if you were going to try to have a conference to pump the stock or stop the bleeding if the data isn't that good wouldn't you want to schedule it the 9th then? by presenting on the 10th after Ash and new data on the 8th it hopefully doesn't seem like this is a conference to spin the data
Agen in reading some tweets I think AF said they would PR when they start the sickle cell dosing which hasn't happened yet and to expect results in 2015 now...December calls have huge premium.. I was thinking of getting some, but looks like no sickle cell data this year now correct?
agreed they dont' tell the future... but they do tell how big of a swing people are expecting in price per share or if there is a binary event coming up.. and they say there is not.. you could buy $5 options for pennys if you want they won't be worth a damn come october
the news is priced in.. i'd look for 3.50 on good news... october 2.5 options the ask is 1.25.. there is no premium here there will be no huge upside movement.. everyone thinks positive data is coming
6 is very dreaming.. pretty much everyone thinks this will end up positive and it's ran a good bit already.. i'd say 10-15% pop on positive data.. look at options pricing there is pretty much no premium in them
what are all these posts about data lock on 9/15/14? wasn't it earlier? if data lock is 9/15/14 no way we have news then right?
not scared at all the run up happened.. look at option pricing i dunno why you guys think there will be a big pop.. smart people sold at 3.30's
if this doesn't have it's afternoon run back to green like we've seen a lot recently i think it maybe time to sell.. everyone expects positive P3 this is not going to pop on the news.. we've had our run up already
al though they are insanely expensive.. if you were buying calls would you be looking November or December? Don't they have a conference in November new data maybe out on?
anyone else thinking there is not much movement here on positive P3? stock has run up a good bit and options for september and even october selling with almost no premium.. seems that everyone expects good data and won't move much.
the oct 5 options are a terrible example there is little to no interest in those. the $5 options have not traded on almost any month.. the october 2.5 the ask is only 1.3... There is almost no premium in those options as the stock is almost at 3.5 now.. Again wall street does not expect much movement... If you were in FOLD you know the day they released data the stock traded up about 10% almost all day with almost no pop... it was only until days or i think weeks later the stock traded up when upgrades were written.. this even is not going to be binary .. but should be positive.. i'm just putting realistic pricing up.. 5 and 6 dollar talk is stupid
i wish you were right but this has ran so much and it won't be a surprise positive data is expected I don't see anyway it moves much on the data... probably 10-15% on the day of like FOLD.. Just look at the option pricing and some of the Sept options are selling with no premium.. Sept 2.5 bid is at .85 and ask is only 1.0.. the Ask is almost what the stock is selling at.. options market expects very little move in this one and they are usually right