If you are making money from your 'short', shouldn't you be out enjoying it and having any kind of life? You spend way too much time making people think an insane asylum has a formidable short in this for funding.
i have not engaged in that, i only use it to estimate the eps, and in turn what kind of earnings spike i can get. i know not of any hedging activities either, but you can probably find it in the yearly earnings somewhere, but i cant ever make it through all of those things; I kind of just skim them really for what i deem to be important. i figure there is some kind of contractual amounts set in deliveries for the future, and that the company is prepared for volatile bromine prices. how they handled last quarter was phenomenal i think.
CXDC has much higher to go i think, it has the double revenue thing that PME has as well in 2015 i think it was after a new factory is running. they have been conservative in all of their estimates and have impressed on nearly everything. I consider it my highest quality small cap. in the short-term i hope to buy back cheaper, otherwise it was a good call selling monday/tuesday in the short-term.
I think this is not specific to GURE, as several other chinese stocks are down quite a bit. im currently researching why, but it looks to be macro at the very least.
It's not statistics, this is metrics of supply and demand and a slew of behavioral sciences. My personal probability assumption on this is almost definite if all else held constant. I personally feel by the end of the year but might take longer. Just buy cheap and trade it on earnings a bit. I've made a lot simply trading below or at 4.
You have to know what kind of stock this is, a very manipulated Chinese rto.
I can't say what it will do, but I will say selling now is the wrong decision on a probability basis.