NHI is a pretty good company. I've owned there shares for years. They just dumped more than 4 million shares to raise capital the other day and the share price didn't even get close to touching the offer price. They are growing at a decent clip over these last years and the close to 0% interest rates has helped the share price. I think they know they need to squeeze as much sustainable growth until rates move up. Even with higher rates I would still stick here though, good growth, good yield, good management. REITS like this aren't generally fast movers.
I should correct what I said. It is an awful decision regardless of the relation of the parties. Just for some reason in this case SHLD is getting a lot of love.
This is the thing i'm not understanding about the plan. He is going to lease the property back to a company that doesn't have any cash. If the companies weren't related this would be an awful business decision.
I was in puts a few months ago and made a few hundred bucks but it is too hard to short this thing. I really wouldn't want to be long either. All the warrants have made the options hard to value and trade and they all seem way to expensive, both puts and calls. It'll be fun to watch though.
It really doesn't change much about the company.They still can't generate cash from their operations. Maybe someone can help me with this, but does repositioning into a REIT and asking your failing stores to fork over rent change much? Maybe they'll get it going with some other tenants but adding more than a billion dollars in market cap on this news is a bit too much.
He didn't have to offer the warrants to shareholders but he had to offer them to someone who would pay the price he wanted. I would imagine there are very few objective people outside of insiders and existing sunshine blower shareholders who would give this company any more money considering the cash burn, lack of a functioning turn around plan and the huge amount of debt. The only reason i could see in buying the bonds is that you could potentially get your security interest moved up from shareholder to unsecured debt holder in the upcoming bankruptcy.
Sentiment: Strong Sell
I don't think you actually read anything I wrote. I also am not big on the company but they will not go bankrupt until they run out of cash this is a pretty simple concept. It is about the sustainability of the cash they are receiving.
There are too many shares short. The stock is not good but there are a lot of short shares. In time it will move south. Get some longer term puts cheap if you can.
I understand perfectly how cash flow works. Like I said you can continue to operate your business as long as you have cash to meet your short term obligations. The cash flow statement itself is important but the sources of the cash, which are in the notes of the statement of cash flow, is even more important. You can tell if their funding is sustainable or not.
For instance, Eddie taking money from his left pocket and moving it to his right is not a sustainable source of cash. Neither is generating cash from selling business units. These can all prop a company up for a short period but in the end the cash flow needs to be sustainable you can only get people to continue to loan you money before you are way too leveraged and you can only sell off business units until you run out of things to sell.
you can operate a company into perpetuity as long as you have the cash to settle your short term obligations and people are willing to loan you money to continue to do this. Does it make sense? no. But it's certainly not impossible. The cash flow statement is in their financial reports too, it is a financial statement.
Sentiment: Strong Sell
cash flow statement is more relevant. that's why they've had to make all of these ridiculous loans. they need their assets to generate cash to pay obligations. Their method of slowly dismantling the value of the company while trying to operate it as a going concern retail entity is confusing. they need to go all in one way or another or the results will be the same.
Some smart guy must have put in a market order or something for 12 shares at 6:43. The company is still garbage.
After Hours Time (ET) After Hours Price After Hours Share Volume
18:43 $ 26 12
17:54 $ 24.70 25
17:43 $ 24.41 Low 100
bro, I don't want to see anyone lose there house. Here's the deal, assets are valuable, but the company needs to be able to monetize them.
Vendors and employees can't be paid in bricks of a building; they need cash. They are burning through what they have now at an alarming rate. Their margins are shrinking and they have been pumping "productivity gains" since forever.
The company is being thrown in too many directions at once to recover and begin generating positive cash flow to support its operations. Even if they were to chunk off their stores they still have an unbelievable amount of debt to pay down from continuing to support their failing business before they could return any cash to share holders.
This is a quick summary of this disaster of a company. There are many more reasons that this company is failing.
Sentiment: Strong Sell
It's certainly true that it is just a stock, but this is an internet stock message board, so let's play. The company cannot continue with the same "c" level people and expect better results. The CFO departure could shake things up some but with the rest of the high level officers and board of directors in place nothing will change. The company's assets are certainly valuable but if management can't deliver to the shareholders or even keep the company afloat itself, it doesn't seem like this is a good investment, at least not now. Maybe when the company is a little closer to the brink then it might get bought out at a rock bottom price or unfortunately for shareholders, not get bought out and just end in bankruptcy, with all the debt the company has shareholders will get nothing (they generally don't anyway).
I've been in and out of this company over the last several years. Now I'm out for good. The company seems to be managed on par with the bluth company. The latest round of poor management was firing their CFO who sounds like he shouldn't have been there in the first place. Add to that the constant "weather related" earning misses the delays in the FTC review which I'm sure had to do with the reason the CFO "resigned", the suspension of the dividend and the outrageous executive compensation package in their proxy. The company might one day be able to make some money if it stops tripping over itself but it's not something that looks like it will happen in the near future.
Sentiment: Strong Sell