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BP p.l.c. Message Board

nadsmis 149 posts  |  Last Activity: 19 hours ago Member since: Jun 23, 2009
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  • Reply to

    SDRL Shares At 3-Yr Low

    by play_tow 22 hours ago

    you have to figure in the amount of fracking going on in continental US. they don't put rigs in the Dakotas. fracking is much cheaper, and less riskier, than open water rigs. transportation is cheaper as well. once U.S. pulls its moratorium on oil exports, rigs will REALLY get clobbered.

    i got out of SDRL at 35.35 as the dividend (despite what play_tow believes) will not begin to cover the capital losses from plunging PPS.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Baird downgrade

    by nadsmis 23 hours ago

    just popped for another 1000 shares at 19.25187. i think Baird gave me an opportunity.

    this is my worst day in the market since i went all in in 2009. getting pounded on PLOW. being hit hard on MAIN Capital. a speculative holding in OAKS is down over 3%. FB getting whacked at -4.73% today. Ford hit. not much working for me except Altria (MO) and my latest AAPL buy. too bad i didn't go bigger on AAPL.

    still, am amazed at the panic selloff with PLOW. Baird downgrades to neutral and panic hits. i didn't think PLOW would be that volatile and sensitive. the downgrade was incredibly subjective and had nothing to do with financial metrics or earnings report. institutions hold over 85% of outstanding shares and THEY panicked. all based on Baird thinking themselves to be meteorologists. unbelievable.

    Jaywalk Concensus, The Street, and Ford Equity Research all rate PLOW as a Buy. MSN rates PLOW 10 of 10. Baird flips runs their mouth and funds selloff. lol.

    upcoming winter forecasts call for much the same winter as last year with another "polar vortex" hitting the snowbelt region on N. America.

    i am betting on PLOW to make their numbers. analysts predict $.30/share earnings (whcih is high). last Q analysts predicted $.43 and earnings came in at $.64. mark my post, i think PLOW beats them again and that trend should continue. still a lot of pent up demand.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    What is the magic price to add shares?

    by bigbear.2010 Jul 17, 2014 11:34 AM

    did you sell off your SDRL? they are getting pounded and i am glad i closed my position at $35.35 and dodged a bullet.

    horrible day for me today. my worst ever almost across the board. MAIN, PLOW (down 8% on Baird downgrade), CHL, UHT, FB, and even here with OAKS. OAKS was a speculative buy for me and very small position, thankfully. not liking the Street downgrade as i believe it to be accurate.

    nonetheless, i will let OAK ride and look for the bounce.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • sold off SDRL at $35.35. would have lost over 14.5% to capital had i held position. yield doesn't begin to cover those losses and continous speculation on dividend cut raises risk factor.

    PPS continues to drop on those fears. with oil price tanking, fracking increasing, oil glut in place, do not see this plunge as a buying opportunity. if dividend is cut, PPS goes from plunge to nose dive.

    would advise an immediate exit strategy.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • this downgrade is ridiculous. a downgrade on speculation that snowfall may not be enough to support growth? unbelievable.

    will let the panic selling run its' course and increase PLOW position.

    has to be a day of redemption for justmyho.

    Baird statement...
    Douglas Dynamics downgraded to Neutral at Robert W. Baird . Robert W. Baird downgrades PLOW to Neutral from Outperform. Favorable snowfall last year has yielded improved demand conditions for 2014, setting PLOW up for its strongest year as a public co. While firm appreciates co's strong competitive positioning and dividend yield, furn believes the inherent unpredictability around snowfall limits visibility and incremental multiple expansion approaching 2015. With the stock trading at 12X 2015E EBITDA (premium to peers, historicals), firm now considers risk/reward more balanced.

  • nadsmis nadsmis Sep 11, 2014 4:55 PM Flag


    you are too funny. you have me laughing so. LOL

  • Reply to

    BP Court Appeals

    by bijom Sep 5, 2014 12:29 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 11, 2014 4:54 PM Flag

    huh? i pollute? let's share one of your posts this week, shall we? go read her post history and you will see who she is. she pretends to be an authority on the BP trial yet she is simply a squirrel. this is who she is...

    vikkitrader • Sep 6, 2014 2:48 PM

    0 users liked this posts users disliked this posts 3

    baby BP boy go join a circus. The man without a peenis.


  • nadsmis nadsmis Sep 11, 2014 12:18 PM Flag

    your continual posts attacking BP are redundant and without substance. they need to be countered and you need to be called out for what you are and what you hope to achieve.

    you are insignificant and completely nonconsequential. a gnat.

    your friend,

  • Reply to

    BP Court Appeals

    by bijom Sep 5, 2014 12:29 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 11, 2014 12:17 PM Flag

    your continual posts attacking BP are redundant and without substance. they need to be countered and you need to be called out for what you are and what you hope to achieve.

    you are insignificant and completely nonconsequential. a gnat.

    your friend,

  • Reply to

    BP Court Appeals

    by bijom Sep 5, 2014 12:29 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 11, 2014 12:11 PM Flag

    trust you?? you are insignificant and completely nonconsequential. a gnat.

  • nadsmis nadsmis Sep 11, 2014 11:50 AM Flag

    i sold all CMI at 140.30 and glad of it. by no means was CMI my only holding. have 17 open positions on NYSE and NASDAQ.

    CMI and 3 other positions were the 3-month bummers. taking an 11% cash position and will seek other opportunities on a market dip.

    i do not think US economy will tank. where did you get that idea? i believe the bull market still has alot of leg left to it.

    i did well with CMI over the past year. just think it is topped out. as stated, the last 3 months were bad and i see a slide here. there is a glut on for oil and gasoline prices are dropping. what with domestic fracking going on, that trend is projected to continue. that reduces demand for deisel as an alternative to gasoline. i believe CMI will underperform the DJI (which is my benchmark).

    the low yield for CMI is unattractive.

    well, you can have my old shares. i see they are cheaper today.

    i wish you and all other CMI shareholders good fortune.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • nadsmis by nadsmis Sep 10, 2014 9:23 PM Flag

    closing some stagnant positions and KMB is one. no growth. PPS appears topped out. yield not attractive.

    not seeing any opportunity here.

    dead money.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    What happened today?

    by airlease2000 Aug 15, 2014 4:05 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 10, 2014 9:17 PM Flag

    enough is enough. tire of seeing AYR and plane leasing sector underperforming the market - consistently. will put down 50% into industrials and 50% cash.

    FLY is no better nor are the others.

    no growth = dead money.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • nadsmis nadsmis Sep 10, 2014 9:12 PM Flag

    the pull back has been consistent for 3 months. this is beyond a dip. CMI represents dead money. the yield sucks at 2.2% while growth is negative.

    placed my sell order 10 minutes ago and closed this position.

    enough is enough.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Pipeline suspended says Spectra

    by rootofall Aug 8, 2014 12:06 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 10, 2014 9:03 PM Flag

    thanks for the info. was the last straw. the marginal yield does not make up for capital loss. i have placed my sell order and am liquidating this position.

    SE was simply dead money and i will put it to work.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to


    by needtickets99 Aug 15, 2014 10:51 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 10, 2014 8:51 PM Flag

    he has no source. don't you tire of such dribble postings of buyout speculation. you typically see it when PPS is negative to flat. just jibberish.

  • nadsmis nadsmis Sep 9, 2014 8:46 PM Flag

    lol. you are the perfect illustration of an informed, and comparatively well educated, republican.

  • Reply to

    Why no movement up at all

    by airlease2000 Sep 2, 2014 3:55 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 9, 2014 8:31 PM Flag


    you hit it on the head. i stayed with the sector but not with FLY and bought into AYR. liquidated FLY at 14.75 and bought AYR at 18.76 so, once you account for yield it is a horse a piece. my motive was as you posted - a SO w/o explantion.

    air lease sector underperforming DJI on a consistent basis despite good earnings reports.

    should have left the sector entirely. that may happen sooner rather than later...

  • Reply to

    the beat down continues...

    by nadsmis Sep 7, 2014 1:46 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 9, 2014 1:59 PM Flag

    lol. see today's action? down 3.16%. couple that with zero yield.

    oh, I think a lot of shareholders care what the shares do today and next week. it isn't like you are holding for the dividends, is it?

    lastly, it will take quite a few storms in order for GNRC earnings to compare favorably YOY. will take many BIG storms for that. you have to understand performance will be compared to when GNRC had huge sales both during and after Sandy.

    no guy, had I held, I would have been down nearly 20% since I liquidated and as stated, without benefit of dividends and in a market that has improved.

    link? DYOD

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Las Vegas/ Lake Mead Water levels

    by fasted146 Aug 21, 2014 9:27 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 8, 2014 5:00 PM Flag

    silly post.... dumb.

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