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Douglas Dynamics, Inc. Message Board

nadsmis 135 posts  |  Last Activity: 10 hours ago Member since: Jun 23, 2009
  • nadsmis by nadsmis Nov 28, 2014 3:41 PM Flag

    well, we lost almost everything we gained after the acquisition announcement. incredible. will continue to hold after profit takers have moved on and reap yield until next earnings report - which will be stellar.

    nonetheless, what a bummer.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • nadsmis nadsmis Nov 28, 2014 3:09 PM Flag

    based on BP's history - yes. based on oil industry going forward - no. BP's earnings are bound to drop YOY. earnings reports will be dismal. it is very possible that BP will not be able to support such a high dividend rate. dividends will be in jeopardy and once trimmed, at best to keep a 5% yield to falling PPS, share prices will plunge further.

    yes, BP is a fierce defender of dividends. unfortunately, they will have to deal with the economics and financial aspect of it all. they won't have a choice.

    sorry to say because i was a BP investor for many years and increased that position after the spill. i just saw the writing on the wall. that writing is now in capital letters.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Same old...

    by hetedrol Nov 28, 2014 11:03 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis Nov 28, 2014 1:35 PM Flag

    you were correct and remain correct. fortunately i unloaded last of BP at 53.06/share. i like BP management and they've proven time and again that they are shareholder friendly. still, they are in a market segment that would drop like a rock. fracking changes everything. i also sold COP, NSH, SDRL and wish i had sold ETP which also took a beating today.
    hetedrol, you are a good sort and i hope you eventually prevail but i am afraid it won't be in the oil industry. best to take your beating and reinvest until oil industry regains its footing. that won't be anytime soon. oil consumption down due to higher mileage automobiles, less European and Chinese demand and then the glut from fracking. OPEC wisely not restricting production as it will chase out many no-longer-profitable competitors. Ven, African nations, many others.
    time to bail. an old saying, "Cheap stocks can always get cheaper"
    Good luck to you.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • nadsmis nadsmis Nov 28, 2014 1:28 PM Flag

    just think what that lost revenue could have worked for you while you wait, and hope, for better days.

  • nadsmis nadsmis Nov 28, 2014 1:25 PM Flag

    no, i meant a "poison pill". anyone staying in any oil or oil related stocks not only took a beating, they took a pounding today. i just don't understand why anyone continued to hold. i had divested BP, COP, NSH, and SDRL months ago as oil began to plummet. unfortunately i held ETP which are pipeline people thinking they wouldn't be included but the hit came to anyone and everyone associated with the oil industry. a lot of bad news for investors on a Thanksgiving weekend. hate to see that.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Pump and Dump

    by gregnullet Nov 11, 2014 11:35 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Nov 26, 2014 8:15 PM Flag

    i closed my SIX position at 39.71 and am surprised current PPS at 40.28 at market close today. this horrible cold weather across most of the lower 48 has to impact business. my bet is they miss YOY Q4 by a mile come next earnings rept. if anything, this is a stock to Short.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Retirement Plan

    by loper_35801 Oct 16, 2014 2:27 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Nov 26, 2014 8:03 PM Flag

    how true

  • nadsmis nadsmis Nov 26, 2014 8:02 PM Flag

    if you remain Long on SDRL, the pill to take is not a chill pill....

  • Reply to

    Staying LONG on BP...

    by insurancefla1 Nov 19, 2014 8:51 AM
    nadsmis nadsmis Nov 25, 2014 7:34 PM Flag

    speaking of gorrillas, look who's back? we missed you.


  • Reply to

    outstanding acquisition... great play

    by nadsmis Nov 25, 2014 3:43 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Nov 25, 2014 6:30 PM Flag

    i believe i will play long as well. just imagine how PLOW can take advantage of the extensive dealer network Henderson has.

    prior to announcement i worried about the seasonality of PLOW but this acquisition reduces those fears. PLOW's last purchase helped them with landscaping equip and now Henderson has a nice product line of dump truck bodies that can be exploited and used to round off the business.

    the synergies between all 3 business entities are going to be huge.

    kudos to PLOW BOD for this one...!! they have made a believer out of me.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • great to see Douglas Dyn making a smart investment. was wondering what move they would make after such great earnings and net profits. didn't see div increase, nor spec div, debt retirement, nor stock buyback announcement. unless they wanted to give it all to good ole Uncle Sam, they had to spend the cash on acquistion. they did and it couldn't have been a better buy (assuming they didn't overpay).

    Henderson gives them a whole new market sector while still fitting their approach. domestic production, snow removal, midwestern manufacturing. i love it and apparently Mr Market approves. just a huge day for PPS.

    what with all the snow in Nov thru out northern and eastern US, sales to earnings are going to make for another outstanding quarter. and to think i took profit and reduced PLOW position by 30% a couple weeks back. lol.

    i see that the Investor's Business Daily report gave PLOW some ink. that type exposure will help to put PLOW on the radar for more institutional trading. that only helps us small guys.

    Congrats to all who held. IMO, this stock is still a strong buy. i'd buy more but this position now at nearly 23% my stock portfolio. that's not diversifying so i am letting it run as is. yield is good and well protected so, why not?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Will JRN stock A and B shares still exist?

    by scrubsmke Nov 19, 2014 8:57 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Nov 24, 2014 12:54 PM Flag

    the newspapers were hurt from the internet and their inability to deliver papers consistently. however, JRN and Scripps primary source of revenue is radio and TV. they are not just a newspaper.

  • Reply to

    UBFO underperforming markets - a lot

    by nadsmis Oct 21, 2014 5:49 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Nov 19, 2014 6:39 PM Flag

    your "facts" are skewed. simple to check, yes? simply click chart for last month PPS. UBFO down 4.21%, DJI up 7.84%. that's a delta of over 8%.

    i repeat, there are no regularly scheduled dividends. regular yield is zero. all payouts have been special. that is also easy to see.

    you are a shill and not worth communicating with. you are going to put a spin on anything but, fact don't lie. you do.

    my Long-Term Sentiment is Strong Sell but, do it slowly and eat all the transaction costs as PPS drops underneath you during the plays.

    you ever sold, or bought any? you would know.

    this matter is now closed.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    UBFO underperforming markets - a lot

    by nadsmis Oct 21, 2014 5:49 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Nov 19, 2014 11:48 AM Flag

    hey chuckles, UBFO is vastly underperforming the markets in general and the financial sector in particular. no denying that. the stock performance has been poor for 4 quarters and will continue to decline.

    with such a small float, when you purchase even a small amt of shares, price goes up as transaction occurs should you buy at market price. shares drop like a rock as you sell. no denying that.

    the dividends are not regularly scheduled and hence, yield reported at zero. no dnying that.

    odd that you only post on this one board and only became a member to respond to original post. and yes, ANYONE can post. an employee, a shareholder, anyone. you are at least a pumper and most probably a shill. it is readily apparent and is not surprising with such a small float, small cap stock. a sell of even 300 shares brings down PPS quick. you obviously don't want that. is a component of your compensation related to stock performance?

    i haven't held UBFO for some time now. i post only as a warning to other potential investors that this position is almost a fraud. as are you.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to


    by jimmccar Nov 15, 2014 3:16 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Nov 19, 2014 11:35 AM Flag


    EPS at .69 and P/E at 14.45 per Ameritrade (very accurate).

    do you know when 2014 Q4 earnings report is scheduled for? i am thinking end of January '15 sometime but i can't find the date. JRN home page totally convoluted by ads and newspaper info and i can't find anything on investor relations or the like.

    interesting note, 89.71% of outstanding shares held by institutions. altho JRN should be a growth stock, that percentage is still unusually high. for a media company such as JRN, i would think 75% would be the norm.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Liar Nadmis Finally Gone!

    by optiondog Oct 23, 2014 2:35 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Nov 18, 2014 4:44 PM Flag

    will you be my valentine? and... i didn't put you on any ignore list... i luv you man

  • Reply to

    Liar Nadmis Finally Gone!

    by optiondog Oct 23, 2014 2:35 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Nov 18, 2014 4:42 PM Flag

    you stalking me now? how low do you go? ugh.

  • Reply to

    hgl12692529... how come...

    by nadsmis Nov 13, 2014 2:09 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Nov 17, 2014 4:17 PM Flag

    it said you were smart. lol.

  • Reply to

    UBFO underperforming markets - a lot

    by nadsmis Oct 21, 2014 5:49 PM
    nadsmis nadsmis Nov 17, 2014 1:36 PM Flag

    hey shill. and that is what you are - most likely a company employee. your Yahoo Finance history only shows you a member since Jul 22, 2014. you've only 2 posts - both for UBFO. my my. what a coincidence. mayhaps you should post a couple fraudulent messages on other stocks so it doesn't look so blatant.

    by the by, not whining. i haven't owned UBFO for many months. my post intent was to warn buyers of the incredibly small float (market cap of $83M) that results in share price plummeting as a sell takes place. you sell more than 250 shares in a single trade and by the time the transaction is finished, you could lose 10%. horrible.

    also, i finally closed UBFO at $5.77 and thereby dodged a loss to capital of 5.6% as stock trades today at 5.45. that drop coincides with all time record highs to the markets. not too good - huh? it took me 3 weeks to dump so that share price wouldn't plummet.

    and the announced 1% stock dividend is not a regularly scheduled dividend. you can't count on it in the least.

    UBFO is a poor, and risky, investment.


    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • you removed your post from earlier today? change your mind? laughable.

21.32+0.70(+3.39%)Jan 29 4:02 PMEST

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