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Douglas Dynamics, Inc. Message Board

nadsmis 155 posts  |  Last Activity: Sep 18, 2014 12:04 PM Member since: Jun 23, 2009
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  • Reply to

    What happened today?

    by airlease2000 Aug 15, 2014 4:05 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 18, 2014 12:04 PM Flag

    you are ok with yield returning you 4.5% while you suffer capital gains loss of 8%? i'd much rather be realizing a yield of 3% and capital appreciation of 6%.

    you're a complete idiot.

  • nadsmis nadsmis Sep 18, 2014 11:45 AM Flag

    can you believe it? he doesn't know the difference between China Unicom and China Mobile. lol.

    He also posts AAPL under $97 and it is trading at $102.08 today. unreal. shortsp500 is really spot on. LOL

  • Reply to

    Why no movement up at all

    by airlease2000 Sep 2, 2014 3:55 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 16, 2014 10:30 PM Flag

    it happened sooner. lol. dumped AYR at 18.35. had i continued to hold FLY, capital loss would have been - 7.12% since i closed that position at 14.75.

    it isn't just FLY but the whole air leasing sector and it is lagging both the DJI and NASDAQ.

    even if yield made up for capital loss, can get both better yield and PPS performance with alternative investment - esp with BDC's.

    obviously, my Long-Term Sentiment is strong sell....

    Good fortune to you tho....

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to


    by gal1918 Sep 13, 2014 12:05 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 16, 2014 9:17 PM Flag

    if you believe that, you don't belong in it.

  • Reply to

    **** The Dividend Is In Question ******

    by stenchcloud Sep 15, 2014 10:19 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 16, 2014 9:12 PM Flag

    you gotta be kidding....

  • Reply to

    Losing patience

    by stevencall66 Sep 16, 2014 2:54 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 16, 2014 9:09 PM Flag

    yes there is - but in mexico. a hurricane would only help temporarily. too many other players now in the standby generator market - Kohler, Briggs, Wicks, Honda, Yamaha.

    unless, or until, GNRC begins focusing on shareholder friendly initiatives - you can expect PPS to continue to erode. need a regular dividend, a stock buyback program, a good acquisition.

    this stock will test more than your patience. it will test your pocketbook. down AGAIN in another market up day. geez, why does anyone continue to hold this position???? i see PPS is now down 23.1% since i liquidated at $55.55.

    Wall Street is trying to tell you something....

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • nadsmis nadsmis Sep 16, 2014 8:57 PM Flag

    pot calling the kettle kind of thing....

  • Reply to

    This is still not over $11. I dont get it

    by dispatchhh Sep 15, 2014 11:11 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 16, 2014 8:55 PM Flag

    great insight. your posts are thought provoking. lol.

  • Reply to

    imagine if they announce a buyback soon

    by dispatchhh Sep 16, 2014 2:41 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 16, 2014 8:48 PM Flag


  • Reply to

    I'm all out

    by nadsmis Feb 6, 2012 1:58 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 16, 2014 3:51 PM Flag

    just visiting an old post. sure glad I got out and hope everyone else did with as little monetary damage as possible.

    what a joke Michael Koss is....

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    the beat down continues...

    by nadsmis Sep 7, 2014 1:46 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 16, 2014 2:34 PM Flag

    down $1.72/share since your post on the 9th. still need a link?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    50% over NAV

    by visit_youarguedotcom Aug 12, 2014 4:22 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 16, 2014 1:25 PM Flag


    well said.

    and, ok. I will look at TCAP.


    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    SDRL Shares At 3-Yr Low

    by play_tow Sep 15, 2014 12:41 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 15, 2014 3:14 PM Flag

    you have to figure in the amount of fracking going on in continental US. they don't put rigs in the Dakotas. fracking is much cheaper, and less riskier, than open water rigs. transportation is cheaper as well. once U.S. pulls its moratorium on oil exports, rigs will REALLY get clobbered.

    i got out of SDRL at 35.35 as the dividend (despite what play_tow believes) will not begin to cover the capital losses from plunging PPS.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Baird downgrade

    by nadsmis Sep 15, 2014 11:37 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 15, 2014 2:18 PM Flag

    just popped for another 1000 shares at 19.25187. i think Baird gave me an opportunity.

    this is my worst day in the market since i went all in in 2009. getting pounded on PLOW. being hit hard on MAIN Capital. a speculative holding in OAKS is down over 3%. FB getting whacked at -4.73% today. Ford hit. not much working for me except Altria (MO) and my latest AAPL buy. too bad i didn't go bigger on AAPL.

    still, am amazed at the panic selloff with PLOW. Baird downgrades to neutral and panic hits. i didn't think PLOW would be that volatile and sensitive. the downgrade was incredibly subjective and had nothing to do with financial metrics or earnings report. institutions hold over 85% of outstanding shares and THEY panicked. all based on Baird thinking themselves to be meteorologists. unbelievable.

    Jaywalk Concensus, The Street, and Ford Equity Research all rate PLOW as a Buy. MSN rates PLOW 10 of 10. Baird flips runs their mouth and funds selloff. lol.

    upcoming winter forecasts call for much the same winter as last year with another "polar vortex" hitting the snowbelt region on N. America.

    i am betting on PLOW to make their numbers. analysts predict $.30/share earnings (whcih is high). last Q analysts predicted $.43 and earnings came in at $.64. mark my post, i think PLOW beats them again and that trend should continue. still a lot of pent up demand.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    What is the magic price to add shares?

    by bigbear.2010 Jul 17, 2014 11:34 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 15, 2014 1:14 PM Flag

    did you sell off your SDRL? they are getting pounded and i am glad i closed my position at $35.35 and dodged a bullet.

    horrible day for me today. my worst ever almost across the board. MAIN, PLOW (down 8% on Baird downgrade), CHL, UHT, FB, and even here with OAKS. OAKS was a speculative buy for me and very small position, thankfully. not liking the Street downgrade as i believe it to be accurate.

    nonetheless, i will let OAK ride and look for the bounce.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • sold off SDRL at $35.35. would have lost over 14.5% to capital had i held position. yield doesn't begin to cover those losses and continous speculation on dividend cut raises risk factor.

    PPS continues to drop on those fears. with oil price tanking, fracking increasing, oil glut in place, do not see this plunge as a buying opportunity. if dividend is cut, PPS goes from plunge to nose dive.

    would advise an immediate exit strategy.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • nadsmis by nadsmis Sep 15, 2014 11:37 AM Flag

    this downgrade is ridiculous. a downgrade on speculation that snowfall may not be enough to support growth? unbelievable.

    will let the panic selling run its' course and increase PLOW position.

    has to be a day of redemption for justmyho.

    Baird statement...
    Douglas Dynamics downgraded to Neutral at Robert W. Baird . Robert W. Baird downgrades PLOW to Neutral from Outperform. Favorable snowfall last year has yielded improved demand conditions for 2014, setting PLOW up for its strongest year as a public co. While firm appreciates co's strong competitive positioning and dividend yield, furn believes the inherent unpredictability around snowfall limits visibility and incremental multiple expansion approaching 2015. With the stock trading at 12X 2015E EBITDA (premium to peers, historicals), firm now considers risk/reward more balanced.

  • nadsmis nadsmis Sep 11, 2014 4:55 PM Flag


    you are too funny. you have me laughing so. LOL

  • Reply to

    BP Court Appeals

    by bijom Sep 5, 2014 12:29 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Sep 11, 2014 4:54 PM Flag

    huh? i pollute? let's share one of your posts this week, shall we? go read her post history and you will see who she is. she pretends to be an authority on the BP trial yet she is simply a squirrel. this is who she is...

    vikkitrader • Sep 6, 2014 2:48 PM

    0 users liked this posts users disliked this posts 3

    baby BP boy go join a circus. The man without a peenis.


  • nadsmis nadsmis Sep 11, 2014 12:18 PM Flag

    your continual posts attacking BP are redundant and without substance. they need to be countered and you need to be called out for what you are and what you hope to achieve.

    you are insignificant and completely nonconsequential. a gnat.

    your friend,

18.97-0.46(-2.37%)Sep 19 4:07 PMEDT

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