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NVIDIA Corporation Message Board

kvimax1 75 posts  |  Last Activity: Jan 27, 2015 11:54 AM Member since: Feb 1, 2001
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  • Given the terrific volume, and given that the 50DMA is at around 20.25, I think we will rally and recover that level at the very least, later today or tomorrow.

    The entire market is taking no prisoners, and to see MSFT down 10% is pretty amazing. Even mighty INTC has been down 5-6% and so have a few others. However, I see no fundamental reason for NVDA to stay under 20, and if the market stabilizes and recovers to any extent, we'll sure be over 20, but I think we'll be over 20.25.

    IF the market does reverse substantially, then I think we will recover 20.40-50.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Here comes 21 and higher

    by kvimax1 Jan 23, 2015 9:54 AM
    kvimax1 kvimax1 Jan 23, 2015 4:31 PM Flag

    Another NO volume day, which is hard to figure out, but I believe we closed at a 1 month high, and given how the market and INTC acted, I'd still say there are just NO sellers, at this level. Of course, if the market really does sell off next week, then the buyers may just step aside, but there's really no good reason for longs to sell and the shorts are beginning to realize that.

    I still expect we will see some kind of surprise announcement, outside of regular market hours, or with the earnings conference call. The first whiff of an IP licensing agreement, or booked sales for GRID, and we'll be in the 24-26 range in a heartbeat. The multiple new revenue streams are just getting bigger by the day.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Here comes 21 and higher

    by kvimax1 Jan 23, 2015 9:54 AM
    kvimax1 kvimax1 Jan 23, 2015 12:46 PM Flag

    Since you're just another new alias of one of the same people who have NO clue what this company is doing or where it's headed, I'll just tell you that once the volume shows up, this stock will be much, much higher.

    Now to the ignore bin with the rest of your aliases.

  • Another failed Bear Raid at the open, and the market looks like just profit-taking for the moment. IF the market stabilizes or rallies, we should make a run at 21, today or early next week.

    The pre-market trades were just not big enough to convince anyone else to jump in at the high, but I think we will grind higher throughout the day, and the Final Hour should be quite a lot of fun, provided the market doesn't collapse.

    The deal with Baidu is quite significant and I expect we'll hear more of these kinds of deals over the next few months.

    Revenue is set to crush the estimates, and even given 2nd quarter "seasonality", I think the guidance will be better than what The Street expects.

    We just need more volume to carry us higher.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • kvimax1 kvimax1 Jan 22, 2015 11:00 AM Flag

    Well, given that the early Bear Raid failed, and given that the market seems to be getting some footing, 20.50 is our next major resistance. If we take out whatever big block of stock will be waiting there (provided we get up to that level), which I would bet will be 100-150k shares in total, then 21 will be the next stop and then the old high.

    This will be an interesting day, especially since we have better volume than the last few days at this time.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Then it's 20 1/2 and then it's 21 and higher. IF the market holds up, we should move to the upside as the day progresses, but this IS the level that the shorts have been keeping us under for weeks.

    We need to see more volume.
    M

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • kvimax1 kvimax1 Jan 21, 2015 9:18 AM Flag

    Couldn't agree more. It IS the WORST company in the WORLD and is destined for bankruptcy or a "take under".....Huge positive for NVDA as investors begin to realize that NVDA will have a near monopoly, in GPUs, just like INTC has in CPUs.

    Unless an unseen issue arises, like what was announced by Samsung that they are NOT going to use the 810 due to heat issues, I believe that earnings and guidance will be terrific and the stock will move much, much higher.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Setting up for an interesting OpEx

    by kvimax1 Jan 16, 2015 11:25 AM
    kvimax1 kvimax1 Jan 16, 2015 4:23 PM Flag

    The ONLY reason, in my opinion, that we didn't get through 20, today, was simply the options sellers getting in the way at the end of the day.

    I didn't mention that I'd thought the market might rally substantially, but may have implied it in what I said. Without the OpEx, I think we would have been well over 20, and with earnings coming up, I don't think there will be any way they can hold it down at that point.

    Remember, it was leading into and right after last Feb. earnings that the stock made a 20+% move. Since the stock has essentially gone sideways since then (it got through 16, 17, 18, and nearly reached 19 in just a week or two). So, without a major collapse of the overall market, we are certainly at the point where a break out to a new level (24-26) is quite likely, and with any IP agreements and good guidance, it should be rather quick. 25-26 will have some resistance from those who might still own the stock from the spike in early 2011, but once through that level, the all-time high will be the next target, and that's in the high 30s, after all the splits.

    It's too bad the bulls waited until the last 1/2 hour to make a real attempt to move higher, but at that point the options guys were in fear that it could get over 20 and threw out a ton of stock to block its path. I didn't expect they'd wait that long and also didn't expect the sellers to be willing to risk that much stock to stop us, but they did.

    I still think 20.25 is a significant level, as is 20.50 and then every 50 cents from there on up. In the longer term, the longer we move inside this sideways range, the longer we will go higher once we break above 21 and keep going.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Setting up for an interesting OpEx

    by kvimax1 Jan 16, 2015 11:25 AM
    kvimax1 kvimax1 Jan 16, 2015 2:12 PM Flag

    There are really no sellers other than the options guys and it's impossible to miss the relative strength and lack of volume when they've tried to take it down.

    So, they have 2 hours to decide and we'll see who wins. If the Bulls decide to put it to the shorts, the stock could spike quite a lot in The Final Hour. The volume would have to expand to 6-8mm, which is very doable.

    M

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Setting up for an interesting OpEx

    by kvimax1 Jan 16, 2015 11:25 AM
    kvimax1 kvimax1 Jan 16, 2015 11:54 AM Flag

    We should see several spikes higher as we grind towards 20. The stock should move 10-15 cents at a time as the volume increases, and as the shorts begin to get the picture that they might be in trouble.

    Also, the WORST company in the WORLD is now down over 4% and only 6 cents from its 52 week low. Are they going to have another pre-earnings guide-down or are they going to file for bankruptcy? Imagine what would happen to NV's stock if AMD had to continue to cut R&D expenses because they have lost so much money and NO ONE will buy any more of their debt!

    Unless the market swoons, again, I think they last few hours of this week will be memorable.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • They were pretty sure they were "safe" with the 20s and 21 calls that they are naked short. And, with the iniital reaction to INTC's earnings, I'm sure their confidence grew some more.

    However, given that the stock has no real sellers, and was only down at the end of yesterday, and given that they couldn't get the stock down for more than a few minutes, earlier, and given that the stock is outperforming nearly every semi other than SWKS, I think we're going to see some fireworks as the day progresses.

    IF I'm right, the stock will blow through 20 and just keep going as they start to realize that they can't keep it down. Watch for a bunch of large blocks in the way as we get into the 19.90s and at 20, but if they are bought, we WILL see the 20.25-20.50 that I mentioned yesterday....or higher.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Given that the stock didn't really go down with the market, earlier, for the 2nd day in a row, and given that the market has now reversed, i do believe that we are about to make another move through 20, today, and possibly 20.25-20.50. 20.25 would put us higher than yesterdays high AND above the close on November earnings. 20.50 is likely a pivot point and getting through that level will launch us to 21 and higher over the next few days or a week.

    Don't forget that there are 3mm shares short via the 20 and 21 calls that expire tomorrow, and the shorts really believed that they were off the hook for those. They will fight hard to keep it below 20, and certainly 21, but IF there's a catalyst of news, whether it be about NVDA or INTC's earnings tonight, these next 2 days could be quite fun. We might have to wait for INTC's earnings.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Wouldn't be surprised...

    by akfarnorth Jan 14, 2015 1:04 PM
    kvimax1 kvimax1 Jan 14, 2015 1:19 PM Flag

    The stock is acting SO much better than the market and most of the semis, too. Only ARMH and MRVL (which happens to be the other possible chip choice for the Project Ara phones) are close to even or up.

    With the market down 300, the buyers are waiting to see if it totally collapses before they'll buy or until there is some piece of news. However, if the stock continues to trade close to uinchanged or higher, and the market stabilizes, then we'll see a run past the price of that trade.

    There seem to be no real sellers left, or we'd be testing that 19.08-19.10 area . The volume is SO low, and that is the tell. No real sellers without a total market meltdown. And, IF we go up with the market down, that will also be a tell and the next 2 days could be fun.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Since the early Bear Raid failed, AGAIN, I suspect we're going to head higher unless the market goes down 250+ points.

    There are obviously no real sellers, and the buyers are simply waiting to see if the overall market is truly going into the tank. I doubt that will happen, and wouldn't be at all surprised if the market does the opposite of yesterday.

    Not sure what time the DevCon starts in CA, but don't be surprised if we get some piece of news that sends us right back over 20, today or tomorrow.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    300K bought @ 20.30 after hours

    by nvdarocks Jan 13, 2015 4:16 PM
    kvimax1 kvimax1 Jan 13, 2015 4:30 PM Flag

    I saw it, too. It was definitely an AH Form-T trade, but for it to be above the intraday high and not around the closing price is certainly interesting. I doubt it has anything to do with Game Stop's news, but sure would love to see a surprise piece of news that sends us higher than that trade.

    It just seems unlikely that someone would actually pay that price unless there were news coming, since that's the reason for Form-T trades to exist.

    I've certainly mentioned countless times that I thought it would take an AH, pre-market, or weekend announcement to firmly push this stock out of its range.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    We should get back to 20 by later today or tomorrow

    by kvimax1 Jan 12, 2015 11:07 AM
    kvimax1 kvimax1 Jan 12, 2015 2:50 PM Flag

    Either Wednesday or Thursday those numbers should be out. The Bots are still in control of the movement, with 100s or a few thousand shares moving it 3-4 cents either way.

    We'll know in The Final Hour, if the market doesn't just collapse. Looking pretty weak at the moment.
    M

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    We should get back to 20 by later today or tomorrow

    by kvimax1 Jan 12, 2015 11:07 AM
    kvimax1 kvimax1 Jan 12, 2015 1:53 PM Flag

    Well, so do I. They've taken it down with very little volume and can bring it back just as easily with little volume. I don't expect any volume except at round nickel or dime prices....19.75, 19.80, 19.90, etc, where there will likely be 10-20k shares at these points.

    IF the market does recover, which I think is quite possible, then we'll knock on 20 today or tomorrow. There will be 100s of thousands of shares at that level that will need to be bought.

    There's no "fundamental reason" to sell the stock at this level, and with the Project Ara DevCon coming on Wednesday, who knows what that might bring. I expect they'll announce that the X1 will be one of the choices for the processor, along with something from MRVL.

    This could easily be all about the short stock and calls and if we get some catalyst, then they'll be in trouble.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • This Bear Raid looks to be failing, and 19.50 held as I thought it might. Provided the market doesn't swoon, later, we should grind our way back to unched and then up on the day. Once we get through 20, today or tomorrow, that's when the fun should start.

    IF there is any confirmation of the problems that QOCM is having with the 810, folks will realize that NVDA will be one of the beneficiary's of their problems.

    There are still 39mm shares short and another 3+mm shares short at the 20 and 21 strikes for this Friday's OpEx. They think they're all clear and won't have to buy them back. I think they'll be wrong.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • MRVL was down almost 3% and is now up about that much. The Bears are trying to break the recent low around 19.10, but we could just as easily have a whipsaw like what happened in MRVL.

    Will be an interesting Final Hour, and if the market does recover (which is reasonably likely), then we should get back over 19.50 and possibly up on the day.

    As always, we'll know in the fullness of time.
    Max

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

NVDA
19.20-0.58(-2.91%)Jan 30 4:00 PMEST

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