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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Message Board

o08o.ugh64w 162 posts  |  Last Activity: 2 hours 11 minutes ago Member since: May 13, 2011
  • Reply to

    Another 25K Dump

    by jerrybutler13 Feb 26, 2014 2:12 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Feb 27, 2014 4:25 PM Flag

    25k - who cares? It's not even $5000.

    I took more at .175 today - just put my 10k bid out there and let some timid fool hand me his shares.

    If it goes to .15, my 10k bid will be out there again for anyone who wants to hit it.

    Enjoy your petty posts and any pleasure it might bring you. Just make sure you stick around for when the shares are back up in the .50 to .75 range in a few months.

  • That jump to 97 cents yesterday was just the beginning - Merriman is going to bring attention to the company/shares. Brian Marckx/Zacks were passive - he writes a report and then doesn't do anything besides sitting on his hands for another 3 months until the next earnings report. Merriman is going to be active - they are going to shake things up, new/more investors will be buying shares, and by this time next year we're going to be looking at shares in the $2 range.

    China sales will increase the remainder of the year - Zack wouldn't fudge that. Further, no matter how much sales Merck brings, it is new sales that were not there before. It is a big/new distribution channel - will only be beneficial.

    It is always darkest before the dawn. Seen it many times with microcap companies in this sector. You can toss your shares at 74 and 75 cents a share, you can even send the shares lower...I will be buying them up and laughing a few months from now.

    Watch and learn.

  • Reply to

    Nothing to get excited about...

    by culleraa Feb 27, 2014 4:20 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Feb 27, 2014 2:42 PM Flag

    All good points.

    How can the company continue to give a blanket statement of "we don't know the extent of financial liability or how long this will take to resolve" and quarter after quarter post big charges for this? For a company this size, it makes no sense and how they can provide no discussion on the conference call at all? You can't consider it like black box project where you keep throwing money at it and give no details to anyone. As it is, every penny they throw at this investigation and whatever legal action and damages may come out of it is money that is being burned up - there will be no collecting of it...the company employee did something wrong. My intuition is telling my that it is likely a bribery situation where the overseas company employee attempted to bride a foreign official during the bidding process for a contract. I have no idea whether that is the case, but from the initial tidbits that were provided last year, that is my educated guess.

  • Reply to

    Nothing to get excited about...

    by culleraa Feb 27, 2014 4:20 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Feb 27, 2014 12:11 PM Flag

    Conference call was a joke - all softball questions from analysts.

    Downside risk is much greater than upside here. The investigation/outcome will put them out of business - it's a money pit. Until the company confirms otherwise, I think that based on what's been going on here for the past year, you have to assume the worst.

    I advised moving over to ITI for a peer/sector play and that is still an alternative as the shares will move higher over the spring/summer months.

    Anyhow, good luck if you decide to remain here.

  • Reply to

    Insider buy...

    by chart_watcher99 Feb 20, 2014 4:14 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Feb 24, 2014 9:29 AM Flag

    That is not the correct way to look at it. You need to look at when was the last time he purchased, what the circumstances were, and where did the share price go afterwards?

    Last purchase was November 2011, 5000 shares at $1.21/share, and the chart clearly shows what has happened since.

    So, his purchase of 10,000 shares at $2.11/$2.15 is an extremely good sign in comparison.

    I think this is good confirmation that business is going to be very good the remainder of this year.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w Feb 20, 2014 5:48 PM Flag

    On February 13, 2014, Premier Exhibition Management, LLC, a subsidiary of Premier Exhibitions, Inc., terminated its Joint Production Agreement with TSX Operating Company LLC (“TSX”) to produce an exhibition based on the Federal Bureau of Investigation. Pursuant to the Joint Production Agreement, the Company and TSX would have jointly produced and toured the exhibition. The production costs of approximately $1.2 million were to be funded 80% by the Company and 20% by TSX. According to the agreement, revenues from the exhibition would be paid 80% to the Company and 20% to TSX until the parties recouped 110% of the production cost, and 68% to the Company and 32% to TSX thereafter. In addition, the Company would have been paid a management fee of $60,000 per venue where the exhibition was presented.

    The Joint Production Agreement was contingent on a license from a third party, which withdrew its participation from the project. The Joint Production Agreement provided the Company with a right to terminate under these circumstances.

    This summary does not purport to be complete and is qualified by reference to the full text of the Joint Production Agreement, a copy of which was filed as an exhibit to a Current Report on Form 8-K dated October 22, 2013, and is hereby incorporated herein by reference

  • Think you're scaring anyone selling those 150 shares to knock the price down? You're going to have to do better than that.

    Just remember that you sold at $1.97 when the shares are sitting at $2.50 within the next 3 to 6 months.

    Too funny!

  • This is actually a very conservative call considering the shares were at $19 less than 8 weeks ago and in the interim there was a solid earnings announcement, good forward guidance, and dividend payment.

    Sit back, collect the nice dividend, and watch the shares move higher.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w Feb 20, 2014 12:13 PM Flag

    For those who do not believe that painting the tape is a real thing, have a look at the only trade of the day thus far:

    $1.15 ... 1 ... NDD ... 09:37:37

    If you don't understand how to read that, it says that someone sold 1 single share for $1.15 this morning.

    You think they were scared that the bottom would fall out of the stock and they might lose their $1.15? Or maybe they just want the last trade to print at $1.15 down from $1.16?

    What it means is that this person:

    1. Is short and is trying to make you believe the stock wants to go lower

    2. Someone who wants to buy shares at a lower price, tries to prime the pump and make you sell to him at a lower price

    Either way, the only reason somebody would sell one single share (when the bid is sitting there at the same price) is that the person is afraid the shares will move higher and not lower - having seen some trades yesterday at $1.18 - he has good reason to be afraid, because when the shares move higher, they are going back to $1.75.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w Feb 19, 2014 9:33 AM Flag

    Where are all the stone-throwers now who were blasting STI for selling its 100 year old KO shares?

  • I'm buying more here and every 5 cents lower.

    Look at the trades today - after my decent size buy, the price is dragged down on miniscule volume. A couple people sell 1000 or 2000 shares, then in the last 15 minutes of the day, a few 100 and 200 share trades bring it right back up.

    We've likely just seen the last snow storm of the season. As the weather gets nicer, we're going to see more work come in and worked on. I expect to see more contracts being announced in the near-term.

    Go review sales and earning estimates for 2014 and 2015 - shares are currently undervalued - we should be closer to $3 than $2.

    In the mean time, while a good portion of the market is overvalued, you can rest comfortably with ITI shares at the current price.

    Patience - just a bit longer.

  • Reply to

    lots of volume

    by nico7100 Feb 6, 2014 3:50 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Feb 18, 2014 3:09 PM Flag

    Seeing the 10,000 shares sitting on the ask at $3.94 most of the day, you are likely correct that it is an institution looking to sell.

  • Reply to

    lots of volume

    by nico7100 Feb 6, 2014 3:50 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Feb 17, 2014 5:53 PM Flag

    Institutions holding 8% of the company is nothing. It's less than $2 million total.

    Aside from Vanguard and DFA, the others aren't even worth considering.

    We'll see if it is institutions selling when they make their filings at the end of March.

  • Reply to

    lots of volume

    by nico7100 Feb 6, 2014 3:50 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Feb 17, 2014 10:49 AM Flag

    There isn't so much stock available at any price - there's less than 2 million shares in the entire float.

    All the shares "available" that you see selling, are the momentum folks that were caught up in the one day spike over $4 the day the buyback was announced. They are taking their losses, and giving "us" shares at an undervalued price. I say "us" in that shares repurchased are terminated and as a result, "our" shares are worth more. Let the company buyback everything they can under $4/share.

    Institutions are not the sellers - name any institutions that hold shares.

    I believe that the plan here is that the company/Ron will repurchase as many shares as possible under the repurchase plan, then either make an offer to buy the remaining outstanding shares to go private, or just simply sit back and watch the shares take off as profits start to be posted and the number of shares in the float is even lower. Either way, smart investors will just hold tight and be patient.

    Risk here is extremely low at this time, and reward is extremely high.

    I'm looking to buy more.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w Feb 16, 2014 8:18 PM Flag

    I have to believe that with heavy emphasis on snowboarding, skiing and skating in the Olympics we'll see a nice bump in sales this quarter.

  • Reply to

    No reason for shares to trade below $20 or $21

    by o08o.ugh64w Feb 14, 2014 12:25 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Feb 14, 2014 8:21 PM Flag

    In general, over the past week or so, banks have been relatively weak. I think it is because of the view that interest rates will be staying low for a longer period of time - banks need higher interest rates to increase profits. This just continues to put a damper on things in the short term. Having a dividend over 5% makes it easy to bear here. I think it should also be reason that the stock would go higher, to make the yield closer to what other similar financials are paying - which is in the 3% to 4% range - implying the shares should get to $25 just on the dividend and the state of things today. In any event, having just increased the dividend, we both know that it is safe, and if we have to collect that 5%+ for being patient, it's doable.

  • Earnings are solid, asset quality is improving, then there's the massive dividend that was just increased.

    No brainer.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w Feb 14, 2014 10:57 AM Flag

    Volume back down to normal levels - momentum players are out.

    Ready for next move back to $2.25 - $2.30 and should base there until next PR of new contract.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w Feb 13, 2014 2:56 PM Flag

    If the Chinese are paying $1.25, I can buy at 80 cents.

    Now let's see them do what they say they were going to do - increase China sales and the shares go back above $1.00

  • o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Feb 13, 2014 11:26 AM Flag

    Agreed on most all your points.

    But additionally, they aren't just sitting still with their thumbs up their butts waiting around for the gov't orders - they are introducing new products, they are seeing good acceptance, and it is laying the groundwork for future growth. They will see growth in the medical products area, and I'm sure they will make inroads with overseas business.

    It's just a slow process to get there - but at least there is a plan in place to get there, and it is working.

    As far as Mike taking the company private, I agree that's a possibility, one that I hope he does not investigate as I think the gains here will be very big once the growth and higher profitability returns.

ALNY
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