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Aegerion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AEGR) Message Board

moneynow27 173 posts  |  Last Activity: 6 hours ago Member since: Sep 2, 2010
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  • If Wall Street thought that this flagship drug had a great chance of approval from the FDA the end of this month, then the stock chart would be showing signs of recent accumulation. That is exactly what is happening....Ever since the panel rejection, the smart money has been accumulating, but don't just take my word, look at the daily chart, as well as the intraday charts.

    As for the Wave press release, it's a non starter, because SRPT would be the first mover, and patients of this potentially fatal disease will not wait until at least 2018-2019 for another solution, since SRPT's drug will be on the market shortly after FDA approval.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • After reading everything and anything I could possibly find, including Ms.Woodcock's outspoken history with Sarepta over the past several years, I think everyone now realizes that she has the final say on the FDA decision on May 26.
    Obviously this is great news for the patients and SRPT longs. But here's another thought, continuing with my accumulation theory:
    SRPT has always wanted to go it alone, and take 100% of what could be a huge market opportunity in the US and Europe. Here's where it gets interesting: Does management take the risk/gamble of accelerated approval and reject the suitors out there, or is there a big player who sees the partnership or acquisition opportunity with SRPT, either with accelerated approval or not? Keep in mind, an FDA rejection May 26 is not a rejection of the drug, it's a rejection of near term accelerated approval. So I think the huge move off the lows from the panel disappointment may be a combination of Joe Edelman's hedge fund and others believing in approval with Janet's help, OR many on the street thinking a partnership could be imminent, even before May 26.....Does anyone else embrace this possible theory?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • There's still a 10,000 share bid on Level II, at $17.73, or higher than yesterday's close. Maybe that's Farkas' bid to cover....lol.

  • the street is now in the process of repricing Lannett's stock price. All technical indicators I follow are turning up. Integration issues with the acquisition will subside, and the revenue will be replaced by new clients. But I think the street may be reacting positively to the generic insulin partnership.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • the overhang on the stock was the financing, not whether or not they'll be a buyout. A buyout would just be icing on the cake. How quickly traders forget that when the IBB and most of the biotechs crashed, the narrative was built that because of market conditions, RLYP would not be able to go the banks or the capital markets. Now that overhang is gone. So the only bank in play now is my bank, where I intend to transfer more money to my brokerage account to buy as many shares as I can in the $14's or $15's.

  • Reply to

    Back to Astra Zeneca's CC last week

    by justarook04 May 1, 2016 9:11 AM
    moneynow27 moneynow27 May 1, 2016 6:30 PM Flag

    I think we call agree that what's really pathetic is someone who shorts a biotech with no more than about 2-$3 downside risk, vs. about $25-$30+ upside risk.

  • Reply to

    Janet Woodcock has the final say.....

    by moneynow27 May 9, 2016 5:07 PM
    moneynow27 moneynow27 May 9, 2016 6:03 PM Flag

    It has to be so obvious to everyone that this FDA decision is so political at this point, and not so much about saving lives, and that's sad. An accelerated approval would be nothing more than a severe blow to Farkas' ego......Farkas really needs to get over himself...

  • Reply to

    The Sarepta situation is not rocket science....

    by moneynow27 May 9, 2016 1:41 PM
    moneynow27 moneynow27 May 9, 2016 4:30 PM Flag

    in both instances you mention, the stock was trending down, even though it was trading higher than where it is today. So in other words, the smart money was already starting to exit the stock before the press releases. It's still a couple of weeks away, but for now the stock appears to be under accumulation.

  • moneynow27 moneynow27 May 3, 2016 5:30 PM Flag

    To get an interest only provision built into the deal, this explains the higher interest rate. This is exactly what everyone wanted. It's both non-dilutive and buys them time to continue to ramp up scripts while courting suitors. This is clearly a great move.

  • Nervous shorts? Early FDA chatter? Smart money deciding the drug will be approved next Thurs.? I have no idea.

  • moneynow27 moneynow27 May 20, 2016 9:49 AM Flag

    The technical indicators continue to turn up. Yesterday's supply was met with immediate demand, and the trend continues today (Friday). It looks like we could trade close to $24 by as soon as next week.

  • Go have a glass of wine and some dinner....We're good...This deal is very positive. I can't sit here for now and sift through at last count 18 posts by rumrunner and other shorts. I'll catch up with you guys later and tomorrow.

  • it's waiting for the FDA decision on the competitor. TBH, either way the decision goes before the end of May for ZP, I think it's a win-win for Relypsa, for several reasons.....

  • moneynow27 by moneynow27 May 6, 2016 4:17 PM Flag

    So I sat there like a dope a week or two ago, when SRPT was knocked down by the panel, and traded under $7 in pre-market. I was going to pull the trigger, and of course I didn't. So now I'm in, in the $17's until approval. The enormously positive sentiment, bullish news releases, and the daily chart showing signs of some serious accumulation tell me after what, 5 years, Sarepta is finally going to get approved. Even a conditional approval will send this stock into the $30's. Good luck to all.

  • Reply to

    The bear case is still alive

    by markslempf May 21, 2016 12:09 PM
    moneynow27 moneynow27 May 24, 2016 8:51 AM Flag

    Anti pharma is a populist campaign approach, nothing more. It's all minutia. Elected officials do not come into office and immediately alter the landscape, we have a checks and balances system. Even the perception of drastically reducing drug prices is misguided.

    What is happening now, is the smart money is loading up on profitable, undervalued healthcare stocks like LCI, because the broader economy and the broader markets will more than likely correct again during the summer. This is the safe place to be..., I would advise against shorting a stock that just broke out, unless you're a masochist.

  • And this is based on absolutely nothing, other than weak shorts covering. All or most of the other E&P oil/nat gas firms are not trading anywhere near this parabolic move. My best educated guess is that the stock will be back below $20 early next week. The fundamentals don't support this parabolic move.

  • Reply to

    Sorry to shareholders

    by paidpumpers Mar 29, 2016 7:19 AM
    moneynow27 moneynow27 Mar 29, 2016 7:27 AM Flag

    If I were to bet on an approval and spike in stock price from here, based solely on the chart I would say there will be an issue with the FDA, i.e. no full approval. But with biotechs, it could certainly go either way. It just doesn't look like the street was expecting a full approval. Yesterday was short covering ahead of the announcement, in my opinion. So my bet is the FDA will seek more information, and the stock will fall back to the $16 range or lower.

  • Reply to

    In until approval....

    by moneynow27 May 6, 2016 4:17 PM
    moneynow27 moneynow27 May 6, 2016 4:45 PM Flag

    Call me crazy, but I'm playing the common, and options Nick. I just cannot even imagine the FDA completely closing the door on this drug; it doesn't make sense, so therefore the upside is practically unlimited, and the downside is minimal, in my view.

  • many of the people who own this stock have no idea what they own. Traders just trade it back and forth, buy at support, sell at resistance intraday, over and over again. If the market gets weaker as it is now going into the close, they sell. There's no rhyme or reason. I really don't care if there's a BO or not, because I believe in the science, and the FDA agrees. Can we get traders to hold for more than a week? A day? More than a half hour? Unbelievable.

  • Reply to

    Volume and Price Up!

    by et_lambert May 20, 2016 9:56 AM
    moneynow27 moneynow27 May 20, 2016 10:02 AM Flag

    Read my thread below yours....I think something big is up, or as I've suggested the market is repricing this stock quickly, as it's very undervalued.

AEGR
1.61-0.03(-1.83%)May 25 4:00 PMEDT