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Arch Coal Inc. Message Board

no_blinders 36 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 8, 2014 10:45 AM Member since: Jul 7, 2006
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  • no_blinders no_blinders Nov 26, 2013 10:47 AM Flag

    Time for more insiders to add since last cashless sell exercising;

    a. 403.4M shares outstanding
    b. 11.35% or 45.7M shares are held by insiders.
    c. Now .60% or up to 2.4M shares listed as held by institutions per latest Reuters (went from .30% up to .60% since Junes reporting)

    Conclusion:
    Since triggering new monthly milestone payments since 11/15/13 (management will keep it “confidential” till next quarterly) under the License, Manufacturing and Supply Agreement, these payments should go directly to the bottom line, might even trigger a buyback or special dividend soon or Management may risk a shareholder’s revolt or losing control to the likes of a Carl Icahn (there is no information Mr. Icahn has a stake in ELTP).
    So:
    1. Since institutions have doubled their holdings since June (since last Reuters reporting-Yahoo is one report behind).
    2. IMHO it will only take 50M shares to take control of management and
    3. 323M shares, or about $48M at today’s prices. To take full control

    Happy Thanksgiving! Good to be long 

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • For the three months ended 30 June 2013, Just a reminder of last quarters review:
    a. Revenues increased last quarter 25% to $722K.
    b. Net income totaled $922K vs. loss of $10.5M.
    c. Revenues reflect Manufacturing Fees increase of 43% to $543K,
    d. Royalties increase of 35% to $173K.
    e. Net Income reflects Change in fair value of warrant derivati increase from $5.1M (expense) to $2.9M (income),
    f. Change in fair value of preferred share decrease of 81% to $901K (expense).

    Plus current pipeline of additional generic drug candidates under active development, including, without limitation, ELI-154, a once-a-day oxycodone product and ELI-216, an abuse resistant oxycodone product which utilizes the ELTP’s propriety formulation for abuse resistant products utilizing the pharmacological approach (Elite’s Abuse Resistant Technology intrinsic value seems to picking up tremendous stream).

    With all the turnaround indicators in place no wonder fresh venture capital (available the beginning of 2014) has not recognized a “diamond in the rough” in ELRP now able to be picked up pennies on the dollar. Volume and price started on the first trading day of this year.

    If history is any indicator, and it usually is, the evidence based on volume and trend, shows the beginnings of a spectacular quarter.

    THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND
    Gonna be a Happy New Year, Long and strong.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Now over .23
    Ans some fools want you to sell it now?
    The trend is your friend, anyone saying otherwise is just jealous that they missed the boat again.

    Wonder where the PPS will be by earnings report?
    Have a great week
    Long and strong!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • 1/2/2014 ELTP opened at .12
    1/15.2014 closed at .27 up 125% and 7 straight up days the much need pause and correction 18% this AM was a welcome sign to me, as others have stated of a healthy correction.

    IMO the uptrend could resume tomorrow if not later today.

    The trend is your friend. Today’s correction just gave a few of us an opportunity to add more.

    Happy investing, now even longer and stronger!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • no_blinders no_blinders Jan 16, 2014 11:43 AM Flag

    Good to see new speculators here. I agree with your reasoning.
    I like with your speculative portfolio holdings, always good to diversify, I'm holding a few more in mine.
    As you probably know by now there are a few long term bashers on this board who can't seem to get over their losses. I have them on ignore.

    Good Luck with your holdings.
    Long and strong.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • November 2013 UBRG had 3.0B shares outstanding, now 2.68B a 320M share buyback, that’s good. Also Insiders held less than .5% now 1.60% that great.
    A potential battle of a buy out here, at least a quite buyout is going on.

    Holding here to see what the next quarter will show.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Good to be long!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • ... from company’s web site by by Thomas Russell, ESQ. dated 1/31/2014
    Someone is buying with 1.426M shared trading yesterday.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Agree new management may soon take over ... after all the BS is flushed out.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • All these “Experts” here are trying to tell us how to trade ELTP. How ignorant is that!
    For some time now I’ve been trading about half my position while holding and building my core ELTP holdings recoup my original investments several times over now.
    Good Luck longs have a great week!

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Still have open good-till-cancel BUY orders waiting on any further dips.

    As mentioned last week typically trade half my shares in steep upticks with stop loss orders, ended up getting stopped out at $0.82.

    After reading insiders also have been selling in this recent rally, with the heavy volume something else must be going, IMHO possibly a blind buyout attempt, so started buying back this AM.

    We’ll see. Again long and strong, have a good week.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • no_blinders by no_blinders Mar 18, 2014 9:32 AM Flag

    With ELTP’s By-Law restatement out this morning looks lake management is concerned about losing control of its company to a third party. Looks like the dilution gravy train may get stop.
    Long for some time and deleted about the future but also been concerned about share dilution; selling shares to make payments and collection 10% on the backs of its shareholders. I see it robbing Peter to pay Paul.
    Maybe additional views of other Board of Directors members might not be such a bad idea for the rest of us shareholders.

    Been Long and Strong and looking for better answers for better rewards.
    I am HOLD

    Sentiment: Hold

  • As mentioned earlier I typically trade half my positions based on volume and technical trends, volume, momentum and SMA valuations. First stop out was at $0.77 from the $0.97 high, momentum traded in the $0.60s, $0.50s and now $0.40s. Currently$0.355 in my entry, I'll add more on additional dips. As volume slows and price settles a nice uptrend may soon follow.

    Looks the hype has settled and now anticipating May’s shareholders meeting, which I’m betting prices will be higher by then.
    Good Luck.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    I'm in

    by pat_snowboard1984 Mar 21, 2014 2:53 PM
    no_blinders no_blinders Mar 25, 2014 1:58 PM Flag

    Stay the course Pat, looks like you’ve done your research and know your due diligence.

    As you can see a few long-term losers still can’t accept their past losses faulting others for their misfortunes. I’ve lost capital on CPOW, and also on other positions. But stayed with my convictions took my losses realizing past timing may not have been the best.

    I too am long CPOW and more than made up past losses.

    Stay focused and Good Luck!

    Sentiment: Buy

  • no_blinders no_blinders Mar 25, 2014 2:23 PM Flag

    Cathey2y,
    That I don’t know; if someone told you with certainty that it will, they would be lying to you and you’d be a fool to believe them. IMHO when the technical bottom is hit, I think we’re close, you and I won’t have the opportunity to fully load up.

    Since I truly don’t know the bottom, and my assessments has identified a good entry point the mid $0.30s with a high probability to make a great short-term gains. (May’s shareholders meeting) IMO several financial scenarios, positive for long shareholders will unfold which I don’t want to miss.
    If it goes in the $0.20 I’ll add more, I’m willing to take the risk here in the mid $0.30.
    Good luck!

    Sentiment: Buy

  • no_blinders no_blinders Apr 8, 2014 10:45 AM Flag

    Been trading down and just got the rest of my orders filled at $0.29 IMHO time to go ling again.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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