in the
    stock market.

    top current holdings: ICOC 88% YGE 70% FSLR 262% MTL 92% MA 322% MOS 343% ATRO 55% CNH 138% ZIXI 181% RICK 97%

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

  • ...it is obvious the huge volume selloffs in this stock, BIDU, RIMM, GOOG, and the stock market is a sign of a market topping. I am not sure if this top is a long term top or a short term top. But the fact that EVERY SINGLE OLD LEADING SECTOR (oil, energy, chemicals, metals, internet, steel, and Chinese) have topped and are selling off. BIDU is no different and if you have not taken any profits from your longs you better start taking them now. This stock is definitely done for the short term and the way that they have now taken out the solar stocks FSLR JASO and SPWR after their gap ups show that no group is safe from this huge selling. I would start to take profits on BIDU now if I were you.

    http://www.mauitrader.blogpsot.com
    http://www.bigwavetrading.com

  • ...it is obvious the huge volume selloffs in this stock, BIDU, GOOG, AAPL, and the stock market is a sign of a market topping. I am not sure if this top is a long term top or a short term top. But the fact that EVERY SINGLE OLD LEADING SECTOR (oil, energy, chemicals, metals, internet, steel, and Chinese) have topped and are selling off. BIDU is no different and if you have not taken any profits from your longs you better start taking them now. This stock is definitely done for the short term and the way that they have now taken out the solar stocks FSLR JASO and SPWR after their gap ups show that no group is safe from this huge selling. I would start to take profits on BIDU now if I were you.

    http://www.mauitrader.blogpsot.com
    http://www.bigwavetrading.com

  • ...it is obvious the huge volume selloffs in this stock, BIDU, RIMM, AAPL, and the stock market is a sign of a market topping. I am not sure if this top is a long term top or a short term top. But the fact that EVERY SINGLE OLD LEADING SECTOR (oil, energy, chemicals, metals, internet, steel, and Chinese) have topped and are selling off. BIDU is no different and if you have not taken any profits from your longs you better start taking them now. This stock is definitely done for the short term and the way that they have now taken out the solar stocks FSLR JASO and SPWR after their gap ups show that no group is safe from this huge selling. I would start to take profits on BIDU now if I were you.

    http://www.mauitrader.blogpsot.com
    http://www.bigwavetrading.com

  • ...it is obvious the huge volume selloffs in this stock, GOOG, RIMM, AAPL, and the stock market is a sign of a market topping. I am not sure if this top is a long term top or a short term top. But the fact that EVERY SINGLE OLD LEADING SECTOR (oil, energy, chemicals, metals, internet, steel, and Chinese) have topped and are selling off. BIDU is no different and if you have not taken any profits from your longs you better start takign them now. This stock is definitely done for the short term and the way that they have now taken out the solar stocks FSLR JASO and SPWR after their gap ups show that no group is safe from this huge selling. I would start to take profits on BIDU now if I were you.

    http://www.mauitrader.blogpsot.com
    http://www.bigwavetrading.com

  • joshua_ncontrol by joshua_ncontrol Mar 11, 2007 2:22 PM Flag

    ...and if this stock can not go up in a bull market what makes you think it is going to rise in the current market enviro? Until the stock is over the 50 dma and the 50 dma is over the 200 dma, I wouldn't touch this stock with free money.

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

    Top Holdings - Signal Date

    PTT 356% - 11/16
    CVO 180% - 8/17/05
    TRCR 161% - 1/12
    TTEC 151% - 8/25
    OMTR 121% - 9/15
    CCOI 111% - 9/27
    ACY 111% - 2/5
    MA 108% - 8/2
    ACP 95% - 11/13
    TNH 90% - 10/26
    BONT 83% - 10/3
    HMSY 75% - 10/6
    CHINA 74% - 8/16
    HRZ 73% - 9/27
    CPA 72% - 9/15
    AOI 72% - 11/19
    HURN 71% - 9/13
    ULTR 68% - 10/27
    IGLD 65% - 10/26
    JSDA 60% - 12/20
    IMKTA 59% - 8/28
    FTEK 56% - 10/6
    NEXC 56% - 10/25
    PRGX 56% - 1/12
    CXW 54% - 5/19
    EVEP 53% - 11/06
    IIVI 49% - 8/30
    BMA 49% - 10/24
    KHDH 45% - 5/30
    DECK 47% - 9/13

  • joshua_ncontrol by joshua_ncontrol Mar 11, 2007 2:22 PM Flag

    ...and the 50 dma is trending above the 200 dma, there is WAY TOO MUCH resistance in this stock to make any significant gains over an intermediate time frame, in this market. I would definitely avoid this stock.


    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

    Top Holdings - Signal Date

    PTT 356% - 11/16
    CVO 180% - 8/17/05
    TRCR 161% - 1/12
    TTEC 151% - 8/25
    OMTR 121% - 9/15
    CCOI 111% - 9/27
    ACY 111% - 2/5
    MA 108% - 8/2
    ACP 95% - 11/13
    TNH 90% - 10/26
    BONT 83% - 10/3
    HMSY 75% - 10/6
    CHINA 74% - 8/16
    HRZ 73% - 9/27
    CPA 72% - 9/15
    AOI 72% - 11/19
    HURN 71% - 9/13
    ULTR 68% - 10/27
    IGLD 65% - 10/26
    JSDA 60% - 12/20
    IMKTA 59% - 8/28
    FTEK 56% - 10/6
    NEXC 56% - 10/25
    PRGX 56% - 1/12
    CXW 54% - 5/19
    EVEP 53% - 11/06
    IIVI 49% - 8/30
    BMA 49% - 10/24
    KHDH 45% - 5/30
    DECK 47% - 9/13

  • joshua_ncontrol by joshua_ncontrol Mar 11, 2007 2:21 PM Flag

    ...to make a good long. With the breakout in January leading to a heavy volume failure in late Feb that led to this powerful gap up through the 50 dma, this stock is just way too volatile to make a good long. I would look for better stocks to invest in, despite the good fundamentals.

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

    Top Holdings - Signal Date

    PTT 356% - 11/16
    CVO 180% - 8/17/05
    TRCR 161% - 1/12
    TTEC 151% - 8/25
    OMTR 121% - 9/15
    CCOI 111% - 9/27
    ACY 111% - 2/5
    MA 108% - 8/2
    ACP 95% - 11/13
    TNH 90% - 10/26
    BONT 83% - 10/3
    HMSY 75% - 10/6
    CHINA 74% - 8/16
    HRZ 73% - 9/27
    CPA 72% - 9/15
    AOI 72% - 11/19
    HURN 71% - 9/13
    ULTR 68% - 10/27
    IGLD 65% - 10/26
    JSDA 60% - 12/20
    IMKTA 59% - 8/28
    FTEK 56% - 10/6
    NEXC 56% - 10/25
    PRGX 56% - 1/12
    CXW 54% - 5/19
    EVEP 53% - 11/06
    IIVI 49% - 8/30
    BMA 49% - 10/24
    KHDH 45% - 5/30
    DECK 47% - 9/13

  • joshua_ncontrol by joshua_ncontrol Mar 11, 2007 2:21 PM Flag

    ...a bottom but I wouldn't want to bet on that here. As long as this stock is below the 200 dma, there is no way you want to be long this stock in a solid downtrend. Until the stock can get above the 50 dma and the 50 dma is over the 200 dma, I would completely avoid this stock.

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

    Top Holdings - Signal Date

    PTT 356% - 11/16
    CVO 180% - 8/17/05
    TRCR 161% - 1/12
    TTEC 151% - 8/25
    OMTR 121% - 9/15
    CCOI 111% - 9/27
    ACY 111% - 2/5
    MA 108% - 8/2
    ACP 95% - 11/13
    TNH 90% - 10/26
    BONT 83% - 10/3
    HMSY 75% - 10/6
    CHINA 74% - 8/16
    HRZ 73% - 9/27
    CPA 72% - 9/15
    AOI 72% - 11/19
    HURN 71% - 9/13
    ULTR 68% - 10/27
    IGLD 65% - 10/26
    JSDA 60% - 12/20
    IMKTA 59% - 8/28
    FTEK 56% - 10/6
    NEXC 56% - 10/25
    PRGX 56% - 1/12
    CXW 54% - 5/19
    EVEP 53% - 11/06
    IIVI 49% - 8/30
    BMA 49% - 10/24
    KHDH 45% - 5/30
    DECK 47% - 9/13

  • joshua_ncontrol by joshua_ncontrol Mar 11, 2007 2:21 PM Flag

    ...on the above average volume breakout above this very short flat base. This stock is so beautiful. It is in a nice uptrend, with tons of accumulation, and excellent price action. Cut your loss w/ a close below the late Feb/early March lows.

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

    Top Holdings - Signal Date

    PTT 356% - 11/16
    CVO 180% - 8/17/05
    TRCR 161% - 1/12
    TTEC 151% - 8/25
    OMTR 121% - 9/15
    CCOI 111% - 9/27
    ACY 111% - 2/5
    MA 108% - 8/2
    ACP 95% - 11/13
    TNH 90% - 10/26
    BONT 83% - 10/3
    HMSY 75% - 10/6
    CHINA 74% - 8/16
    HRZ 73% - 9/27
    CPA 72% - 9/15
    AOI 72% - 11/19
    HURN 71% - 9/13
    ULTR 68% - 10/27
    IGLD 65% - 10/26
    JSDA 60% - 12/20
    IMKTA 59% - 8/28
    FTEK 56% - 10/6
    NEXC 56% - 10/25
    PRGX 56% - 1/12
    CXW 54% - 5/19
    EVEP 53% - 11/06
    IIVI 49% - 8/30
    BMA 49% - 10/24
    KHDH 45% - 5/30
    DECK 47% - 9/13

  • ...move. If you are long the stock I would take 25-30% off the table here and let the rest ride. As long as the stock holds above the 50 dma, there is no reason to sell.

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

    Top Holdings - Signal Date

    PTT 356% - 11/16
    CVO 180% - 8/17/05
    TRCR 161% - 1/12
    TTEC 151% - 8/25
    OMTR 121% - 9/15
    CCOI 111% - 9/27
    ACY 111% - 2/5
    MA 108% - 8/2
    ACP 95% - 11/13
    TNH 90% - 10/26
    BONT 83% - 10/3
    HMSY 75% - 10/6
    CHINA 74% - 8/16
    HRZ 73% - 9/27
    CPA 72% - 9/15
    AOI 72% - 11/19
    HURN 71% - 9/13
    ULTR 68% - 10/27
    IGLD 65% - 10/26
    JSDA 60% - 12/20
    IMKTA 59% - 8/28
    FTEK 56% - 10/6
    NEXC 56% - 10/25
    PRGX 56% - 1/12
    CXW 54% - 5/19
    EVEP 53% - 11/06
    IIVI 49% - 8/30
    BMA 49% - 10/24
    KHDH 45% - 5/30
    DECK 47% - 9/13

  • joshua_ncontrol by joshua_ncontrol Mar 11, 2007 2:21 PM Flag

    ...if this stock can now start creating a base lasting at least a month I would start to get interested. As for now, it has come way too far way too fast. There must be a pullback.

    http://mauitrader.blogspot.com

    Top Holdings - Signal Date

    PTT 356% - 11/16
    CVO 180% - 8/17/05
    TRCR 161% - 1/12
    TTEC 151% - 8/25
    OMTR 121% - 9/15
    CCOI 111% - 9/27
    ACY 111% - 2/5
    MA 108% - 8/2
    ACP 95% - 11/13
    TNH 90% - 10/26
    BONT 83% - 10/3
    HMSY 75% - 10/6
    CHINA 74% - 8/16
    HRZ 73% - 9/27
    CPA 72% - 9/15
    AOI 72% - 11/19
    HURN 71% - 9/13
    ULTR 68% - 10/27
    IGLD 65% - 10/26
    JSDA 60% - 12/20
    IMKTA 59% - 8/28
    FTEK 56% - 10/6
    NEXC 56% - 10/25
    PRGX 56% - 1/12
    CXW 54% - 5/19
    EVEP 53% - 11/06
    IIVI 49% - 8/30
    BMA 49% - 10/24
    KHDH 45% - 5/30
    DECK 47% - 9/13

GEO
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