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SPDR S&P Retail ETF Message Board

kirkydu 4292 posts  |  Last Activity: Jul 24, 2015 3:18 PM Member since: Oct 30, 1998
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  • the reason they do a secondary before good news is to reward shareholders of the secondary. Pretty simple. This is a conservative way of financing growth. Soon enough revenue will finance growth. You might have seen the last secondary, possibly second to last. This is an opportunity to add right here. The daily algo is bottoming. If it breaks down further, lever up with LEAPs. If not, buy, buy, buy.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Short Interest Out Today after Close

    by sailingaway82 Jul 10, 2015 3:05 PM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jul 13, 2015 6:25 PM Flag

    who woulda thought that was happening???

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Fundamental Trends by kirkydu - 4 trades coming

    by kirkydu Jul 8, 2015 6:08 PM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jul 8, 2015 6:10 PM Flag

    oh, my June Investor Presentation update is there too, for free, no sign-up required. Search for Fundamental Trends.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Fundamental Trends by kirkydu - 4 trades coming

    by kirkydu Jul 8, 2015 6:08 PM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jul 8, 2015 6:09 PM Flag

    and follow me on Twitter @KirkSpano if you twit

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • take a look at my site if you have a minute: Fundamental Trends. I designed it for folks who are managing their own money. It's very low cost, mainly just so I can help more folks out. I'll close it eventually to new subscribers if we start moving stocks around.

    I think you'll make your money back on one trade. I'm doing 4 trades by Wednesday next week if things play out in the range of my and my quant's expectations. And, because I like my long EXAS guys after all the thick and thin we've been through, here's a discount code: 120off

    That gets you $120 off the first year. I include a portfolio/investment strategy review with annual subscription.

    P.S. one trade is selling EXAS puts very soon.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • kirkydu kirkydu Jul 1, 2015 1:39 PM Flag

    well, this is just another reason that the SEC should be better funded and staffed. Guys on Wall Street and in the hedge fund world, even Junior brain deads like the kid in San Fran, fight regulation not because it stifles business, but because it would cut back on their cheating and skimming. The San Fran kid is just a noob trying to make a name for himself. Somebody is feeding him garbage most likely and some loot too. He'd be better off going to work for a mentor with ethics for a while. Maybe call Chanos if he believes in his own mind that he's actually good but undiscovered. Take the Bloomberg Aptitude Test, whatever.

    Here's what I know. My industry sucks. 4 out of 5 people in it suck. Either ethically or from a talent standpoint, often both. I made 31% shoving it in their faces and I didn't even have Ackman's bankroll. I will someday and I'm going to target these guys for the next thirty years or until they're gone, whichever comes first, probably the 30 years.

    EXAS is going to over a 100 in the next few years. The smart shorts have figured it out and are trying to escape. I know a short, a real one. He's covered. He knows. The dumb shorts just keep being dumb, they'll be crushed soon. If Cable Car Guy wants to stay in business, he ought to re-position quickly (consider that advice from somebody who's seen it for 25+ years now JMW, I really do wish you good luck, but you're wrong here and probably headed to the dark side).

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • if they don't get what they want, they resort to manipulation, lying, misdirection and intimidation.

    In the case of EXAS, the shorts have been getting crushed from about $9 to now. That's a lot of blood. They know there are more catalysts to the upside coming, so, they have found some rubes to try to push the stock around with weird arguments.

    This kid out west is a patsy. He doesn't know his head from a hole in the ground, is trying to make a name for himself and get some patronage. He's probably selling his soul a bit. It happens all the time in finance. Ethics are not an imperative where money is involved.

    Here's what I know, his argument is garbage. His saying that more people would use Cologuard if it were cheaper is bigger garbage. If insurance covers a better test, it gets used. PERIOD. That's how people think. If Cologuard were much cheaper, they'd have a hard time making it available and that would reduce screening.

    Since it is the ACS's, FDA's and CMS's, not to mention ACA's, goal to increase screening, the price of Cologuard is not going to go down. The cost-benefit of reduced advanced cancer care far overwhelms trying to save pennies vs dollars by reducing the reimbursement for Cologuard.

    I've been right about Exact for 7 years now and am up well over a 1000%. I'm right now. As I said in another thread, buy all dips. You will be well rewarded. EXAS is a three figure stock by decade end.

    If you have a few minutes, you can read my weekly view at Fundamental Trends. It is my investment letter for non-clients. I just happened to touch upon one of the ways that traders cheat in their cheating circles. It's a good read. One of the U.K.'s top financial advisors picked up the article and took it viral. Pretty cool.

    In any case, I'm long and strong EXAS and still buying the dips for new clients and myself.

    Kirk Spano
    Bluemound Asset Management

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Buy all pullbacks

    by kirkydu Jun 25, 2015 11:47 AM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jun 25, 2015 3:54 PM Flag

    I get it. I only make 3-6 trades per yr on EXAS and am up over 2000% since 2008 (you've followed so know that's true). There's a rare few who can trade and have the profit outweigh the time commitment. Most actually make less than very infrequent position traders like me. If you're swinging to a net profit, that's as great as it is rare. You got a reversal just a little while ago to buy it looks like.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Buy all pullbacks

    by kirkydu Jun 25, 2015 11:47 AM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jun 25, 2015 3:18 PM Flag

    Selling calls on a trend up stock is a loser strategy. Covered calls were a way to make more trades and generate more commissions for brokers. Now just a way to take good stocks from bad investors. Nothing personal, but think about it. Covered calls are a scam.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Buy all pullbacks

    by kirkydu Jun 25, 2015 11:47 AM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jun 25, 2015 3:15 PM Flag

    Just like technical analysis didn't work for awhile, neither will tiring to project lumpy quarterly launch numbers. Their marketing and approach are just fine. Barely at the tip of the iceberg.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Buy all pullbacks

    by kirkydu Jun 25, 2015 11:47 AM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jun 25, 2015 12:05 PM Flag

    Coin flip. Could sell puts.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • There are a lot of traders in now. Mostly momentum, some day trading reversals. I use three algos. None is overbought yet on weekly or longer time frames. Buy the daily and hourly dips. EXAS will hit $40+ this year.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    My article on Seeking Alpha

    by kirkydu Jun 5, 2015 1:57 PM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jun 22, 2015 3:39 PM Flag

    every now and then, EXAS is proof Peter Lynch was right about needing a few big winners. Along with SUNE and the oil/gas stocks I bought in spring 2012 then sold last summer, that's over half of my gains the past 6 years.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    My article on Seeking Alpha

    by kirkydu Jun 5, 2015 1:57 PM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jun 22, 2015 2:05 PM Flag

    SQUUEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEZE!!! Who woulda thunk it?!?!?! I'm seeing a run at $40 within weeks.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    If you subscribe to the cup & handle theory

    by sstephanc Jun 22, 2015 11:20 AM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jun 22, 2015 12:29 PM Flag

    my cup is getting filled

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    My article on Seeking Alpha

    by kirkydu Jun 5, 2015 1:57 PM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jun 18, 2015 4:46 PM Flag

    I hope you added back early in the week. The S&P is set-up for a few day sell-off. Might effect EXAS. If so, I'll buy more.

    I know some liars and cheaters who work in the trading rooms, which are a few degrees of separation from the hedge funds and investment banks that give them rooms and money, that manipulate stock prices (ummm, yeah, that happens). You might see a heckuva spike on EXAS to crush the momo shorts over the next month.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    My article on Seeking Alpha

    by kirkydu Jun 5, 2015 1:57 PM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jun 14, 2015 8:04 PM Flag

    you got a break, thank the hucksters. I suspect you'll be able to buy back very soon

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    EXAS to 4?

    by sucktionmonkey Jun 12, 2015 4:55 PM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jun 14, 2015 11:52 AM Flag

    $4 Billion market will be easy to get to. Probably within a year or two. Question is how fast to $10 Billion?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    My article on Seeking Alpha

    by kirkydu Jun 5, 2015 1:57 PM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jun 6, 2015 4:19 PM Flag

    whawhawhat? Call me maybe!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    My article on Seeking Alpha

    by kirkydu Jun 5, 2015 1:57 PM
    kirkydu kirkydu Jun 6, 2015 4:18 PM Flag

    put selling on pullbacks is a great strategy.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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