ppie....I think you are on the right path...assuming the intial reported results repeat, then what? Investors will be expecting SP to increase a lot ($ 20 IMO). What happens next is critical though .Some attempt to establish the WHAT IF follow on while patients scamble to keep from regressing(who could blame them). In that vacuum BP will certainly step in and rethink their investments while persueing licenses and other CNS trials -treatments. After the intial jump in SP new trials and spinoffs will follow for years. Any predictions there are fantasy. The intrinsic value of the molecule will be massive following some delay(set backs factored in). Should this scenario follow, we are looking at M/S or something that keeps on getting bigger because it is getting bigger. Not linear.Investors have to be good at selecting exit strategies, which is not going to be easy to do. For now, it is a simple choice stay or leave and take your chances, parasites notwithstanding.
write this down....A 2-73 is either a BREAKTHROUGH (BTD) or these results (and other previously reported ) OR.... this is some kind of freak result we will never see, ever again. I am going with breakthrough because breakthroughs are not just a trends or range tweaking of previous results, they jump off the page.
We are looking for or waiting to see if this is what experts call a , "Binary Event".
It helps to keep a proper perspective with all the negative-driven attacker posts. Keeping a balance can be tough. A proper time line and event schedule is key. I expect news of consequence (to include EP and AD ) between now and the early Feb. All the best.
jake...appreciate your excellent articulation of our current AVXL investment situation. It's really a shame that there are those who sink to such levels as the legal firms spreading fear and uncertainty in peruit of a few dollars/pieces of gold. Can't help but want to set a curse on every one of them. Human beings cannot live on fear and uncertainty, there is an obvious limit, even for lawyers.
AVXL is being attacked. We are not sure who is attacking. We are not sure why such attacks are being made by bloggers, law firms, organized short attacks. I have never seen anything on this scale, or with the obvious destructive attack dog focus. The motivation and investment are not simple market driven snipes, these are purposeful, directed, driven, organized attacks on a tiny development company. These forces have overdone their effort to a fault and the controlling body seems to be standing by, doing nothing as far as the world knows. Why? Are attackers afraid this tiny company will bring down the empires or are they simply protecting the rest of the world from harm? Well, they have overdone it. Do they know from results to date that they are screwed? Would any one of them be SCREAMING to the world if they had ANYTHING CLOSE? We can all intuit the answer to that. That is ALL that is happening here.
Bayer or Merck or Phizer or Roche or ...(some BP) were making these claims? What if they said they had support from the FDA for alternate expedited trials? What if a BP president had a special invite to DC and was asked to speak to members of Congress? What if that same firm had MJF trials grant for testing? What if initial trials and some limited patient testimonials were leaking about people's lives,memory, cognitive skills being improved? What if there were no obvious unwarranted phony attack suits? What would the SP be of that company...would the attack axxholes-bloggers be attacking?
Huh, what has this tiny little company done to inspire such fear????? Be negative if you must but at least think about what you are doing. This is all just wrong and it shows just how corrupt this market is.
finn...I think you have exactly the right thinking here. BP is screwed and they are seeing a future w/o their control. After decades of investment and arm waving study they have come up completely dry. In fact these are the same guys who say.."you must wait until someone dies and cut up the brain before you can prove anything"...The AVXL team has not only gotten results they would kill for BUT, they have rewritten the book on how to evaluate results.
So, after decades of billions being invested this tiny company has results which changes the game and the big guys are having a hard time being positive, in fact they have let loose the hounds, which tells us just how screwed they are. BTW, these guys do not like loosing at all and will fight until their defeat is obvious to the world.(see Merck, Phizer, Roche, Bayer and companies for ref)
Exactly right and it further demonstrates the leverage and management maturity associated with Friday's PR on "No Merit"...Brilliant, that bit of timing, followed by the AM release today. Tells me more to follow as planned. Brilliant.