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American Science & Engineering Inc. Message Board

luckyone581 240 posts  |  Last Activity: 14 hours ago Member since: Feb 10, 2008
  • Reply to

    FCEL Should....

    by luckyone581 Jan 3, 2016 7:21 AM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Jan 3, 2016 8:29 PM Flag

    For whatever its worth, you are now on ignore. Not only do I not believe you, but nothing you have said so far has had any value to it. To continue reading your posts would be a waste of time. Bye.

  • Reply to

    FCEL Should....

    by luckyone581 Jan 3, 2016 7:21 AM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Jan 3, 2016 6:42 PM Flag

    You keep harping on the lie that you have shorted FCEL twice successfully. First of all, even if it is true it is not much of an accomplishment given that FCEL has been under sell pressure for the past 16 months, ever since it rallied up to 2.84 in August of 2014. As such, shorting a downtrending stock is not something to pat yourself on the back for. In addition, 2 successful trades do not make a winner.

    I have been giving public mentions for the past 8 years in the way of a newsletter that comes out every Sunday night with mentions for the week "before the fact". Below are the results of 8 years of an average of 300 mentions per year.

    Status of account for 2007: Profit of $9,758 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
    Status of account for 2008: Profit of $14,704 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
    Status of account for 2009: Profit of $7,523 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
    Status of account for 2010: Profit of $24,045 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
    Status of account for 2011: Profit of $3,616 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
    Status of account for 2012: Profit of $3,399 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
    Status of account for 2013: Profit of $15,886 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
    Status of account for 2014: Profit of $21,221 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
    Status of account for 2015: Profit of $19,190 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.

    That is something to pat oneself on the back for!!

  • luckyone581 by luckyone581 Jan 3, 2016 5:31 PM Flag

    Ending Results for 2015

    Total amount of trades for the year = 86
    Total amount of different stocks traded = 38
    Total amount of profitable trades = 37
    Total amount of losing trades = 49
    Total amount of months showing profit = 7
    Total amount of months showing loss = 5
    Percentage of trades/mentions profitable = 43%
    Total trades on the long side = 34
    Total closed out profitable trades on the long side = 14
    Total open trades presently in profit on the long side = 6/8
    Percentage of closed out long positions in profit = 41.1%
    Percentage of open trades presently in profit on the long side = 75%
    Total trades on the short side = 52
    Total closed out profitable trades on the short side = 21
    Total open trades presently in profit on the short side = 4/5
    Percentage of open trades presently in profit on the short side = 80%
    Percentage of closed out short positions in profit = 40.4%
    Total amount gained on profitable trades (including open positions), per 100 shares = $37,616
    Total amount lost on losing trades (including open positions), per 100 shares = $17,117
    Total amount paid in commissions = $1309

    End result of all trades for the year including open positions:
    Profit of $19,190 per 100 shares of each mention (after losses and commissions subtracted)

  • Reply to

    FCEL Should....

    by luckyone581 Jan 3, 2016 7:21 AM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Jan 3, 2016 5:19 PM Flag

    Toxic People (by Kickstart)

    1) They're selfish
    2) They need to be right
    3) They are surrounded by Drama
    4) They Lie
    5) They are too eager, never rest or stop.
    6) The never have a nice word to say about others
    7) They never let go
    8) They are evasive
    9) They are abusive
    10) They never listen

    Jonas, I totally feel sorry for you, I really do. To go through life being toxic, without any knowledge, negative all the time, and with a foul mouth is a true handicap. I don't know how old you are but if you are young you are going to have a tough road ahead of you if you don't change and if you are old you are likely to die alone. It really is sad as these message boards cannot fill the void you are feeling.

    Perhaps you can find a place where they help Toxic people. It might do you good to look for a place of help because at the rate you are going you will burn up within a year. No one can survive the suicidal pace you are going at, especially with the hate you seem to have within you.

    May God have mercy on you. You do need help.

  • luckyone581 by luckyone581 Jan 3, 2016 7:21 AM Flag

    FCEL should find support at the 5.00 level and down to what I call the bottom of the "demilitarized" zone at 4.70. Demilitarized zone means the area 30 points above and below a strong psychological level such #$%$00 is.

    In addition, shorting the stock below 5.00 becomes a lot more difficult for the public, given that some brokerage firms do not allow shorting of stocks below $5 and those that do, do have higher margin requirements to do so. This does take away some of the selling interest that has been seen since the reverse split occurred.

    It also needs to be mentioned that the last earnings report was not worse than others seen previously, meaning that the selling interest was mostly due to the reverse split and not due to a negative change of fundamentals.

    The stock did close on the lows of the week and further downside below last week's low at 4.90 is likely to be seen this week. Nonetheless, the drop below 4.90 is likely to be limited and short-lived as I expect the stock to generate a green close next Friday and make Thursday's weekly close at 4.95 into a successful retest of that important psychological support. It should also be mentioned is that if the stock shows any buying interest, the people that shorted the stock over the past couple of weeks are likely to short-cover, meaning that a rapid rally off of this psychological support level is likely to occur. It also needs to be mentioned that since the drop occurred almost straight down, there has not been any resistance levels built above, meaning that a short-covering rally has almost open air above until the previous low daily close at 8.00 is reached.

    I would not be surprised to see the stock get back up to $8 within the next 1-3 weeks.

    My chart opinion.

  • KNDI failed to follow through on the previous week’s rally and close near the highs of the week, having generated an inside week and a red close near the lows of the week, suggesting further downside below last week’s low at 10.71 will be seen this week. The stock did give a small failure to follow through signal on the daily closing chart, having closed on Wednesday below the previous 7-month high daily close at 10.91. Nonetheless, the bears were unable to confirm that failure to follow through signal on Thursday, having closed above the previous 7-month high weekly close at 10.79, meaning that the door is still open for the stock to go higher, if and when the indexes or the fundamental picture do not deteriorate. Decent intra-week support is found at 10.30 and important and likely pivotal daily close support is found at 10.00. To the upside, minor resistance is found at 11.25, a bit stronger and likely a bit more pivotal at 11.60 and decent at the 7-month high at 12.00. With the bulls failing to generate follow through to the bullish flag formation and the indexes likely to continue lower, the probabilities seem to slightly favor the bears now.

  • Reply to

    NO more shortselling Below $5.00 a share!!!!!!!!!

    by iberica007 Dec 31, 2015 11:45 AM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Jan 3, 2016 4:36 AM Flag

    Jonas, you are absolutely nothing but a talker, and one without class to finish it off. I wouldn't believe you even if you swore on your mother's grave. I have met people like you many times before (usually in the gutter) and I have never seen one that is a doer. They are all blowhards and usually do not have enough money to even buy a cup of coffee. They spend time on these "free" message boards trying to make themselves feel important by trying to downgrade everyone else around. It is the only way because they have no knowledge of how to actually make themselves valuable. #$%$ of the earth, if you ask me.

    Good luck to you, you need all you can get just to cope with life.

  • Reply to

    NO more shortselling Below $5.00 a share!!!!!!!!!

    by iberica007 Dec 31, 2015 11:45 AM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Jan 2, 2016 9:01 PM Flag

    Sorry, but I don't believe you (I made my huge short at $9.79). You talk too much to be a doer. Dogs that bark usually do not bite and I think you are simply a blowhard and a fake. I have a feeling you have probably not traded much in your life (if at all) and even then probably just a few shares here and there. You seem to be a penny stock trader and then even a small one.

  • Reply to

    NO more shortselling Below $5.00 a share!!!!!!!!!

    by iberica007 Dec 31, 2015 11:45 AM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Jan 2, 2016 7:56 PM Flag

    Individual brokerages can set their limits wherever they wish, as long as they are no more liberal than the rules set forth by FINRA and by Regulation T. For example, Fidelity, TradeKing and ScotTrade will not issue margin loans on any stock with a price of under $3 per share, regardless of the exchange on which it trades. Fidelity also will not let investors buy shares from Initial Public Offerings on margin.
    Brokerage Margin Limits

    Individual brokerages can also impose their own margin and equity limits, and some tie their margin limits to share prices. ScotTrade, for example, has a 30 percent equity requirement on shares that cost $5 or more, but requires 50 percent equity on shares costing between $3 and $4.99. Other firms, like Fidelity or TradeKing, do not.

  • Reply to

    NO more shortselling Below $5.00 a share!!!!!!!!!

    by iberica007 Dec 31, 2015 11:45 AM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Jan 2, 2016 7:30 PM Flag

    I know you will do exactly what you wish to do. Bullies, dummies, idiots, and non principled ignorant people always do. They have no education, tact, or common sense. By the same token, your doing that simply goes to prove your worth as a person, which in my opinion is nothing.

    If you are trying to impress other like you, you are being an idiot anyhow since those kind of people never are impressed by anything and people that have any value never will be impressed by vulgarity and lack of knowledge.

    By the way, why don't you try to short FCEL this week and see if you are successful. After all, if you are going to comment on anything you should have first hand knowledge of it. I can tell you don't have any knowledge since you are saying that any broken in the USA allows a marginable security to be shorted. Did you know that stocks under $5 are not marginable?

  • Reply to

    NO more shortselling Below $5.00 a share!!!!!!!!!

    by iberica007 Dec 31, 2015 11:45 AM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Jan 2, 2016 6:51 PM Flag

    Jonas, first of all there is no need to use foul language and capital letters. Things can be said just as easily and listened to with more interest if they are not insulting.

    Nonetheless, most brokerage firms will not allow you to short a stock under $5, meaning that most of the "public" cannot do so. If you are a professional trader and don't use a normal brokerage firm you can do so, but most of us can't.

    That is the reason why when the stock was at .,80 cents it was not being pushed down but now with the reverse split and at $10, the public got involved, Keep in mind that at the old pre-reverse split price this is now a .41 cent stock and yet there has been no change of fundamentals, other than the reverse split.

    Get your facts straight.

    By the way, I have been trading for 38 years, worked as a broker/trader/analyst for Prudential Bache, Dean Witter and Merrill Lynch between 1979 and 1988, so I am no neophyte or tard as you called me.

    Also by the way, go jump in a lake!........... you are useless as a critic.

  • Reply to

    NO more shortselling Below $5.00 a share!!!!!!!!!

    by iberica007 Dec 31, 2015 11:45 AM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Jan 2, 2016 2:58 PM Flag

    no short selling for the public under $5 dollars.

  • luckyone581 by luckyone581 Dec 31, 2015 10:04 AM Flag

    A close below 10.79 today would give a failure to follow through signal on KNDI and likely bring in selling interest to start the year. A close above 11.31 would be a positive and a close above last week's close at 11.51 would be a decent boost for the bulls.

    Another thing to watch for today. The last 2 years the indexes closed in the red on the last week of the year (below the previous week's Xmas close) and the indexes started out the year with a short-term downtrend that lasted about 6 weeks. The 3 years previous to that, the indexes closed out the year in the green and started the year with further upside for about the same period of time. In 2010, the indexes did the same thing as they did the last 2 years, suggesting that today's close will be indicative of how the market will start the year.

    Last week's closes:

    DOW at 17552
    SPX at 2060
    NAZ at 5048

    meaning that a close above or below those level today would likely signal how the traders will approach the indexes at the beginning of 2016.

  • Reply to

    Lemmings

    by luckyone581 Dec 28, 2015 3:58 PM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Dec 28, 2015 4:03 PM Flag

    continued...

    Nonetheless, today's spike up rally (after the news that came out) does suggest that a new leg up in the 7 year uptrend is likely to occur. By the same token, if this rally fails to make a new all-time high, especially with the spike up seen today, it could mean that some long term profit taking might occur, especially given that next year is not expected to be much better than this year, retail-wise.

    The rally today could end up being the right shoulder of a Head & Shoulders formation that would offer a downside target of $600 if built and broken. As such, I did want to mention this so that if you are interested in trading AMZN on the short side you could consider it.

    Today's rally and likely close near the highs of the day will likely see follow through tomorrow with an upside target of 675.96. A sale could be considered around that price, using either a sensitive stop loss at 682.75 and a stronger one at 684.92. By the same token, if the resistance at 682.50 is broken, the probabilities will be high that the stock will make a new all-time high and extend the uptrend. As such, the lower stop makes sense.

    The neckline of the H&S formation is down at 639.00 but on a weekly closing basis, a close below 640.15 would be strongly short-term negative. The objective of the H&S formation if broken is $595-$597, meaning that a sale around $675 with a stop loss at 682.75 would offer an 12-1 risk/reward ratio (risk of $575 and profit potential of $8000 per 100 shares).

    Evidently, the probability number on this trade has to be low (probably not even 50-50) but the risk/reward ratio, the probability of the indexes heading lower, the fact the Xmas holiday buying period is over, the extreme overbought condition, and the lack of much growth expected to be seen in 2016 does make the trade something to consider.

  • luckyone581 by luckyone581 Dec 28, 2015 3:58 PM Flag

    I always find is perplexing why these message boards are usually full of lemmings and few mavericks (if any). This market is not favorable for lemmings as they are normally fodder for the sharks in the market. Nonetheless, lemmings are usually welcomed and mavericks thrust away. It makes no sense to me since Mavericks are likely to put money in your pocket while lemmings likely to help you jump off the cliff to your death. Nonetheless, it is what it is and is not something I am likely to have any success in changing.

    By the same token, I always try to do my best to bring ideas (within a chart scenario) that may be controversial but offer the chance of high profits.

    Below is one that I just gave to my subscribers. Perhaps you guys can use it to measure what I can "bring to the table" in the way of "forward thinking rather than the lemming-like philosophy:

    AMZN is fundamentally strong and as such a difficult stock to even consider shorting. Bezos has managed the company intelligently, having decided to keep the profit margins extremely low and re-invest the profits in the company while he builds a company that will DOMINATE the industry. It seems he is well on his way to accomplishing his goal.

    Nonetheless, the stock has gone from $34 to the recent high at $648 over the past 7 years and is now likely at a level where questions as to "how successful can he continue to be and how much higher appreciation can be obtained" are likely to be asked.

    Being a buyer at these prices no longer offers the same good risk/reward ratio as seen in the past and that has been proven by the fact that the stock got up to $684 in November and in spite of great success with online purchases during this Xmas holiday period and the great success with AMZN Prime (stated this morning that more than 3 million new customers have been added in the last 3 weeks and that Prime now has "tens of millions of new customers") that the stock remains below the all-time high at $684.

    continued....

  • Reply to

    Weekend Chart Update KNDI 12/26

    by luckyone581 Dec 27, 2015 5:08 PM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Dec 28, 2015 2:38 PM Flag

    I am not Chasen. I have been on Yahoo message boards since 2005 with the same screen name. You can check it out. In addition, I don't NEED anyone defending me. I have done a good enough job defending myself without needing anyone else to back me up.

    Nonetheless, one question for you Wally. With so many people mimicking and saying the same thing that other idiots are same and not be called "the same person", why would someone agreeing with someone else when common sense is involved be called "the same person". After all Wally, I have not called you JC or Baby. Perhaps all three of you are the same person, you sure sound alike and say the same negative things.

  • Reply to

    Weekend Chart Update KNDI 12/26

    by luckyone581 Dec 27, 2015 5:08 PM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Dec 28, 2015 2:27 PM Flag

    already the stock has begun to give small failure signals, starting with the fact that the stock went below the previous high at 11.25 today. The flag formation suggested that would not happen but it did happen today. By the same token, the day's low at 10.91 is not yet enough to make a statement for the bears. meaning that it is still in question. By the same token, the indexes did not see any follow through to the upside today after last week's strength, and with the same thing having happened last year which was then followed by 6 weeks of weakness, the possibilities are good that it will happen again. If KNDI bulls do not get the support of the market for higher prices at this "pivotal" level, it does increase the chances that no confirmation to last week's breakout will occur this Thursday.

    If KNDI fails here it will be a big "chart" disappointment and the traders that are always looking for paths to easy profits will pounce on the stock to push it down as much as they can. Can anyone tell me with confidence at what price there will be guaranteed buying interest? the answer to that question is "no" and that is why the traders will turn bears very fast if the stock fails here because the path of least resistance will be to the downside as no one has a good idea of where buying interest of consequence will occur.

    You guys can think whatever you want of me, but all of this information has been gathered over the years by talking to professional traders that do this for a living. It is what the professional traders look at, consider, and trade off of. Whether it helps you trade or not is not my decision to make, but giving you the information I have gathered over the years is a plus and not a minus. After all, information is always valuable even if you do not heed it, unless of course you want to live in a fantasy world of your own making. In that case, anything that is not to your liking will not only be dismissed but criticized heavily.

    Your choice.

  • Reply to

    Weekend Chart Update KNDI 12/26

    by luckyone581 Dec 27, 2015 5:08 PM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Dec 28, 2015 2:14 PM Flag

    Let me take this opportunity to explain something to all those that do not understand what technical analysis is or does.

    First of all, there is NEVER a clear answer to any question, just probability numbers. Any stock can go up, it can go down and it can go sideways. Nonetheless, knowing what the probabilities are is always of assistance. It is much like a manager of a baseball team needing to replace a starting pitcher and knowing what the tendencies are of the upcoming batter and of the pitchers at his disposal. He never knows for sure if his decision will win the game for him or not, but knowing the tendencies (probabilities) will increase his chances of winning. Over a period of a season (like trading for the year), more right than wrong decisions likely means a winning rather than a losing record.

    In addition, there are many guidelines that all technical traders follow and knowing those guidelines helps make right decisions more often than not, like getting out of a trade too soon or too late. For example, a break of resistance, as seen on Thursday in KNDI when the stock closed above 11.31, does suggest that the stock will head higher. Nonetheless, the market is often manipulated to trigger stops, #$%$ fakes, and to fool the people that are not aware of the guidelines so the smart traders can take advantage. All breakouts, such as the one seen on Thursday, need to be confirmed the following week. It is a guideline that tech traders follow because if it was a head fake, the follow through buying will not be there the following week. Sometimes a breakout is convincing and confirmation is almost moot. Nonetheless, in the case of KNDI, the close 20 points above 11.31 was not all that convincing, meaning that waiting another week made common sense.

    These are the decisions that have to be made so that a trader does not get "chopped up" in the market but still keeps a handle on what is happening.

    continued..............

  • Reply to

    WMT Chart Evaluation and Buy Mention

    by luckyone581 Oct 31, 2015 8:13 PM
    luckyone581 luckyone581 Dec 27, 2015 5:52 PM Flag

    On November 2nd I gave a buy mention here on this board to purchase WMT at 56.85 with a stop loss at 55.58. I gave a 63.00 objective which is probably going to be reached this week or next.

    Below is the comment about the trade that will appear in today's newsletter.

    WMT made a new 10-week weekly closing high on Thursday and the stock closed on the highs of the week, suggesting further upside above last week’s high at 61.12 will be seen. The stock is showing a bullish flag formation with the flagpole being the rally from 56.30 and 61.47 and the flag the trading range seen the last 5 weeks between 58.31 and 61.47. A break above 61.47 would offer an objective of 63.48, which is the mention’s objective. Support is found at 58.75 and at 58.31 and resistance at 61.12 and 61.47. Probabilities strongly favor the bulls this week but it does need to be mentioned that this buy purchase will be liquidated above 63.00 as I do expect the stock to get back into a $57-$63 trading range for another month or two thereafter.

    If interested in additional information about the service I supply, let me know through this post.

  • KNDI generated a strong week as well as a close above the previous low weekly close at 11.31 that caused the 7-month downtrend to occur. A green close next Thursday (weekly close) would be confirmation that further upside will be seen with the flag formation objective of 14.70 as the objective. The stock closed near the highs of the week and further upside above last week’s high at 12.00 is expected to be seen with the 100-week MA, currently at 12.20 as the objective. Nonetheless, this is a pivotal week since the weekly close on Thursday at 11.51 can still be considered a successful retest of the previous low weekly close, if and when the stock closes in the red this week by at least 20 points. With the indexes expected to generate a red weekly close, it could be enough to prevent the bulls from getting the chart confirmation they need. Intra-week support of some consequence is now found at 10.65. As such, a potential and possibly probable trading range of 10.65 to 12.20 could be seen this week, with the close next Thursday being the deciding factor as to what the stock will do the next few weeks.

ASEI
34.16+0.03(+0.09%)Feb 8 4:00 PMEST