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Windstream Holdings, Inc. Message Board

ktumle 16 posts  |  Last Activity: Sep 11, 2014 3:08 PM Member since: Jan 23, 2012
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  • ktumle ktumle Sep 11, 2014 3:08 PM Flag

    Okay, I'll check the price on Tuesday to see how much lower. It's at $28.05 now.

  • ktumle ktumle Sep 11, 2014 1:36 PM Flag

    Does it still look like MTW is taking a swan dive? You can't tell what direction a stock will take based on it's current trading pattern. If you can, please tell me if the price will be higher or lower on Tuesday based on today's price movement. You will be right around 50% of the time.

  • Reply to

    To paraphrase Mark Twain ...

    by qazwsxedcvbn2003 Sep 9, 2014 10:41 AM
    ktumle ktumle Sep 9, 2014 11:04 AM Flag

    Mark Twain was a good writer but a terrible investor. Wait a while before investing in MCD. I sold above $100 and am waiting until their sales stop declining before I invest in MCD again.

  • Reply to


    by hwardeinhorn Sep 4, 2014 2:15 PM
    ktumle ktumle Sep 4, 2014 2:27 PM Flag

    "i" before "e" except after "c". It's a simple rule.

  • Reply to

    Japan squeezes America again + again

    by marykfaye Aug 27, 2014 10:49 AM
    ktumle ktumle Aug 29, 2014 3:12 PM Flag

    How is that squeezing America? If I'm not mistaken, Ann Arbor is in the U.S.

  • Reply to

    52week lows

    by opele1 Aug 26, 2014 7:04 PM
    ktumle ktumle Aug 27, 2014 1:32 PM Flag

    I'm not a big believer in using charts to determine an entry point for a situation in which the business environment has changed. I believe this is the case for RGR. The industry no longer have the great tail wind that it did. I believe once sales have stop falling as well as no further profit margin compression, that's the time. I will look for both metrics because a company can increase sales by reducing their profit margin. If the buyback is executed, that will increase earnings per share but buying back your stock won't increase sales and improve your profit margin. Anyway, I'm not knocking charts because a lot of people use them. I just haven't found them to be that useful in my investing. RGR is a good quality company and I'm just looking to buy some shares at a good price. I'm hoping to pick some shares up in the 30's but we'll see how this shakes out.

  • Reply to

    52week lows

    by opele1 Aug 26, 2014 7:04 PM
    ktumle ktumle Aug 27, 2014 10:34 AM Flag

    Now it's starting to get interesting. Since gun demand is weakening, it's difficult to determine when to get back in. If everyone jumps on the "exit train" as quarter after quarter shows weaker sales and a compression of profit margin, the price could drop lower than anyone would expect. I will wait until gun sales and profit margin stabilize before I purchase any gun related shares. Could be a good opportunity to invest in RGR sometime in the future but not now. RGR is a good, well managed company but that doesn't make it a good stock at this time.

  • ktumle ktumle Aug 26, 2014 10:25 AM Flag

    It would be weird if there wasn't a sell off after the run we had.

  • Reply to

    you should be buying down here.

    by bavaris7 Aug 19, 2014 12:00 PM
    ktumle ktumle Aug 19, 2014 1:26 PM Flag

    Hope you're right. I just added some shares.

  • Reply to

    FINALLY got a great

    by classshopper Jul 31, 2014 12:37 PM
    ktumle ktumle Aug 11, 2014 5:09 PM Flag

    I wouldn't consider this price a buying opportunity. I plan to wait until the price is in the 30's before I start buying. RDY would be a great buy in the low 30's not the mid 40's.

  • ktumle ktumle Jul 16, 2014 1:20 PM Flag

    I have to agree with whatwasit. You made a bad decision so you have to blame someone else for that bad decision. That's similar to a speeder blaming the police for giving him a ticket. For someone who has been investing for 25 years, I can't understand why you have such a novice attitude.

  • ktumle ktumle Jul 15, 2014 5:13 PM Flag

    I don't understand your thinking in regards to the CEO. From what I can tell, he's making the proper decisions. It's just that investors are afraid overall gun demand is dropping and that is going to add pressure to profit margins (in my opinion). At least that's the reason, I haven't purchased any shares after I sold out. Nothing the CEO can do to stop that concern. I realize that the CEO could purchase shares via the buyback but how much would that help given the current backdrop? The yield and PE are already attractive. The purchase could end up being a waste of shareholders' money. He is doing the right thing by holding off the buyback. It's not the CEO fault that you purchased the shares when you did. I personally am happy waiting for the price to drop to the low 50's and then I may reevaulate and start purchasing some shares.

  • Reply to

    too late

    by abe7475 Jul 12, 2014 12:05 PM
    ktumle ktumle Jul 15, 2014 10:19 AM Flag

    The question is from what price will the stock move up? 40, 50, 60,70? If the stock is at $45 when gun control rears it's ugly head, then that's not too great. Plus, with the currect composition of Congress, gun control reform is very unlikely. RGR is one of those "love the company but not the stock" situations for me. I'm not comfortable in regards to overall gun demand going forward. If the stock should drop to the low 50', I may start nibbling at that point. RGR will, most likely, gain market share but I'm concerned that the overall gun sales pie is shrinking. That means profit margins will decrease because it's more expensive to win market share from a competitor than just participating in a overall increase product demand. I'll be focus on the next earnings report for any signs of profit margin compression. We can expect some margin compression due to manufacturing expansion; however, the key will be if RGR drops its per unit sales price to grab additional market share. If they don't drop their unit price, the next question would be "Did their competitors drop their price?" Given RGR backlog, they may be able to maintain their unit sales price but eventually they will need to drop it. Competition can be a bear when the overall pie is shrinking.

  • ktumle by ktumle Jul 8, 2014 11:54 AM Flag

    On 5/23 I got in at 39.19 and just sold at 43.44. That's over 10% in about six weeks. I was hoping to sell in the high 40's but the current weakness enticed me to take my money off the table. I think RDY has a good future but it is a difficult stock to hold because of the price swings. I guess I'll just try to trade around it for a while.

  • Reply to

    Performance of stock

    by bridgecrew Jun 16, 2014 9:52 AM
    ktumle ktumle Jun 24, 2014 1:24 PM Flag

    You're right but it still increases the cost to CCL's customers. This will make it harder to fill up the ships. The customers that still cruise will be less apt to spend as much money while on the ship because they spent more money on the ticket.. Thus, it has a double whammy. Fewer customers and customers with less money to spend onboard. Not a good combination. Don't buy CCL when fuel prices are rising.

  • Reply to

    CEO on BNN Toronto

    by gjsmith128 Jun 10, 2014 11:44 AM
    ktumle ktumle Jun 19, 2014 10:40 AM Flag

    As long as he is a good CEO, I couldn't care less if he brags or not. Don't let a CEO's irritating personality trait keep you from making money. Steve Jobs, by most accounts, was a real #$%$ but I've made a lot of money on Apple stock. Keep your eye on the prize.

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