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Intel Corporation Message Board

marsavian 383 posts  |  Last Activity: 12 hours ago Member since: Jun 15, 2005
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  • marsavian marsavian Jun 4, 2014 11:03 AM Flag

    His agenda is jealousy, basically ASTC has had the strong stock price increases that his beloved IMSC should have had in his opinion nevermind the fact that IMSC is still being valued 3 times as much as ASTC when you take all their stock options and debt in to account so is still grossly overvalued in my opinion. He's lucky he's still in profit as his company's fundamentals don't warrant its current valuation.

  • Reply to

    Yesterday @ $4.65

    by pelseh007 May 30, 2014 10:00 PM
    marsavian marsavian Jun 4, 2014 10:32 AM Flag

    This stock is going to $5+ eventually and you will be chased out with your tail between your legs.

  • marsavian marsavian Jun 4, 2014 10:13 AM Flag

    Clueless wrong meanderings again, don't you ever tire of being continually wrong with your downside stock predictions ? In the real world this stock will stay above 3 supported by all its moving averages and it is going to nibble incessantly at the resistance in the low 3s until it is overcome.

  • marsavian marsavian Jun 4, 2014 7:18 AM Flag

    Fairness and impartiality are my middle names :). Having a look though at the bit that I assume is still valid 'Morpho Detection won over $67 million combined in ETD contracts from TSA in 2010 and 2011.' that works out to be a $33m annual average. Consistently picking that business up in the future could make this company viable long term as added to existing non-TSA revenue should allow the company to make a profit and burn through some of that convertible debt you have. You still have a mountain of debt to pay off so it will take time. Of course numbers higher than $33m will speed the process up. Anyway the basic thrust of that article was correct, that Smiths have won the 2012-4 TSA refreshment awards, if you was doing proper DD you would find out the exact amount they got for those 3 years rather than crying about missing out on a award you are not even currently eligible for.

  • Reply to

    Smiths Detection Nabs $115M TSA Award for ETDs

    by hum14jbird Jun 3, 2014 1:40 PM
    marsavian marsavian Jun 3, 2014 2:09 PM Flag

    Not necessarily bad news. Shows what kind of annual TSA contract is up for grabs. Obviously this year is gone but a year from now a $100m+ annual contract could transform this shaky company into being quite a viable one. All depends if the QS-B220 is superior to the 500DT in the TSA's eyes.

  • Reply to

    I bought this all wrong... Advice?

    by johnandmeg Jun 2, 2014 2:09 PM
    marsavian marsavian Jun 3, 2014 11:39 AM Flag

    Now the party starts now that the stock is above all its recent moving averages ;-)

  • marsavian marsavian Jun 3, 2014 9:23 AM Flag

    Don't look now bears but China is considering QE !

  • Reply to

    I bought this all wrong... Advice?

    by johnandmeg Jun 2, 2014 2:09 PM
    marsavian marsavian Jun 2, 2014 2:23 PM Flag

    That will change once the selling subsides leaving just the 1stDetect investors, then the shorts will start covering as the company has more money than they have time. The stock will reverse once the highest recent moving average currently the 3-day at 2.98 is turned back into support and the stock will then begin a long relentless climb up through the 3s. Currently only the 2 and 3 day moving averages are above the stock which means real downward resistance is quite low. Don't give the shorts your money, you only have to wait days maybe weeks at most before this reversal process begins and then you can judge your exit point but it will certainly be better than the current 2.86 and if you wait long enough we will hit 3.60 again and 4+ too.

  • marsavian marsavian Jun 2, 2014 11:48 AM Flag

    Not being to fund your deficits is a lot more serious than capital flight, it's the Bond guys saying nein on the whole country !

  • marsavian marsavian Jun 2, 2014 11:45 AM Flag

    Russia has been turning to international debt markets since its default on domestic debt in 1998. Companies raised $42.5 billion through foreign-currency bond sales last year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The Ukraine conflict halted that borrowing. Not a single Russian company has sold foreign-currency bonds since March, leaving offerings this year at just $6.4 billion.

  • marsavian by marsavian Jun 2, 2014 10:16 AM Flag

    Both fixed and moving average based. Should be the consolidation area for the slow but relentless march up as the shorts give up over the next weeks/months/years.

  • Reply to


    by edomonth May 31, 2014 9:18 AM
    marsavian marsavian Jun 1, 2014 1:20 PM Flag

    I did envisage a possible tug of war over ASO in that old ULA/SpaceX thread I bumped recently because SpaceX actually has more reason to buy as it potentially could get the rocket volume eventually to use the 5 simultaneous East Coast and 3 simultaneous West Coast payload capacity that ASO has. TSLA shares have made Musk a real billionaire now so he has the money to play a bidding war with LMT and those facilities alone are actually worth about $100m brand new like I never tired of telling the bashers for years never minding the huge profit ASO could bring in if it operated at even 50% capacity. The sale of ASO may not be over yet.

  • Reply to

    Yesterday @ $4.65

    by pelseh007 May 30, 2014 10:00 PM
    marsavian marsavian May 31, 2014 2:28 AM Flag

    The stock never reached 4.65 but I suppose when you make up numbers like you do reality never has to intrude. You have been short and bearish all the way from 50c, how successful a strategy has that been except you are not a short, just a pickens hate stalker.

  • marsavian marsavian May 30, 2014 8:28 PM Flag

    “Net Working Capital Threshold” means one million, seven hundred and ninety-one thousand, one hundred and twenty-five hundred dollars ($1,791,125).

    If the Estimated Net Working Capital Amount is greater than the Net Working Capital Threshold, the difference shall be added to the Purchase Price paid to the Seller Companies at Closing pursuant to Section 2.01(k), and if the Estimated Net Working Capital Amount is less than Net Working Capital Threshold, the difference shall reduce the Purchase Price paid to the Seller Companies at Closing pursuant to Section 2.01(k). The Purchase Price to be paid to ASTC at Closing pursuant to Section 2.01(k) as adjusted pursuant to the foregoing sentence shall constitute the “Estimated Adjusted Purchase Price.”

    Current net working capital as of March 31, 2014 not including the long term debt of $5.8m was $1.9m so in effect LMT are buying ASO as of the end of the last quarter.



  • Reply to

    What a difference a day makes!

    by hopeful200 May 30, 2014 2:14 PM
    marsavian marsavian May 30, 2014 3:13 PM Flag

    'while enlarging the tangible book value based on the amount paid for the ASO equity. '

    Well I have been telling everyone for years that the depreciated book value underplayed the true value of the ASO assets. Brand new they would have cost about $100m to build and the business itself is mildly profitable looking over years and I suspect LMT will up the utilization now with other satellites of theirs even if just for parking/overflow purposes as the current utilization barely hits 40% even at peaks. LMT met the new build value and the depreciated book value somewhere in the middle or north of $50m as I predicted it would go for if sold to another space entity in another thread I recently bumped. All the idiots who said it go for less for book value or that other space companies wouldn't be interested were just that, idiots, and I tirelessly countered this FUD over the years. Some NASA ex-SPAB employee should also have known better and used his quite considerable intelligence rather than his emotion when looking at this company.

  • Reply to

    What a difference a day makes!

    by hopeful200 May 30, 2014 2:14 PM
    marsavian marsavian May 30, 2014 2:28 PM Flag

    Well you know you always place great store on tangible book value and this stock is a good reason why. It was always the nuclear option open to management at the last resort.

  • Reply to

    My Question?

    by fedupgunny May 30, 2014 2:06 PM
    marsavian marsavian May 30, 2014 2:26 PM Flag

    These dismal quarters don't start getting reported until next year though. I suspect the 3rd quarter of ASO will be reported in ASTC's earnings report which comes out mid-Nov and that looks profitable and the ASO sale will be reported probably in ASTC's 4th quarter coming out in mid-Feb meaning that quarter will also be profitable leaving the poor 2015 quarters to reported just under a year from now starting in mid-May. Do Shorts have that long to wait bearing in mind any 1stDetect progress has just under a year to be announced ? ;-)

  • marsavian marsavian May 30, 2014 1:08 PM Flag

    It will take a week or so before all the shorts cover. Stock has to find a new equilibrium where all the Space business investors are replaced by 1stDetect investors. Still above all its recent moving averages except the 2-day. Once equilibrium is established the stock will march relentless upward as the company has much more time than the shorts and all the fluid moving averages are supporting the stock and all rising. This is only the beginning.

  • Reply to

    ENG...anymore potential for upside?

    by geofflo610 May 21, 2014 2:47 AM
    marsavian marsavian May 30, 2014 12:08 PM Flag

    If the stock beats its last known fixed resistance at 3.41 ± 0.16 it could run and run as it is above all its moving averages going back YEARS ! Just needs a little more volume to get this running.

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