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eBay Inc. (EBAY) Message Board

nithman 156 posts  |  Last Activity: Feb 20, 2001 11:22 AM Member since: Jun 1, 1998
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  • Reply to

    Recession looming: AMZN gone!

    by thestocktrends Feb 19, 2000 5:25 PM
    nithman nithman Feb 20, 2001 11:22 AM Flag

    y finished around $18!

  • Reply to

    CMGI after hours traded @196

    by momentumboy98 Mar 18, 1999 5:57 PM
    nithman nithman Mar 19, 1999 10:39 AM Flag

    >why would i be spending my grandkids
    money.... you must mean MY money.... take your assinine
    goobly gook to someother board..

    First of all, I
    was responding to that other persons message. I guess
    you would rather I post something like "CMGI 300 post
    split!!!! - DW is a genius!!!! etc, etc."

    >I dont
    care if you keep CMGI two days more.. <

    I
    was trying to give that other person an idea of where
    I was coming from. While I think that CMGI is
    probably a good long-term investment, it is by no means a
    lead-pipe cinch and one has to consider the possibility
    that one could face significant losses holding this
    stock.

    >your kind need to be flushed out and soon..
    <

    I see there are still a few Nazis hiding out there
    in Wisconsin.

  • Reply to

    CMGI after hours traded @196

    by momentumboy98 Mar 18, 1999 5:57 PM
    nithman nithman Mar 18, 1999 9:48 PM Flag

    I wouldn't overextend myself, but CMGI still has
    a lot of upside (and downside) potential. However,
    LCOS is more than built into the price of the stock as
    I believe the value of all the publicly traded
    shares of companies held by CMGI (LCOS, GCTY, etc.) is
    around 1 1/2 billion. This doesn't include the value of
    all the companies in the IPO pipeline, of course.
    Sure, buy some CMGI, but spend some of your grandkid's
    money on a few blue-chips too.
    I am mildly long
    CMGI and plan on holding at least a few months.

  • Reply to

    3/4/99lowASKprice4dayHow2find?UnfilledOr

    by userfliper Mar 6, 1999 2:13 PM
    nithman nithman Mar 6, 1999 3:28 PM Flag

    And just look at the profit margins!

    MSFT
    38%
    YHOO 13%
    NSOL 12%
    BID 9%
    AOL 8%
    MSPG
    8%
    EBAY 3.5%
    AMZN -21%
    DCLK -28%
    INKT
    -83%

    Ebay has jacked up its rates, but things don't look
    all that
    rosy for Pierre and Co. in the real
    world. AMZN, DCLK, and INKT
    are beyond the pale, of
    course.

    >Some people quote the hefty P/E ratio. I personally
    think for young companies with little or no earnings,
    price/sales ratio is more accurate. If we compare the
    price/sales ratio:

    EBAY: 299.34
    MSFT: 25

    AMZN: 29
    AOL: 27
    <

  • Reply to

    Last call, internet auction IPO: PAID

    by PMNPT Mar 4, 1999 9:59 AM
    nithman nithman Mar 4, 1999 3:25 PM Flag

    >... is that the actual numbers clearly
    demonstrate that the business is working. eBay did $19.5
    million in profitable sales last quarter alone, versus
    $2.6 million in the previous fourth quarter. That is
    an amazingly fast ramp rate, for a profitable
    model... <

    Oh, now I see why EBAY has an 11
    digit market cap!

  • Reply to

    ETV: Check it out

    by ETV_Fan Mar 3, 1999 2:46 PM
    nithman nithman Mar 4, 1999 9:28 AM Flag

    >When I was long EBAY, just went short
    yesterday, I would read the silly post about PE (irrelevant
    at this time), Fed investigation (not into EBAY but
    into others using EBAY), nonsense (it's going down)
    and anti hype (look at the 2 cents in earing for the
    year when in fact they made 6 cents last quarter alone
    and are growing over 60% a quarter).<

    Look
    at the corporate profile on Yahoo, read it
    carefully, and remember that we had a 3-1 split. 0.06 / 3 =
    0.02!

  • Reply to

    ETV: Check it out

    by ETV_Fan Mar 3, 1999 2:46 PM
    nithman nithman Mar 3, 1999 3:48 PM Flag

    >When I was long EBAY, just went short
    yesterday, I would read the silly post about PE (irrelevant
    at this time), Fed investigation (not into EBAY but
    into others using EBAY), nonsense (it's going down)
    and anti hype (look at the 2 cents in earing for the
    year when in fact they made 6 cents last quarter alone
    and are growing over 60% a quarter).<

    Look
    at the corporate profile on Yahoo, read it
    carefully, and remember that we had a 3-1 split. 0.06 / 3 =
    0.02!

    >While in unchartered waters with a cyber,
    national/international forum let me use a hyperthetical to explain my
    concern. Someone places the February 1976 issue of Playboy
    for sale on EBAY. I would have to say that it is NOT
    pornography in any state. However, the person buying it lives
    in Saudi Arabia and since the seller was EBAY, saudi
    Arabia finds EBAY guilty of a crime punishible by
    confiscation of all their property and life imprisonment. You
    laugh! It is funny because the people there are so funny
    BUT what about violation of auction laws not in the
    50 different states, what about in the 2,000
    different counties in the USA?<

    That's a very
    interesting "hyperthetical," but I can't see the US handing
    someone over to the Arabian courts for selling Playboy.
    You are just as stupid short as you were long.

  • Reply to

    fools bought iom at $1 per share split a

    by Text_Sender Mar 2, 1999 1:35 PM
    nithman nithman Mar 2, 1999 2:19 PM Flag

    The Fools made money on their IOM trade, but unfortunately a lot of people lost money on the thing by buying it after it was pumped up.

    http://quote.yahoo.com/q?s=IOM&d=5y

  • Reply to

    eBay will look REAL attractive at $100 a

    by pmizelll Mar 1, 1999 11:56 AM
    nithman nithman Mar 1, 1999 12:11 PM Flag

    >...tommorrow. If you think ppl buying at $330
    a share are stupid, what do you think is gonna
    happen when they see the share price of eBay at
    $100?<

    Probably will be bought up by people who get excited when
    a change machine gives them 4 quarters for a
    dollar.

    >They'll buy more....the split "phenomenon", I love it!
    <

    Just ask those DELL shareholders how their upcoming
    split is working out for them! Not to mention those
    recent splits by AMZN and YHOO.

  • Reply to

    Great chance to short EBAY right after t

    by Jeff_Cheng Feb 28, 1999 6:48 PM
    nithman nithman Mar 1, 1999 11:29 AM Flag

    So I guess the sophisticated gambler bets on
    black because it has come up ten times in a row? EBAY
    looks fairly red today!

    >Shorting eBay is
    like dropping a grand on a Roulette table that has had
    a run of 10 blacks in a row. Every neophyte in the
    casino runs over saying: "...it has got to be red now,
    look 10 blacks in a row!" Guess what? Comes up black
    again.<

  • Reply to

    Motley Fools added EBAY to their portfol

    by pmizelll Mar 1, 1999 9:51 AM
    nithman nithman Mar 1, 1999 10:36 AM Flag

    Sounds like you are a little late to the party!

  • Reply to

    Fool Bay

    by EMN92 Feb 26, 1999 11:42 AM
    nithman nithman Mar 1, 1999 9:51 AM Flag

    BTW, I'm still waiting for an answer to
    this:

    Earnings (ttm) $0.06
    ttm = trailing twelve months
    through Dec 31, 1998;
    After-Tax Income (*ttm) $1.07M

    *ttm = through Sep 30, 1998

    >Yes, wow
    because it's .06 for the quarter and if no growth then 4
    quarters times .06 equals .24 for the year times 40
    millions share so they made $10,000,000 (MILLION) this
    year or 10 times
    waht they made last year if your
    numbers are correct. TYo me taht is WOW, asshole, liar,
    deceiver!>

  • Reply to

    shorted 5000 shares EBAY

    by Stock_Veteran Feb 27, 1999 5:22 PM
    nithman nithman Feb 28, 1999 1:45 PM Flag

    Suretrade doesn't and they make you have 65% to
    go long
    EBAY.

    http://www.suretrade.com/QRS/Public/MrgnInfo.html

    BTW, I think that guy claimed to short EBAY at a price
    it didn't
    trade at on Thursday. As far as 100,000
    blocks of EBAY go, I don't see many EBAY blocks trade at
    all, let alone 100K ones.

  • Reply to

    Fool Bay

    by EMN92 Feb 26, 1999 11:42 AM
    nithman nithman Feb 28, 1999 1:38 PM Flag

    Try looking at the Yahoo company profile:


    Earnings (ttm) $0.06
    ttm = trailing twelve months
    through Dec 31, 1998;
    After-Tax Income (*ttm) $1.07M

    *ttm = through Sep 30, 1998

    >Yes, wow
    because it's .06 for the quarter and if no growth then 4
    quarters times .06 equals .24
    for the year times 40
    millions share so they made $10,000,000 (MILLION) this
    year or 10 times
    waht they made last year if your
    numbers are correct. TYo me taht is WOW, asshole,
    liar,
    deceiver!>

  • Reply to

    ebay % held by institutions = 4% does th

    by TIMHARWOODx Feb 28, 1999 12:07 AM
    nithman nithman Feb 28, 1999 1:32 PM Flag

    I have access to the Reuters price feed at work,
    and I noticed that most days there are zero block
    trades for EBAY. AMZN and YHOO seem to have around 10%
    of their volume in blocks and it's not unusual for
    blue chips to have over half their volume in blocks.
    Now this might be partially due to the fact that EBAY
    is a rather pricy stock, but it seems to me that
    Fools are flocking where angels fear to tread!

  • Reply to

    Fool Bay

    by EMN92 Feb 26, 1999 11:42 AM
    nithman nithman Feb 27, 1999 5:41 PM Flag

    Try looking at the Yahoo company profile:


    Earnings (ttm) $0.06
    ttm = trailing twelve months
    through Dec 31, 1998;
    After-Tax Income (*ttm) $1.07M

    *ttm = through Sep 30, 1998

    >Yes, wow
    because it's .06 for the quarter and if no growth then 4
    quarters times .06 equals .24
    for the year times 40
    millions share so they made $10,000,000 (MILLION) this
    year or 10 times
    waht they made last year if your
    numbers are correct. TYo me taht is WOW, asshole,
    liar,
    deceiver!>

  • Reply to

    Fool Bay

    by EMN92 Feb 26, 1999 11:42 AM
    nithman nithman Feb 26, 1999 2:27 PM Flag

    Try looking at the Yahoo company
    profile:

    Earnings (ttm) $0.06
    ttm = trailing twelve months
    through Dec 31, 1998;
    After-Tax Income (*ttm) $1.07M

    *ttm = through Sep 30, 1998

    I was thinking
    about the Fools and Cramer and I don't think I've ever
    seen anyone pointing out what a vested interest these
    people have in pumping internet stocks. Apart from any
    positions they might have in the stocks, they both own
    substantial web properties themselves. I'm sure the Fools do
    well pushing banners and selling books and t-shirts,
    but I'm sure they have an eye for the big
    cash-in.
    I haven't picked on Cramer today, so I'd like to
    point out that Cramer has performed some of the worst
    analysis of EBAY to date. A few weeks ago, Cramer was
    bashing traditional media and claimed that EBAY must be
    stealing tremendous amounts of advertising from the
    newspapers. EBAY has certainly revolutionized the collectable
    business, but Cramer should know that newspapers make most
    of their money off of department store ads followed
    by real estate, help wanted, etc. Ads for
    collectables has always been a tiny percentage of the
    business.

    <I called you an asshole and you prove
    it:
    <<<Feel free to post the latest earnings, but what I was
    referring to was that EBAY made about a million both 1998
    and 1997. Yahoo's telling me that EBAY made .06 per
    share. Wow.>>>

    Yes, wow because it's .06
    for the quarter and if no growth then 4 quarters
    times .06 equals .24 for the year times 40 millions
    share so they made $10,000,000 (MILLION) this year or
    10 times waht they made last year if your numbers
    are correct. TYo me taht is WOW, asshole, liar,
    deceiver!>

  • Reply to

    Fool Bay

    by EMN92 Feb 26, 1999 11:42 AM
    nithman nithman Feb 26, 1999 12:59 PM Flag

    Feel free to post the latest earnings, but what I
    was referring to was that EBAY made about a million
    both 1998 and 1997. Yahoo's telling me that EBAY made
    .06 per share. Wow.

    Thinking about the Fools'
    article on EBAY, they consider negative press to be
    bullish for a growth stock. This is a brilliant defense
    mechanism because it allows anyone who has become
    infatuated with a stock to completely discount any bad news.
    It's equivalent to a religious fundamentalist
    disregarding the fossil record because those bones must have
    been put there by God to test our faith!

    The
    Fools also claim that technical problems are good
    because it shows that people are using the system in
    greater numbers. That's true to a point, but it hasn't
    been a happy situation for EGRP and others. I remember
    EBAY having severe technical problems early in their
    history - long before most of you pumpers had heard of
    it. They did overcome, but I wouldn't be so quick to
    dismiss the current problems when EBAY needs to increase
    its profits by a couple orders of magnitude to grow
    into its stock price. I have to say in my personal
    experience of 15 years as a computer programmer that the
    typical business does not see recurring problems in
    production systems as a measure of success!

  • Reply to

    Fool Bay

    by EMN92 Feb 26, 1999 11:42 AM
    nithman nithman Feb 26, 1999 11:59 AM Flag

    Read the Motley Fools' rationale for adding this
    stock to their Rule Breaker portfolio. They made the
    usual bullish points, such as pointing out that AOL has
    been considered overvalued for years therefore EBAY
    skeptics are wrong (good logic there) but failed to
    mention that EBAY's profits have been flat for years even
    though their sales went up tremendously. I just don't
    see this company living up to the hype. I have never
    had a position in EBAY (probably never will) and have
    a 120 Ebay rating.

  • Reply to

    COULD BEZOS BE

    by jabra101 Feb 26, 1999 8:44 AM
    nithman nithman Feb 26, 1999 9:51 AM Flag

    Given that AMZN does not seem to able to make money selling things, perhaps Bezos is going to turn AMZN into the next CMGI!

EBAY
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