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jwogdn 35 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 22, 2015 6:12 PM Member since: Aug 26, 2002
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  • Reply to

    OT: Sort of

    by william_tarasen Apr 22, 2015 3:47 PM
    jwogdn jwogdn Apr 22, 2015 6:12 PM Flag

    That sounds like a great deal to bad your wife would not get on board. Sound like something my wife would resist. I was looking to buy her a hybrid but it being new technology she did not like the risk it not working well and having to replace the batteries at some time beyond the warranty (we keep our cars forever).

  • Steps before taking action on AGW:
    Prove beyond a reasonable doubt that the earth is warming.
    Prove beyond a reasonable doubt that the warming is due to the influence of human beings engaged in production use of Fossil Fuels.
    Make reasonable strong predictions about the effect of more co2 in the air.
    Get economists to prove beyond a reasonable doubt about the economic costs and benefits that accompany those global predictions.
    Get economists to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that it is better to act.
    Get economists to make a reasonable prediction as to when it is bets to act.
    Have politicians make a reasonable plan that looks like it will work (politicians are very tricky so it must be a simple plan).
    Prove beyond a reasonable doubt that those policies will be implemented in such a way that they will do more good than harm.

    I am OK with a CO2 but not with cap and trade or the subsidies that we have for green tech.

  • jwogdn jwogdn Apr 22, 2015 11:02 AM Flag

    Redshoe77 you should apply the skepticism in this comment:

    "blueflame, ... You should ask yourself who paid for your report. I can't find any other source that agrees with it.

    To this comment:
    "Then, there's the sorry condition of the electrical grid. When the American Society of Civil Engineers graded the power grid for maintenance"

    The American Society of Civil Engineers tends to always grade all infrastructure low for obvious reasons. We all tend to biased in our own favor which is generally fine but needs to kept in mind.

  • Reply to

    EV's won't spread even with rapid charging

    by redshoe77 Apr 16, 2015 2:35 PM
    jwogdn jwogdn Apr 17, 2015 12:19 PM Flag

    He is hardly an object voice but he does highlight a potential problem, one that we have discussed here before. That is that rapid charging would require cheap stationary batteries (maybe flow batteries.) but:

    1. We will not need them for quite a while as PHEVs could cut petrol consumption by 90% so why go to 100% and a family's second car need not be used for long trips.

    2. If they existed charging station batteries would be ideal for evening out grid demand.

  • “Cap-and-trade is a hidden regressive tax, benefiting the select few who have managed to get themselves written into the … bill…. Think revolving door between the government and Wall Street. Think revolving door between Congress and lobbyists.” James Hansen

  • Reply to

    New and Improved Volt for 2016

    by blueflamedave Apr 12, 2015 10:45 AM
    jwogdn jwogdn Apr 13, 2015 3:34 PM Flag

    "We think it's only going 50 miles on electricity only."

    I would think even with a co2 tax big enough to bring us to balance (equal amounts of co2 going into the air as is taken out) the cost for those extra miles would be insignificant for the typical driver. Long hall trucks might be a little different.

  • Reply to

    interesting framing - TPP vs. AGW

    by jwogdn Apr 9, 2015 10:09 PM
    jwogdn jwogdn Apr 9, 2015 10:09 PM Flag

    We get a much different tone if instead we look at Smith discussing climate-change policy. For example, in June 2014, Smith wrote a Bloomberg piece on five ways to fight global warming. In the interest of brevity, let me simply quote Smith’s concluding paragraph:
    If we do these five things, then the US can still save the world from global warming, even though we’re no longer the main cause of the problem. And the short-run cost to our economy will be very moderate. Saving the world on the cheap sounds like a good idea to me. (emphasis added)
    Clearly, there is a chasm in the rhetoric between Smith’s two Bloomberg pieces. When discussing the TPP, it’s an honest disagreement between experts over a trade agreement that Smith thinks is definitely worthwhile, but in the grand scheme is not that big a deal. In contrast, government policies concerning climate change literally involve the fate of the planet.
    At this point, most readers would wonder what the problem is. After all, isn’t man-made climate change a global crisis? Why shouldn’t Smith use much stronger rhetoric when describing it?
    I am making this comparison because according to one of the pioneers in climate-change economics, William Nordhaus, even if all governments around the world implemented the textbook-perfect carbon tax, the net gain to humanity would be … drumroll please … $3 trillion. In other words, one of the world’s experts on the economics of climate change estimates that the difference to humanity between (a) implementing the perfect carbon-tax policy solution and (b) doing absolutely nothing was about the same difference as DeLong estimated when it comes to the TPP.

  • "It's understandable that the public has no idea of the real state of the literature on climate change policy, because even professional economists use utterly misleading rhetoric in this arena. To show what I mean, first, let’s quote from a recent Noah Smith Bloomberg article, which urges left-liberals to support the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade deal:
    One of the bigger economic issues under debate right now is the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), the multilateral trade deal that would include most countries in the Asia-Pacific region as well as the US. Many people both here and abroad are suspicious of trade deals, while economists usually support them. This time around, however, the dynamic is a little bit different — the TPP is getting some pushback from left-leaning economists such as Paul Krugman.
    Krugman’s point is that since US trade is already pretty liberalized … the effect of further liberalization will be small.… I’m usually more of a free-trade skeptic than the average economist.… But in this case, I’m strongly on the pro-TPP side. There are just too many good arguments in favor.
    University of California-Berkeley economist Brad DeLong does some quick back-of-the-envelope calculations, and estimates that the TPP would increase the world’s wealth by a total of $3 trillion. Though that’s not a big deal in the grand scheme of things, it’s one of the best reforms that’s feasible in the current polarized political situation. (emphasis added)
    To summarize the flavor of Smith’s discussion, he thinks the TPP is “one of the bigger economic issues” today, and that its potential windfall to humanity of $3 trillion is “not a big deal in the grand scheme of things” but certainly worth pursuing if attainable. Krugman disagrees with Smith’s assessment, but their differences are clearly quibbles over numbers and strategies; it’s not as if Smith thinks Krugman is a “Ricardo denier” or accuses Krugman of hating poor Asians by opposing the trade deal.

  • Reply to

    Groups fighting solar

    by redshoe77 Mar 27, 2015 1:29 PM
    jwogdn jwogdn Apr 2, 2015 1:04 PM Flag

    Seems like bunch of comments on this topic are gone.

  • Reply to

    Groups fighting solar

    by redshoe77 Mar 27, 2015 1:29 PM
    jwogdn jwogdn Apr 1, 2015 12:56 PM Flag

    BTW I would support a simple co2 tax but I am not under any illusion that the likes of the Koch brothers would pay much of the tax. the tax incidence would fall primarily on the consumers. That is the whole purpose of the tax.

  • Reply to

    Groups fighting solar

    by redshoe77 Mar 27, 2015 1:29 PM
    jwogdn jwogdn Apr 1, 2015 12:48 PM Flag

    “I either want less corruption, or more chance to participate in it.”
    Ashleigh Brilliant

    Seems like you opt for more more chance to participate in it.

    If you tax business more or say you tax CO2 emissions and distribute the money to the bottom 10% of earners so they can consume more, who do you think consumes less in the short and long run? (This is called tax incidence the study of who really pays.)
    BTW I have a very low income friend who owns some shares of VTI.

  • Reply to

    Groups fighting solar

    by redshoe77 Mar 27, 2015 1:29 PM
    jwogdn jwogdn Apr 1, 2015 11:33 AM Flag

    Great reply jj. Look at the ethanol programs a certain type of green pushed for it and the results have terrible but it is still going.

  • Reply to

    74 MPG For Road-Going Deltawing

    by nmcotwpv Mar 27, 2015 11:17 AM
    jwogdn jwogdn Mar 27, 2015 12:07 PM Flag

    Cool the IMO the cheapest gains in MPG are still in ICE and hybrid vehicles.

  • Reply to

    BLDP brings out the strangest characters

    by anchorjopala Mar 24, 2015 5:20 PM
    jwogdn jwogdn Mar 25, 2015 9:58 AM Flag

    yes to this: "Please both groups keep up the entertaining rhetoric"

  • Reply to

    redshoe77 the PHEVs

    by jwogdn Mar 4, 2015 4:26 PM
    jwogdn jwogdn Mar 19, 2015 3:23 PM Flag

    Another: "Obama orders GHG cuts for Federal Agencies; 50% of all new agency vehicles to be ZEV or PHEV by 2025"

  • Reply to

    redshoe77 the PHEVs

    by jwogdn Mar 4, 2015 4:26 PM
    jwogdn jwogdn Mar 18, 2015 1:10 PM Flag

    More "Mercedes-Benz to introduce 10 plug-in hybrids by 2017; GLE PHEV coming soon"

  • Reply to

    redshoe77 the PHEVs

    by jwogdn Mar 4, 2015 4:26 PM
    jwogdn jwogdn Mar 16, 2015 3:53 PM Flag

    "BMW brand’s first production PHEV: the BMW X5 xDrive40e"

  • jwogdn jwogdn Mar 12, 2015 9:18 AM Flag

    Sound promising.
    So where can I get a thorough, honest estimate of total cost and total pollution produced of PV solar per kwh over the entire life of the system?

  • Reply to

    redshoe77 the PHEVs

    by jwogdn Mar 4, 2015 4:26 PM
    jwogdn jwogdn Mar 12, 2015 9:14 AM Flag

    And another also fro greencarcongressDOTcom:
    "Audi to have a plug-in hybrid in every model series; new BEV in 2018"

  • redshoe77 the PHEVs you doubted:
    The following are all recent titles from greencarcongressDOTcom
    "Mercedes-Benz unveils V-Class concept plug-in hybrid MPV at Geneva; 78 mpg US"
    "Volkswagen introduces the Sport Coupé Concept GTE PHEV at Geneva; 118 mpg US"
    "Audi introduces Q7 e-tron quattro diesel PHEV SUV at Geneva; 138 mpg US"

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