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American Capital Agency Corp. Message Board

mardermj 88 posts  |  Last Activity: 13 hours ago Member since: May 6, 2004
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  • mardermj mardermj 13 hours ago Flag

    I doubled down at 4.09. See you at 4.

  • mardermj mardermj 14 hours ago Flag

    The market is making a fool of me on Tuesday the 16th--production, capacity underutilized but hey--core and beyond CPI PPI "inflation" excluding food clothing shelter, insurance, vitamins, roootabagas, and bagels is ZERO. ZERO, which gives the Fed excuse to stave off pulling the ZIRP dagger out of the economy's chest, and having it bleed out back into Recession. So that's the bet BUT MREITS etc, are on sale, they are having none of this enthusiasm and are on sale baby.

    Guess who be nibbling, mama.

  • Could go lower, but wow, I can't complain. ARR is already positioned for shorter term notes, and will ride this well--but don't tell the lemmings, I have plenty of dry powder.

  • Reply to

    Be wary of ottohuber76

    by alibi79 Sep 15, 2014 2:24 PM
    mardermj mardermj 15 hours ago Flag

    Simpler explanation. He's just a #$%$.

  • pokes more holes in this market's balloon. I am doubling down every ten cents off the top.

  • mardermj mardermj Sep 15, 2014 12:24 PM Flag

    Breaks 4.10 I double down

  • Corrupt shows a degree of awareness, a plan, beginning, middle, with an endgame.
    Clueless- raising rates forcing more of joesixpac's meager coins into bank and credit card coffers-while touting opposite? You can teach the ignorant--you cannot fix stupid.

  • Reply to

    Thanks for the cheap shares

    by mardermj Sep 13, 2014 4:22 AM
    mardermj mardermj Sep 15, 2014 10:22 AM Flag

    Good luck with your good stocks. 15% pays me $100G's a year. More the merrier

  • All eyes on Fed as the markets show dread, off 1/3rd % yet again pre market 15 Sep. All else is ignored as a Fed which should never have ever meddled with market rates misguidedly turns a corner after believing unemployment stats which don't reflect those who've given up, whose jobs have been computerized, ar sent to the third world. It's market rollover time, you in cash yet? Silver's industrial side weighs like an anchor.

    Good eco news is bad Fed motivation to raise rates. Bad eco news is just that. It's heads I lose, tails you win, as markets stampede this week. Ugh. Not happy.

    Date Time (ET) Statistic For Actual Briefing Forecast Market Expects Prior Revised From
    Sep 15 8:30 AM Empire Manufacturing Sep - 10.0 16.0 14.7 -
    Sep 15 8:30 AM Empire Manufacturing Oct - NA NA NA -
    Sep 15 9:15 AM Industrial Production Aug - 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% -
    Sep 15 9:15 AM Capacity Utilization Aug - 79.3% 79.3% 79.2% -
    Sep 16 8:30 AM PPI Aug - 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% -
    Sep 16 8:30 AM Core PPI Aug - 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% -
    Sep 16 4:00 PM Net Long-Term TIC Flows Jul - NA NA -$18.7B -
    Sep 17 7:00 AM MBA Mortgage Index 09/13 - NA NA -7.2% -
    Sep 17 8:30 AM CPI Aug - 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% -
    Sep 17 8:30 AM Core CPI Aug - 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% -
    Sep 17 8:30 AM Current Account Balance Q2 - -$112.0B -$114.5B -$111.2B -
    Sep 17 10:00 AM NAHB Housing Market Index Sep - 56 56 55 -
    Sep 17 10:30 AM Crude Inventories 09/13 - NA NA -0.972M -
    Sep 17 2:00 PM FOMC Rate Decision Sep - 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% -
    Sep 18 8:30 AM Initial Claims 09/13 - 310K 305K 315K -
    Sep 18 8:30 AM Continuing Claims 09/06 - 2490K 2945K 2487K -
    Sep 18 8:30 AM Housing Starts Aug - 990K 1045K 1093K -
    Sep 18 8:30 AM Building Permits Aug - 1050K 1054K 1052K -
    Sep 18 10:00 AM Philadelphia Fed Sep - 15 23.5 28.0 -
    Sep 18 10:30 AM Natural Gas Inventories 09/13 - NA NA 92 bcf -
    Sep 19 10:00 AM Leading Indicators Aug - 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% -

  • Reply to

    Potential FED action

    by moses_on_wall_street Sep 12, 2014 9:56 PM
    mardermj mardermj Sep 15, 2014 3:17 AM Flag

    The Fed must be, since their misguided mumbling to come 17 Sep is turning markets to a blood bath again wee hours 15 Sep

  • Welcome to the new taper tantrum as the Fed bangs the drum and the cattle stampede. ARR has already positioned itself with shorter term yield from the last scare fall of last year.

    Could we hit $3.64 again? Sure. By then, I will be all in.

  • Everything else is gravy, but that doesn't mean lower share prices may not loom. Barely anyone understands this is a royalty co, not a miner, and with the Fed meddling and babbling badly next week on overnight rates, the market is being encouraged to implode.

  • mardermj mardermj Sep 12, 2014 7:33 AM Flag

    The FOMC language next week is the way markets anticipate--as the end of easy money dissipates, looming rate hikes using the same misguided meddling that never should have lowered them in he first place, spell disaster for both silver and gold, as if a 50% haircut off peak valuations isn't enough signal. I'm half cash by weekend, next week the carbuncle on the bottom of the market's unsteady footwork, Fed "policy" overshadows any burgeoning economic news--good news is bad for easy money, bad news is bad, these are not good odds for longs anywhere in my mumblin opinion. GLTA.

  • mardermj mardermj Sep 11, 2014 7:54 AM Flag

    ...and like clockwork, yahoo financial pundits are raging this AM 9/11 not with remembrances of the attack, but the Fed meeting next week which "might" change language pointing the way to higher overnight rates, as if that isn't a fait accompli around Spring 2015 per Yellens vote for six months post tapering bond buying. Yields are creeping upward, inspite of the US economy being the cleanest dirty shirt in the laundry bin--and will only last as long as it takes for Europe to gain traction it overlooked in its corrrect, but lonely assumption to pursue austerity in a vacuum. If the US had played along, we all might have avoided this bubble, but look at the dollar improving--which kills exports according to some, and will only get "worse" by getting stronger.

    You know what that does to the lemmings who might be in gold and silver, it aint good. GLTA.

  • Down wee hours, up end of day, and vice versa, it's reversal flip a coin daily as good economic news, not necessarily valid, vies with impending rate hikes. We'll know by end of this buying season, if the slightest hint joesixpac gets an over due raise, the system can only tolerate shoveling money to the banks. Perish forbid joe get any relief in fifteen years of middle class wage contraction, on top of about 30% inflation all goods and services. In the meantime, the currency end of silver remains an anchor and the dollar gets a boost from Europe's three year's too late credit increase and money printing, which normally does not spell good news for stocks over there, and Chinese junk continues to sell well, witness the long return lines at Home Depot.

    GLTA

    Sep 8 3:00 PM Consumer Credit Jul - $17.0B $17.8B $17.3B -
    Sep 9 10:00 AM JOLTS - Job Openings Jul - NA NA 4.671M -
    Sep 10 7:00 AM MBA Mortgage Index 09/06 - NA NA 0.2% -
    Sep 10 10:00 AM Wholesale Inventories Jul - 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% -
    Sep 10 10:30 AM Crude Inventories 09/06 - NA NA -0.905M -
    Sep 11 8:30 AM Initial Claims 09/06 - 310K 300K 302K -
    Sep 11 8:30 AM Continuing Claims 08/30 - 2500K 2495K 2464K -
    Sep 11 10:30 AM Natural Gas Inventories 09/06 - NA NA 79 bcf -
    Sep 11 2:00 PM Treasury Budget Aug - NA NA -$147.9B -
    Sep 12 8:30 AM Retail Sales Aug - 0.3% 0.6% 0.0% -
    Sep 12 8:30 AM Retail Sales ex-auto Aug - 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% -
    Sep 12 8:30 AM Export Prices ex-ag. Aug - NA NA 0.3% -
    Sep 12 8:30 AM Import Prices ex-oil Aug - NA NA 0.0% -
    Sep 12 9:55 AM Mich Sentiment Sep - 83.5 83.5 82.5 -
    Sep 12 10:00 AM Business Inventories Jul - 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% -

  • mardermj mardermj Sep 5, 2014 7:08 AM Flag

    but there's always some #$%$ that can't wake up after two years and smell the coffee.

  • mardermj mardermj Sep 5, 2014 1:21 AM Flag

    Market up in the morning and sells off in the afternoon, not fun. Folks don't like good news, it zpooks the Fed into raising rates next year, when they shouldn't be touched until 2022.

  • mardermj mardermj Sep 5, 2014 1:20 AM Flag

    Your best bet is selling covered calls monthly against this stock and turning it into a dividend like play.

  • They're manufacturing and constructing away, but it's big ticket items. The little guy? He's pinching pennies, working part time, and his association with little stuff is intimately involved with returning Chinese junk that doesn't work to Home Depot. Mortgage rates eased last week, in the wake of all that overseas demand for safe haven bonds, so this is the alleged last gasp for lower home mortgage rates, since Yellen the confused is dangerously closer to believing those hokey unemployment stats--popping rates around March 2015. Sept the worst month for stocks? Nah, skies the limit, as common sense and valuation leaves the building. Me? I follow the herd, no use being trampled. Silver and gold? Ruts-ville. TTFN

    Sep 2 10:00 AM ISM Index Aug 59.0 56.4 57.0 57.1 -
    Sep 2 10:00 AM Construction Spending Jul 1.8% 1.0% 1.0% -0.9% -1.8%
    Sep 3 7:00 AM MBA Mortgage Index 08/30 - NA NA 2.8% -
    Sep 3 10:00 AM Factory Orders Jul - 12.0% 11.0% 1.1% -
    Sep 3 2:00 PM Fed's Beige Book Sep - - - - -
    Sep 3 2:00 PM Auto Sales Aug - NA NA 5.8M -
    Sep 3 2:00 PM Truck Sales Aug - NA NA 7.4M -
    Sep 4 7:30 AM Challenger Job Cuts Aug - NA NA 24.4% -
    Sep 4 8:15 AM ADP Employment Change Aug - 230K 220K 218K -
    Sep 4 8:30 AM Initial Claims 08/30 - 310K 300K 298K -
    Sep 4 8:30 AM Continuing Claims 08/23 - 2525K 2525K 2527K -
    Sep 4 8:30 AM Trade Balance Jul - -$40.5B -$42.0B -$41.5B -
    Sep 4 8:30 AM Productivity-Rev. Q2 - 2.7% 2.6% 2.5% -
    Sep 4 8:30 AM Unit Labor Costs Q2 - 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% -
    Sep 4 10:00 AM ISM Services Aug - 58.0 57.8 58.7 -
    Sep 4 10:30 AM Natural Gas Inventories 08/30 - NA NA 75 bcf -
    Sep 4 11:00 AM Crude Inventories 08/30 - NA NA -2.070M -
    Sep 5 8:30 AM Nonfarm Payrolls Aug - 235K 223K 209K -
    Sep 5 8:30 AM Nonfarm Private Payrolls Aug - 225K 200K 198K -
    Sep 5 8:30 AM Unemployment Rate Aug - 6.2% 6.1% 6.2% -
    Sep 5 8:30 AM Hourly Earnings Aug - 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% -
    Sep 5 8:30 AM Average Workweek Aug - 34.5 34.5 34.5 -

  • Reply to

    when did ARR dividends go monthly?

    by mardermj Aug 30, 2014 6:54 AM
    mardermj mardermj Aug 30, 2014 9:53 PM Flag

    then they have enough fuel to get all the way to the scene of the crash.

AGNC
22.61-0.12(-0.53%)Sep 16 4:00 PMEDT

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