probably some hackers hired by a competitor to keep the stock price down. seems to me that apple has been under constant attack over the past week. it doesn't really matter in the long-term, but might limit gains today
just remember, we are just 2 weeks away from the first weekend sales figures. they cant refute those numbers - hard numbers trump the naysayers. if the stock drops at all, just buy more because the stock price will be driven by big RESULTS that are just 2 weeks away. trash talking stops when points get put up on the scoreboard.
disagree. steve jobs was a perfectionist and limited growth by refusing to diversify the line enough. cook is moving the company to a place where they build an ecosystem that will eventually be much larger. this year ios and android start to divide up the world with their operating systems and windows starts to fade into history. google and apple are both great companies.
you mean the following monday, after the launch weekend. so we have almost 2 weeks to get there.
wall street already anticipated "sell the news" so you are too late to play that trade. but here is how wall street will surprise - the stock will hardly move. just up a little. lots of back and forth trading. the big move up comes in the week before the release of first weekend numbers. the play on puts was last week at 103. over the past week there were many straddles created, so my guess is that wall street kills those straddlies with a lack of movement this week.
the sell-off already happened. anyone who was planning to "sell the news' already sold ahead of that. pretty certain that apple introduces an iwatch. also pretty certain they introduce the 5/5", but the question is when they actually put it and the watch up for sale. i think that apple's vision of ios as the center of your life (payments, health, communications) and different form factors (wearables) will actually finally get many investors to see the big upside. but i am assuming the real move up in apple comes when they announce the first weekend of sales. apple definitely built more phones than last year and last year everyone said that 5C sales were just channel fill, so as long as they hit 10 million sales, versus 9 million last year, and it is all sold-out, the stock will respond. so i'm not betting on a big move tomorrow. i saw an article that straddles were the big bet in options, so i think wall street will surprise with only a small move up and save the bigger move as we get to the first weekend sales release.
very unlikely the stock could drop to more than $90. i do think there is a possibility of a drop as the market seems to want to believe that apple could fallow the pattern from 2 years ago. but the stock will move back up as we get the news of the first weekend sales.
the sell-off of the past week reduces the chance of a downside move - sell on the news has already happened.
i think expectations for apple are always so high it will be hard to beat them. but the idea that photos were shopped around and everyone passed, is insane. as far as hiring all these designers, i think it is clear apple is creating multiple styles of the watch and will continue to come out with more cool styles. this is the first
in order to move up, apple needs to convince wall street that it will not drop like 2 years ago. let's consider what happened 2 years ago. the iPhone 5 was no major upgrade and sales were soft. margins fell that year, with a large part of the reason due to intro of the iPad mini, which has lowest margin on any product. iPod sales also dropped alot and mac sales were soft.
this year, we have 2 new phone sizes. the question is how soon apple will be able to show that sales are exceeding previous years. will they blow out the first weekend numbers? also, the perceived profit margins will be a question. and the pricing of the 5S for international markets will be watched. this year we have a new watch coming, but there are rumors this doesn't launch until next year and some analysts don't even factor this into their projections, assuming it is not going to sell much. we also have a new iPad update, but iPad sales are declining. mac sales are doing well, but do they have any new products to keep up the growth?
it is possible that apple moves down a little after the media event. then apple will need to break the downtrend if it moves down. i think that the first weekend sales and huge lines showing pent-up demand will do the trick, so we might need 2 more weeks to move back up into the 100's for good.
carriers also don't want to be left out of the tsunami of iPhone purchases. the carriers hate apple, but they can't afford to be left out. iPhone buyers will switch carriers if they don't get a decent deal.
the next quarter earnings were already taken down to account for softness ahead of the launch. it is all about the iphone6 now.
using trading pattern to sell off any gains. tomorrow will break this trading pattern, either for the better or worse! i think there will be a couple of good surprises.
the market is so full of hot money that it flows to the places where there is speculation and is based totally on hype. apple continues to labor against a wall street that compares the company to other hardware companies. the valuation of apple is compared versus a stock like HP or Intel or CSCO, even though apple is really a software company. wall street continues to fail to understand apple. i'm looking forward to this year.
so apple is most likely off due to price reduction in fire phone and report that watch won't be sold until next year. i think the watch rumor is not true. maybe the watch doesn't get released until november, but i think it does come out this year. still amazing that apple is underperforming the market, when it is set to release such huge products.
some very foolish people are assuming that the pattern from 2 years ago of a big sell-off might develop. the situation is far different. we are on the brink of seeing just how massive the demand profile for the new iPhone 6's are, along with seeing some other very cool new products. i think the bashers will be in full force tomorrow and that we might not see much upside. but as we move toward the day the phones go on sale, it gets very difficult to ignore the massive demand coming. wall street makes apple prove everything. apple will prove that wall street is full of bull when the first weekend sales numbers and the lines are immense. the bashers will continue to try to bash apple, but the longer they keep it down, the faster it moves one the results are released.
i actually use my emotions as another trading validation. when the emotion of fear shows up, it might be time to buy, when that big greedy monster shows his head - time to lighten up. of course, this is only a reinforcement of solid research and investment decisions, but buying and selling against your emotions is actually the best approach.
they are attacking the suckers. always got to hit those suckers with maximum pain before the stock moves back up. the past week is simply insane and shows how wall street is a pack of thieves, but who cares? give it another couple weeks and even wall street can't keep apple down.