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kmsmith08 3 posts  |  Last Activity: Sep 14, 2014 5:22 PM Member since: Jul 21, 2009
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  • Reply to

    Buy HAIN! Going to $150/sh!

    by sqhux May 8, 2014 9:47 AM
    kmsmith08 kmsmith08 Sep 14, 2014 5:22 PM Flag

    Negative. Been shorting this absurd market for the last 1 1/2 years and have literally lost it all. No more money to play with. Longs win. I'm out. Would have had a lot more fun losing it all on the blackjack table. Oh well. Life goes on.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to


    by jnjinsi Sep 5, 2014 3:30 PM
    kmsmith08 kmsmith08 Sep 9, 2014 4:06 PM Flag

    More like $250-300-and that's present value. Future value is only going down as their growth rate decelerates and starts going negative within the next 12-24 months.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • kmsmith08 kmsmith08 Jul 29, 2014 11:35 AM Flag

    You're being generous. CMG's management and board are not to be trusted. Realistic growth rate is closer to 10%, and that will diminish over a short, i.e. 2-3 year, timeframe. Being that, a realistic PEG is closer to 4-5. Therefore, CMG is now about 150% over-valued. We will see this (without any split adjustments) at less than $300 within the next two years. Eventually, this fad will go the way of oh so many others. Their niche market is a cast of fair weather friends who will quickly move onto the next overpriced, dull, and industrial-style food place that comes along.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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