BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust Message Board
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Don't see 28 or 42 on the Yahoo chart for the last week. Maybe you're trading in rupees?
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There are a number of reasons- he does his due diligence only from the Rosemont web site and is obviously Canadian as most of his info comes from the Toronto press.. He could be a Canadian pump'n'dump or directly tied into the company.
Don't know-won't accuse. The Pied Piper does come to mind.Sentiment: Strong Sell
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nobody fires analysts. They just reappear as bloggers on Seeking Alpha.
Sentiment: Buy
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You've got a company which has shown signs of financial stress that has been a money trap for over a year with a management team that has never operated an actual mine. Top that with permitting difficulties and you've bet the farm on a potential takeover. Add in the Chinese slowdown and the dilution of shares and senior debt to the Asian block-what do you have left? Hudson Bay is the most obvious suitor-they own 15%+- but they are somewhat stressed as well bringing 2 new Canadian mines on stream. By the way-did you know the Canadian govt withholds 15% of any dividend paid?
Sentiment: Strong Sell
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Don't see how you can call it old news as the audited report was just submitted today--unless you're an insider?
Sentiment: Strong Sell
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Augusta Resource Corporation’s independent auditing firm Monday alerted investors that the Vancouver-based speculative mining company that is seeking permits to build the Rosemont copper project faces “material uncertainty” about its ability to continue to operate.
The accounting firm of Ernst & Young stated that the combination of a $9.7 million loss in 2012 and projected cash expenditures in 2013 that exceed the company’s reserves, leaves Augusta in a precarious position.
“These conditions…indicate the existence of material uncertainty that raises substantial doubt about the Company’s ability to continue as a going concern,” the firm stated.
Ernst & Young issued the warning under the heading of “Emphasis of matter” in its cover letter accompanying the release of Augusta’s 2012 financial statement.
Augusta nearly ran out of cash last fall but secured a $40 million loan from RK Mine Trust I in October. Augusta now owes RK Mine Trust $87 million that comes due in July 2014.
Even with the $40 million infusion, Augusta reported only $29 million in cash as of Dec. 31, 2012. Augusta spent $37.3 million in 2012 on development costs for the Rosemont copper project through its subsidiary, Rosemont Copper Company. Augusta spent $50 million on the mining project in 2011.
Augusta warns investors that its cash outlook is extremely tight in its Management Discussion & Analysis report that was released with the financial statements.
“Forecasted cash requirements for the next twelve months require significant expenditures on the Rosemont project, which exceeds the working capital after giving effect to the additional loan from Red Kite.
“This factor indicates the existence of a material uncertainty that raises substantial doubt about the Company’s ability to continue as a going concern and the Company’s ability to continue is dependent on the Company raising additional debt or equity financing.
“The Company is currently discussing project financing with a number of lending institutions and believes that such discussions will result in the Company obtaining the project financing required to fund the construction of the Rosemont project.
“However there is no assurance that such financing will be obtained or obtained on commercially favorable terms.
At the current rate of spending, Augusta will run out of cash by early in the fourth quarter.
The company, however, has $336 million from two sources that would become available if, and when, the company obtains final permitting approvals to begin construction. Augusta is seeking state and federal permits to construct the mine located in the Santa Rita Mountains on the Coronado National Forest southeast of Tucson.
Augusta’s joint venture partner in the Rosemont project, Korea-based United Copper and Moly, would invest $106 million in development costs. In addition, Silver Wheaton has pledged $230 million in exchange for the right to purchase silver and gold from the project at a set price.
The company states it expects to receive final approval from the U.S. Forest Service in the second quarter of this year with construction beginning by the end of the year. Augusta states it expects to obtain long-term debt financing at the same time it obtains final permits to move forward with mine construction.
Augusta states in its Annual Information Form, that 65 percent of the $1.25 billion project will be financed by the Silver Wheaton off-take agreement, United Copper’s joint venture investment and still unsecured bank debt financing.
“Any delays in the permitting process or any unplanned expenditures may require the Company to raise additional funds,” the Company states in its MD&A report.
The Forest Service announced last November that it has no set schedule to release a Final Environmental Impact Statement and Record of Decision needed prior to construction of the mine.
In addition, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers must issue a Clean Water Permit. The Army Corps is not expected to make a decision on the water permit until after the Final EIS is released. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, which last year issued two letters sharply criticizing the project, has veto power over any permit issued by the Army Corps.
Coronado National Forest Supervisor Jim Upchurch said last winter that before the Final EIS is released, the document will be reviewed by the regional headquarters in Albuquerque. It is unknown how long such a review could last, or if it has even begun.
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