Rad is not a stock to judge week to week, month to month or quarter to quarter.
It's a stock for the long term.
It will thrill you and suck the wind out of you from time to time.
This is a stock you should not watch on a regular basis. In fact it;s a stock you should look at maybe every 30 days or more
If you believe in it's turnaround then invest.
If not then don't invest.
What does this mean?
Zacks feels Redi Clinics can give Rad a great lead in combining pharmacy and health care, at a reasonable cost, to those who would be charged at other facilities astronomical costs beyond their ability to pay.
What we all know is health care is a terrible cost to everybody.
Rad has developed a care system that is reasonable and affordable to the people who can least afford other health care options.
These clinics are expanding and will do well to Rad's bottom line in the future.
I can't and won't try to predict oil in the short or long term. The same with my airline holdings.
I'm only trying to hedge my position while holding both types of investments.
And hoping that I can be a winner with one over the other or best case making money on both.
Regarding the price of oil, I agree that the airlines can do very well. Think back when oil was above $100.
The airlines were doing very well.
At $70 they will do very well.
It's the major ETF's that will push and pull these stocks, and we have no way, for the retail investor, to
fight their relentless ups or downs when they decide to buy in or sell their holdings.
It's a #$%$ shoot.
When one goes up, one goes down.
Kind of offsets your loses in either investments. My investments in airlines is 25% more than oil.
All airlines need to lock in their fuel prices about here for the long haul.
Even if a worse case of 30 or 40 handle sets in it won't last long before oil moves up.
Within the coming months air travel will increase a great deal, especially internationally with the strong dollar from the U.S. to other countries.
For myself, other than oil I'm in firmly with AAL and DAL.
I'ts showing strong relative strength to the other airline stocks.
Smart money is in it even though the stock is down.
I'll keep an eye on it as a buffer to my oil investments.
As oil goes up airlines go down and visa versa.
I bought in half of what i wanted above 7 and was pleasantly or not so pleasantly surprised when it dropped into the 6's.
Then I bought my second half.
Friends have asked me what investments I'm making. I told them Rad if you have a strong stomach and F if you have a long horizon while reaping a good dividend. Oh also GM, for the same reason.
For the last two weeks I have also been dibbling in oil as well.
Of course any one of these investments could turn against me.
And that will force me to cut back on these investments.
BUT not Rad.
RAD took the biggest hit as usual. I took the step to dip my toes in at $7.16 and lost a few dollars.
Am I disappointed? No. I still have my other toes available to buy more but will wait, as I've said, until I see SSS for February.
As always I'm a firm believer in Rad LONG TERM.
I will let the shorts play the game and watch for the coverings that will take place as it had for the last few years.
The shorts are squeezing out the weak hands until they say uncle. Then up we go. When? No body knows.
I'm adding half of what I want to into Rad. The shorts have made their quick money and I think they will be coming in again next week to start running it up.
I may be wrong but for half of my expected share purchase I'll take my chances.
If you remember on previous messages, this purchase was planned.
And yes same store sales were fine for me.
But I would be hesitant, like I am today before I put the other foot in.
Now I'll wait until February to see the sss.
If they are as good as this month, and hopefully better, the other funds will be entered.
Of course Rad is still a stock that can make you lose sleep so don't put more money in to it if you cant afford to lose a few more percentages of pps.
The whole market is acting very strange. Have a good amount of cash on the sidelines just in case.
Oh yea I entered at $ 7.16.
Rad is a great money maker for the shorts. They run it up and then sell off for pennies up and down.
They could care less about the company. When you trade a butt load of stock on Rad, and by the way other companies as well, they make a great deal of money running stock up and then down.
So what do you do??
If you believe in Rad you stay put. If you're scared then get out.
Rad is a turnaround and it will take time. Maybe not next qtr. or the qtr.after.
For myself, I didn't think the January numbers were bad at all.
If you have been in Rad as long as I have you can remember negative growth on the top end and bottom end.
Front end store sales were deplorable.
All due to inventory disappearing out the front door. Most of those stores are long gone and many more to come soon.
The new stores are very appealing and with this new store layout and store front is bringing in many more new and old customers back to Rad. For Rad capex spending is paying off.
Oh by the way, as I always say, don't invest money you cannot afford to lose. That goes for any stock investment.
P.S. since RAD has a great deal of stores in the NE it may impact the APRIL report due to the WX this week.
This could be both negative or positive. So hang in there and keep the faith.
BUT Rad showed great resistance on a terrible day.
I'm very happy with the after hours number.
So what can we expect this week? IMHO I expect a great SSS number this Thursday.
As I have said before, I will buy either way come Thursday.
Rad has too many great things looking forward. It has been addressed here many times before.
I feel that the strong dollar will also be a benefit to Rad.
So we can also add that to the list of positive things that adds to RAD's future numbers.
Once again I emphasise to don't bet the house in RAD with money you can't afford to lose.
Even if you don't catch the bottom, the upside may provide many happy returns from where we are.
We just need to wait until we see a positive upside movement in not only sss but the quarterly report not due until April.
Yes it's a while off but it's a critical number that can have a major impact to RAD's PPS.
But even during that period Rad was only down ten cents, give or take.
As we get closer to Thursday watch the action and the volume. For it will give you a good Idea where were headed.
Since like all stocks, someone knows whats going to transpire before us retail investors.
So unfortunate. As they always say, Follow the money and volume.
Thats for stocks going in both directions by the way.
Not a lot of volume but upside momentum looks very good on a so so day.
Big money is playing coy with their big dollars. They've been burnt before. Can't blame them.
The shorts are just waiting to attack at the least bit of downside in the Rad numbers for sss on Thursday.
For me I believe Rad will not disappoint. IMHO.
Even if they do, i'll pull the trigger if the price drops significantly.
Rad is a turn around company for many reasons I won't go into.
For those holders in Rad you already know the numerous reasons why.
No, having more war is not the answer. Many veterans and non veterans have an unmistakable ability to comprehend safe and non safe operations.
Through dedicated studies of the type aircraft they are flying to researching past mistakes of others in similar type aircraft.
Be it commercial multi engine jets, corporate jets, turbo props and piston aircraft. It all boils down to the same thing. Knowing your aircraft and it's capabilities and knowing your own capabilities.
Not the least is experience over the years.
But lets not forget some of the most experienced pilots have made critical mistakes as well.
Bottom line is to be familiar with past accidents and why they happened.
The devaluation of the Euro will allow imported goods to be bought at a much lower price than 6 months ago.
If you shop at RAD look for goods that are imported from Europe. Forget about Swiss made goods,they are a lot more expensive.
Even goods made in the UK, since the British pound has dropped in value as well.
Yes, any company not just RAD that imports goods, equipment, services from Europe will do very well.
Now, on a less positive note, companies that export products to Europe or rely on vacationers to the U.S. could see a drop in income since the dollar is so strong.
Even the price of a barrel of oil has been impacted when the dollar rises, since all world oil is priced in dollars. Of course the dramatic drop in the price of oil is not due to the strengthening of the green back. just a small percentage.
The bottom line is imports are cheaper. As for drug stores this may explain why WBA (Walgreen/ Boots) struggled all day in the red while CVS and RAD went up.
The market players are seeing this as a positive thing going forward.
P.S. I didn't mean to go into details. It's for those who thought RAD would be impacted adversely.
If Apple releases a watch that's been reported with limited battery life, then it's a loser out the gate.
But Apple has hired designers and watch makers from the Swiss.
So if the battery life is as reported, being very low, then they wasted their money.
But what if this watch has a built in wind mechanism? Isn't this what Swiss watch makers are famous for?
We'll just have to wait and see.
But, if they can give the ability to have a long lasting watch, be it battery or hopefully an internal wind system
this could be a winner. Or as reported, a big loser.
If thats the case go buy a Timex or a Seiko. Forget about the magic.If it can't last long then what's the use.