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SIGA Technologies Inc. Message Board

me2yousee 89 posts  |  Last Activity: 9 hours ago Member since: Feb 25, 2012
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  • Call NASA and report the launch. This feels like last October. Re-valuation in progress. Even 300 mil mkt cap is only about $7.75. Gotta get there before we discuss .... over valuation.

    Call 911 for shorts and request responders have BURN training. New trend is up.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Is AVXL Still the Same Old AVXL?

    by me2yousee 18 hours ago
    me2yousee me2yousee 16 hours ago Flag

    Scott: I have narrowed my investment criteria for "developmental" biotech of late. Two that go against ADXS are:

    1. I have stopped investing in cancer companies because of the competition, the associated costs, the developmental time, (adding to the costs), the fact that everything is generally tested on end stage people, and the belief that no single approach is ever going to work. In ADXS case of immunotherapy, how can you take people who's bodies have been ravaged by end stage disease and expect that weakened body to produce FDA passable results? It CAN happen, but this is the worst of the worst for odds.

    2. My technology and or company cutoff age is now 10 years. With the computing power, knowledge, and technology today, if you can't get results on some disease in 10 years, something is wrong with the technology platform, product, or management.

    ADXS may well succeed, but I will invest .... AFTER ... FDA passage.

  • Many folks here have watched the stock reliably react a certain way the last half year or so. That way being, that it moves to the top of the MACD cycle, shorts pile in, then out comes a .... " journalistic wanna be " hit piece, and down the stock goes. That day should be today if the pattern holds. Actually .... shorts bit at the close yesterday. And folks here have successfully used this pattern to add to their position.

    At some point this year, and that may be this cycle, the pattern is going to change. We are about to break trend. The stock is in different hands now. (in my case a wheel barrow) There will still be corrections .... just NOT like the past. Be a shame to lose your position now.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    News This Week?

    by me2yousee Jun 26, 2016 8:51 AM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 28, 2016 4:47 PM Flag

    You da man.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    News This Week?

    by me2yousee Jun 26, 2016 8:51 AM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 27, 2016 1:16 PM Flag

    Thanks. But with the holiday Monday, and the current market environment, plus their current closed mouth status, I doubt that it is this week. Maybe it doesn't come at all till THE earnings CC.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Proper Valuation for Anavex

    by finn.joseph Jun 27, 2016 9:13 AM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 27, 2016 9:42 AM Flag

    Almost any bio that has phase II opportunities for a single disease (no matter how large the patient population for that disease) that there are competing drugs currently approved by the FDA that have shown initial success hold a 300 million market cap.

    Soon, the market will begin to do the math.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • me2yousee by me2yousee Jun 26, 2016 8:51 AM Flag

    Was there speculation for news / data this week? Or was that next week?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Institutional Ownership Set to Rise Now

    by me2yousee Jun 24, 2016 5:44 PM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 25, 2016 11:58 AM Flag

    Finviz.com has 38.1. Amount is really immaterial, it's that it was issued up and the price held.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Institutional Ownership Set to Rise Now

    by me2yousee Jun 24, 2016 5:44 PM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 25, 2016 11:04 AM Flag

    Scottrade's new figure, which also includes insiders, is up to 13.9% from 12% from two months ago. That doesn't sound like much, but shares outstanding went from 34.5 to 38.5 over that same period.

    If you ever get discouraged at price advancement, consider that these shares were sold into a market where the IBB was on an MACD down cycle and the bulk of smaller bios got slammed. I'd say, AVXL held up fairly well. Could still be a #$%$ summer, if the market doesn't cooperate, but better times ahead now.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • AVXL will finally start to receive better institutional ownership. Some of that stock will NOW be pulled from any short pool availability. This should also raise borrowing costs. All of which will eventually tighten supply. All a normal growth process necessary to stop as many games as have been observed since Novermber of last year.

    It should be a good fall into next year.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Posted Monday, 13th. Worth a look for new shareholders

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • me2yousee me2yousee Jun 17, 2016 11:38 AM Flag

    No kidding. Float is only about 3.3 mill now and short interest is roughly 50% of that figure. Probably more now that the stock just had a burst.

    Shorts laugh at longs, but these bursts up are the old shots covering trying to shag that last nickel and peaks as CLRB takes on "new meat".

    When 911 is called for these shorts, they better request responders have burn training.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Shorting should be curtailed to a large extent today and the algo will be in full force to close TROV between $4.62 and $5.38. What ever the close, I figure shorts will hit it again Monday with so heavy resistance established now from 5 to 5.35.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Interesting guy to research. And if you read his responsibilities, I would say that KMPH management realized back before then, that they had communication issues with the FDA. Logically, Mr Cohen would have had little to no impact on the failure. But, he could have had finger prints all over the resent Fast Track authority for 511. Or not, so judgement on his effectiveness remains open.

    Now, looking at Mr Cohen's past position: does KMPH management get credit for recognizing a deficiency and attempting to correct it? Or is this a hail marry?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    I like KMPH

    by bowersm87 Jun 14, 2016 6:16 PM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 15, 2016 7:45 AM Flag

    I once saw statistics about how companies that get the first product through the FDA have a better chance on follow on products. And the number one reason for not getting success was NOT listening to and following FDA guidance. Which appears to have been the case here.

    You have to face human nature. When you are dealing with people on this intellectual and educational level, egos are an ENOURMOUS obstacle to logic or common sense. And the guys that they put on the board, think just like they do. The "I'm a successful doctor making HUGE bucks and your just a government employee who can't make it on the outside" mentality (arrogance) is responsible for more rejections in the companies I have been involved with in the past. The problem is that you can't research that factor ahead of time. After this attempt, that's what concerns me here.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • me2yousee me2yousee Jun 14, 2016 6:55 AM Flag

    There has been no non-news reason to "hurry up and buy" for months. Technicals in a declining market can deteriorate or elongate further. Just be aware the options expiration (triple witch) algo kicks in today. $4 should be some support, still I think $3.50 is entirely possible in this elongated down MACD cycle.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    chart

    by pepsiberger Jun 13, 2016 8:34 AM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 13, 2016 9:53 AM Flag

    Remember, the options algo kicks in tomorrow and it should simply want the stock price to close Friday around the $4.62 to $5.38 area to make most of the options finish worthless. The only ones to make money will be the $7.5 puts. So I don't figure there will be much downside pressure from that. But rest assured $4 will be tested at least twice before they give up on this down cycle.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    chart

    by pepsiberger Jun 13, 2016 8:34 AM
    me2yousee me2yousee Jun 13, 2016 9:43 AM Flag

    There will be some support at $4. How much and how long depends on what they (MMs) want to throw at it. If there is no follow through selling from individuals, and most of this has been a single dump, $4 may hold and give TROV a higher low.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Same reason as for every other stock. MM's want to keep volume going. And when volume peaks out, (sector charts all look the same) they begin to sell enough to turn the MACD you see below a chart. They remain short knowing that high frequency algorithms will kick in the day before the cross and they close their short into their selling. HFTs then sit back and close their positions on the increased volume from large drops as people panic sell. When this volume drops off, MMs reverse the pattern and the cycle repeats. Professional traders follow this cycle adding to movement which is exaggerated when participation by "investors", be they individuals or institutions fall off. Summer is the most obvious for this because of the lack of summer investment. (vacations, parties, back to school)(sell in May and go away) The biggest down days are generally the day before and of the cross. The largest percentage up days are the day before and of the cross back up.

    There are multitudes of "complexities" from other TA and news that also affect movement. MMs don't care about price or value. Just moving the stock to entice players into the game again. I know that there are people that don't believe in TA, but 95% of stock trades are made because or using it.

    Just study this using TROV or other small company chart in the biotech sector and see the correlation over a 6 month period and you learn the "trading game".

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • me2yousee me2yousee Jun 10, 2016 12:02 PM Flag

    Yea, 20 bil sounds about right and was what I deduced last fall for one years annual sales.

    So .... are we gettin bought out, partnerized, or something this weekend. Somebody was throwin Rouche's name around for somethin this weekend.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

SIGA
0.9999+0.0499(+5.25%)Jun 30 2:25 PMEDT