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Douglas Dynamics, Inc. Message Board

nadsmis 212 posts  |  Last Activity: Jul 2, 2015 6:48 PM Member since: Jun 23, 2009
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  • nadsmis by nadsmis May 20, 2015 11:56 AM Flag


  • Reply to

    Interesting commercial last night

    by millertyme1956 May 20, 2015 9:40 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 20, 2015 11:06 AM Flag

    yeah, like a 120?

  • Reply to

    big mistake

    by nadsmis May 18, 2015 10:56 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 19, 2015 4:54 PM Flag

    thx for your thoughts. i appreciate it. however, altho an investor by nature i only invest in income stocks with high yield (such as BDC's). i trade other stocks such as TNK and hold short term and am right as much as i'm wrong. overall i am way ahead but lately my moves haven't panned out too well, i.e., TNK. the latest bungle was buying big into HD, seeing them beat expectations and income, seeing high volume and then watching them take a 1.5% loss after their ER and CC. sometimes you just can't win for winning. lol. took out 50% of HD and bought into banking sector with GS and USB with expectations of Janet Yellen and Fed announcement come this Friday. i trade about 30% of my stock portfolio.

    IMO, you are wise to diverse among 30 positions. i just couldn't follow them as closely as i should and so hold only 10. my largest was 21 positions but sold some off to put down on a real estate deal (fortunately that looks good).

    Ben Graham? will see if the local library has it.


  • nadsmis by nadsmis May 19, 2015 3:41 PM Flag

    when you have a good earnings report, the market is flat, and an equity tanks... adios. typically a sign that PPS is topped out and it would take a big catalyst (such as a buyback announcement or increase to dividend) to move the shareprice. analysts see that and institutional investors sell hard. that's the case with HD. very disappointing. the yield is pedestrian and not enough incentive to hold HD. will buy into banking sector (GS, C, USB) with expectation Friday of Fed announcement.

    HD is a POSition.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    big mistake

    by nadsmis May 18, 2015 10:56 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 18, 2015 2:37 PM Flag

    i understand pb. however, this is a speculative short term investment for me. TNK beta at 2.3 and historical volatility at 49.5%. that's too high for this fairly risk adverse investor. yield is ok at about 2% but i do much better elsewhere.

    i really blew it by dumping too early but fortunately made up for some of that with HD (which i expect to see good ER tomorrow). still, i was wrong too much too fast after initial ER. i saw one poster here who said he often sees equities in this sector bounce back a day or 2 after ER. he was spot on.

    congrats on the moola you've made here. my hat's off to you and kosmic.

  • Reply to

    all out...

    by nadsmis May 8, 2015 10:40 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 18, 2015 11:31 AM Flag

    geez, i wonder who this hbd1234 guy can be. a member since yesterday and this is "his" only post.

    kinda interesting...

  • Reply to


    by jeddiemack May 15, 2015 9:14 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 18, 2015 11:07 AM Flag

    yeah, i think so too. next Q should beat earnings projections as well. putting my last nickle and increasing this position prior to the ER.


  • Reply to


    by sixman02 May 16, 2015 12:39 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 18, 2015 10:58 AM Flag

    well, i just bought back in. had liquidated at 6.31 and bought back in at 5.02 looking for a bounce. seeing one but am a little late to the party...

  • nadsmis by nadsmis May 18, 2015 10:56 AM Flag

    one of my worst moves selling at $6.02 after earnings rept. only to watch a big run up. kosmic was right, i was wrong. dead wrong.

    bought back in earlier at 6.7173 PPS. hoping for a sustained bounce. a speculative position for me. will give it a month.

  • Reply to

    TTC vastly underperforms the DJI and Nasdaq

    by nadsmis May 14, 2015 5:41 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 18, 2015 10:52 AM Flag

    yes, i believe earnings will boost the PPS. i expect an earnings beat. however, i don't think we will see $5. will be satisfied with $2.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Buy Best of Breed Before Tuesday

    by i_gotta_have_more_cowbell May 13, 2015 1:47 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 14, 2015 5:43 PM Flag

    yeah, recent performance is lackluster and disappointing. it is all about future guidance as yield is pedestrian at best. will hold thru the ER and then liquidate.

  • a disappointing equity. will hold thru earnings release and liquidate position. the yield is pedestrian at best and not worth being patient.

    money in TTC is dead money.

  • DJI up 1.06% and Nasdaq up 1.39% today while PLOW up a meager .28%. horrible. now have less than $10k here and will not ever reinvest in PLOW again. will sell the remnants in my Roth at any kind of a decent bounce to share price. ever since Janik's poor presentation on last 2 earnings calls, the PPS has dropped and stayed down. do not expect to see it recover.

    i reiterate, Janik needs to be counseled, and coached, for speech skills. it isn't just what is said but how it's said. he simply must make the transition from a CEO of a privately held corporation to a CEO of a publicly held company.

    Janik left shareholders uncertain on future guidance. he actually said performance would be tough to repeat. bad statement. if true, you want to sell. if he's hedging, you can't believe him and again, you want to sell.

    too bad. a good company but not a good investment. the yield does not make up for capital loss and cost of missed opportunities.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Reply to

    MIFI down 30% since 4-27...!!!

    by nadsmis May 12, 2015 10:47 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 14, 2015 12:42 PM Flag


    that just tells me that you should have sold then but instead incurred a drop of 25% since last ER.

    i see by your posts that you like do a lot of name calling. an internet tough guy, huh? maybe an internet bully? you handle rather shows a lack of intellect and your posts confirm that. oh, i see you are only a Yahoo Finance member for 7 months or do you periodically assume a new identity?

    you're simply a big mouth baffoon.

  • may be premature prior to CC but earnings only beat expectations by $0.01. not the windfall that some posters expected. at current, PPS trading at +2.12% (noon EST) based on results with high volume. that bump does not begin to make up for shareprice loss of 9.4% from close on 4-24 (recent high water PPS). current PPS also driven in part by a strong day in the markets with DJI up .88% and Nasdaq up 1.02%.

    in "related" stories, TK lost $9.8M for 2015 Q1 and DB downgraded TNK from Buy to Hold.

    enough for me. have to raise some cash short term for a real estate venture and i had parked some moola in TNK expecting better results. altho i made an overall profit with TNK, future outlook doesn't look too optimistic in that if they couldn't do better in Q1 with ideal business climate for them with oil glut, i can't see them doing any better once oil prices settle down and reach a more level equilibrium.

    altho i take exception to shills, and pumpers - no different then slammers on small cap stocks - i wish you all well and hope i am wrong with closing TNK position. i never wish bad fortune on any investors.


    Sentiment: Sell

  • Reply to

    out of favor

    by last2cents May 11, 2015 12:29 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 13, 2015 12:01 PM Flag


  • Reply to


    by j_jwhale Mar 24, 2015 10:35 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 13, 2015 11:56 AM Flag


    Warren Buffet could give a 20000 for 1 split to Berkshire Hathaway BRK/A and he would if it was advantageous. he kinda knows what he's doing. lol.

  • Reply to


    by j_jwhale Mar 24, 2015 10:35 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 13, 2015 11:52 AM Flag

    mathematically it is nothing. stocks can split and drop too with the SAME percentage whether it's half or double the price depending on the split. with a 2 for 1 you get twice the shares at half the price. dividends are cut in half too. there is no difference.

    the advantage to splits used to be the discount given for round lot purchases and sells. round lots are meaningless now. just like old paper certificates.

  • Reply to

    MIFI down 30% since 4-27...!!!

    by nadsmis May 12, 2015 10:47 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 13, 2015 11:01 AM Flag

    well, MIFI making a nice comeback today.
    good luck to you.

  • Reply to

    MIFI down 30% since 4-27...!!!

    by nadsmis May 12, 2015 10:47 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis May 12, 2015 8:35 PM Flag

    well you shoulda sold 27% ago.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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