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iShares Mortgage Real Estate Capped Message Board

mmichaelr 127 posts  |  Last Activity: Mar 31, 2016 6:23 PM Member since: Sep 22, 2011
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  • Under the post "First Time buyer"
    The he/she is posting back and forth to 'his/her self'__just using some of 'his/her self' different yayhoo IDs

  • Reply to

    Buying Opportunity on Irrational Technical Trading

    by jdsomers Sep 28, 2015 10:13 AM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 30, 2015 2:24 PM Flag

    The 2023 bonds have been in a measured fall since late March. Now $0.69

  • Reply to

    TBT vs ^TNX/^TYX

    by jjpcat Aug 7, 2015 5:53 PM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 25, 2015 1:48 PM Flag

    "not good for trying to profit from long term trends"
    ProShares points that out in the prospectus.

  • mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 25, 2015 1:37 PM Flag

    WOW___a poster whom actually admits when they were wrong. Without having 2 b argued into it!!.

  • mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 25, 2015 1:20 PM Flag

    People should research before they post.
    Federal Reserve Board rate changes in DEC (since 1972):
    2008, 2007, 2005, 2004, 2001, 1995, 1991 (two separate times), 1990, 1989, 1988, 1986, 1985, 1984 (two separate times), 1982, 1981, 1980 (two separate times), 1979, 1978, 1976, 1974 (two separate times), 1972
    That is 25 changes in December. How many were increases versus decreases is irrelevant__the importance is the FED is ‘not’ immune from DEC changes.

    The most consistent trend from mid NOV thru FEB are adjustments to reserves; and ‘Central Bank’ and IMF purchase/sale of currencies’. These entities adjust their balance sheet(s) for their ‘fiscal year’ closings. This consistent seasonality creates increased volatility providing an opportunity using FOREX spreads to capture coin. The seasonality is more opportune than the grain trade at harvest season(s).

  • Reply to

    Will the FED

    by mmichaelr Sep 11, 2015 12:39 PM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 19, 2015 4:35 PM Flag

    You cannot even get the definition of CONTANGO correct; much less have any idea what it would mean!

  • Reply to

    Klumps View On FED Action Today !

    by dr_klumps Sep 17, 2015 4:34 PM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 19, 2015 4:32 PM Flag

    You have to be the dumbest person on the planet!
    "toward future continuing lower prices"
    ---------------
    I will repeat this:
    That is exactly the opposite of forwardation (contango). It is when a future price of the underlying commodity/financial instrument would be more than the expected spot (or immediate delivery) price.

    Why don't try spending your time reading financial books; instead of wasting searching the internet for terms like convexity or contango and then posting about things you clearly do not understand! What you are describing is called “BACKWARDATION”
    MORON

  • Reply to

    Will the FED

    by mmichaelr Sep 11, 2015 12:39 PM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 16, 2015 4:32 PM Flag

    In the 80(s); the traders of the financial markets had their scope set on watching ‘free reserves’ vs. ‘total reserves’ as a forward indicator to ‘Money Supply’ (M1,2,3) numbers. The trade would be on their estimate/questimate of the next FED announcement for the ‘Discount Rate’ (a much more influential parameter than the FED Funds). This trend would also revolve around the Deutsche Bundesbank announcements.
    I agree with ‘Mohamed A. El-Erian’ statement__the ? is why we are obsessing about 25 basis points. Even that amount will give regional banking institutions a needed leg up__if it will translate across the ‘duration curve’.
    The prior FED chairman(s) FOMC and BOG meetings strived to present an increased transparency. This objective was either stated or presumed to be continued. As this has unfolded the term ‘data dependent’ has become more and more defined. This has fostered the idea that numbers are available to crunch__that indicate the direction the BOG will decide.
    As of Noon CET the ‘FED Funds Futures’ indicated a 32% probability of an increase. Yet at close 2pm the 10 Yr (cash contract) was +0.96%

  • Reply to

    Will the FED

    by mmichaelr Sep 11, 2015 12:39 PM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 16, 2015 3:34 PM Flag

    Since I proposed this ? on an MReit board__ur response would be relevant.
    What 'Bill" is this__a search on Corker(s) site posted 4 sponsored legislations:
    S525: Food for Peace Reform Act of 2015
    S553: End Modern Slavery Initiative Act of 2015 (that is an interesting title)
    -------------
    These next two are co-sponsored:
    S1: Keystone XL Pipeline Approval Act (this appears to be dead-done)
    S145: National Park Access Act

  • Reply to

    China Selling Treasuries ?

    by dr_klumps Sep 6, 2015 5:43 PM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 11, 2015 2:23 PM Flag

    This posting just further demonstrates ur lack of ‘fundamental market knowledge’ and therefore ‘analysis’. I would direct u to “Getting Started In Forex Trading Strategies” Wiley publishers: ISBN: 978-0-470-07392-6.

    You obviously need to start at the primer level. Our students must have read/consumed this material before joining our ‘Currency trading class curriculum’. They have to pass a ‘entry qualification test’!!!

    In ur posting u are analyzing/looking at only one side of trade. You are not completing the ‘Cause and Effect’ equation. This is what non-schooled amateur(s) consistently do that leave professionals the edge to eat their trades and pocket coin.

    The other side of the equation is what happens to those returning/liquidated dollars? The impact on the U.S. Treasury market depends on what new recipients choose to do with their dollars.

    We only have to look back at what Japan as a nation did__after their ‘bubble burst’ and subsequent prolonged economic contraction. What was the ‘net affect’ of that nations selloff in ‘US Treasury’securities??
    U could learn this by taking our classes__but then U might find the team leader for curriculum development__being a quest deliverer.

  • Reply to

    Decline Related Investments will Perform !

    by dr_klumps Sep 10, 2015 3:22 PM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 11, 2015 1:26 PM Flag

    "those who live in disillusion will drown"
    U should have typed 'delusional'__because delusion is what U are drowning in!

  • Reply to

    don't worry about Evans vaction

    by heilcoil Sep 11, 2015 6:38 AM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 11, 2015 1:18 PM Flag

    " he even charges the company for the furniture in the office"

    You just displayed ur 'FASAB' and 'GAAP' accounting naivety.
    For ur edification___fedral accounting standards advisory board (FASAB): generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP).

    U might consider an introductory Financial Accounting course via ur community college. They might even offer a reduced rate 4 'MORONS'.

  • mmichaelr by mmichaelr Sep 11, 2015 12:39 PM Flag

    Will the FED lose creditability if they do not announce a hike next week?

    Only those with 'actual market knowledge' may ponder this.
    Sorry Cumps/flame/herehear that crieterion negates urself.

  • mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 9, 2015 1:35 PM Flag

    CHK is not a competitor of 'SWX'. SWX is strictly a distribution and transportation utility.

  • Reply to

    A Ponzi scheme

    by freytown Sep 6, 2015 10:18 AM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 9, 2015 1:08 PM Flag

    From the S&P Capital IQ research report dated 9/9/15:
    'During 2015, KMI earned $3.1B from its investing activities. This was more than almost every other company in the Oil & Gas Storage &
    Transportation group.'

  • Reply to

    Notice of bar dates for filing claims

    by casdks Sep 5, 2015 7:12 PM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 9, 2015 12:16 PM Flag

    Are you an equity holder or bond holder? Even if you filed 'a proof of claim'__whom would present/argue your claim and at what cost?

  • Reply to

    Were in a Parabolic Contango Market

    by dr_klumps Aug 28, 2015 3:46 PM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 5, 2015 5:45 PM Flag

    " are negative future prices."
    That is exactly the opposite of forwardation (contango). It is when a future price of the underlying commodity/financial instrument would be more than the expected spot (or immediate delivery) price.

    Why don't try spending your time reading financial books; instead of wasting searching the internet for terms like convexity or contango and then posting about things you clearly do not understand!
    MORON

  • Reply to

    China Selling Bonds

    by twornartini Aug 25, 2015 5:13 PM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Sep 1, 2015 1:35 AM Flag

    Excuse me__but have U even ran a rudimentary calc for the 'Money Flow' for claimed 'Forex' market transactions versus the 'established debt markets'????

  • Reply to

    Were in a Parabolic Contango Market

    by dr_klumps Aug 28, 2015 3:46 PM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Aug 31, 2015 9:33 PM Flag

    Yah know__not only r u an amateur__but truly a lost financial mentality. Over time u have consistently miss used the concept of 'convexity'. Even after many of my chumps brain slappings__u still do not get it.

    Now u r miss using the concept of 'contango'. Contango is a 'forward' pricing in futures markets. No one should of every started using that term because it confuses everyone. Except for a couple of futures markets the 'normal' is backwardation.

    Again take some of R classes and u still may be able 2 pull ur head out of ur #$%$.

  • Reply to

    Hat off to Tom McClellan

    by mmichaelr Aug 24, 2015 10:25 AM
    mmichaelr mmichaelr Aug 24, 2015 2:23 PM Flag

    If u really believe in ur forecast__why wld u buy a private equity type BDC?

REM
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