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Chesapeake Energy Corporation Message Board

nycenvironmental 40 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 3, 2014 7:30 AM Member since: Feb 10, 2009
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  • nycenvironmental by nycenvironmental Aug 3, 2014 7:30 AM Flag

    Here is my take on oil: Oil prices have been and continue to be controlled by large financial institutions. They trade based on real facts, but predominately trade on technicals, sentiment and speculation. A single report, news event or weather forecast triggers chain reactions that multiply the extent of price movement in either direction. This week, there is a good chance that speculators will add to Long Positions due to the Islamic terrorists in Iraq as they did earlier in the summer. This will trigger short covering and send oil towards 100. When oil breaks 100 in a certain direction, it tends to continue in that direction. We will probably see 99-100 this week and 100+ soon. The point here is that the disruption in Iraq over the weekend was only 20,000 barrels pd or 0.02% of what the world uses, but the speculators use events like this to start a pile on into one side of the trade.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • You all need to understand, big money is a bunch of #$%$ ies! They hop in stocks, but when the technicals turn, they exit the building. Today, we're starting to see CHK resume its breakdown in share price as the big money exits the building. I'm telling you SELL NOW!!!!! I look out for the little guy, I'm like a combination of Robin Hood, Obama and Jesus.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    CHK Debt Situation

    by nycenvironmental Mar 3, 2014 3:56 PM
    nycenvironmental nycenvironmental Mar 3, 2014 4:30 PM Flag

    I'm glad I could help Carl. Just looking out for my fellow investors! Good luck funding a company with a healthy balance sheet and better Debt to Equity ratio

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • nycenvironmental by nycenvironmental Mar 3, 2014 3:56 PM Flag

    Please ask yourself this question. When a company sells of billions of dollars of assets and has billions of dollars in revenue, only to post losses, do you want to be the owner of its stock? If you own this company because you are a Domestic Oil & Gas Bull, you have good intentions in a bad company. Please listen to me, I was buying up in the $40's and lost half of my money. I plan on making it back on the short side.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    MAJOR WARNING

    by natty_0ner Mar 2, 2014 2:19 PM
    nycenvironmental nycenvironmental Mar 3, 2014 3:50 PM Flag

    I agree that CHK will go to $5.00, but there are other companies that will not have more than 20% drops from these levels such as BP, XOM, CVX, SLB, HAL, COP, OXY and other legitimate Oil & Gas companies.

    So the best way to play the coming years is to short companies like CHK that are in trouble and go long in quality.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • nycenvironmental nycenvironmental Feb 27, 2014 2:24 PM Flag

    Remember, US Real Estate is NOT the place to be. Our taxes are high and our prices are over inflated. The rigs, wells and pipelines are all good, Land is NOT. Aubrey bought up swaths of land betting that he could make money on real estate and energy, a 2 for 1. He was right about energy, wrong about land. Now they're in a hole.

  • CHK is now entering a death spiral masked by high revenues and low valuations. They are now in a perpetual Lose Lose scenario where their assets are being sold off and remaining assets are declining in value. If they hold, their debt will metastasize through their books. If they continue to sell, they'll face taxes on the sales, loss of leveraging power and less revenue. The stock may not plummet, but expect stagnation and slow declines in 2014.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • I read this article after drinking 12 beers and smoking some marijuana. I could literally feel OPEC talking throughout my body. It felt like the mob, cartel and bullies that they are, but with overtones of confidence. They best part was the addressing of the shale oil: Scarecrow. Oh boy, higher from here as I've stated before.
    http://www.businessweek.com/news/2013-12-22/opec-ministers-see-no-2014-oil-glut-amid-signs-of-demand-growth

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Just bought UCO

    by fp718591 Dec 13, 2013 1:53 PM
    nycenvironmental nycenvironmental Dec 16, 2013 1:52 PM Flag

    Nice move, they will not taper yet and this will already be around 100 by the time the rest jump in and bring it to 102-103

  • This has to be the easiest trade ever. If you buy UCO at 31.50, you can sell it for 33 next week or hold it for 45 some point next year.

  • Reply to

    Just put $60,000 into UCO at 31.14

    by nycenvironmental Oct 31, 2013 5:56 PM
    nycenvironmental nycenvironmental Nov 21, 2013 7:14 PM Flag

    Down about 10% but looks like oil bottomed at 93. Should be up 20% from here as oil goes back up to 100

  • nycenvironmental by nycenvironmental Nov 13, 2013 12:07 AM Flag

    It's not that FSLR is a bad company, if anything it's the best of breed. The problem here is that the industry has been artificially propped up by Federal programs in the US. Projects will wind down from 2014-2016. All of this "revenue growth" discussion will be nonsense. What's more is that over the past couple of years we have seen these companies go belly up, these are all companies that showed the banks millions in revenues, secured financing and failed. A decline in revenue from here is going to wipe out another round of companies. Seeing how close the sector is related and how volatile it is, I believe long steady declines are imminent for the entire sector as more companies blow up for 1 reason and 1 reason only: Declining Demand.

    Positions: Short TAN for $60,000. @ 41.21

  • nycenvironmental by nycenvironmental Nov 4, 2013 9:36 PM Flag

    I own an iPad, it's been holding up fine for 2 years. I own an iPhone 5 and its much more durable than the previous 2 iPhones that I bought in last 5 years. At this point, I don't see myself needing another Apple device ever. See, that's the problem with the company now. Their innovation is going down creating less of a reason to ditch the current device and upgrade. Add to the fact that there is a flood of used devices out there, that are very close to the new technology and you get a company poised to plummet. Honestly, how can a company pay out a billion dollars in cash each year if sales level off and slump? Everyone thinks this a holiday stock and that is the bull trap setting up here. GET OUT

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • nycenvironmental by nycenvironmental Oct 31, 2013 9:04 PM Flag

    Here we are with 2 months left to the year and oil is looking quite bearish. Disguised in the short term downward trend is OIL's pathway to the next level of breakouts. Here's how it gets to $112 in 8 weeks:
    1. It holds the $96.20 - $96.75 range through Nov. 1
    2. It breaks $97.50 and holds it some time in the first week on November
    3. It breaks and holds $100 by mid November
    4. It trades around $102.50 by the end of November
    5. It breaks $105 by early December and enters into the Bull Zone where the upward momentum picks up
    6. It trades around $110 for around a week and then moves to the next leg higher.

    Assuming my prediction comes true, entering 2014, oil will have a bullish set up and will climb approximately 20%.

    Full DIsclosure: I am LONG UCO for $60,000 usd.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • nycenvironmental by nycenvironmental Oct 31, 2013 5:56 PM Flag

    I expect oil to have a small green day tomorrow and close above $97.50 next week to set up for $100 the following week.

  • nycenvironmental by nycenvironmental Oct 16, 2013 4:19 PM Flag

    Here is an equation for ya'll:

    Debt Ceiling Raise + Bullish EIA Report = Oil over 105 tomorrow.

  • The drop in the dollar could be helping Crude stay strong. I06 by Thursday in my honest, humble and well advised opinion.

  • nycenvironmental nycenvironmental Oct 10, 2013 2:21 PM Flag

    You should change your name to Soreloser99!!!! LOLOLOL. Dude, you are a rotten and pathetic little #$%$ boy. You are on the losing side of the trade, so you vent your frustration on a yahoo message board. Why don't you look at all the hundreds of other posts you made and only start a new topic when you are ready to say. I WAS WRONG and I LIKE MY COC, LIKE I LIKE MY OIL, HOT & BLACK. Now go buy yourself an oil futures contract or some oil stocks. We're headed to 105 on Monday #$%$ boy. Buy oil

    Sentiment: Buy

  • One week. Huge gains for the assets tied to the increased debt ceiling.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Traders watching Karen with

    by mileyoil Oct 4, 2013 1:21 PM
    nycenvironmental nycenvironmental Oct 5, 2013 1:33 PM Flag

    Correct, looks like it will die down to 25 mph winds by tomorrow

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