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Diamond Foods, Inc. (DMND) Message Board

mjapple2003 13 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 9, 2014 11:39 AM Member since: Jul 28, 2012
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  • Reply to

    Friendly advice to all longs:

    by beetleruss Mar 26, 2014 9:47 AM
    mjapple2003 mjapple2003 Mar 26, 2014 9:51 AM Flag

    I see your desperation is now at least taking an air of intelligence. But it is still desperation. Sometimes all you need to know about a stock is the direction of sentiment. Today's price action tells you what you need to know. Shorts are beginning to exit their positions after seeing the most recent Nasdaq data on short selling reductions. They've tried to take this thing down every day since the earnings/Citi upgrade but to no avail. Now they see others getting out so they are too. There's much more pain for shorts ahead. Comps are way too easy to beat this year. You saw what happened in Q4? That's just the tip of the iceberg IMO.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • mjapple2003 mjapple2003 Apr 6, 2014 12:06 PM Flag

    I think bleeding lower is the more likely outcome. You have no idea how many new short positions were created last week. You can infer there is still very strong short interest by the price action Friday; every time it failed to hold a certain level or break out in a true short squeeze, it was shorted again. I am not short nor would I ever be, but if I had to chose between long and short at this point, given that stock not only has not rebounded but went down another 18% after a 72% drop, I would chose to short it. Both for that technical reason and the current environment for speculative biotechs and because no one has publicly defended this company since the drop. In all other drug "over reaction" cases (SRPT, AMRN, ARIA, AVNR, etc) there was at least some reason to believe the stock would bounce back, and did. What is the reason to believe in the bounce back here? That eventually someday they will have another, more successful trial? That the drug might be effective for Huntington's Disease which affects all of 30,000 people in the U.S.? Can anyone please tell me why I should believe in a comeback for PRAN?

  • mjapple2003 mjapple2003 Mar 24, 2014 1:35 PM Flag

    Seeking Alpha doesn't have "analysts." They have contributors, journalists and opinion makers. Big difference.

  • mjapple2003 mjapple2003 Mar 21, 2014 11:46 AM Flag

    Stop erroneously using the term "pump." You're showing your ignorance. (Your'e referring to a pump and dump, which is organized manipulation of micro-cap stock price through e-mail blasts by a shady trading outfit. Last time I checked JCP was not a micro-cap stock.)

  • Reply to

    what's 200 million ($5 SP)

    by daniel.kiely Apr 6, 2014 1:47 PM
    mjapple2003 mjapple2003 Apr 6, 2014 2:12 PM Flag

    I am not looking for them to say anything. I'm looking for any analyst or credible pharma industry observer to call this an overreaction and say the company has a future. That has happened every time a biotech/pharma stock nosedived and came back. Hasn't happened here, at least not yet.

  • Reply to

    Technicals

    by obboi Feb 1, 2014 3:05 PM
    mjapple2003 mjapple2003 Feb 3, 2014 2:27 PM Flag

    Technicals schmechnicals . . . actually I agree with you, I just wanted to say technicals schmechnicals . . . but patience is clearly required in this market.

  • Reply to

    Friendly advice to all longs:

    by beetleruss Mar 26, 2014 9:47 AM
    mjapple2003 mjapple2003 Mar 26, 2014 10:40 AM Flag

    There was marked improvement in sales growth and margins and, regardless of what any of us thinks about of the results, what counts is how the market interprets them--in other words, as the first sign of a long-awaited turnaround. That interpretation is indisputable.

  • mjapple2003 mjapple2003 Apr 6, 2014 12:43 PM Flag

    You still haven't provided a reason why the stock should come back. Believe me, I am quite sure that any whiff of positive commentary or news could instantly double this stock. But what is that whiff we are waiting for? I am happy to take risk for a definitive reason. You have to know why you are speculating. Just because a stock has dropped 80% doesn't mean it will come back. The only relatively encouraging sign I see is some evidence of support at the 2.30-2.32 level where there seem to be buyers. But then what happens when that breaks?

  • Reply to

    pre market

    by ryng1877 Feb 3, 2014 8:28 AM
    mjapple2003 mjapple2003 Feb 3, 2014 9:09 AM Flag

    How do you know? It was odd, the 7% pop came on 250 shares and the 12% drop less than 1000. Made no sense.

  • Reply to

    Way, Way over-bought. 9 is just too high for this POS

    by bechody Mar 27, 2014 11:51 AM
    mjapple2003 mjapple2003 Mar 27, 2014 1:55 PM Flag

    Google is a power growth stock. Apple is a value stock. Neflix, Tesla are momentum stocks with high multiples based on assumptions of growth. Microsoft and Yahoo are stocks in transition from value to growth (MS lags Yahoo in this regard). JCP fits NONE of these categories. It is former value stock with decent growth whose business was torn apart and now finally seems on the mend. It's a turnaround story in the making. You can't just lump all of these stocks together for your own convenience.

  • Reply to

    Friendly advice to all longs:

    by beetleruss Mar 26, 2014 9:47 AM
    mjapple2003 mjapple2003 Mar 26, 2014 10:42 AM Flag

    When I said "you saw what happened . . ." I was referring more to the market's reaction to the results than the results themselves. That's what counts.

  • Reply to

    manipulation

    by rharper83 Apr 9, 2014 11:05 AM
    mjapple2003 mjapple2003 Apr 9, 2014 11:39 AM Flag

    Please people stop calling it "manipulation." It's day trading. Learn how it works and deal with it. (PS. I am long. This thing way over-corrected, along with NG, and is clearly on the way back. Be patient.)

  • mjapple2003 mjapple2003 Mar 4, 2014 12:12 PM Flag

    Desperate, party of one! (Who are you, one of the 12 people who are short this stock?)

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