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Silver Wheaton Corp. Message Board

mardermj 171 posts  |  Last Activity: Nov 25, 2014 11:13 AM Member since: May 6, 2004
  • mardermj mardermj Oct 30, 2014 1:26 PM Flag

    I don't need to lie. And that would be liar. If you're going to call someone names, at least learn to spell the four letter words.

  • mardermj mardermj Oct 30, 2014 11:55 AM Flag

    On its way. I double down my bets every dime or so. $3.86 another 7200 shares, $3.76 another 14400 shares, $3.66 another 28800 shares, take off your socks and count on your toes, if you haven't bitten the nails off there also.

  • mardermj mardermj Oct 30, 2014 10:07 AM Flag

    Yeah, but the cushion just evaporated by 10%. To keep that cushion, what do you think should happen to share price? I'll wait until you get your socks off, so you can count on fingers and toes.

  • mardermj mardermj Oct 30, 2014 10:05 AM Flag

    It's rough being dead right, but, somebody has to do it.

  • mardermj mardermj Oct 30, 2014 6:53 AM Flag

    I should have said cringe before the wimp out. The general market is mourning, but not exactly tumbling. But silver is getting whacked again because its currency side is front and center. According to official inflation numbers it is about five bucks cheaper than it should be. The Fed has signaled the end of its bond buying, a hope and prayer for inflation watchers everywhere, but also pulls real inflation from the PPI and CPI, like food clothing and shelter, fuel and health costs--till you're left with the price of bagels.

    Unless you're looking at today's chain deflator. Which supposedly includes new products and services, and isn't fixed like the CPI and PPI against one type of goods. So if chicken cheapens relative to beef, more chicken is included. And we're looking at another minus figure. That helps paper money, hurts real money.

    It doesn't matter whether this is a conspiracy or someone's master plan, it's the last scream from your lips as the silver dagger pierces your gut. SPLAT! If you've ridden this down from $40, and you've sold covered calls every step of the way, you're floating around $32. The downtrend isn't over yet, we've the anticipation for interest rate pops, and the actual dirty deed.

    This isn't fun for silver lovers.

  • Every penny counts for those in accumulation mode. I know it is small consolation for those that are in at $7-$10, but the current price is double down time for those with cash now. On the other hand, if you'd been dripping since $9, it's been a useless five years, but my calculations have you almost "well". In an IRA when you're looking for income, when compared the fifty percent loss in this stock with giving every cent to some annuity giant and watching them pay you your own money, and you've zero equity?

    At least here you got half left equity after the big drop. I think we have almost two years before the Fed starts popping rates at the rate of a quarter percent a quarter--and that's slow enough to be absorbed if you sell covered calls against your position--I just wish they dealt in pennies instead of nickels at this level.

    Oh well, we'll see how much this thing stays down while the webcast warbles. It has been my experience that excuses don't help, and somebody is going to say how do you maintain 15 cents a quarter with 13.5 cents coming in. But I think we aren't going to go to 4 cents.

    I think next stop is 4.5 cents a month.

  • Not exactly a bloodbath, but tomorrow's webcast will see if this pullback widens. I would have loved to have seen a better buying op, but if nine cents is all there is, there is the divvy coming up in about two weeks.

  • I can't find a webcast for the previous quarter, if there is an explanation of what will be announced AH today it sounds like a platform for excuses for tomorrow's market, not an explanation of victorious investment strategies.

    Webcasts are designed around damage control, not victory laps. I am glad to be in cash to wait for the right moment. And the right moment could be higher from todays 2% selloff-.

  • mardermj mardermj Oct 29, 2014 2:19 PM Flag

    Here we go before the AH announcement of "earnings". That's minus one percent for this man so far, tonight the other minus nine percent for all investing mankind.

    Why the selling on the Fed's most benign statement? The market likes its income--FIXED. The fix is not in, and we're (brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr..................) left to MARKET FORCES!! oh no!!!!!!

    See you ten percent lighter.

  • mardermj mardermj Oct 29, 2014 2:01 PM Flag

    There goes the nickel, right on schedule, and the Fed statement in a few minutes will precurse AH news which should be about 13 pennies, meaning the nickel divvy will be under pressure, and the reason for the webcast tommorrow morn.

    The conclusions are my own, from historical stock prices and movement listed in the price history section yahoo.

  • mardermj mardermj Oct 29, 2014 10:06 AM Flag

    You spend a lot of time critiquing me while the mail man corn holes your partner.

  • mardermj mardermj Oct 29, 2014 10:05 AM Flag

    I sound better when you take your head out of your #$%$

  • as the Fed today announces the end of its buying spree, which kept bond rates low by diverting bonds to Uncle's pocket. Now a floundering Europe is expected to carry the burden, at least until they recover. As they inflate however, the dollar becomes more valuable, making bonds here more attractive, so the buying binge from overseas has some life left even, (gasp!) left to "free market forces".

    ARR has had a year to absorb the "new" Fed policies to come, and anticipated tightening almost a year ago with shorter yield portfolios. Are they ready for a tomorrow that may never come?

    If they are, and they miss even slightly tonight and it looks like they'll be mumbling excuses at the webcast 30 Oct, it's clobbering time for longs.

    I hope the market overreacts, I've cash on the sidelines for just such an event. They took ten percent off of facebook, and 25% off of NFLX when that happened.

    I'll take ARR at 3.64 all day long hand over fist.

  • Reply to

    62 0f 64 analysts

    by newman1979 Oct 28, 2014 4:25 PM
    mardermj mardermj Oct 29, 2014 9:11 AM Flag

    Lots of naysayers, zero explanation. Maybe the webcast on the 30th will enlighten.

  • Reply to

    No url, no credibility.

    by mardermj Oct 28, 2014 4:03 PM
    mardermj mardermj Oct 29, 2014 9:09 AM Flag

    Try to be cagey with the word dot instead of the symbol, and they've updated their software to catch it. The best you can do is describe the page you're looking at.

  • Wild day today. But, ARR has already begun this quarter's nickel a month scenario-- it's next quarter's nickel that is on the choppng block. If the nickel appears unsustainable even if maintained, ARR will take a hit AH. The FOMC meeting today provides the PM and early morning cringe before the binge--but the afternoon provides ALL holders with more drama as AH earnings unfold.

    Can we get a 10% selloff similar to AMZN and NFLX? Yup. That's why I hold cash in anticipation of bad news, or good news not good enough. And not to forget, although allegedly already taken into account the day the stock went ex div 10/12, this months nickel divvy floats into your stock account today, a reminder that the shares should be a nickel lighter.

    At $3.67 I am ready to commit to 100,000 shares. Just saying.

  • mardermj mardermj Oct 29, 2014 2:17 AM Flag

    Today, we've the cringe before the binge, the market daring to hear or read anything Madam Yellen Rate Popper the 1st has to say about raising irates, or at least, the schedule to do so.

    Folks think the Fed won't open its mouth about a schedule before the Holiday Season, so as not to remind joesixpac during the XMAS retail buying season, his credit card co's will use the impending rate pop to increase rates from usurious now, to ridiculous later. This is in spite of the fact that irates for credit have not come off their Reagan friendly highs of inflationary times in the 1980 time frame. That's right, it's the Reagan administration that took usury, unconscionable irates, out of the equation when they dropped real estate rates and set up aggressive write off schedules.

    So welcome to FOMC Wednesday the 29th of Oct,, and the cringe before the binge. Silver's bounce officiallygoes away today, as bond buying stops this month but, after hitting nearly $45 and sinking into the teens, tauting the selloff of the last two years is two years too late.


  • Witness the Fed comments from one slacker, that maybe the bond buying binge was ending too soon last week which turned the market around, true false or otherwise. That was a market mover, and the Fed as long as Greenspan was around, wasn't supposed to care what the market thought of its monetary moves.

    Wow have things changed. Methinks the Fed will announce no changes as of this meeting all the way into the Spring of next year so as to guarantee a good housing season.

    Today the market forsaw the zero change posture, and we got the binge, before the cringe tomorrow. I suspect the market will get sweaty in the late morning, and rebound by afternoon.

    Great trading day predicted.

  • Reply to

    No url, no credibility.

    by mardermj Oct 28, 2014 4:03 PM
    mardermj mardermj Oct 28, 2014 7:55 PM Flag

    Posts are boasts, and if you make a claim and put in the url, the courtesy is done to present the location of where you got the info.

    That IS due diligence. or, why post at all? I shouldn't ask you, ignorance is fixable by information and study, you're just stupid.

    And no one can fix stupid.

  • mardermj mardermj Oct 28, 2014 7:53 PM Flag

    Shorts a little tight these days? Don't worry, you've NOTHING to worry about.

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