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macrocosmonaut 73 posts  |  Last Activity: Jul 14, 2014 7:31 PM Member since: Aug 30, 2006
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  • Reply to

    US Geo Acquires RAM Power Geysers

    by parto3frp Apr 7, 2014 8:06 AM
    macrocosmonaut macrocosmonaut Apr 28, 2014 9:28 AM Flag

    The acquistion of the Geysers project is really excellent - even from strategic point of view.

    The project has after the development by Ram Power a low risk profile - even with sight on the defined geothermal resource.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • macrocosmonaut macrocosmonaut Apr 28, 2014 9:31 AM Flag

    20 USD per share in 5 years - may be in such a case US Geothermal will be the next Ormat and a global player in future.

    If the stock reach your price target, the stock is even able to climb to 50-60 USD range in the years later...

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • macrocosmonaut by macrocosmonaut Apr 28, 2014 5:24 PM Flag

    Apple plans to use geothermal energy resources to manage their data centers in Nevada within its enviromental programm in future.

    Zero Carbon Emissions are planned by Apple within their projects. After solar energy Apple now focus on geothermal power.

    Do your own due dilligence.

    M.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Longterm investors should look at the businuess model of a company.

    PLUG is loosing money - and further dilution is reflecting a weak businuess from my point of view.

    PLUG´s Price Book ratio is very high - enterprice value of PLUG is reflecting an overvaluation at present.

    I think PLUG will drop to 1 USD this year again.

    IMO.

    M.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Reply to

    Apple and US Geothermal ?

    by macrocosmonaut Apr 28, 2014 5:24 PM
    macrocosmonaut macrocosmonaut May 5, 2014 6:46 PM Flag

    A contract with Apple at the Salt River Project and HTM is able to be the next Ormat with sight on press and reports about the company.

    This stock remains undervalued. Enterprise value several dollars at present.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    HTM up after hours.

    by vysotskite May 9, 2014 5:13 PM
    macrocosmonaut macrocosmonaut May 9, 2014 5:31 PM Flag

    111 shares in after hours. This is nonsense. I would prefer more serious post and we should recognize that from technical point of view the stock is able to drop again.

    So the alternative scenario is a drop of pps and a gap fill at 0.66 USD per share. PPO weekly is bearish and weekly candle must be neutralized in order to see PPS up again.

    Chart is getting difficult at present. A C-Wave down can´t be excluded.

    At present neutral set up. It seems to be that the upside is blocked at present by the market.

    Next week is very important from technical point of view.

    M.

  • This stock is heavily undervalued with sight on its current marcet cap and its instrinsic enterprice value.

    Even from technical point of view this stock is able to multifold its current valuation.

    Alltime high was at around 12 USD per share. Current share price around 0.25 USD per share.

    Long entry today.

    Thanks to the shortseller morons.

    M.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • HTM hay only earned 1 Cent per share last quarter. That´s lower than in Q4 2013 and even lower than in the pervious year quarter.

    The company wasn´t able to increase its profits in front of seasonal weak quarters. The profits are to low in order to support higher stock price levels.

    I reduce my guidance of HTM for the rest of the year at this stock in the following manner.

    q2 2014 = - 0.01 USD per share
    q3 2014 = 0.01 USD per share
    q4 2014 = 0.02 USD per share

    So my estimate of annual results 2014 at HTM is 0.03 USD per share - lowered from 0.06 USD per share.

    The resulting expected price earnings ratio is 25. I expect a significant reduction of cash in q2 from 18.4 million US$ to 12 million US$ as result of the buy of the Geyers project.

    It is dissappointing to see that HTM wasn´t able to increase its quarter profits in comparison to the q4 2013 and q1 2013.

    In this background I am downgrading HTM from strong buy to hold.

    It is necessary to recognize that insiders aren´t buying at these stock price levels. So there is some risk of a private placement and share holder dilution in future, in order to increase the cash positon of the company for financing of future projects.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • The stock is unvervalued and cheap. Palladium prices are climbing.

    Institutionals has bought this stock at higher stock price levels than current marcet cap is reflecting.

    Non regarding these fundamentals - Elliot Wave patterns are showing a longterm bullish ending diagonal in classical manner.

    When this stock is overriding the 0.46 USD the PPS will rally in significant manner further to the upside...

    Shorts will loose a lot of money.

    Chance/Risk reward proportion is excellent at current stock price levels.

    Do your own due dilligence.

    M.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • macrocosmonaut by macrocosmonaut May 20, 2014 11:30 AM Flag

    I am upgrading US Geothermal from hold to buy.

    In my last estimate at stockprice levels of 0.75 USD per share, I downgraded the stock to hold after the dissappointing Q1 results. Note: A hold recommendation is a hold - not more not less. So the hold recommendation 10 day ago was based on the fact, that the enterprice value of this stock is high enough to support longterm further upward potential and that an overvaluation isn´t to observe at the stock price levels of 0.75 USD per share.

    Now the market has discounted many risk - even seasonal weakness in the past days - so that an undervaluation can be observed at this stock.

    The decline of the marcet cap by more than 20 million USD within the past days seems to reflect an irrational exaggeration at the downside, because the company is earning money on annual basis based on my estimate for 2014.

    It is nice to see that the CEO is buying shares at 0.66 USD per share last week.

    Based on the sharp wave 2 decline within an A-B-C Correction of the year high at 1.08 USD per share and the current undervaluation I am upgrading this stock from hold to buy.

    If the stock should override the 0.86 USD mark within this year on weekly close, I would predict an upward impuls in strong manner in the future - up to stock price levels between 1-2 USD - propably higher - per share in the follow up. Such a scenario must be supported by a good news flow.

    M.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Technical breakout on high volume!

    by catch_the_bounce May 20, 2014 11:12 AM
    macrocosmonaut macrocosmonaut May 20, 2014 1:06 PM Flag

    Completly correct - ending diagonal will lead to stock price levels above 1 USD in midterm view.

    gap close at 0.48 USD is possible in near term view. In such a case PPS will further climb - presumably to the 0.75 to 0.85 USD range.

    M.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    HTM - upgrade - Buy

    by macrocosmonaut May 20, 2014 11:30 AM
    macrocosmonaut macrocosmonaut May 20, 2014 1:17 PM Flag

    From my point of view the marcet has priced in the upcoming Q2 and Q3 development after the conference call.

    The development has been communicated to the market.

    Now it is possible that the development will improve - for example by agreements or new deals.

    The stock is undervalued - and as I wrote at stock price levels of 0.75 USD this stock is a hold and not a sell position.

    So the current marcet cap is reflecting a possible buying opportunity for longterm investors.

    Shorting has unlimited risks - especially for naked short seller.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Based on financial calculation and with sight on increasing Palladium prices and current discount on the enterprice value this stock has huge upward potential.

    Technical patterns are signalling an ending diagonal.

    This ending diagonal is bullish and aple to lead to increasing stock prices above 1 USD in midterm view easily.

    Watch and learn.

    M.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    HTM - upgrade - Buy

    by macrocosmonaut May 20, 2014 11:30 AM
    macrocosmonaut macrocosmonaut May 21, 2014 11:42 AM Flag

    Stock has developed a concealing swallow baby pattern - indication a bullish reversal.

    Fundamental and technical very interesting constellation.

    I like the insider buying yesterday, too.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    I bought more - this stock is undervalued...

    by macrocosmonaut May 21, 2014 11:03 AM
    macrocosmonaut macrocosmonaut May 21, 2014 11:57 AM Flag

    You are really funny,

    if you have no clue about financial markets and behaviour of stock markets you should take a look at PLUG.

    I recommended PLUG at February 2013 as a strong buy - and the stock made +5000 Percent within 12 months up to 11 USD + within a year.

    Posters like you posted the same #$%$ in the bottom of PLUG more than a year ago.

    This sentiment is showing to me that the morons are selling while the smart money is buying.

    This stock is able to rock like PLUG within a year - may be more.

    Note: If Palladium price will climb to 1000 or 2000 USD per ounce.

    How many millions will PAL earn each year? 100 million US$ 200 Million US$ - I think they can earn even 300-400 million USD a year.

    If we see a Palladium Spot price of 10000 USD per Ounce this stock will be a money machine of historical manner and I think PAL can be a 10-20 USD stock easily.

    Take a look at the insider buying. Do you really think Insiders are morons?

    Nobody has to spent money or like to loose money.

    If Insiders buying hundreds of thousands of shares this is a signal of undervaluation of this stock and a big future to the company.

    IMO.

    M.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Russian Palladium mines are in trouble. Ore Grades in Russian Mines are declining.

    New mines will need 10 years or more to come online.

    Global demand for palladium has increased by more than 35 % in the last years.

    This is a real chance for North American Palladium to become a world class producer of Palladium in a market with increasing Palladium prices and increasing demand while supply is declining.

    Russian Palladium reserves are down to nearly 100 kilo ounces last year.

    This is a 90 % decline of Palladium reservey at Russia in the past 4 years.

    We are in front of a 10 years bull market.

    PAL will be one of the biggest winners in this bullmarket.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Date May 29 2014

    Check it out.

    M.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • macrocosmonaut macrocosmonaut May 21, 2014 4:44 PM Flag

    This post I wrote at the beginning of the year 2014.

    Non regarding fundamental aspects - only from technical point of view. The quarter close at march 2014 has activated longterm multidollar targets.

    It is impossible to say how the stock will reach stock price levels in a range at around 8-12 USD in a longterm view. But at these stock markets everythink is possible.

    So take a look at PLUG Power - 1 1/2 year ago a penny stock and 12 months late in the 10-12 USD range - and they aren´t earning anything.

    So US Geothermal is even able to rock to the upside in the same manner. I can´t exclude such a pop up scenario at this stock. So shortseller must be very carefull - or they are loosing all their savings in future.

    May be HTM needs 3 or 4 years to reach such targets - but it is even possible that stocks like HTM are sky rocking within a few days or weeks to stock price levels of several dollars.

    For example strategic partnerships or new deal agreements are possible. Further funding by the DOE of the USA and many more.

    I think I should upgrade this stock from buy to longterm strong buy.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • The combination of the candle patterns of the last few days has established a so called bullish stick sandwich pattern.

    This candle pattern signals to aspects:

    1. End of the longterm downtrend at this stock.
    2. and upcooming bullish reversal.

    This bullish reversal pattern is combined with additional buy signals in different time frames and pattern analysis supports the bullish reversal situation of PPS at this stock. This development is combined by volume signals of significant manner.

    First target is the 200 MDA in near term view at around 0.65 USD per share - afterwords higher stock price after completition of the ending diagonal pattern can be discussed. This stock is able to multifold its current valuation in future.

    M.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • The global geothermal power market will 20-fold within the next decade. A study of the International Geothermal Center in Germany with Professor Professor Rolf Bracke is pointing out that the global geothermal power market will increase rapidly within the next years and decades.

    Global geothermal power reseves are 30-fold higher than conventional energy resources like oil or gas.

    In the past 10 years the global electric geothermal power market increased by 30 percent. The study is expecting that geothermal electric power market will further increase heavily in the next years and decades.

    The Forecast of VDU and BMI is an increase from 65 Gigawatt geothermal power at present up to 20 000 (!!!) Gigawatt (20 Terrawatt/h) at the year 2050.

    It is expected that geothermal electric power will 300-fold its current part of electric power in the global electric energy market until 2050.

    The geothermal market will increase from current 20 Pj (5.5 Tw/h) up to 395 PJ at the year 2050. This reflects an increase by 20-fold of current geothermal market within the next years until 2050.

    With sight on this upcoming global increase of demand and increasing importance of geothermal power generation I am increasing my longterm estimate from buy to strong buy.

    Do your own due dilligence.

    M.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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