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Antares Pharma Inc. Message Board

nammuang 648 posts  |  Last Activity: 7 hours ago Member since: Jun 26, 2012
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  • Reply to

    3,626,000 so far in Q3 reported Symphony

    by nammuang Sep 29, 2014 9:52 AM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 30, 2014 7:55 PM Flag

    Actually people like andre,whogo and affirmed suggesting that I'm pumping when I use the numbers that these companies are providing should probably make some sort of official complaint to whoever, about them publishing dodgy numbers since they make a lot of money supplying them to their customers. Or maybe they just don't want to believe the facts staring straight at them?

  • Reply to

    3,626,000 so far in Q3 reported Symphony

    by nammuang Sep 29, 2014 9:52 AM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 30, 2014 7:49 PM Flag

    florestan,
    It's not my numbers It's Symphony's numbers of the Bloomberg Terminal.

  • So if someone got out someone else surely got in. Unless it was covering.

  • Reply to

    Scripts Explained

    by nammuang Sep 28, 2014 10:04 PM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 30, 2014 8:04 AM Flag

    Andre, one last observation on your post.
    "Even if only 20% sell their shares, we will have 16M shares for sale in December. Interesting - the short interest is also 16M shares." It was about 22% or 18 mill previous and it will drop again. Our average volume today is 1.225Million per day so what's your point. If you sell the share that you claim to have at this level you will make the shorts happy they are the reason we are here and they will need to buy to cover.

  • Reply to

    Scripts Explained

    by nammuang Sep 28, 2014 10:04 PM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 30, 2014 5:13 AM Flag

    Andre, I found the number 1315 for two scripts its probably for ten injectors at 131.5 each. 2 injections in the doctors office at 263 plus two four packs at 1052(526 each) not exactly rocket science.

  • Reply to

    Scripts Explained

    by nammuang Sep 28, 2014 10:04 PM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 30, 2014 2:13 AM Flag

    Andre,
    We do have 464 script but they are prescriptions and a prescription can be for 1 to x amount of bits whatever they are(a four pack of injectors or one syringe or 50 headache pills) probably to complicated for you to grasp.
    The magic is not 1000scripts the magic is around 25M dollar per year.
    Where did you get 1315$ and two scripts from? I think that was drroids post referring to Rasuvo, anyway you still should read the whole thing a Symphony script is a prescription.
    Enjoy your drink and proceed further in to the Fog that you are in.

  • Reply to

    Scripts Explained

    by nammuang Sep 28, 2014 10:04 PM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 29, 2014 9:35 PM Flag

    Cacheflash,
    What I'm saying is that this is a minimum number of unique users there will be users with 60-90 day scripts that won't show up at all in the months when they have enough injectors at home. But if you show up as a script on Symphony in a given month you are a unique user for a count of 1.

  • Reply to

    Scripts Explained

    by nammuang Sep 28, 2014 10:04 PM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 29, 2014 9:27 PM Flag

    Cacheflash,
    No because even if you are a refill you will be refilled under a unique prescription, A Prescription for a single patient can not show up as an Nrx and a Refill in the same week or month(well theoretically a patient could pick up an Nrx on the first day of the month and a refill on the 28th but that patient probably got a shot in the doctors office anyway so it's really five week coverage on the first stint). Ali is spot on so far we might even be a bit ahead of his projection.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Scripts Explained

    by nammuang Sep 28, 2014 10:04 PM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 29, 2014 8:59 PM Flag

    Whogo,
    You are probably the only one that understood that post

  • Reply to

    Scripts Explained

    by nammuang Sep 28, 2014 10:04 PM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 29, 2014 8:56 PM Flag

    Whorlwind,
    The Antares people refer to a four pack as a script at least PW used to do that and I used to complain about that being confusing but you can call it what you want(I would prefer "Pack" so we are not disagreeing here.
    A reported Symphony script is a Doctors unique PRESCRIPTION for X number of Otrexup PACKS/SCRIPTS each holding 4 injectors.
    See we agree.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Scripts Explained

    by nammuang Sep 28, 2014 10:04 PM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 29, 2014 8:40 PM Flag

    Another little interesting tidbit. Since the symphony numbers are individual prescriptions and not Otrexup scripts and the minimum that a doctor can prescribe is four injectors.
    Well every Symhony prescription in a given month is for an individual and that individual will not show up as a refill or an Nrx until at the earliest next month.
    At the last week in august we reported a rolling total of 6864 Symphony scripts since the start if we do another 500 last week that number will then be 8694 at end September.
    8694-6864=1,830 Unique patients in September.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Scripts Explained

    by nammuang Sep 28, 2014 10:04 PM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 29, 2014 8:27 PM Flag

    aintno,
    A four pack is not a prescription,
    Symphony script= Doctors prescription
    Otrexup Script=One pack of four injectors.
    DO NOT CONFUSE THE TWO OF THEM; THEY ARE NOT THE SAME THING

  • Could get wild here for a couple of day's.

  • Reply to

    Scripts Explained

    by nammuang Sep 28, 2014 10:04 PM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 29, 2014 10:58 AM Flag

    Where is Rymankoly, andre,affirmed,whogo and the lot.
    They should be allover this post about whats being wrong with everything. Surely correct and positive numbers on Otrexup cant go nu-attacked this long. Or is it so bad that they have no negative arguments left?

  • Reply to

    Scripts Explained

    by nammuang Sep 28, 2014 10:04 PM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 29, 2014 10:09 AM Flag

    Aintno,
    Exactly what I've been saying:
    Symphony script= Doctors prescription
    Otrexup Script=One pack of four injectors.
    DO NOT CONFUSE THE TWO OF THEM; THEY ARE NOT THE SAME THING.

  • Reply to

    3,626,000 so far in Q3 reported Symphony

    by nammuang Sep 29, 2014 9:52 AM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 29, 2014 10:06 AM Flag

    You are right I always assume that the pharmacy is closed on the weekend :o). But the good doctor will not be cranking out any prescriptions.

  • Reply to

    Scripts Explained

    by nammuang Sep 28, 2014 10:04 PM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 29, 2014 9:56 AM Flag

    Aintno.
    There are only one Otrexup script and that is one pack with four injectors in it. It's always dispensed in packs of four. Prescriptions are for X number of Otrexup scripts and they only come in one size.

  • And we still have 7 working days unreported If these number are not good then I surely don't know what people are expecting. Looks like 4Million easily for the full quarter. Shiver you shots :o)

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Scripts Explained

    by nammuang Sep 28, 2014 10:04 PM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 29, 2014 9:43 AM Flag

    To continue with the new numbers provided by drroid, thanks again.

    Drroid recent numbers shows 4804 Prescriptions reported up until Friday, exactly the same as my spreadsheet ;o).
    Sales reported for Q3 so far: US$ 3,626,000
    Total sales per prescription : US$ 3,626,000/4808=755 Dollar Average per prescription(last week 770)
    22,542 is the number of injectors so divide by four and Q3 reported sales so far 5,636 Otrexup scripts
    -
    The average price per script so far for Q3 =3,626,000/5,636=643$ per pack
    -
    That seems high but I read when looking up the details about scripts that Symphony automatically correct for under reporting now so using the 20% number to figure out revenue is no longer necessary. If they do adjust the revenue number but not the script number then you need to adjust the Otrexup script number and that would give you 3,626,000/7045=514$ per pack.

    I don't know if this is a correct assumption but that's the only way I can explain the High Value per Otrexup script reported. Does somebody know for sure? From what I've read the revenue numbers for symphony are fairly spot on.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Scripts - numbers

    by drroid78 Sep 29, 2014 7:25 AM
    nammuang nammuang Sep 29, 2014 8:01 AM Flag

    Thanks a lot drroid!

ATRS
2.00+0.01(+0.50%)Oct 21 4:00 PMEDT

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