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AmeriGas Partners LP Message Board

mac94921 7 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 7, 2014 1:47 PM Member since: Dec 31, 1998
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  • Reply to

    CC Thoughts...

    by mac94921 Aug 7, 2014 11:31 AM
    mac94921 mac94921 Aug 7, 2014 1:47 PM Flag

    Due diligence they do not have to have large sales, they have to have a product that people believe works. With the O&G product installed and providing rental income they are proving they have a product and that it works. If the White Paper comes out that could be all we need to be off to the races and this gets bought out. I am not trying to hype, just stating my speculative position.

  • Reply to

    CC Thoughts...

    by mac94921 Aug 7, 2014 11:31 AM
    mac94921 mac94921 Aug 7, 2014 1:14 PM Flag

    By saying "that is still on the come" means to me that you are saying it is speculative AND has possibilities. I agree. I also agree that some people will sell because it is to speculative and will offset some other gains. That said, I think new speculative buyers will come in after hearing the story. If what Rooney says is true the value of this company could easily go over $1 Billion. You also declare Rooney "blatantly enriches himself" I disagree, his pay is not out off line.
    It all boils down to time, they have the cash to last quite a while and I am in for the long run.
    What can the shorts get out of this over the next 1 to 2 years, $1, maybe $2. Where as the risk to them is huge. Risk-Reward is not there for them at this price. IMHO we saw the low this morning.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    CC Thoughts...

    by mac94921 Aug 7, 2014 11:31 AM
    mac94921 mac94921 Aug 7, 2014 12:36 PM Flag

    No I don't think that $200 mill Ent Value is cheap for past performance. I am looking to the future and the story they tell is quite compelling. And yes, as of now it is a story, that is why I said it is very speculative.
    Currently the stock is "Restricted" at Pershing which does clearing for many firms. It is restricted because some criminal shorts are not delivering the stock. It also means that anybody can have a "Mandatory Buy-in". My guess is the weak hands are selling today and many shorts are covering and over the next month many other shorts will cover.
    Due Diligence if you are who you say you are you really need to get a life, move on. You have so much hate in your post that there is much more to the story of why you are here than what you say. My guess is you are just another short. If not what you say in your post makes this a perfect buy out candidate and in the buy out world $200 mill Ent Value is cheap.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • mac94921 by mac94921 Aug 7, 2014 11:31 AM Flag

    This is a speculative investment that should not be bought for widows and orphans. That said I just bought more. Say what you want about Rooney he is quite entertaining. Shorts had a nice return over the last month but my guess is they will start (have started covering). Enterprise Value under $200 mil, no debt and plenty of cash on hand. After hearing that call, and Rooney admitting that they need to be more forthcoming, ie Analyst Day, it should be an interesting few months. 37 new Patents! To risky to be short this one, some point they will be bought out.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • mac94921 by mac94921 Jul 29, 2014 3:36 PM Flag

    Sold the last of my 8,000 shares of SMLP a couple of days ago. One of my best investments over the last several years after purchasing for around $20. Nice return while waiting and great capital gain. Just building up cash now due to the mess the world is in with no sign of it getting any better.
    Thanks again SMLP

  • Reply to

    hauge decision overturned in fed court

    by pprbart Jun 23, 2014 7:45 PM
    mac94921 mac94921 Jun 25, 2014 8:20 PM Flag

    pprbart I could not find the document via your link. But what I did find was the original court document that says Hauge was not in violation of Contempt. What I did find in the document was the following: "The district court stated: “[A]lthough the
    [c]ourt expresses no judgment as to the separate issue of
    whether Defendant is actually infringing ERI’s patents,
    [Mr. Hauge] does little to dispel any doubt that he is in
    fact using ERI’s technology.”

  • as I type this 6.04 last on 82,000 shares, somebody wants in. Fidelity borrow rate on shares 32%. Looks like it wants to go higher, my guess is the word is out on some sales in the oil and gas area.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

APU
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