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Insmed Incorporated Message Board

levonchiko 9892 posts  |  Last Activity: Jan 25, 2015 9:03 AM Member since: Aug 30, 2000
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  • Reply to

    OT Oil Question

    by insmhistorian Jan 22, 2015 4:46 PM
    levonchiko levonchiko Jan 25, 2015 9:03 AM Flag

    O/T sorry.To (insmhistorian)

    I have a rather large position in SDRL and NADL and if you are willing to wait about 1 to 1 /2 years I could see them both making you lots of $$$$$$$$$$.
    North Atlantic Drilling Limited operates as an offshore drilling services contractor in the North Atlantic region. The company provides harsh environment offshore drilling services to the oil and gas industry primarily in Norway and the United Kingdom. It operates drillships, semi-submersible rigs, jack-up rigs, and tender rigs. As of December 31, 2013, the company owned eight offshore drilling rigs, including two rigs under construction consisting of one drillship, three jack-up rigs, and four semi-submersible rigs. It also has a contract for the construction of one semi-submersible rig. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda. North Atlantic Drilling Limited is a subsidiary of Seadrill Limited.

    Richest man of NORWAY controls both companies and I must tell you that SDRL own 70% of NADL.
    Nadl has a 4.3 billion dollar contract from Rosneft that is on a hold till May for Russian sanctions and if that deal goes thru she will triple in a short time.She has dropped from $11.00 to $1.50 due to russian sanction and oil price declines.Largest share holder of SDRL just added a large amount of shares to his holdings.

    I am still long INSM and hoping to see the best year ever for them in 2015.

  • With that said, North Atlantic Drilling does still retain some growth potential, although this potential has weakened over the past few months. Much of this potential comes from the company's deal with Russian oil giant Rosneft (OTC:RNFTF), which I discussed in an earlier article. The fact that a sizable amount of North Atlantic Drilling's growth potential comes from Rosneft has led to some concerns among investors due to the continuation of the Western sanctions against Russia; these sanctions began earlier this year due to the events in the Ukraine. Further concerns about this deal come from the recently announced extension of the period in which each company can choose to cancel the deal. As I have discussed before, I believe that this deal will ultimately get done regardless of the current sanctions and that, as North Atlantic Drilling stated in its announcement, both companies remain committed to completing the deal. However, the recent plunge in global oil prices could make Rosneft hesitant to develop its tremendous resources in the Arctic regions to the north of Russia. This is due to the cost of extracting oil in these regions. In a presentation given at the Deutsche Bank Leveraged Finance Conference on October 3, North Atlantic Drilling's parent company Seadrill (NYSE:SDRL) detailed these costs:

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • he company has opted to temporarily suspend its dividend.
    One of the first things that an investor reading these highlights is likely to notice is that the company managed to achieve rather impressive quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year growth. The primary reason for this was the aforementioned increase in the company's economic utilization rate. As I have discussed many times in past articles, an offshore drilling rig is only compensated for time that the rig actually spends in operation. A rig does not generate revenue during those times that it experiences downtime, such as time spent undergoing maintenance or repairs. As North Atlantic Drilling has managed to increase its economic utilization rate during the third quarter compared to the second, the company's rigs experienced less downtime in aggregate than in the previous quarter. Thus, the company's fleet generated more revenue quarter-over-quarter. This increased revenue worked its way down to the company's bottom line, resulting in earnings growth. Unfortunately, North Atlantic Drilling is not likely to be able to increase its revenues and profits any further through this method going forward. This is because offshore drilling rigs are very sophisticated pieces of equipment and like any sophisticated piece of equipment, they require regular maintenance in order to continue functioning properly. Thus, it is highly unlikely that any rig will ever achieve 100% uptime over the course of a quarter and thus earn the full amount of revenue that it theoretically could given its contract. At a total fleetwide uptime of 99%, North Atlantic Drilling is unlikely to be able to increase its utilization further.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • On Wednesday, November 26, 2014, harsh environment drilling specialist North Atlantic Drilling (NYSE:NADL) announced its third quarter 2014 financial results. Despite the way the market reacted to these results, the report was actually quite strong. In addition, the future prospects for the company continue to be strong. However, the recent decline in the price of oil could certainly prove negative for the company in the short-term should it persist. With that said, let us have a look at the company's results.

    As my long-term readers are no doubt already well aware, I like to share the highlights from a company's earnings report before delving into an analysis of those results. This is because these highlights provide an excellent background for the article and help to frame the resultant discussion. Therefore, here are the highlights from North Atlantic Drilling's third quarter results:

    The company reported total third quarter revenues of $356.2 million. This represents a 3.97% increase over the second quarter.
    North Atlantic Drilling reported an operating profit of $110.9 million in the third quarter. This represents an increase of 5.82% over the company's second quarter operating profit.
    North Atlantic Drilling achieved an excellent economic utilization rate of 99% in the third quarter, up slightly from the 98% rate that it achieved in the second quarter.
    The company had a net income of $74.4 million in the quarter. This works out to $0.29 per share and represents a 7.9% increase over the prior year quarter.
    North Atlantic Drilling reported an EBITDA of $167.9 million. This is the highest EBITDA that the company has ever achieved.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • levonchiko levonchiko Dec 3, 2014 10:41 AM Flag

    Looks like the full report was just removed .
    Try to GOOGLE seeking Alpha's full article on NADL.
    They seem to be very bullish.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • levonchiko by levonchiko Dec 3, 2014 10:31 AM Flag

    Source: North Atlantic Drilling

    As the chart shows, North Atlantic Drilling can effectively pay off all of its maturing debt over the next two years with the money saved by not paying out the dividend. This will significantly strengthen North Atlantic Drilling's balance sheet going forward, improving the company's ability to sustain itself until the deals with Rosneft begin to bear fruit. All in all, it was a very prudent move and it is not something that I believe should frighten investors away from the company.

    Editor's Note: This article discusses one or more securities that do not trade on a major exchange. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Seeking Alpha
    Dec. 3, 2014 9:54 AM ET | About: North Atlantic Drilling Ltd. (NADL), Includes: RNFTF, SDRL
    Disclosure: The author is long NADL, SDRL. (More...)

    North Atlantic Drilling's results showed strong quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year growth, including a record EBITDA.
    The company is well positioned for growth going forward due to the enormous amount of oil that is located off the coast of Siberia.
    Rosneft is committed to developing its Russian reserves and North Atlantic Drilling has the most modern and capable fleet to assist in this endeavor.
    The development timetable for these Russian reserves is somewhat uncertain.
    North Atlantic Drilling's dividend cut was not out of necessity but was done so the company could strengthen its finances and better weather near-term headwinds.
    This article was sent to 1,460 people who get email alerts on NADL.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Good luck to all.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Dividend timing?

    by biobug Nov 13, 2014 2:44 PM
    levonchiko levonchiko Nov 13, 2014 2:56 PM Flag

    Last time i received mine on Sept 18th that alone should give the stock a nice rebound at these high levels.
    I went thru this with PTEN energy years ago and ended up making a fortune with it. don't panic just hang in there.

  • Reply to

    Closed Green.....

    by insmhistorian Nov 6, 2014 4:01 PM
    levonchiko levonchiko Nov 6, 2014 4:13 PM Flag

    Yes it did specially for my last purchases from today.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • levonchiko levonchiko Nov 6, 2014 2:25 PM Flag

    I just added 7000 shares and I think that share price will be heading back up soon.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • levonchiko levonchiko Oct 16, 2014 9:04 AM Flag

    I did provide you with a link if you need more you have to do some reading since I couldn't post the conclusion
    part either.

  • levonchiko by levonchiko Oct 8, 2014 4:47 PM Flag

    First, it is important to understand how important the Russian market is to North Atlantic Drilling. About half of all hydrocarbon resources in the world's Arctic regions are believed to lie off of the Russian coast. As much of North Atlantic Drilling's future is likely to be Arctic operations, as opposed to the limited opportunities available in other harsh-environment areas, the inability to operate in Russia would eliminate half of the company's potential market.

    Another factor to consider here is the personality of North Atlantic Drilling's Chairman, Mr. John Fredriksen. Mr. Fredriksen is a Norwegian-born shipping magnate who first made his fortune by shipping oil out of Iran during the time of the Iran-Iraq war. At the time, many countries had imposed sanctions against Iran and very few shipping companies were willing to operate in the area because of the near constant threat of Iraqi missiles that targeted oil tankers. In fact, Mr. Fredriksen's tankers were hit three times by Iraqi missiles. Mr. Fredriksen was so uniquely successful at this that he became known as the "lifeline to the Ayatollah." Mr. Fredriksen again breached western sanctions in the 1980s when he shipped oil into the apartheid regime of South Africa. In short, Mr. Fredriksen's personality would seemingly be one that could result in North Atlantic Drilling ignoring the sanctions or reincorporating itself into a country that has not imposed sanctions on Russia in order to ensure that this deal continues.

    Thirdly, there is the matter of Rosneft's ownership stake in North Atlantic Drilling. On August 25, 2014, North Atlantic Drilling announced that it is acquiring 150 onshore rigs from Rosneft in exchange for a 30% equity stake in the company. This huge equity stake makes Rosneft the second largest equity holder in North Atlantic Drilling. This also makes it more likely that North Atlantic Drilling will continue to do business with Rosneft.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • levonchiko by levonchiko Oct 8, 2014 4:46 PM Flag

    As this chart shows, North Atlantic Drilling does not have a single rig coming off contract this year. Thus, the company is likely to have relatively stable revenue and operating cash flow for the remainder of this year.

    North Atlantic Drilling does have two rigs whose contracts are scheduled to end next year for which it has not secured new contracts. These two rigs are the West Venture and the West Phoenix and their contracts expire in July and October 2015 respectively. North Atlantic Drilling will see its revenue adversely impacted at that time should it fail to secure new contracts for these rigs. However, considering that the harsh-environment rig segment is much stronger than the offshore rig market as a whole and North Atlantic Drilling still has a long period of time before these contracts expire that it can use to find new ones. Thus, there does not appear to be any reason to worry just yet about these contract expirations.

    The final reason for a rapid and severe share price decline has to do with the company's recent agreement with Russian oil giant Rosneft (OTC:RNFTF). As the chart above shows, Rosneft will be contracting two of North Atlantic Drilling's rigs once their current contracts expire. In addition, North Atlantic Drilling is constructing three more rigs, which will be contracted by Rosneft once they are completed. Unfortunately, both Rosneft and its majority owner, the Russian Federation, have been the targets of Western sanctions over the past several months. The concern of many market participants is that these sanctions would make it impossible for North Atlantic Drilling to perform under these contracts.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • levonchiko by levonchiko Oct 8, 2014 4:37 PM Flag

    Source: IHS Petrodata

    As this chart shows, not only has the utilization rate of harsh-environment jack-up rigs remained stable at 100% so far this year but dayrates have actually been increasing. This stands in stark contrast to the market for deep- and ultra-deepwater rigs that has caused such concern among market participants. That market has been characterized by falling dayrates and declining utilization, particularly among older rigs, as I have discussed numerous times in previous articles.

    In addition to operating only in a market segment that has very strong fundamentals, North Atlantic Drilling enjoys a very strong contract position. This chart shows all the contracts that North Atlantic Drilling currently has for its rigs:

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • levonchiko by levonchiko Oct 8, 2014 4:33 PM Flag

    The past several weeks has seen significant declines in the price of both WTI crude oil and Brent crude oil, with WTI November contracts currently trading for $90.57 and Brent November contracts trading for $93.12. This has negatively affected the stock prices of all companies that are related to the oil and gas industry. In some cases, this makes sense. For example, upstream exploration and production companies can see their revenues and cash flows adversely affected when oil prices decline unless the company has fully hedged itself against such declines. However, not all companies in the oil and gas industry have their revenues directly impacted by oil prices. Offshore drilling companies, such as North Atlantic Drilling, Seadrill (NYSE:SDRL), and Ensco (NYSE:ESV), fall into the latter category. These companies instead generate revenue by contracting their rigs to oil and gas companies for a specified period of time. Over the term of these contracts, these rigs perform drilling operations for the oil and gas company, which then pays a fixed rate to the owner of the rig. While some of these contracts do include a variable component that could depend on the revenue that the oil company derives from the well that a given rig drills, by and large the revenue that a rig generates is fixed over the contract term regardless of oil prices. Thus, the decline in oil prices has not fundamentally affected North Atlantic Drilling's revenues, cash flows, or net income. The reason why the decline in oil prices has resulted in a decline in the share price of North Atlantic Drilling and other offshore drilling companies is because shares of these companies are frequently held by energy mutual funds and ETFs. As oil prices decline, investors tend to sell off their positions in these funds and this forces the funds to sell off all of their positions en masse. This mass selling results in share price declines even if the company's revenues are not particularly exposed to oil prices.

  • Seeking Alpha

    North Atlantic Drilling's share price has suffered severely over the past few weeks.
    One reason for this has been the falling price of oil, but North Atlantic Drilling's revenues and cash flow do not depend on oil prices.
    Another reason for the share price decline has been the weakness in the offshore drilling industry but the company's focus on harsh-environment drilling makes this unlikely to be a problem.
    Finally, North Atlantic Drilling has been punished for its recent deal with Rosneft due to fear of sanctions preventing the deal from being executed.
    For several reasons, I do not believe that these sanctions will be a concern for the company and it will continue to operate as normal.
    Shares of harsh environment drilling specialist North Atlantic Drilling (NYSE:NADL) have been suffering from a severe price decline over the past few weeks and currently trade for $6.28, near to their all-time lows. There are a few reasons for this, but only one of them is something that shareholders should be concerned about and I believe that it is not as large of a concern as the market believes. In this article, I will discuss the primary reasons for the falling share price and discuss why shareholders need not be concerned.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to


    by rooster4845 Oct 4, 2014 11:46 PM
    levonchiko levonchiko Oct 6, 2014 12:34 PM Flag

    Thanks for your concern.
    I am diversified and and hold more than enough.

  • Reply to


    by rooster4845 Oct 4, 2014 11:46 PM
    levonchiko levonchiko Oct 5, 2014 1:49 PM Flag

    I have been averaging down so much that I have a substantial position now.(100,000 shares to be exact).
    I can't complain about the dividends of course but i have dropped a small fortune here in the last 3 weeks.
    Last time this happened to me years ago I used to own patterson(PTEN) energy and I remember taking a heavy position when she had declined but i ended up loading the boat from low $3.00's and i ended up making over 5 times my investment in the shortest time and right after i sold it around $15.00 she took off and got taken over by UTI energy.
    Even Warren buffet on a CNBC interview was saying i keep on adding to my positions every time they decline and i hope for them to decline so i can buy more and i never buy for short time but i think of it as an investment for the future to come.
    Best regrads

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    A very small company

    by bohemianclubman Sep 25, 2014 4:22 PM
    levonchiko levonchiko Sep 25, 2014 9:18 PM Flag

    Could this be it something to do with( Inhalation)?

    NEW YORK, Sept 25 (Reuters) - MannKind Corp shares were among the most actively traded in premarket on Thursday, after the company said it had closed a licensing agreement with Sanofi for the development and commercialization of its inhaled insulin product.

    MannKind said it will receive a $150 million upfront payment within 10 days of the closing.

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