=
=May 24, 2013
=
=============================================================================================
5/25/13~~~~Full Flower Moon ~~~~12:25 AM
5/27/13~~~~Holiday
~!~~~
enuff said
you parking lot painters!!!
=
=May 18, 2013
=
===================================================================================================
Hi CJ,
I believed in the story and in the price action that followed. The short interest has been growing for the past several months and I thought TSLA style action would take this stock back to double digits. Oh Well!
That is why Gambling in these markets is so challenging!
GOOG above 900, GLD declining, sure feels like the market has peaked
Good luck!
ps. hope you have purchased the p o w e r b a l l ticket.
Thank you GOD!!!
Looks like today is my pay day!
Now I wish I had placed a bigger bet on the table...
Let me see 190!!!
=
=May 6, 2013
=
==========================================================================================
Hi CJ,
I am very worried about conflict among
Israel / Syria / Iran / factions
This could get outta hands very quickly and until the equation is balanced.... all I can do is PRAY!
Looking at changes in OI in the MAY 13 room, this market will go down big time!
I know, I have been wrong a few times lately, but I think this is it.
STRK~~~~TODAY~~~~YSTRDE~~~~CALL_CHNG~~~~TODAY~~~~YSTRDE~~~~PUT_CHNG
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
158~~~~116,068 ~~~~117,145 ~~~~(1,077)~~~~178,529 ~~~~171,158 ~~~~7,371
159~~~~165,458 ~~~~182,928 ~~~~(17,470)~~~~132,797 ~~~~136,122 ~~~~(3,325)
160~~~~296,012 ~~~~313,173 ~~~~(17,161)~~~~83,832 ~~~~60,583 ~~~~23,249
161~~~~113,188 ~~~~117,400 ~~~~(4,212)~~~~43,803 ~~~~12,217 ~~~~31,586
162~~~~153,140 ~~~~153,477 ~~~~(337)~~~~26,004 ~~~~5,764 ~~~~20,240
163~~~~151,894 ~~~~152,747 ~~~~(853)~~~~8,266 ~~~~3,156 ~~~~5,110
164~~~~~68,017 ~~~~~50,804 ~~~~17,213 ~~~~1,828 ~~~~1,131 ~~~~697
NFLX
====
Still holding on to my May13 puts.
Good luck!
Sentiment: Strong Sell
=
=May 5, 2013
=
==========================================================================================
Hi xtgeminiman,
I am an options addict and always eager to improve my gambling score!
Could you please elaborate more on your statement?
"5 day MA of Put options Lag Call Options by 45.6%"
Do you take average of
a) Daily Total put options --- in all gambling rooms
~~~~~~~~~or
b) Daily Total put options --- ATM options in all gambling rooms
~~~~~~~~~or
c) Daily Total put options -- in ONLY front month options
~~~~~~~~~or
something else....
I keep track of gambling activity in Monthly ROOM of many CASINOs on Wall Strip!
Good luck gambling your hard earned money in the Biggest CASINO on EARTH!
p.s. i hv been betting on the wrong side of the market and need to improve my batting average, or i may be going to rehab very soon!
Sentiment: Strong Sell
you idiots-----why do you keep chaning things every minute???????????
Hi Chickyboy3,
Move on....!!!!
Just don't know how you got into this fight---over what?
Just want to let you know that it is beautiful day outside.
Just wanted to remind you that the egg-nore link can be accessed by clicking on Flag button.
Good luck!
Mr GINSOAKED,
I am on track to double my money on these puts
I always read/enjoy your posts
Good luck!
GLTA
SYMB~~~~LAST~~~~~DIST~~~~~~TYPE~~~~~~TTL_OI~
=====================================================
WLT~~~~~17.49~~~~0.01~~~~max_put~~~~~~~8075
NAV~~~~~30.64~~~~0.14~~~~max_put~~~~~~~7864
BKS~~~~~16.98~~~~0.02~~~~max_pain~~~~~~7751
BK~~~~~~26.99~~~~0.01~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~~7549
XME~~~~~35.13~~~~0.13~~~~max_put~~~~~~~7473
YUM~~~~~65.04~~~~0.04~~~~max_put~~~~~~~7391
BRCM~~~~31.89~~~~0.11~~~~max_put~~~~~~~7275
SAP~~~~~75.11~~~~0.11~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~~6929
NE~~~~~~36.02~~~~0.02~~~~max_call~~~~~~6848
OPK~~~~~~7.02~~~~0.02~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~~6680
GRA~~~~~74.97~~~~0.03~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~~6651
GMCR~~~~55.01~~~~0.01~~~~max_put~~~~~~~6239
APC~~~~~79.99~~~~0.01~~~~max_put~~~~~~~6161
GG~~~~~~27.86~~~~0.14~~~~max_put~~~~~~~6056
MDT~~~~~46.03~~~~0.03~~~~max_put~~~~~~~5906
NEM~~~~~32.98~~~~0.02~~~~max_put~~~~~~~5694
GOOG~~~799.87~~~~0.13~~~~max_put~~~~~~~5682
FXE~~~~129.47~~~~0.03~~~~max_put~~~~~~~5548
WDC~~~~~49.93~~~~0.07~~~~max_pain~~~~~~5396
DISH~~~~39.00~~~~0.00~~~~max_put~~~~~~~5345
GPS~~~~~37.00~~~~0.00~~~~max_put~~~~~~~5186
CLF~~~~~17.63~~~~0.13~~~~max_put~~~~~~~5118
COP~~~~~57.49~~~~0.01~~~~max_put~~~~~~~5057
FL~~~~~~31.92~~~~0.08~~~~max_put~~~~~~~5057
SDRL~~~~35.98~~~~0.02~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~~4597
VMW~~~~~72.46~~~~0.04~~~~max_put~~~~~~~4514
LNKD~~~174.95~~~~0.05~~~~max_put~~~~~~~4469
WPRT~~~~27.87~~~~0.13~~~~max_put~~~~~~~4399
SDS~~~~~44.42~~~~0.08~~~~max_put~~~~~~~4380
FAS~~~~~53.42~~~~0.08~~~~max_put~~~~~~~4155
CAR~~~~~28.00~~~~0.00~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~~4012
KERX~~~~~8.03~~~~0.03~~~~max_pain~~~~~~3933
FDX~~~~~92.39~~~~0.11~~~~max_put~~~~~~~3906
ISIS~~~~21.10~~~~0.10~~~~max_put~~~~~~~3873
TSL~~~~~~3.91~~~~0.09~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~~3736
FSLR~~~~38.10~~~~0.10~~~~max_put~~~~~~~3692
ANR~~~~~~7.05~~~~0.05~~~~max_put~~~~~~~3550
TNA~~~~~39.01~~~~0.01~~~~max_put~~~~~~~3340
DHI~~~~~21.98~~~~0.02~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~~3129
PAY~~~~~19.00~~~~0.00~~~~max_put~~~~~~~3065
MET~~~~~35.60~~~~0.10~~~~max_put~~~~~~~2993
MBI~~~~~~9.89~~~~0.11~~~~max_put~~~~~~~2900
CAG~~~~~36.06~~~~0.06~~~~max_pain~~~~~~2724
SYMB~~~~LAST~~~~~DIST~~~~~~TYPE~~~~~~TTL_OI~
=====================================================
ORCL~~~~32.37~~~~0.13~~~~max_put~~~~~~20652
PHM~~~~~17.99~~~~0.01~~~~max_put~~~~~~20540
SLV~~~~~22.40~~~~0.10~~~~max_put~~~~~~19845
MTG~~~~~~4.99~~~~0.01~~~~max_pain~~~~~19626
OIH~~~~~40.00~~~~0.00~~~~max_put~~~~~~19593
XLP~~~~~41.01~~~~0.01~~~~max_put~~~~~~17332
HPQ~~~~~19.56~~~~0.06~~~~max_put~~~~~~17227
PFE~~~~~31.06~~~~0.06~~~~max_put~~~~~~17208
C~~~~~~~45.03~~~~0.03~~~~max_pain~~~~~16733
MCD~~~~~99.92~~~~0.08~~~~max_pain~~~~~16426
GRPN~~~~~6.36~~~~0.14~~~~max_put~~~~~~16011
SMH~~~~~34.91~~~~0.09~~~~max_pain~~~~~15965
MRK~~~~~47.49~~~~0.01~~~~max_put~~~~~~15653
IBM~~~~190.00~~~~0.00~~~~max_put~~~~~~15233
OIH~~~~~42.02~~~~0.02~~~~max_call~~~~~15033
STX~~~~~34.44~~~~0.06~~~~max_put~~~~~~14586
MTG~~~~~~5.45~~~~0.05~~~~max_put~~~~~~14468
XOP~~~~~55.09~~~~0.09~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~14432
X~~~~~~~16.39~~~~0.11~~~~max_put~~~~~~14069
LLY~~~~~57.42~~~~0.08~~~~max_put~~~~~~13757
LINE~~~~38.03~~~~0.03~~~~max_call~~~~~13745
GM~~~~~~29.15~~~~0.15~~~~max_pain~~~~~12963
UNG~~~~~24.00~~~~0.00~~~~max_put~~~~~~12787
SIRI~~~~~3.01~~~~0.01~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~12685
HBAN~~~~~7.00~~~~0.00~~~~max_pain~~~~~12298
XLE~~~~~74.56~~~~0.06~~~~max_put~~~~~~12156
NVDA~~~~12.57~~~~0.07~~~~max_put~~~~~~11465
ARNA~~~~~8.00~~~~0.00~~~~max_put~~~~~~11155
MOS~~~~~57.53~~~~0.03~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~11122
EA~~~~~~17.09~~~~0.09~~~~max_put~~~~~~10845
TBT~~~~~59.88~~~~0.12~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~10681
BX~~~~~~20.04~~~~0.04~~~~max_put~~~~~~~9952
MO~~~~~~35.02~~~~0.02~~~~max_pain~~~~~~9896
HL~~~~~~~3.08~~~~0.08~~~~max_put~~~~~~~9890
SLB~~~~~69.95~~~~0.05~~~~max_put~~~~~~~9713
JNPR~~~~17.10~~~~0.10~~~~max_put~~~~~~~9471
TSN~~~~~24.08~~~~0.08~~~~max_pain~~~~~~9222
GT~~~~~~12.14~~~~0.14~~~~max_put~~~~~~~9088
VRNG~~~~~2.88~~~~0.12~~~~max_call~~~~~~8554
QCOR~~~~27.90~~~~0.10~~~~max_put~~~~~~~8494
UNH~~~~~60.04~~~~0.04~~~~max_put~~~~~~~8320
NTAP~~~~32.99~~~~0.01~~~~max_put~~~~~~~8244
SCCO~~~~31.99~~~~0.01~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~~8194
=
=APR 20, 2013
=
=======================================================================
Here is a list of JOKERS that have closed near a strike by a distance of less than 0.15
in the table below you see stocks, close prices, distance from a strike, the type of strike, TOTAL_OI at that STRK
SYMB~~~~LAST~~~~~DIST~~~~~~TYPE~~~~~~TTL_OI~
=====================================================
XLF~~~~~18.08~~~~0.08~~~~max_pain~~~~396787
SPY~~~~155.48~~~~0.02~~~~max_put~~~~~265851
VXX~~~~~20.44~~~~0.06~~~~max_put~~~~~169138
IYR~~~~~71.86~~~~0.14~~~~max_pain~~~~164524
INTC~~~~22.44~~~~0.06~~~~max_put~~~~~124669
EEM~~~~~41.64~~~~0.14~~~~max_put~~~~~114977
IWM~~~~~90.61~~~~0.11~~~~max_put~~~~~101092
AA~~~~~~~8.08~~~~0.08~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~80904
BP~~~~~~40.99~~~~0.01~~~~max_call~~~~~77031
QQQ~~~~~68.09~~~~0.09~~~~max_put~~~~~#$%$br />
F~~~~~~~12.93~~~~0.07~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~64450
AMAT~~~~12.93~~~~0.07~~~~max_pain~~~~~58851
NOK~~~~~~3.07~~~~0.07~~~~max_put~~~~~~58058
AMD~~~~~~2.47~~~~0.03~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~47528
DELL~~~~13.40~~~~0.10~~~~max_put~~~~~~46365
CSCO~~~~20.46~~~~0.04~~~~max_put~~~~~~44731
XOM~~~~~87.45~~~~0.05~~~~max_put~~~~~~42394
MS~~~~~~20.58~~~~0.08~~~~max_call~~~~~36375
LOW~~~~~38.12~~~~0.12~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~35245
CHK~~~~~18.59~~~~0.09~~~~max_put~~~~~~34663
EBAY~~~~52.39~~~~0.11~~~~max_oi~~~~~~~34091
EFA~~~~~59.10~~~~0.10~~~~max_call~~~~~33411
GLD~~~~135.47~~~~0.03~~~~max_put~~~~~~33341
VALE~~~~16.02~~~~0.02~~~~max_put~~~~~~32628
LCC~~~~~16.02~~~~0.02~~~~max_pain~~~~~32540
FXI~~~~~36.05~~~~0.05~~~~max_put~~~~~~31810
YHOO~~~~23.47~~~~0.03~~~~max_put~~~~~~26698
CBS~~~~~46.06~~~~0.06~~~~max_pain~~~~~26004
AIG~~~~~38.88~~~~0.12~~~~max_put~~~~~~25120
EMC~~~~~21.50~~~~0.00~~~~max_put~~~~~~24226
USO~~~~~31.39~~~~0.11~~~~max_put~~~~~~23716
SAN~~~~~~6.90~~~~0.10~~~~max_pain~~~~~23560
WAG~~~~~49.35~~~~0.15~~~~max_put~~~~~~23003
DIA~~~~145.14~~~~0.14~~~~max_call~~~~~22900
PBR~~~~~16.52~~~~0.02~~~~max_put~~~~~~22197
SVU~~~~~~4.98~~~~0.02~~~~max_put~~~~~~20907
continued...........
=
=Apr 14, 2013
=
====================================================================================
Hi CJ,
I am not seeing some of your messages. What are you saying that the msg police get mad? I get emails showing first two lines of your reply and when I click on 'more' the message is not there.
Anyhow -- I am not doing well in these markets. Have been betting on the wrong side, and finally waiting for the right time to get in.
For APR 13 OE I calculate current pain of 157 !
Now to remind you-- there is a lot of trimming had to be done due to addition of 0.5 strikes; as the last snapshot of the APR13 room did not have these strikes and nutter gamblers are flocking at these new strikes in thousands.
Looking at the changes in OI at near the money options, it is apparent that the Godfather will try to pin SPY around 157-158 area, here is why:
strk~~~~~~~~~~~~~Call + PUT OI Chng since last OE
--------------------------------------------------
154~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 110,660
155~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 102,830
156 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~133,880
157~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 224,500
158 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~246,273 ****************
159 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~123,760
160 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~166,603
161 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~33,952
GLD
===
If you are right about the unwinding in GLD --- 128 is feasible in coming weeks!
How are you playing earnings? Its gonna be a busy week for sure!
Good luck!
p.s. on the topic on Gun control ( i ) am for and my wife is against! go figure
=
=Mar 27, 2013
=
==============================================
Date~~~~~~~Type~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Time
---------------------------------------------------------------
3/27/13~~~~Full Worm Moon ~~~~5:27 AM
3/29/13~~~~Holiday
By the power of Full Moon, I say wild swings coming to market near you!
Sentiment: Strong Sell
=
=Mar 25,2013
=
=====================================================================
Hi CJ,
I must admit, I hv no clue about how this market keeps going up and up!
Could this be the March madness at works?
However looking at how the betting is going on in the APR room, this market is headed towards 150!
MAX_CALL~~~~160
MAX_PUT~~~~150
MAX_OI~~~~155
MAX_PAIN~~~~155
=====================================================================
STRK~~~~TODAY~~~~YSTRDE~~~~CALL_CHNG~~~~TODAY~~~~YSTRDE~~~~PUT_CHNG
---------------------------------------------------------------------
153~~~~~54,526~~~~~54,868~~~~~(342)~~~~205,469~~~~207,169~~~~(1,700)
154~~~~129,109~~~~130,295~~~(1,186)~~~~154,870~~~~161,579~~~~(6,709)
155~~~~217,148~~~~220,332~~~(3,184)~~~~253,235~~~~244,223~~~~~9,012
156~~~~~97,605~~~~~97,152~~~~~~453~~~~~~58,364~~~~~62,509~~~~(4,145)
157~~~~129,318~~~~121,309~~~~8,009~~~~~~15,777~~~~~15,925~~~~~~(148)
158~~~~~86,217~~~~~82,946~~~~3,271~~~~~~10,232~~~~~~9,880~~~~~~~352
159~~~~~97,091~~~~~94,464~~~~2,627~~~~~~~6,655~~~~~~6,277~~~~~~~378
Good luck!
Sentiment: Strong Sell
=
=Mar 21, 2013
=
========================================================================================
Hi CJ,
We saw this day coming in the options market first!
These guys will not breach 154, at least not for this Fry Day. However, if they breach 154, there is no prayer for longs!
I don't see any good news right now.
Cyprus bailout:
============
Any money thrown at this issue will not be enough, and the underlying cause is the same with few other EU nations-- its only a matter of time. EU is bad, Asia is bad, US companies are not doing well either; so then why in the world is US stock market at all time high?
I guess I don;t understand this market, and I am going to follow the gambling money and that means stay PUT PUT PUT!!!
Good luck!