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Midstates Petroleum Company, Inc. Message Board

me2yousee 83 posts  |  Last Activity: 7 hours ago Member since: Feb 25, 2012
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  • Was there speculation for news / data this week? Or was that next week?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Institutional Ownership Set to Rise Now

    by me2yousee Jun 24, 2016 5:44 PM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 25, 2016 11:58 AM Flag

    Finviz.com has 38.1. Amount is really immaterial, it's that it was issued up and the price held.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Institutional Ownership Set to Rise Now

    by me2yousee Jun 24, 2016 5:44 PM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 25, 2016 11:04 AM Flag

    Scottrade's new figure, which also includes insiders, is up to 13.9% from 12% from two months ago. That doesn't sound like much, but shares outstanding went from 34.5 to 38.5 over that same period.

    If you ever get discouraged at price advancement, consider that these shares were sold into a market where the IBB was on an MACD down cycle and the bulk of smaller bios got slammed. I'd say, AVXL held up fairly well. Could still be a #$%$ summer, if the market doesn't cooperate, but better times ahead now.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • AVXL will finally start to receive better institutional ownership. Some of that stock will NOW be pulled from any short pool availability. This should also raise borrowing costs. All of which will eventually tighten supply. All a normal growth process necessary to stop as many games as have been observed since Novermber of last year.

    It should be a good fall into next year.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Posted Monday, 13th. Worth a look for new shareholders

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • me2yousee me2yousee Jun 17, 2016 11:38 AM Flag

    No kidding. Float is only about 3.3 mill now and short interest is roughly 50% of that figure. Probably more now that the stock just had a burst.

    Shorts laugh at longs, but these bursts up are the old shots covering trying to shag that last nickel and peaks as CLRB takes on "new meat".

    When 911 is called for these shorts, they better request responders have burn training.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Shorting should be curtailed to a large extent today and the algo will be in full force to close TROV between $4.62 and $5.38. What ever the close, I figure shorts will hit it again Monday with so heavy resistance established now from 5 to 5.35.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Interesting guy to research. And if you read his responsibilities, I would say that KMPH management realized back before then, that they had communication issues with the FDA. Logically, Mr Cohen would have had little to no impact on the failure. But, he could have had finger prints all over the resent Fast Track authority for 511. Or not, so judgement on his effectiveness remains open.

    Now, looking at Mr Cohen's past position: does KMPH management get credit for recognizing a deficiency and attempting to correct it? Or is this a hail marry?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    I like KMPH

    by bowersm87 Jun 14, 2016 6:16 PM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 15, 2016 7:45 AM Flag

    I once saw statistics about how companies that get the first product through the FDA have a better chance on follow on products. And the number one reason for not getting success was NOT listening to and following FDA guidance. Which appears to have been the case here.

    You have to face human nature. When you are dealing with people on this intellectual and educational level, egos are an ENOURMOUS obstacle to logic or common sense. And the guys that they put on the board, think just like they do. The "I'm a successful doctor making HUGE bucks and your just a government employee who can't make it on the outside" mentality (arrogance) is responsible for more rejections in the companies I have been involved with in the past. The problem is that you can't research that factor ahead of time. After this attempt, that's what concerns me here.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • me2yousee me2yousee Jun 14, 2016 6:55 AM Flag

    There has been no non-news reason to "hurry up and buy" for months. Technicals in a declining market can deteriorate or elongate further. Just be aware the options expiration (triple witch) algo kicks in today. $4 should be some support, still I think $3.50 is entirely possible in this elongated down MACD cycle.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    chart

    by pepsiberger Jun 13, 2016 8:34 AM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 13, 2016 9:53 AM Flag

    Remember, the options algo kicks in tomorrow and it should simply want the stock price to close Friday around the $4.62 to $5.38 area to make most of the options finish worthless. The only ones to make money will be the $7.5 puts. So I don't figure there will be much downside pressure from that. But rest assured $4 will be tested at least twice before they give up on this down cycle.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    chart

    by pepsiberger Jun 13, 2016 8:34 AM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 13, 2016 9:43 AM Flag

    There will be some support at $4. How much and how long depends on what they (MMs) want to throw at it. If there is no follow through selling from individuals, and most of this has been a single dump, $4 may hold and give TROV a higher low.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Same reason as for every other stock. MM's want to keep volume going. And when volume peaks out, (sector charts all look the same) they begin to sell enough to turn the MACD you see below a chart. They remain short knowing that high frequency algorithms will kick in the day before the cross and they close their short into their selling. HFTs then sit back and close their positions on the increased volume from large drops as people panic sell. When this volume drops off, MMs reverse the pattern and the cycle repeats. Professional traders follow this cycle adding to movement which is exaggerated when participation by "investors", be they individuals or institutions fall off. Summer is the most obvious for this because of the lack of summer investment. (vacations, parties, back to school)(sell in May and go away) The biggest down days are generally the day before and of the cross. The largest percentage up days are the day before and of the cross back up.

    There are multitudes of "complexities" from other TA and news that also affect movement. MMs don't care about price or value. Just moving the stock to entice players into the game again. I know that there are people that don't believe in TA, but 95% of stock trades are made because or using it.

    Just study this using TROV or other small company chart in the biotech sector and see the correlation over a 6 month period and you learn the "trading game".

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • me2yousee me2yousee Jun 10, 2016 12:02 PM Flag

    Yea, 20 bil sounds about right and was what I deduced last fall for one years annual sales.

    So .... are we gettin bought out, partnerized, or something this weekend. Somebody was throwin Rouche's name around for somethin this weekend.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Beep Beep Beep

    by stock_questions Jun 10, 2016 10:15 AM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 10, 2016 11:13 AM Flag

    I added some simply because I average in on everything. Although I am not as wildly bullish on the prospects anymore, It's still worth more than it selling for to somebody else already in the lab business. OPK maybe.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Question for the physicians on this board

    by daenouemont Jun 8, 2016 12:59 PM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 9, 2016 4:05 PM Flag

    Well .... I hope you do understand that my post was essentially a regurgitation of the comments of two doctors? Ok, so I picked the two dumbest doctors in the world. That's still two that will have to be educated to get sales.

    And is why it always takes longer for new tech to be adopted than anyone expects.

  • me2yousee by me2yousee Jun 9, 2016 10:35 AM Flag

    There was an article yesterday that the FDA says people now abusing anti-diarrhea drugs. You .... would think that problem would sort of take care of itself, but OK. The point here is that soon EVERYTHING prescription is going to have to be tamper proof. And maybe even over the counter stuff at some point. The successful technology in this area is going to be almost automatic once one gets approved. It doesn't cost anything for trials compared to other drugs. In fact, KMPH probably will be licensing out the tech and just cashing the checks.

    So I bought a little more after the initial reaction, because the upside becomes laughable in scope with little cash burn. Compared to everything else, with all this cash, I'll wait awhile.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Question for the physicians on this board

    by daenouemont Jun 8, 2016 12:59 PM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 9, 2016 9:26 AM Flag

    I understand, but your missing my point. The problem is that the patients don't just sit at home. Most of them have something weekly that takes them in to where they can get bloodwork done anyway. So, if testing is NOT found to be required daily, then it is a cost comparison between blood or urine.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • me2yousee me2yousee Jun 9, 2016 9:09 AM Flag

    It's probably timing and content too. I sent one Saturday before last and I got a real (not computer generated) response on Tuesday. Most of mine were business suggestions too and not questions that can take time to research and then NOT be able to responded too.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Question for the physicians on this board

    by daenouemont Jun 8, 2016 12:59 PM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 9, 2016 7:22 AM Flag

    I'm not a doctor, but can't resist after having had conversations with a couple. They think the technology, if accepted is great. If it isn't accepted by insurance, then cost will be the short term driver.

    Using current standards of care, will testing be something necessary on a day by day basis? If it isn't daily, then it competes with blood on costs because patients will be seen often enough to draw blood. So a lot of questions that all come down to cost.

    This could be the reason for tempered market expectations.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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